交易员小蒋

#SEC推迟多个现货ETF审批 4.30 Morning Market Overview: $BTC
Continuing to close with a doji at high levels, the market is primarily oscillating upwards during the day.
Bitcoin is oscillating narrowly within the small range of 94-95.5, with strong support at 94.1-94 below, while 92.7 remains effective as daily support; above, there is minor resistance at 95 and the final exit point for long positions at 95.5.
Now that it's clear, the intraday trading strategy is out; position long orders within 94.1-94 on the left side, protecting at 92.7; targets are around 94.7 and 95.5; on the right side, wait for a pullback to 94.1-94 without breaking to enter long positions, or if it breaks down and then rebounds, enter long positions; for short positions, sell high at 95, protecting at 95.7, with targets around 94 and 93.5; on the right side, wait for a breakthrough at 95.5 and then a drop to enter short positions, protecting at the breakout high.
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#阿布扎比稳定币 4.29 Evening Market Overview: Are you keeping up with ETH?
Last night, those who ambushed long positions on the left side made a great profit; last night, the daily support at 1776 and the 0.618 level at 1779.92 were areas where left-side ambush long positions were entered, with an additional buy at 1759 and a wide defense at 1737; knowing that ETH would be volatile last night, a wide defense was specifically set up, otherwise, it would have been taken out. The price precisely reached 1820, with 70% of the remaining position ensuring a break-even defense. If you're worried about profit retracement, you can exit at market price anytime, while holding the remaining position to see around 1850.
Today's trading strategy remains unchanged, continuing with high short and low buy, mainly observing the middle position without opening positions, waiting for a pullback to the lower support to enter long positions, while still maintaining the long positions; ambushing high shorts at 1845, adding to positions at 1861, with a defense at 1872.68, targeting around 1800 and 1776, waiting for ETH to break out of this range to form a bullish pattern.
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#特朗普税改 4.28 Evening Market Overview: ETH is still weak
BTC has quickly stabilized from 76 to now 95, while ETH hasn't even stabilized at 1800, truly confirming the saying that buying ETH is not a good idea, it's even worse than a '土狗' (underdog); On May 7th, Ethereum's upgrade will be confirmed, if it can't push above 2000 by then, this thousand-year-old second place may step aside and give way
If it can't hold 1800 here, it will still test the previous low of around 1759 again; The trading strategy is to enter long positions at the daily support of 1776 and the 0.618 level of 1779.92, with an additional buy at 1759, wide stop at 1737, targets at 1820 and 1845; Short positions are still set at 1816, add at 1845, stop at 1872, target around 1800
A '赛福' (SIFO) pattern has appeared on the chart, predicting that point D will land at 1844.91, which will form a reversal; This also indicates that ETH will have a small rebound, so we choose to enter at the two support points below, waiting for a rebound, then there may be another chance to short; The pattern may not necessarily play out, but the trading strategy remains unchanged, and the harmonic SIFO pattern just further solidifies my strategy
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#空投发现指南 4.28 Market Overview: Binance Wallet TGE Phase 13 MILK
Subscription Time: April 29, 2025, 4:00 PM - 6 PM (UTC+8)
Subscription Qualification: Tentatively to be announced tomorrow afternoon; expected Alpha score between 75-80 points
BNB is moving towards a converging triangle, with opportunities for both long and short positions; placing a short order on the left side at 607.51, defending at 610.28; targets at 598.67 and 594.58; for a pullback near the lower trend line around 598.33, enter long positions, defending at 594.58, target at 606.38
Tomorrow may welcome the last TGE of the month; after the Alpha score is announced tomorrow, BNB is expected to see a surge, as eligible participants need BNB to participate in new offerings, either holding inventory BNB or buying immediately or through on-chain staking and lending; hence, it is preferable to enter long positions near the trend line on a pullback
The spot market remains unchanged, enter in batches below 550; it's not that BNB cannot be bought now, but BNB below 550 offers better value for money; if you hold BNB, are you capitalizing on it?
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#XRPETF 4.28: Monday Morning Market Overview: Is Bitcoin retracing into a Bat Pattern?
Bitcoin opened with an upper shadow and a bearish candle, continuing to pull back intraday, after seven consecutive bullish days. Now a healthy correction begins as the market demands increased liquidity, welcoming everyone aboard.
92.8 is the daily support level; if it breaks below, we will go to the next daily support at 91.1. Just now, it spiked and returned to 92.8; if it can stabilize around 92.8 and move sideways, then the market can continue to rise to new heights; otherwise, Bitcoin will start a new round of retracement and may test again.
