韭菜小懿

* Weekly Level: The price has effectively broken through and stabilized above the 111,600 level, confirming the **establishment of a medium-term upward trend**.
Key objectives and risks:
* Upper core target: 130,000.
* If the price can **effectively stabilize at 130,000**, it indicates strong upward momentum, with the next target pointing to **140,000**.
* If it **faces pressure and falls back without stabilizing** at the 130,000 level, there is a **higher probability of forming a phase top (“Bull Top”)** here. Multiple data dimensions need to be cautiously verified.
Medium-term strategy plan:
1. (Plan One: Pressure and Fall Back)
* Premise: The price touches 130,000 but **fails to effectively stabilize**, showing a clear fallback.
* Operation: Focus on the first support level below at **112,000**.
* Follow-up: After reaching 112,000, **closely observe price performance and stabilization signals** before deciding on subsequent strategies.
2. (Plan Two: Strong Breakthrough)
* Premise: The price **effectively breaks through and stabilizes at 130,000**.
* Operation: Given the potential for accelerated upward movement (to 140,000) but increased volatility risk, **it is advisable to wait and not chase highs**.
3. (Plan Three: Pullback to Buy)
* Premise: The price **actively pulls back from the current level or below 130,000** to near the key support of 112,000.
* Operation: **Look for stabilization signals to attempt to set up long positions**.
* Target: Holding target points to **around 130,000**.
Short-term trading strategy:
* Current support: The key short-term support level is at **118,000**.
* Operation suggestions:
* When the price **rebounds to around 123,000**, **look for technical resistance signals (such as stagnation, pattern resistance) to attempt light shorting**.
* Target: The downward target looks towards **around 120,000**.
* Risk control: **Be sure to set clear stop-losses** (for example, set at a reasonable position above 123,000) and closely monitor the strength of the 118,000 support. If the price strongly breaks through the 123,000 area, the short strategy will be invalidated. #BTC突破12万大关

$BTC ---

7.4 Bitcoin BTC Trading Strategy, Written Analysis
▶️ Weekly Level (W1)
Current Trend: No effective breakthrough has been formed, avoid blindly chasing long or short positions, further observation is needed to confirm direction.
▶️ Daily Level (D1)
Key Position: 108480 (must break down with a real entity to confirm the bearish trend).
If effectively broken:
Short-term Target: 105800
Next Support: 101800 (medium-term bearish target).
If not broken: may still maintain oscillation or rebound.
▶️ 4-hour Level (4H)
Short-term Watershed: 108500
Break below 108500: bearish to 105400.
Hold the support: may rebound, continue oscillating trend.
Operational Strategy
✅ Trend Following:
If breaking below 108480 (daily) or 108500 (4H), then short in line with the trend, target 105800-101800.
If support holds, then observe or take short-term low long positions, avoid counter-trend operations.
Risk Management:
⚠️ Strict Stop Loss: Exit promptly if the direction is wrong, do not hold the position.
⚠️ Wait for Confirmation: Do not bet in advance, only make high-probability trades.
⚠️ Follow the Trend: Do not speculate subjectively before the market confirms direction.
⚠️ Long-term Compound Interest: Do not pursue single transaction windfalls, but aim for stable profits + strict risk control.
⚠️ Cognitive Adjustment: Acknowledge mistakes and stop losses, avoid emotional trading.
(Personal opinion, not investment advice) #btc

#btc
Weekly Level (W1)
Bearish expectations remain unchanged
Current market structure still favors bears
Daily Level (D1)
Key resistance level: 108318
Trading strategy: As long as the price does not effectively break through this resistance level, maintain a bearish outlook
Current judgment: The current price area may form a temporary top
4-Hour Level (4H)
Resonates with the daily outlook
Observation points: The highs of the last two K-lines are effectively suppressing
Trading signal: If the price cannot break through the previous high, then the bearish logic holds
Comprehensive analysis conclusion:
Technical basis:
Multiple timeframes show consistent bearish signals
Key resistance level has not been broken
High suppression pattern is effective
Trading strategy:
Maintain a bearish direction
Risk control: Use the area above the key resistance level as a stop-loss reference
Target expectation: Specific downside space needs to be confirmed in conjunction with the daily closing pattern
Risk warning:
Be cautious of the possibility of the price breaking through the key resistance level
The daily closing pattern will determine the intensity of the bearish momentum

Market analysis on June 23, 2025, personal views do not constitute investment advice
w1
Objective; the bearish structure has not changed, looking at 97000 below the weekly line. Unless the high point is touched, the market will make new highs.
Subjective; unless the high point is touched, the market will make new highs. If not touched, the bearish outlook remains unchanged.
D1
Objective; the daily line closes positive and stays near 1060, the market has not broken through 1060, looking back at 1037-1027.
Subjective; in conjunction with the weekly line, it is necessary to pay attention to 98200 breaking down again to confirm continued decline. If it does not decline, look for a retest.
4h
Objective; below 106 is bearish, above 106 is where to hold for a continued bullish trend. Below bearish, pay attention to 104~1038.
Subjective; if the market breaks below 1027 and stays there, it will revert to a continued bearish trend. #加密市场反弹 #鲍威尔半年度货币政策证词

2025/6/22 Market Analysis Personal Opinion, not Investment Advice
d1
If it closes with a bearish candle, the objective facts cannot change the subsequent preparation for a bearish market.
w1
Objective; if it breaks below 1015, the next target is 98, if it breaks above 1033, theoretically it’s 1062.
Subjective; the bearish structure is forming, waiting for a breakdown to look at the next position at 983.
4h
Objective; the rebound is weak at p, and if it doesn’t hold above in the next two hours, continue to look at 101260.
Subjective; if it breaks below 103800, it will reach waterfall levels, which could see Bitcoin return to the 97-98 range, continuing to drop into the five-digit range.
1h
Objective; currently, pay attention to 103000 on the upside and 101400 on the downside.
Subjective; the longer it moves sideways, the greater the downward pressure will be.

Summary; the current bearish outlook has not changed, you can review my previous daily reports or videos to see $BTC $ETH .