雪糕战神

Subsequent Trend Analysis (Based on 15-Minute Chart)

Currently, BTC has officially broken through 100,000, and the trend rhythm is entering a new stage.

From the 15-minute chart, there has been continuous volume-driven upward movement, moving averages are diverging bullishly, and the SuperGuppy has fully expanded;

As long as the price does not break the previous high during pullbacks, and each time it dips the trading volume decreases, it indicates that the bullish control structure remains stable;

We may currently be entering a rhythm of "breakthrough—consolidation—further rise."

If the price can stabilize above the 99,800~100,000 range (i.e., the breakout area becomes support), it will be a great opportunity to confirm long positions on pullbacks, targeting the 102,000~104,000 range.

If it falls below 99,500 and a significant volume of bearish candles appears, we need to be cautious of short-term overbought correction risks.

My Strategy Update

Do not chase the high; wait for pullback confirmation signals;

If the pullback is shallow and stops falling quickly, I will attempt to enter long positions, with stop losses placed at the local previous low;

Only trade in the direction of the trend, with consistent direction and a patient rhythm.

The worst part of trading is not losing money, but knowing you were right yet missed the opportunity.

Execution and confidence are harder to train than technical skills.

Next time, I hope to not only see clearly but also hold on firmly.

Let's improve together.

【Ice Cream Learning Trading Review from 0】

Pretty good, just started learning trading and paid some tuition, naively thinking that the support was very strong, went long at 0.68 and set a stop loss at 0.65.

Chart 1:

Red trend line: The price has been declining all the way down, with a clear downward trend suppressing it.
Blue small box: The support area that I naively thought at the time, but it was breached shortly after.
Trading volume: When breaking below support, the volume clearly increased, and bearish sentiment was completely unleashed.

Previously, there was a brief sideways movement around 0.68, seemingly with support.
But as the bearish pressure intensified, the volume suddenly increased, directly breaking through.
Later, the price attempted to pull back but was weak in the upward attack, continuing to oscillate downward.

Now looking at Chart 2:

Here, two consecutive large bearish candles appeared, while trading volume quickly increased.
The first bearish candle broke through the previous small support consolidation area.
The second bearish candle continued to increase in volume, completely collapsing the local structure.

These two volumes + the bodies together formed the main driving force for this accelerated decline.

The entire journey is entirely consistent with typical bearish characteristics:

Increased volume down → Weak pullback → Continued decline.

This also confirms a simple but important understanding:

The market is always right; support is not an absolute wall, but a psychological line that can be breached.

Current market situation summary:

A clear increase in volume and decline previously, two large bearish candles breached support, with bears in control.

Then low-level oscillation, with overall trading volume shrinking (typical consolidation after a decline).

In the latest wave, from yesterday to now:

There have been consecutive small bullish candles + increased volume rebound (especially the last green bar, where volume significantly increased).

The rebound strength is stronger than in previous oscillations.

The current price is around 0.6543, starting to approach the upper edge of the previous small platform area.

✅ If the trend continues to be strong (for example, if it increases volume and stands above the 0.66-0.665 area):

It indicates that this rebound genuinely has funds entering,

It may challenge higher positions, such as retesting around 0.68 (previous support level, which may now become a resistance level).

✅ If the trend encounters resistance and falls back (especially if it can't break through and volume shrinks again):
Then this wave is just a weak rebound,

It is very likely to return to the oscillation area or even continue to explore new lows (for example, to touch 0.63, 0.62).

Cryptocurrency Market 30-Day Capital Flow Review: Sell-Off Peaks, Capital Flows Back, Where to Look Next?

In the past month, the cryptocurrency market experienced a shift in sentiment from panic selling to capital inflow. What trends are revealed by this wave of capital movement, which involved selling pressure, wait-and-see attitudes, and then testing the waters again? Who is retreating? Who is coming back? This article helps you quickly understand.

1. Early March: Largest Weekly Outflow of Bitcoin in History, Market Risk Aversion Hits Record High

In the first half of March, cryptocurrency investment products saw a net outflow of funds for five consecutive weeks, totaling approximately $6.4 billion, a historical high.

• Bitcoin saw a weekly outflow of $2.59 billion, a historical record

• Ethereum also recorded its largest weekly capital outflow (approximately $300 million)

• American investors were the main redeeming party, accounting for over 90%

With a major capital withdrawal, BTC dropped to $76,000, and ETH fell nearly 17% in a month. Risk aversion dominated the market.