Intraday, we are still waiting to place orders on the right side. If it pulls back to 92.8 and doesn't break, we can open long positions, or if it pulls back and breaks below, we can enter long positions once it recovers above support, with a stop-loss set at the break level, targeting 94.597 and around 95.7; for left-side ambush long positions, the bat point is 92, with a stop-loss at the previous low of 91.6, and the target remains unchanged; conversely, for short positions, if it breaks the daily support without a pullback, we can enter short positions, with a stop-loss at 94 and a target around 91.1.
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4.27: Market Overview: $ETH Long and Short Both Profitable, Are You Keeping Up?
Yesterday afternoon's post mentioned the entry points for long and short positions. As expected, Ethereum retraced to 1776 last night, allowing us to get on board smoothly. This morning at 8 AM, we perfectly hit the T1 target of 816 and T2 target of 1850, with a maximum of 1857, capturing a total of 74 points.
The short position was also ambushed on the left at 1825, adding to the position at 1850. Just now, the T1 target was also successfully achieved, allowing the remaining position to let profits run towards the T2 target, while setting a break-even defense. Both long and short positions profited, with a comfortable back-and-forth of over 100 points.
Looking at the ascending wedge structure of Ethereum, the high points are rising and the low points are also increasing. We will ambush long positions near the trend line around 1791, adding to the position at 1776, with a defense at 1759, targeting around 1824 and 1850; alternatively, we can enter long positions on the right upon a trend line retracement and a break, with a defense at the breakout point; for high shorts, ambush at 1856-1860, with a defense at 1872, targeting around 1800.
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#特朗普暂停新关税 4.26 Weekend Market Overview: ETH Takes Advantage to Surge
While everyone is preparing to rest or go out with family and kids during the weekend, ETH took the opportunity to surge significantly, catching the bears off guard, and also completing the right shoulder lift of the W-bottom double bottom pattern.
The bullish structure of ETH remains unchanged, with 1800 being a strong support and also a point of support-resistance switch. If it consolidates or retraces without breaking below this level, it still looks bullish. However, the conditions for placing trades are not mature. The resistance above at the 1815-1820 range has significant selling pressure, and around 1830, the trend line restricts profit space; only if it continues to retrace to the daily support near 1776 can one enter long positions, waiting for a pullback to enter on the right side; for high shorts, ambush at 1825 for additional positions at 1850, with a stop-loss at 1872 and a target near 1800.
Yesterday, ETH spot ETF had a net inflow of 58,850 units, with both BlackRock and Fidelity seeing large inflows; 24H total liquidations across the network reached 271 million USD, with long positions at 94 million and short positions at 176 million, with a major explosion in long positions.
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#以太坊的未来 4.26 Weekend Morning Market Overview: BTC 7 Consecutive Gains
Bitcoin formed a doji candlestick this morning, marking a continuous 7-day gain
Bitcoin is currently consolidating around 95; if this consolidation leads to a drop, then next week we may continue to rise and look forward; the market still shows a bullish structure for Bitcoin, with support levels widely agreed upon below, but there is some pressure at the breakout point, requiring time to absorb the selling pressure above.
For long positions, wait for a pullback to the daily support at 92.79, you can directly set a buy limit at 92.79 on the left side, with a wide stop loss at 91.6, around 1000 points, targeting 94.1 and near 95; for right-side trades, wait for a pullback that doesn't break below or a pullback that comes back up to enter long positions; there is no clear target for short positions at the moment, as yesterday's spikes haven't stabilized with an actual candlestick; waiting for the market to test multiple times; if you can't resist, you can enter a light short position near 95, with a stop loss at the new high of 95769, targeting to exit near 0.618 at 93204.
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#加密市场反弹 4.24 Morning Market Overview: Bitcoin closes with a high position doji, intraday downtrend is the main focus
Currently, Bitcoin is in a narrow range oscillation between the daily support of 92.79 and 94.1, with last night's highest spike at 94.9 quickly retracting down to 91.9 before starting to rebound; the morning post yesterday also mentioned that retesting the daily support is the best and most preferred option. Since the spike has retracted, you should boldly enter long positions on the right side.
Today, you can still wait for a right-side retest near 92.79 without breaking support to enter long positions, or wait for a breakdown and then a pullback to enter long positions in line with the trend. Protect at the previous low of 91.9 with targets at 94.1-94.4; for short positions, wait for a breakout above 94.1, then a pullback and breakdown to enter short positions with protection at 94.9 and targets near 92.79; intraday profits for both long and short positions are not significant, around 1300 points, feel free to choose as practice.
