徐无鬼Lucain
在开始放弃战斗的时候才算输， 坚持战斗的话，就还没输。
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In the future, I will often write my learning experiences in trading here to witness my growth. Today, I will first record the first article.
1. The best strategy for long-term investment is Smart DCA: Dollar-Cost Averaging, which is a method of regular investment in trading, buying and selling in batches, always keeping some capital available, and increasing positions after a significant drop.
2. In a one-sided market, use trailing stop loss + three-line strategy + no preset take profit, but adhere to disciplined stop loss when a pullback occurs.
3. Combine the floating profit rolling position from point 2, and operate when the trend is very clear.
4. Rest during sideways fluctuations, restrain the impulse to trade, and less activity makes it less likely to incur losses. Take a break after capturing one or two waves in a day.
#交易技巧 $ETH
1. The best strategy for long-term investment is Smart DCA: Dollar-Cost Averaging, which is a method of regular investment in trading, buying and selling in batches, always keeping some capital available, and increasing positions after a significant drop.
2. In a one-sided market, use trailing stop loss + three-line strategy + no preset take profit, but adhere to disciplined stop loss when a pullback occurs.
3. Combine the floating profit rolling position from point 2, and operate when the trend is very clear.
4. Rest during sideways fluctuations, restrain the impulse to trade, and less activity makes it less likely to incur losses. Take a break after capturing one or two waves in a day.
#交易技巧 $ETH
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1. The essence of a contract is trading risk. In other words, it is about using risk management and expectations to make money.
2. For contract trading, what you earn is actually the money from risk management, which is the money others lose and are forced to liquidate that is given to you.
3. Whenever you are eager to increase your position or open a position, you need to think about what it means to "go against human nature"?
2. For contract trading, what you earn is actually the money from risk management, which is the money others lose and are forced to liquidate that is given to you.
3. Whenever you are eager to increase your position or open a position, you need to think about what it means to "go against human nature"?
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$ETH #交易哲学 #交易训练
The timing for entering the market is not right for intraday trading, likely to incur losses
How to determine if the timing for entry is correct?
Once you enter, if it's not immediately profitable and there's a distance from the opening price, a safety zone is formed. If entering leads to immediate losses, and you're always entangled at the entry point, don't hesitate, quickly exit and wait for a market with a higher probability to re-enter
Support and resistance can only be references; too many manipulators use false spikes to trick traders
The soft market on weekends is suitable for rest and relaxation
The timing for entering the market is not right for intraday trading, likely to incur losses
How to determine if the timing for entry is correct?
Once you enter, if it's not immediately profitable and there's a distance from the opening price, a safety zone is formed. If entering leads to immediate losses, and you're always entangled at the entry point, don't hesitate, quickly exit and wait for a market with a higher probability to re-enter
Support and resistance can only be references; too many manipulators use false spikes to trick traders
The soft market on weekends is suitable for rest and relaxation
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Insights on Rolling Positions
$ETH $BTC #滚仓 #止损 #突破
I. Reference for Determining True and False Breakthroughs
1️⃣ A significant bullish candle appears on 4H, 1H, 15-minute, and 5-minute levels.
2️⃣ Breakthrough resistance level exceeds 2%～3%
3️⃣ Trading volume confirms price; breakout on increased volume.
4️⃣ After the breakthrough, if the price of three K-lines does not fall below the support, the breakthrough is valid. This is somewhat lagging, and expectations should be anticipated in advance.
II. Conditions for Rolling Positions
1️⃣ In a trending market, 95% of the market is not suitable for rolling positions.
2️⃣ The core of rolling positions is position management and judgment of trends (breakthrough/reversal). Rolling positions must be accompanied by capital management and moving stop-loss strategies.
I. Reference for Determining True and False Breakthroughs
1️⃣ A significant bullish candle appears on 4H, 1H, 15-minute, and 5-minute levels.
2️⃣ Breakthrough resistance level exceeds 2%～3%
3️⃣ Trading volume confirms price; breakout on increased volume.
4️⃣ After the breakthrough, if the price of three K-lines does not fall below the support, the breakthrough is valid. This is somewhat lagging, and expectations should be anticipated in advance.
II. Conditions for Rolling Positions
1️⃣ In a trending market, 95% of the market is not suitable for rolling positions.
2️⃣ The core of rolling positions is position management and judgment of trends (breakthrough/reversal). Rolling positions must be accompanied by capital management and moving stop-loss strategies.
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Interest rates, exchange rates, and asset prices
##宏观经济 #交易 #BTC走势分析 #降息预期
A normal country is not a closed economy; foreign investment, international trade, and capital flows are major influences on that country.
1. What determines a country's asset prices?
Determined by profit and discount rate, where profit divided by discount rate is a macro concept. For companies, it refers to net profit or EPS, and the discount rate is the actual cost of funds, which can be represented by the real interest rate or simplistically considered as the nominal interest rate, similar to the PE concept.
2. In the absence of foreign investment interference.
A reduction in profits with the central bank still tightening policy is rather rare, but if we consider that the capital markets trade on expectations, then the US stock market at the end of 2018 was close to this situation—rising unemployment rate with the Federal Reserve still raising interest rates. If there are no special circumstances constraining the central bank's actions, it should enter a rate-cutting cycle to support economic growth.
A normal country is not a closed economy; foreign investment, international trade, and capital flows are major influences on that country.
1. What determines a country's asset prices?
Determined by profit and discount rate, where profit divided by discount rate is a macro concept. For companies, it refers to net profit or EPS, and the discount rate is the actual cost of funds, which can be represented by the real interest rate or simplistically considered as the nominal interest rate, similar to the PE concept.
2. In the absence of foreign investment interference.
A reduction in profits with the central bank still tightening policy is rather rare, but if we consider that the capital markets trade on expectations, then the US stock market at the end of 2018 was close to this situation—rising unemployment rate with the Federal Reserve still raising interest rates. If there are no special circumstances constraining the central bank's actions, it should enter a rate-cutting cycle to support economic growth.
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