Web3_梓哲

Binance Alpha does not provide you with Alpha, but rather transforms you into its Alpha.

Many people think this is a new starting point for extracting value, but I believe the underlying logic is far more complex than that.

The points system is not a reward, but rather a systematic tool for hierarchical categorization.

What does this mean? Once you start "completing tasks", "trading", and "accumulating points", you become a label, a sample, a user in the resource pool of the Binance data system.

You think you are earning Alpha,
but in fact, you are the Alpha itself.

Your trading behavior, asset retention, and interaction frequency will be precisely assessed, accurately extracted, and priced in tiers.

Thus,

those who seek Alpha ultimately become a part of the system that extracts Alpha value.

What is human mining MEV, what does it mean to financialize behavior, this is it.

In the AI era, everything is being quantified; Web3 has not escaped this either. Most of the time, you are not using the system, but the system is learning about you, predicting you, controlling you.

While you are "grabbing" the airdrops it offers, it is "grabbing" all your behavioral data and future liquidity expectations.

The hegemonic empire of finance does not rely on guns and cannons, but on precise modeling of user psychology, a system that you think you can win against, but can never truly win.

#币安Alpha上新

ETF 流量已成为衡量本周期机构投资者情绪和需求的重要指标。跟踪 ETF 产品的流入和流出，可以从独特的视角了解大型资本配置者的信念和参与度。

在比特币近期上涨至 9.4 万美元期间，美国现货比特币 ETF 单日净流入量达到惊人的 15.4 亿美元，是其成立以来的最高单日净流入量之一。这种涌入发出强烈信号，表明对比特币的需求可能开始恢复。#BTC走势分析

你的好友币安已加入撸毛战场，并向你扔来一套 Alpha Points 系统🤪

新推出的 Alpha 积分规则大家都看到了，说人话版个人解读如下：

1️⃣ 币安版每日任务平台
2️⃣ 交易的拿分性价比远高于持币，持有 10 万刀代币的 4 积分只需要交易 8 刀代币就能拿到了
3️⃣ 高频小额交易的拿分性价比远高于大额一次性交易，交易 1024 刀代币能拿 10 分，而交易 104 万刀代币只能拿 20 分（因为是指数型递增的交易规则）

想要拿空投？—— 每天交易 1024 刀并在钱包放 1000 刀的资产吧，每 15 天就有 180 分了😆

#币安Alpha上新

Understanding the Differences Between Liquidation, Closing Position, and Forced Liquidation at a Glance!

Must-Read for Cryptocurrency Investors! Five Fatal Misconceptions and Survival Rules!

1. The Truth about Returns
An annualized return of over 20% is already a top-level standard; the dream of getting rich often leads to loss traps.

2. The Law of Trends
Once the market starts moving, going against the trend is like a mantis trying to stop a chariot; timely loss-cutting is key.

3. The Essence of Cycles
The market's rise and fall is cyclical; there is no everlasting bull or bear market. Grasping the nodes is essential for profit.

4. Risk Warning
High risk does not necessarily mean high returns; long-term gambling will ultimately lead to losing everything. Respecting the market is essential for longevity.

5. Market Capitalization Trap
Large-cap assets are as stable as Mount Tai, while small-cap coins can go to zero at any time. Be cautious when choosing investment targets.

In the cryptocurrency world, only a few lucky individuals can break common sense, while most will eventually return to rationality. Only by respecting investment rules can one move forward steadily in this market!

#BTC

Every transaction of 'buying more as it rises' is essentially not about the trading market, but about trading self-worth. Increasing positions is not due to new insights into the market, but because we need larger profits to maintain a grander self-illusion. The market has become a mirror, and what we are addicted to is not the profits themselves, but the 'invincible' self in the mirror.

This is why all advice about trading discipline and systems, while correct, is difficult to truly change behavior. Because you cannot fix an existential problem with technical solutions.

The most ironic part is: we think we are using money to exchange for wealth, but in reality, we are using wealth to exchange for an illusory self-identity.
From the very beginning of this transaction, we are destined to be losers.