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4.22 Evening Market Overview: $ETH is eye-catching
ETH is making a strong move; when it's weak, it's weaker than anyone else, but when it gains strength, it can rival Bitcoin; last night, short positions were stopped out defensively. I believe many people shorting ETH were stopped out defensively, and getting stopped out when setting up a position is quite normal. Holding onto positions has always been something I personally do not advocate, although sometimes it can work out, what if it doesn't? Unless you have an infinite supply of joy beans and are continually adding to your position
Actually, I mentioned in the post the day before yesterday that if ETH breaks above 1684, it will reach 1759 directly, because previously it dropped down with a vertical bearish candle; as long as it holds above 1654, it is indeed a vacuum zone. Perhaps I was very tired last night and didn't think much. I just continued to consolidate around 1654 and decided to place a short position to sleep, but ended up getting stopped out defensively.
Now looking at Ethereum, the resistance above is around 1820, and the trend line resonance point is at 1850. Positions should be set up around these two levels for shorts; 1776.94 is a previous support level, and looking at today, the two 4H pullbacks both stopped falling here, which indicates there is demand for support. We can wait for the right side to pull back here again without breaking, and enter long positions, defending at 1759, with a target around 1815 and 1850; conversely, if it pulls back and breaks without a retracement, then we can enter short positions, defending at 1799.46, with targets at 1684 and 1654, which are currently around the 0.618 range.

#Strategy增持比特币 4.23 Morning Market Overview: Is BTC Leading the Return of the Altcoin Bull Market?
Bitcoin opened with a solid bullish candlestick this morning, marking a four-day consecutive rise on the daily chart, with horizontal movement expected during the day.
Yesterday, Bitcoin rebounded strongly, directly surging 7000 points to a high of 94.1, making it feel like a major bull market is back, reigniting everyone's enthusiasm; it has now retraced to the daily support and resistance switching level at 92.7. As long as it does not drop below 92.7, the bullish structure remains intact; fluctuations during the day are expected to be minor, primarily horizontal, with some direction expected in the afternoon as foreigners wake up and the US stock market opens.
Chasing the long position feels a bit impulsive; it’s better to wait for a pullback to enter at 88.5 or 87.8, which is the 0.618 golden entry point, after all, the market needs to digest the sudden 7000-point rise; if the 4-hour chart breaks below the 92.7 daily support, one can enter a short position for protection at 94.1, targeting 91.3 and 88.5.
Yesterday, there was a net inflow of 8220 BTC in the spot ETF, creating the largest single-day net inflow in nearly three months; apart from BlackRock, BRRR, and BTCW, the remaining 8 institutions all had net inflows; this indicates that the market is starting to warm up, and everyone is beginning to take action.
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#中美贸易关系 4.21 Monday Market Overview: Is ETH rising with the trend or is it really being pumped?
The ETH mainnet upgrade has been confirmed for 5.7, which is about half a month away from now. The big players should take advantage of this momentum to pump the price to reassure holders; if it continues to be sluggish, holders will really need to change positions. Currently, ETH has temporarily been replaced by SOL, and if there’s no pump soon, it will really be over.
ETH has been trading around 1564 for several days, repeatedly bouncing back every time it tests this level; you should consider this as the first choice for entering long positions. This morning, as Bitcoin surged strongly, ETH also followed suit and shot up to 1658; if you entered at 1564, you would have gained a solid 94 points. If the price breaks above 1614 with a strong bullish candle, you could also gain around 40 points on that long position. Of course, this is all hindsight, but I emphasize these key levels every day, and you should enter based on where the price reaches on either side.
Currently, the market is facing a major resistance at 1684. If it breaks above 1684, you can enter long positions, targeting 1759 and defending at 1654; the range of 1684-1759 can be aggressively traded because last time it dropped with a vertical bearish candle, it will likely rise with a vertical bullish candle as well. For short positions, you might consider ambushing between 1759-1799. Conversely, if there’s another chance to test 1564-1556, you can still consider entering long, defending at 1537 with targets at 1614 and 1654. On the right side, wait for multiple tests of 1614; if it doesn’t break down, you can enter long positions with the trend.
In summary: Execute strategies where the market goes first.