2. Stablecoins Become Safe Haven, USDC Market Cap Hits New High

A large amount of capital did not fully exit but instead flowed into stablecoins as a “reserve”:

• USDC market cap surpassed $60 billion, doubling year-on-year

• USDT market cap was approximately $144 billion, maintaining the top position

• Total stablecoin market cap rose to $235 billion, over 60% year-on-year growth

• However, the balance of stablecoins on exchanges decreased, with funds remaining on-chain to wait and see

Off-market funds are poised to enter, waiting for suitable entry signals.

3. Late March: Capital Flows Back, Bitcoin Takes the Lead

In mid to late March, the market began to recover:

• The net inflow of investment products that week was $644 million

• BTC received significant capital inflow of $724 million

• ETH continued to see outflows ($86 million), while altcoins recovered slowly

By the end of the month, funds for ETH, Solana, Sui, and others gradually flowed back, and market sentiment warmed up. The funds did not “exit the circle” but instead rotated on-chain, seeking more cost-effective places.

The current market is in a “building momentum” phase; funds have not yet fully surged in, but layout signals have appeared.

What do you think about the upcoming direction? Will stablecoins suddenly enter? Can ETH keep up with the pace? Feel free to discuss in the comments section～
$BTC $ETH $SOL

It's that time again when everyone is most anxious, but there's really nothing to be anxious about.
Like today’s pnut and act, you only see 1% of people getting rich, and if you want to be that 1%, either you have a big brother pushing you forward or you have inside information; 99% of people are the norm in the crypto world. Those who say the community is paramount, don’t deceive yourselves. The Bitcoin ecosystem has a lot of people, right? But its market cap is low, with so many communities, has any of them ever been on bn?
Ask yourself honestly, even if someone pushes you forward, can you really just throw tens of thousands of u in directly? (You leverage, you’re right, I’m just scared of being cut because I was really naive once), most people will at most just buy a few hundred u and watch it go to zero, a few hundred here and a few hundred there; if you really bet on bn, even tenfold, it's just a few thousand u. After excluding those that go to zero, how much net profit can you actually have?
Don’t be anxious, don’t be anxious, don’t be anxious.
Learning to maintain your mindset is the most important wealth in this circle.

Is the raging bull coming? Is it still possible to farm? Is it too late to farm now?
Let me share my thoughts on the strategy for future farming.
First of all, in the current environment, it's definitely hard to find a project that isn't competitive, so my strategy is - don't miss out on heavily funded projects, and give full effort to projects with less funding that aren't competitive.
Below are several relatively competitive projects with good funding that I have organized; you can save them and take some time to prevent missing out.
1️⃣: Story Protocol
Story is definitely familiar; it's a billion-level funding project, and such funding is definitely competitive, but it must be done.
Odyssey will be released today, so prepare:
Faucet: http://faucet.quicknode.com/story/odyssey/
Requirements: Mainnet balance greater than 0.001e and a mainnet tx.
Join DC: http://discord.gg/pWN7CX3H to receive IP role.
2️⃣: Movement
This is a project that has been talked about many times; there are so many tasks that it can be overwhelming. However, for this level of funding, I personally suggest at least creating one account to check it out, otherwise you’ll only be able to watch when the airdrop comes.
Movement strategy - Google Sheets
Here is a strategy spreadsheet; many tasks ended at the end of October, but according to the mod in DC, there will still be 4,000 tasks, so keep an eye on it.
3️⃣: Bear Chain
Bear Chain V2 is not as competitive as expected due to the threshold for the faucet, and there is now a role that requires 6.9 test coins to purchase.
Faucet: https://bartio.faucet.berachain.com
Join DC: https://discord.com/invite/berachain…
Apply for a DC wallet address, and transfer test water to this DC wallet address.
In the # sybil-spam channel, send the deposit command “$deposit bera.”
If you see the message ‘we are temporarily out of Berachain bArtio BERA (BERA) deposit addresses. Please try again later,’ you'll need to wait a bit before applying again.
Purchase: in the sybil-spam channel---send “$store buy beratarded”---then click confirm.
4️⃣: SVM Public Chain
The three great swordsmen of SVM chain @EclipseFND @soon_svm @Terminaxyz
I haven't researched this chain very deeply; everyone can study it themselves.
In short, there are still many opportunities for farming; don’t miss out on the high funding hotspots, and many project teams will speed up their pace during a bull market! Especially for L1 projects, I hope everyone can farm big!