Trading is not a talent; summarizing and generalizing is. Systematic learning and continuous summarization are the keys to long-term profits:

According to the 80/20 rule, becoming wealthy largely requires luck, and continuous good fortune. However, you must possess the basic corresponding knowledge and qualities to seize the opportunity when luck arrives.

It's like rolling over funds; if you cannot provide a fundamental overview and analysis of a coin, then the money earned through luck will eventually slip away.

Full process review and reminder (you must form your own trading logic; regardless of whether you make a profit or a loss each time, you need to review every coin. Analyze it through candlestick charts + narrative logic + on-chain address + Twitter popularity + comparison with reference market capitalization to anchor how far this coin can go.)

#BTC

📌What is Rolling Warehouse

Rolling warehouse, simply put, is to use small funds to try many times, achieving doubled profits through high leverage in a successful market trend. Although the process sounds thrilling, the core is actually about controlling risks, making precise judgments, and strict execution.

▪️Case Sharing: Rolling from $300 to tens of thousands of dollars
Assuming you have $300 (about 2000 RMB), you use this money for rolling warehouse. Each time you only take out $10 to open a position, choosing 100x leverage. That's right, 100x leverage! This means that any 1% rise or fall will be magnified to 100 times the profit or loss.

First, the key is to firmly determine your direction—whether bullish or bearish. Before placing an order, you must make a judgment and have the execution power, without randomly changing direction. If you continuously lose dozens of times, it means you might have judged the direction incorrectly. At this point, it's best to stop and reflect, and you may even need to temporarily exit the market and wait for a market reversal.

But suppose you operate until the 20th time, and the market finally moves in the direction you expected. As long as the price rises or falls by 1%, you can earn $20 from your $10. Next, you take out $10 as profit, and continue to invest the remaining $20. This process is called "rolling warehouse."

If another 1% rise or fall occurs, $20 will turn into $40. At this stage, the cumulative rise and fall has reached about 2%, and your funds have quadrupled. Continuing this strategy, within the common 10% fluctuations of Bitcoin in a month, you could quickly roll your principal into thousands or even tens of thousands of dollars.

▪️Set Clear Goals
An important principle of rolling warehouse operations is to set clear goals. For example, when you earn $5,000 or $10,000, stop the rolling operations, take out profits, and reduce risks. This strategy helps you lock in profits and avoid being too greedy in pursuit of larger goals, which can lead to a final liquidation.

Consequences of Greed: If you do not timely take profits and continue rolling, you may eventually face liquidation due to a wrong judgment, making all previous efforts in vain. Therefore, controlling desires and setting profit-taking points is always the key to safe trading.

#BTC

I will share a personal experience that helps understand a little tip!

If you want to stay away from liquidation, excessive account fluctuations, and other issues, the simplest solution is:

Only trade with low leverage and small positions, then use repeated execution and long-term accumulation to achieve compound interest.

If you don't believe it, you can give it a try. Go to the 5-minute line of BTC, close your eyes and open positions, throw the dice and trade freely in both directions;

However, start with a position size of 0.1 contracts (the minimum size), then if you make a correct trade, increase your position for the next trade; if you make a wrong trade, keep the position the same;

When you make a correct trade and feel great, eager to increase your position for the next trade, pause!

Remember the size of this position; this is the most suitable opening amount for you.
Because greed always comes before fear, using this gradual testing method, you can determine the position size that affects your emotions.

Finally, calculate the proportion of this position to your total funds, and from now on, open positions according to this proportion.

For me, it's about 20%~30%. If I have 100,000 USDT, then each trade should open a position of at most 20,000~30,000 USDT, which puts no psychological burden on me. Even when holding positions, I have no motivation to look at the candlesticks; I just wait for an email to tell me whether I've taken profit or hit a stop loss...

I firmly believe that positions that can affect emotions are not good positions. Once emotions are involved in trading, you may win several times in a row, but just a few losses can lead you down a path of no return.

It’s best to also consider your emotions after five stop losses. If you can endure five consecutive stop losses without feeling pain, then congratulations, at that moment, you have passively become a rational trader!

The stable emotions of professional traders are not necessarily all cultivated; many simply know how to manage their positions. When the position is right, the emotions stabilize as well.