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#加密市场反弹 4.21 Monday Market Overview: A Piercing Arrow BTC Breaks Through the Gloom
The major coin opened with a hammer candlestick this morning, signaling the start of an upward structure; the major coin began a very strong rebound near the trend line at 83.9 after a pullback yesterday, and has since continuously broken through multiple resistances, reaching a high of 87.6; currently, it is not advisable to chase long positions or short positions as the market is unstable and lacks clear signals; today's sudden rise may still be due to MicroStrategy and several institutions buying the major coin, resulting in a surge.
The major coin's rise today and its continuous breakthrough of multiple resistances is indeed unexpected, with its strong performance showcasing the major coin's potential; minor resistance levels are at 87.6 and above at 88.5. If 88.5 stabilizes, the market is likely to experience a reversal back to the 90K mark; however, since there is a divergence in volume and price on the daily chart, we will continue to observe without rushing into this moment.
Left-side short positions can be prepared near 88.5, with a stop at 89.2, targeting 86.5 and 85.8; alternatively, wait for a right-side breakout and a pullback below 88.5 to enter short positions; for long positions, it is advisable to wait for a pullback; I personally do not recommend chasing longs at this moment; after multiple confirmations of support at 86.5 on the 4-hour chart, one can enter with a stop at 85.8, targeting 88.5 and 90.
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#特朗普施压鲍威尔

4.20 Weekend Morning Market Overview: BTC Breaks Through 85 and Moves Upward
The Bitcoin just closed as a bullish candlestick with an upper shadow, closing price stable at 85. It is expected to move upward during the day, and there may be a surge in the evening. After all, there has been enough time for accumulation at 85 to break upward, seeking a new high point in this phase.
Bitcoin is forming an ascending triangle, with resistance at 85.8 and 86.5; the range of 83.5-85 has already been completed, and now it is in the 85-86.5 range for a rise. If the 4-hour chart stabilizes above 85, it is not recommended to chase long positions, as the resistance at 85.8 is still quite strong and the profit point is not sufficient. There may be an opportunity to retrace near the trend line or to pull back and then resume upward for a right-side long position; short positions can be attempted with light volume at 85.8, with additional positions at 86.5 and a stop loss at 87.3 with a target near 85.
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#加密市场季度观察 4.19 Weekend Market Overview: BTC Mainly Sideways
Bitcoin opened this morning with small upper and lower shadows and a small real body bearish candle, mainly trading sideways with narrow fluctuations during the day.
Bitcoin is fluctuating in a narrow range of 84.2-85. In this kind of low volatility and low volume market, it is advisable to refrain from making trades, and there is no need to open positions; instead, take the time to rest, learn, and improve your understanding.
The upward resistance for Bitcoin is at 85; only after breaking through and stabilizing can we look at 85.8, 86.5, and 88.5. At that point, wait for the breakout to go long or set up a short position on the left side; the small support below is at 84.2, 83.5, and 83, where you can also set up a low long position on the left side. If it breaks and retests 85, falling below it, you can enter a short position in line with the trend, or if you are aggressive on the left side, directly set up a short position at 85. The trading strategy remains the same as in previous days; whatever level we reach, we will implement the corresponding strategy.
Yesterday the U.S. stock market was closed, with no ETF spot inflows. On the 17th, 1270 Bitcoin flowed in, and BlackRock has seen net inflows for four consecutive days, but the bearish sentiment for Bitcoin remains high, which is also the reason why Bitcoin has been consolidating in this range.
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#止损策略 4. Morning Market Overview on April 18: US stock market closed for Good Friday, Bitcoin continues to fluctuate
Bitcoin closed this morning with a large bullish candlestick, continuing to oscillate upwards during the day; yesterday's candlestick pattern showed a bullish piercing, and during the day it also opened low and closed high, completing a bullish formation
Tonight, the US stock market will be closed to commemorate Good Friday, so the market may not have much fluctuation over the next three days. Although today closed with a large bullish candlestick with upper and lower shadows, it still completed a higher bottom, and buying on dips is still advisable
85 remains a strong resistance, multiple touches have led to pullbacks. On the left side, you can choose to short at 85.4-85.8 with a stop at 86.5, targeting 83.8 and 83; on the right side, wait for a breakthrough of 85 and then short on the pullback
83-83.5-83.7 are all valid entry points for long positions below. On the left side, you can choose three points to ambush for long positions, targeting 85 and 85.8; on the right side, you can wait for a pullback to the support level and then enter long positions
The range of 83-85.8 has clear and orderly candlesticks; as long as it does not break or exceed, trading within this range remains effective; this range has been oscillating for three days. If you catch each fluctuation, you should have gained at least 10,000 points. If you haven't caught it, that's okay, just continue to wait. While it may be uncomfortable to miss out, it is safer, and you should also consider whether it is suitable to trade
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#鲍威尔发言 4. 17 Market Overview: Binance Launchpool Phase 68 Airdrop INIT
Did not wait for IDO, but welcomed the Phase 68 mining new initiative INIT. Starting tomorrow morning at 8 AM, just put BNB into financial management and deposit FDUSD and USDC into the mining pool to receive the airdrop of INIT, lasting for 6 days; holding BNB will definitely allow for multiple benefits, with weekly rewards abundant.
