安寿的财经世界

23 wins and 22 losses, the ETH that was predicted to rise to 2150 the day before yesterday has suddenly increased, just asking if you are impressive or not. Buying the dip in times of fear, those who followed can secure a 30% profit now. The rest should move up the stop-loss to protect the principal loss, let's continue to pay attention to how it goes next.

22 wins out of 21 matches, the 23rd order, current price 2150 to go long on ETH, stop loss at 2076, take profit at 2620. This is our first long-term order. Recently, the sharp decline was caused by Trump's tariff increases and the impact of U.S. Treasury bonds. However, the long-term ceasefire in the Russia-Ukraine war and Trump's reforms in the U.S. will inevitably bring a wave of positive news. The current drop is laying a solid foundation for the rise, but this is not the last big drop. Therefore, a medium to long-term approach is advisable. The PCE data meeting expectations is a positive signal, and bulls will rebound. The market cannot continue to move in one direction; it will inevitably be accompanied by continuous liquidation.

February 15, 2025 Cryptocurrency News Brief: Politician Coin Launches Cause Turmoil, Traditional Institutions Enter
1. Politician Coin Launches Spark New Controversy: Argentina's LIBRA Coin 'Flash Crash' Reveals Regulatory Vacuum
Argentina's President Milei has followed Trump's lead in issuing the LIBRA token, causing severe market fluctuations yesterday. The token saw a market cap plummet from $4.6 billion to $590 million within hours of the president's official tweet, a drop of over 87%. On-chain data shows that three insider addresses positioned themselves before the tweet, cashing out $20.18 million, while the team profited $107 million through liquidity pool manipulation. Milei later deleted the tweet, claiming he 'did not participate in the project,' and was mocked by the community as a 'national-level scam.'
Sharp Commentary: Political endorsements are becoming a new type of risk in the crypto market. The LIBRA incident has severely impacted retail investors and has led to losses exceeding $2 million for Solana ecosystem developers and institutional investors, exposing the conflict between the ideal of 'decentralization' and the realities of power.

2. Traditional Financial Institutions Accelerate Entry: Custody Services Become New Battleground
- Citigroup announced it is exploring cryptocurrency custody services, and State Street plans to launch a digital asset custody solution in 2026, marking further infiltration of traditional financial giants into the crypto infrastructure space.
- Market Interpretation: The expansion of custody services may drive institutional capital into the market, but the debate over centralized custody versus crypto-native ideals remains contentious.

3. Regulatory Dynamics and Industry Trends
1. Compliance Process: The U.S. Treasury Department has recently signaled that it may incorporate Bitcoin into a 'gold-like' reserve asset framework, promoting long-term bullish expectations.
2. Risk Warning: The China Academy of Information and Communications Technology has initiated the localization adaptation assessment of the DeepSeek model, emphasizing the need to prevent algorithmic manipulation of market risks in the integration of AI and blockchain.

Conclusion
Yesterday's cryptocurrency market showcased a 'magical realism' drama: the president's scythe harvests global investors, traditional banks scramble for custody profits, and retail investors search for a foundation of faith amid volatility. When political speculation intertwines with financial revolution, the only certainty may be that Bitcoin's underlying code is more trustworthy than the president's promises.

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Argentinian President Imitates Trump with 'Currency Issuance to Save the Country', A 'Feast of Politicians and Capital' for Retail Investors
From 'Presidential-level Scythe' to 'Retail Investors' Graveyard': The Cutting Method of LIBRA Surpasses TRUMP
Argentinian President Milei's LIBRA Coin, an 'evolution' of TRUMP Coin. TRUMP Coin at least lasted a few days before plummeting 80%, while LIBRA Coin completed the classic three-step process of 'Pump-Dump-Zero' in just a few hours, with its market value shrinking from $4.6 billion to $590 million, making it a 'Lightning Harvester'. Ironically, Milei deleted tweets and shifted blame, claiming he 'did not understand the project'.
2. Decoding the Standardized Process of 'Presidential-level Currency Issuance'
Step One: Riding on National Narratives. TRUMP played the 'America First' card, while LIBRA was packaged as a 'Plan to Revitalize the Argentinian Economy', but in reality, there wasn't even a white paper. Step Two: Insider Trading Strikes
TRUMP Coin had a mysterious wallet that bought in $5.9 million in the first minute; LIBRA was even harsher—three addresses had ammunition prepared hours before the presidential tweet was posted, with tweets sent out and bought instantly, accurately harvesting $20.18 million. Step Three: Liquidity Trap. The liquidity pool for LIBRA was only $45 million, yet it supported a market value of billions, with the team cashing out $107 million through the three maneuvers of 'Adding Liquidity - Removing Liquidity - Collecting Trading Fees', making it a textbook-level siphoning operation. 3. Why is 'Presidential Currency Issuance' More Dangerous Than Low-quality Projects?
- Dimensional Attack on Trust Endorsement
Ordinary low-quality projects might only post a photo with Elon Musk; the presidential account personally tweets the contract address, paired with dual-platform verification on Instagram, directly breaking through retail investors' psychological defenses—surely, the President of the country can't be lying, right?
- Systemic Risk Spillover
TRUMP Coin's crash dragged Bitcoin down by 6%, while the LIBRA incident caused losses of $2 million for institutional players like Solana ecosystem developer @tonykebot.
Legal Harvesting in a Regulatory Vacuum
The Trump family was reported to hold 80% of TRUMP tokens, and Milei's team cashed out over $100 million without accountability.
4. How to Identify 'Presidential-level Low-quality Projects'?
- Check Address Association. *If the token contract deployment time is earlier than the presidential announcement (like LIBRA), or if the team wallet has on-chain interactions with politically associated parties, blacklist them directly.
- Look at Liquidity Structure
Projects with a market value/liquidity ratio exceeding 100 times (LIBRA at 131 times) and over 80% of the tokens held by the top ten addresses (TRUMP’s top ten held 89%) are essentially highly controlled gambling operations.