Finally, let me ask a question: Why does the simulated trading data always look good, but real trading does not?

The answer should be obvious to you.

#BTC

Preventing Black Swan Events

In the decentralized world of Web3, blockchain, cryptocurrencies, and DeFi are reshaping the financial and technological landscape. However, the high volatility and complexity of the Web3 ecosystem make it susceptible to 'black swan events.' Black swan events refer to those unpredictable occurrences with low probabilities but significant impacts, such as vulnerabilities in DeFi protocols, sudden regulatory changes, or market crashes.

In the face of these uncertainties, how can Web3 users effectively prevent black swan events?

1. Diversify Risks and Investments
The Web3 ecosystem is full of opportunities, but highly concentrated investments in a single asset or protocol can lead to disastrous consequences. For example, in 2022, a well-known DeFi platform was attacked due to a smart contract vulnerability, resulting in significant losses for investors. To reduce risk, users should diversify their investments across different blockchains, protocols, and asset classes, such as holding Ethereum, stablecoins, and NFT projects simultaneously. Additionally, utilizing cross-chain investments and multi-chain wallets can reduce reliance on a single network.

2. Stay Informed on Regulatory Developments and Respond Flexibly
Changes in the regulatory environment can be a black swan for Web3. For instance, if a country suddenly bans cryptocurrency trading, it may trigger market panic and a sharp decline in asset prices. To address regulatory risks, users should:
- Monitor global policies and focus on the cryptocurrency regulatory dynamics in major markets, such as the U.S. SEC or the EU MiCA regulations.
- Diversify asset storage; store assets in decentralized wallets or across multiple jurisdictions to mitigate the impact of policies from a single region.

3. Enhance Education and Increase Security Awareness
Many Web3 black swan events stem from users' lack of security awareness, such as clicking on phishing links or leaking private keys. In 2023, a certain NFT community lost thousands of Ethereum due to phishing attacks. To address this, users should:
- Use hardware wallets: Store significant assets in cold wallets like Ledger or Trezor.
- Verify interactions: Carefully check website domain names and contract addresses before signing smart contracts or making transfers.
- Learn the basics: Understand private key management, mnemonic phrase backup, and common scams.

The decentralized nature of Web3 grants users unprecedented freedom but also comes with high uncertainty. While black swan events cannot be entirely avoided, they can be mitigated through risk diversification, enhancing technological security, staying informed on regulations, increasing security awareness, and establishing emergency mechanisms.
#WEB3

A clear illustration

Trading tools/strategies for range-bound market conditions

The 3 basic Price Action methods are shown in the figure below.

A guide summarized from years in the cryptocurrency world! Even beginners can turn the tide!

Want to quickly recover in the cryptocurrency market? Grasping the core points can help you avoid detours!

1. Abandon intuition, focus on the market
Don't blindly trust others' opinions; market trends are the truth. Keep a close eye on candlesticks, trading volume, and other data, using objective analysis to replace subjective assumptions.

2. Solidify your foundation, arm your mind
Master core indicators such as MACD and KDJ. Knowledge is the confidence behind your trading decisions.

3. Control your mindset, trade rationally
Profits and losses are normal! Avoid chasing highs and panic selling; staying calm will help you make the right judgments.

4. Strictly adhere to the rules, safety first

① Always set stop-loss: Set a stop-loss for every trade; capital safety is the prerequisite for recovery.

② Refuse to over-leverage: Use fixed lot sizes, stay away from gambler-style trading.

③ Do not change stop-loss: Determine it before trading and stick to it; don't change your mind at the last minute.

5. Learn from experts, summarize experiences
Engage with seasoned investors, learn their trading strategies; review trades daily, find lessons from failures, and refine methods from successes.

There are no shortcuts in the cryptocurrency world, but by mastering these key points, you can escape difficulties faster and achieve recovery!

#BTC

Should you invest in Bitcoin? This is the most rational answer!

Bitcoin is not a gambling table where you escape reality; it is a footnote for you to re-understand reality.

In this uncertain world, we often mistakenly believe that safety is stability, risk aversion, and staying away from volatility. But true safety has never been about avoiding risk; it is about understanding risk, mastering risk— and being able to see that value cornerstone buried under the sand when everyone else turns to flee.