BNB is moving in a descending wedge pattern, if it stabilizes at 584 on the 4H chart, it will return to 600; the mining announcement has been released, and the market will see a surge. If it stabilizes at 584 on the 4H chart, enter long positions directly, with a stop loss at 580.67, and targets at 591.13 and 597.69; alternatively, wait for a pullback to the trend line around 573 to enter long positions, with a stop loss at 566.17, and targets at 579.22 and 587.36.
Last time I suggested everyone buy BNB around 546, it was also sold near 580 in the short term; so now let's continue to wait for a pullback below 550 to buy in batches. It's not that we shouldn't buy BNB now, but BNB below 550 offers better cost-effectiveness; for the long term, just continue with financial management and enjoy multiple benefits.
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#保护你的资产 4. Morning Market Overview on 16: Powell remains hawkish, don’t expect the Fed to step in to save the market
Bitcoin opened with upper and lower shadows forming a solid bullish candlestick, appearing as a penetrating bullish pattern compared to yesterday, with Japan oscillating upwards.
In the early morning, Powell delivered a speech: don’t expect the Fed to step in to save the market, Trump is changing every day, and the market is digesting the current declines in the stock market and U.S. Treasury yields; immediately after this, Bitcoin started to plunge rapidly, and by market close, the Dow fell by 1.73%, Nasdaq by 3.07%, and S&P 500 by 2.24%.
Everyone should have benefitted from yesterday's long positions, as Bitcoin repeatedly tested the daily support around 83 and then rebounded; for now, this is a temporary bottom; the target of 85 was also reached, peaking at 85.4, with the remaining position hedged at 85.8-86.4; the trading strategy remains unchanged, with a long entry around 83.2 for protection at 83 targeting 85, or entering long on a right-side breakout above 83.5; for high shorts, still choose to enter in batches between 85.8-86.5, with protection at 87.2, targeting 85.
Trading is actually very simple - execute according to strategy, dare to open positions, and even more so to defend; it’s better to make mistakes than to be afraid of trying; trading is itself a process of constant trial and error, followed by corrections and summarizing experiences.
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#加拿大推出SolanaETF
Can ETH Golden Dog PEPE continue to shine?
The United States wants to increase tariffs on China by up to 245%, and Trump basically doesn't want peaceful dialogue between China and the US anymore; however, everyone should also have some immunity, as the increases don't really matter, the Hainan Consumer Expo still allows foreigners to import Chinese technology products.
Boss Powell will speak at 1 AM tomorrow, and the market is currently volatile. Powell's speech may cause fluctuations, so if you can avoid it, better do so.
As the most brilliant MEME on the Ethereum chain, PEPE is also struggling now; if ETH can't rise, how can PEPE do well?
PEPE is forming a descending wedge, with upper resistance at 0.734 and 0.772, currently consolidating around 0.618 in this range. If it can't drop further, there might be a rebound; lower support is at 0.696 and 0.65, and spot trading can enter at 0.65-0.642, buying more if it drops 10%.

#加拿大推出SolanaETF
Can ETH Golden Dog PEPE continue to shine?
The U.S. is looking to increase tariffs on China by up to 245%, and Trump basically doesn't want peaceful dialogue between China and the U.S.; however, everyone should also have immunity to it, as the constant increases are no longer significant. The Hainan Consumer Expo still sees foreigners importing China's technology products.
Boss Powell will speak at 1 AM tomorrow. The current market is volatile, and Powell's speech may cause fluctuations, so it might be best to avoid it if possible.
As the most glorious MEME on the Ethereum chain, PEPE is now also struggling. If ETH can't rise, how can PEPE do well?
PEPE is forming a descending wedge, with resistance at 0.734 and 0.772. It is currently consolidating near the 0.618 level in this range. If it can't drop further, it may rebound; support is at 0.696 and 0.65. Spot trading can enter around 0.65-0.642, and if it drops 10%, then add more positions.