$ETH 2025 Macro Setup: The Calm Before the Parabolic Storm :
1. Historical Fractal – Repeating the 2016-2017 Pattern
Chart 1 (2016–2017 Era):
Shows a "fake wave" (false rally), followed by a corrective dip.
ETH touched the logarithmic regression bands and then launched vertically.
A classic accumulation to expansion cycle.
Chart 2 (Current Cycle – 2023–2025):
Mirrors the 2016 pattern almost identically:
Fake wave during 2024.
Strong dip back to the log regression support (highlighted red circle).
Now consolidating at a key takeoff zone.
Conclusion: ETH is following the exact behavior of the 2016 cycle, currently sitting at the takeoff zone before a potential parabolic breakout.
2. Chart 3: Accumulation & ETH/BTC Signal
Upper Chart (Price Action):
ETH has been ranging since 2022 inside a wide accumulation box.
Shows higher lows, forming a long-term ascending triangle.
This suggests smart money accumulation before a breakout.
✅ Lower Chart (ETHBTC Z-Score):ETH/BTC Z-Score is near -2.09, a historical low.
ETH is undervalued against BTC, similar to pre-rally periods in the past.Every time this Z-score hit similar levels, ETH followed with strong outperformance.
This indicates that ETH is likely to outperform BTC in the next cycle.
Pro Tip:
This structure is a fractal replay — a method where historical price patterns repeat in similar psychological and structural ways.Your charts captured that perfectly.
Final Summary as a Pro Analyst:ETH is in an undervalued state based on historical regression and ETHBTC ratio.
Price is respecting the same behavior as the 2016–2017 cycle.Accumulation zone is clearly visible between $1,200–$2,300.
If price breaks $4,867, we could see parabolic expansion toward $8K–$12K.
#Ethereum #altsesaon
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#HODLTradingStrategy Is the Crypto Winter Ending? Ethereum Leads a Quiet Altcoin Revival
Ethereum is beating Bitcoin, hinting at a new altcoin cycle.
BlackRock bought $36.7M in ETH, showing growing institutional trust.
Ethereum wallets are accumulating heavily, similar to previous market peaks.
After what many traders are calling a long “bear winter,” there are early signs that the crypto market could be warming up. Despite record-low social media engagement and widespread frustration over months of sideways price action, data points to a budding recovery, led by Ethereum’s surprising strength.
The “Ethereum Cycle” Emerges
Inside this gloom, a report by Willy Woo has identified a key turning point: the market is entering an “Ethereum cycle.” Historically, when Ethereum begins to outperform Bitcoin, it signals that wider altcoin strength is building.
I FOUND SOMETHING CRAZY!!!
One of the wallets that moved 10,000 bitcoin yesterday (over $1 billion) was actually mentioned on a forum back in 2013 (screenshot).
At the time, a user said they had sent 1.5 BTC to a friend using that address.
But the address already held 10,000 BTC… The friend claimed they couldn’t access it anymore.
The user wondered whether the address came from a wallet provider like "mywallet," and who actually held the private key.
Yesterday, that same address came back to life.
Which means someone has had access to it for over 10 years.
We still don’t know if it’s:
- The original owner regaining control
- A long-lost private key finally recovered
- Or a wrongly attributed/shared address back in the day
What we do know:
In 2013, no one knew who owned the address.
In 2025, it just moved over $1 billion in Bitcoin.
The mystery remains.
I’ll keep digging, and if I find anything else, I’ll post it here.
Make sure to follow with notifications on.
$BTC
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$SOL
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