This is the true essence of value investing: finding the asymmetrical structure forged by cognition amid emotional dislocation; quietly buying those chips that have been forgotten by the market but will eventually return to their rightful place at the deepest trough of the cycle.

And Bitcoin, as a financial species that is inscribed with scarcity in algorithms, evolves value in networks, and repeatedly reborns in panic, is the purest manifestation of this asymmetry. Its price may never be calm; but its logic remains consistent: scarcity is the lower limit, the network is the upper limit, volatility is opportunity, and time is leverage.

You can never accurately time the bottom of Bitcoin, but you can traverse one cycle after another, continuously buying misunderstood value at a reasonable price. Not because you have magical judgment, but because you possess a higher-order way of thinking—you believe: the best bet is to place your chips on the side of time when others turn to exit.

So please remember this sentence:

Those who bet at the deepest point of irrationality are often the most rational; and time is the most faithful deliverer of asymmetry.

This game always belongs to those who understand the order behind volatility and see the logic behind collapse. Because they know: the world does not reward emotions; the world rewards cognition. And cognition will ultimately be proven by time.

#BTC

The Harsh Truth of Losing Money in Crypto: 90% of Liquidation Victims Fall for This!

The main culprit of liquidation in the crypto market is not leverage, but uncontrolled positions! Using 1% of your position with 100x leverage is safer than going all-in with 10x leverage!

1. Core Strategy for Avoiding Liquidation
✅ Light Positions are Key: Only use 2% of your capital each time, strictly control risks
✅ Stop Loss Red Line: 1.5% stop loss level, trigger to exit immediately

2. Three Deadly Operations Leading to Liquidation
⚠️ Holding on without a stop loss until the balance is zero
⚠️ Averaging down on losses, 97% mortality rate
⚠️ Blindly trying to catch the bottom, buying high

3. Three Practical Tips for Institutions
🔥 Dynamic Profit Taking: Sell 1/3 after a 20% gain, sell another 1/3 after a 50% gain, set a trailing stop loss for the remaining to seek higher profits
🔥 Moving Average Filtering: Enter only when MA5 > MA10 > MA20, filter out false breakouts, higher win rate
🔥 Snowball Positioning: Initially invest 10%, roll over profits, never fully invest

In the crypto market, discipline > feeling! Blind operation is just giving away money.

#BTC

Let's briefly talk about SoftBank's purchase of $900 million worth of BTC;

First of all, this is not just a standalone investment by SoftBank, but a collaboration with three institutions, including:

Tether (the parent company of USDT)
Bitfinex (a trading platform commonly used by BTC whales)
Cantor Fitzgerald (a financial services firm in the United States)

These institutions have formed a fund project or investment company named Twenty One Capital.

Tether and Bitfinex will not be investing in US dollar cash, but rather injecting funds in the form of BTC, while SoftBank and other participants will contribute cash;

In terms of BTC holdings, if the holdings of these three main players are combined, they will become the third largest corporate holder globally!

Currently, the largest holder is MicroStrategy with 530,000 BTC, followed by MARA with 47,000 BTC. According to Twenty One Capital's valuation, they are expected to hold around 42,000 BTC.

It is important to note that the funding sources for Twenty One Capital also include convertible notes and equity financing, which means that TOC (abbreviation) may be mimicking MicroStrategy's model for corporate-level BTC strategic investments.

Ultimately, the continuous funding source may still come from the US stock market.

For the BTC market, this is positive news because another new player has emerged in the MicroStrategy model, but considering the potential risks and uncertainties associated with this model in the future, we can tentatively view it as a small-scale MicroStrategy.

If the price of BTC continues to rise, then this model will still provide continuous liquidity as demand for BTC.

However, if the price falls, then this model will still carry certain risks.

Suddenly I remember, the last time I heard about SoftBank and BTC was when Masayoshi Son bought BTC and then got dumped in 2018, ultimately he chose to cut losses.

I wonder what the outcome of SoftBank's story of buying 10,000 BTC at a price of $90,000 with $900 million will be. Regardless, purely from the debt maturity perspective, TOC's risk is far lower than that of MicroStrategy.

