Chainova

With no payrolls or inflation prints on the calendar until Washington reopens, the market is running on positioning and flows rather than fresh catalysts.$BTC

Bitcoin is trading around $122,000 after reaching a record high of $126,200, with expectations of potentially hitting $140,000 later this month.
Economist Timothy Peterson estimates a 50% probability of bitcoin finishing October above $140,000, based on decade-long data simulations.
Despite recent volatility, institutional demand and reduced exchange balances are supporting bitcoin's price, amid macroeconomic uncertainties and upcoming market data releases.

Bitcoin is holding around $122,000 in Wednesday’s Asian hours after setting a record high at $126,200 earlier this week, with some market watchers still expecting a surge to a record $140,000 later this month.

BTC is up nearly 10% since the start of October, which has historically been one of the most bullish periods for all financial assets. The move has been driven by record ETF inflows and exodus of coins from centralized exchanges.

Exchange balances have dropped to a six-year low of 2.83 million BTC, with 170,000 coins withdrawn in the past month. That mix of steady institutional buying and shrinking supply has kept pullbacks shallow. The U.S-listed spot ETFs have added more than $60 billion since approvals in January 2204, including $3.2 billion last week, the second-largest weekly intake on record.

Trading desks note that the path of least resistance is still higher as “Uptober” plays out. Besides, the outlook for S&P 500 remains constructive, supporting the bull case in BTC.

“Options markets are pricing in a feral 5% chance for another 10% rally in the SPX into year-end, and it’s increasingly difficult to find a negative catalyst to counteract that view,” said Augustine Fan, head of insights at SignalPlus, said in a Telegram message. “We saw little short liquidation on the recent gap up, suggesting participants are underweight with minimal risk exposures."

BNB正在飆升，其爆炸性的勢頭可能在年末帶來一次飛向月球的機會，或者爲一次慘烈的修正奠定基礎。這些場景可能會如何展開呢？

隨着“十月上漲”兌現其歷史承諾，加密市場高漲。比特幣徘徊在新的歷史最高點附近，以太坊向$4,500推進，山寨幣也在蓬勃發展。
但有一個代幣脫穎而出：BNB，之前稱爲幣安幣，在過去一個月上漲了24%，併發出技術信號，暗示着要麼是飛向$2,000的月球，要麼是即將到來的面臨重創的修正。

$XRP 投資者在一則新的更新後感到緊張，這則更新正在加密社區中引起波動。這不是關於炒作或投機——這是對可能成爲XRP價格波動決定性時刻的數據驅動分析。根據一位知名分析師的說法，這個設置可能正是XRP持有者一直在等待的機會。

✨XRP持有者的決定性時刻

在一段分享於X的視頻中，STEPH IS CRYPTO 發出了警報：“XRP持有者，這可能真的是我們在頻道上一直期待的時刻。”他解釋說，自7月中旬以來，XRP一直在一個看漲旗形模式中整合，現在開始顯示出“非常看漲的跡象”。