How much are these two pictures worth for collectors in the circle to appreciate? Reprint ~#加密市场反弹 #BTC

In the cryptocurrency world for many years, these trading rules summarized from real battles with real money are sure to help you!

1. Only pursue strong cryptocurrencies: Keep a close eye on quality coins with upward trends, and stay away from coins with a downward trend.

2. Lock in the market's main line: When there is no clear main line, the risks outweigh the opportunities; it's better to stay out than to act blindly.

3. Scientifically diversify positions: Operate in a divided manner, holding no more than 4 types of coins at the same time to avoid putting all your eggs in one basket.

4. Eliminate ineffective trading: Frequent buying and selling is a wealth killer; unless you have top-notch short-term skills, minimize your activity.

5. Know when to stop: Pause trading and adjust your mindset after a big loss; stay clear-headed after a big gain to prevent profit pullback.

6. Enter in batches to hedge: Even for the most promising coins, do not invest heavily all at once; build positions in batches to spread risk.

7. Reject excessive monitoring: 1-2 hours of review each day is sufficient; staring at minute charts can easily disturb your mindset.

8. Strictly adhere to the trading plan: Develop strategies through review before trading, but prediction does not equal forecasting; respect the market's choices.

9. Risks outweigh rewards: It's better to miss an opportunity than to risk a loss; there are always opportunities in the market.

10. Make good use of trading logs: Recording the details and lessons of each trade is a core tool for improving trading ability.

11. Accurately capture hotspots: Operate according to the process of “prediction - trial and error - confirmation - correction - position increase,” with controllable trial and error costs.

12. Insist on in-depth review: Regularly review trading records, turning failures into experiences for cognitive upgrades.

In the battlefield of retail investors versus market makers, without hard-core strategies, you are destined to become fodder.
#BTC

Understand at a glance

Get a head start on the intentions of the main force

Analysis of the 123 trading rules…

#加密市场反弹 #BTC

"Investment Tycoon" Masayoshi Son is set to make a significant bet in the cryptocurrency industry after heavily investing in AI. His SoftBank Group is likely to collaborate with Cantor Fitzgerald, a company closely tied to the U.S. government, along with Tether, the largest stablecoin issuer, to establish a cryptocurrency joint venture with a total scale of up to $3 billion.

Overall, this collaboration plan with Cantor, Tether, and SoftBank is seen as another major bet by SoftBank in the Bitcoin market, leveraging a structured framework to mitigate risks. The joint cryptocurrency venture among the three not only boasts an impressive scale but also deeply integrates stablecoins, Bitcoin assets, policy influence, and institutional custody in its strategic approach.

More importantly, under the backdrop of the Trump administration promoting a "Bitcoin Strategic Reserve" and building a more lenient regulatory environment for cryptocurrencies, Cantor, Tether, and SoftBank may be able to align with macro policies, paving the way for traditional finance to fully embrace cryptocurrencies with more referenceable pathways.

#Btc

It is worth noting that the Fed has not yet started a rate cut cycle, and the dollar has already dropped this much; once the dollar cuts rates, it will accelerate its depreciation, which is truly terrifying. Therefore, the world is looking for safe havens for funds, with the Eurozone being one and gold another. Additionally, for the first time in many years, BTC and the dollar have diverged, and I believe the fundamental reason is that BTC is gradually detaching from the narrative of risk assets.

One possible explanation for the recent surge in BTC is: a stratification of risk preference—institutional funds tend to hedge against geopolitical risks with gold; while retail investors bet on liquidity easing through Bitcoin.

"The breakdown of the correct correlation between the two indicates that as gold prices approach absurd levels, the next safe haven choice away from the dollar collapse will be Bitcoin—after all, it's just a matter of time before all other central banks heavily print money to suppress their currencies."

The current trend of Bitcoin may prove the necessity of cryptocurrency. Retail investors, especially those who cannot truly buy gold, need a safe haven outside of gold. And perhaps Bitcoin will indeed become 'digital gold'?

#加密市场反弹 #加密货币总市值重回3万亿