Zhao Changpeng's tweets ignite the Binance Chain Meme Coin craze
On February 14, 2025, Binance founder Zhao Changpeng (Cz) sent three mysterious tweets on Tuesday night, triggering a nuclear explosion-level chain reaction in the crypto market.
According to CoinMarketCap data, as of 10 a.m. today, Binance's native token BNB exceeded $730, with a 24-hour increase of 18.3%. The total market value of Meme coins on the BSC chain surged 183% in a single day. This capital storm triggered by the industry leader is rewriting the narrative rules of the crypto market.
The core context of the event, the timeline of the butterfly effect of tweets:
February 11 23:17: Cz released a tweet "Exploring the New Human World of BSC Ecosystem", with a blurred dog paw print pattern
February 12 03:45: On-chain monitoring shows that a whale has deployed 30 Meme coin contracts containing "CZ" and "BSC" fields in BSC
•February 13 09:02: CZ liked the tweet related to "BSC Meme Developer Competition"
•February 14 00:00: BSC chain gas fee peak exceeded 1500gwei
In-depth analysis of market reactions
1. Industry warning faction: The sword of Damocles of supervision
"We need to be wary of the regulatory risks of the celebrity effect." Zhang Weiren, former consultant of the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission, reminded, "According to the US SEC The "Celebrity Crypto Asset Guidelines" released in 2024, Zhao Changpeng, as the former CEO of Binance, his tweets may be identified as market manipulation of unregistered securities, refer to the $4.3 billion settlement case in No. 5, compliance is still a sword hanging over the head. "

A panoramic scan of ecological impact

1. Technological evolution

BSC test network has deployed the "Meme Coin Risk Control Module", which can automatically identify Pixiu disk contracts

Chainlink announced that it will provide customized oracle services for BSC Meme coins

2. Capital migration

Grayscale Investments applied for registration of [BSC Meme Theme ETF]

Future trend analysis

Short-term warning (1-7 days)

The market may face a "liquidity siphon effect", BTC. "The net outflow of mining TH funds continues to expand, capital profit-taking, and the remaining retail investors take over

Medium-term outlook

BSC may launch a "Meme Coin Compliance Issuance Framework", refer to Cz's technical construction proposition in No. 4

•A-driven Meme Factory will subvert the existing issuance model, according to the dynamic speculation of a16z in No. 9
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22 wins out of 21 matches, with a single order of 2620 reaching a maximum of 300 points, now at 2805, gaining around 200 points can be fully cashed out. As mentioned yesterday, when it drops, you need to buy the dip; a drop is just the market maker collecting chips. On the news front, Trump is also deliberately crashing the market and then releasing good news, it's too despicable. But how can you expect the market maker to be kind? The crypto market has risks, and operations must be cautious.
#加密市场反弹 #美国加征关税 #比特币四年周期将改变？ $BTC $ETH $XRP

21 wins in 22 games, the record can be checked, and each order has a record. Why don't you keep up? Go long at 2620. Currently, 2720 has already won 100 points. The first order of the new year has a good start. If there is a big drop, you must buy the bottom. On the news, Trump has also postponed the tariffs on Mexico. Don't be afraid. The current idea is to buy low and sell high, and wait for a batch of copycat ETFs to bring a bull market.
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Order 22, long ETH at current price 2620, buy at the bottom after the big drop, first day of work after the new year, lead everyone to believe in #加密市场回调 #美国加征关税 #比特币四年周期将改变？ $BTC $ETH $XRP

The United States does not rule out the possibility of a rate cut in March, and the Bank of Japan is very likely to raise interest rates in January. Important news on January 17
1. U.S. retail sales in December were lower than expected month-on-month. The Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index in January was 44.3, a record high since April 2021, with the largest monthly increase in four and a half years. The number of Americans who applied for unemployment benefits for the first time last week was 217,000, higher than expected. Waller, a popular Fed director: The possibility of a rate cut in March is not ruled out. If the data cooperates, there may be 3-4 rate cuts this year. Traders' expectations for the Fed's rate cuts have increased. U.S. Treasury Secretary nominee Bensont: Not extending tax cuts will face "economic disasters" and supports increasing sanctions against Russia. Trump's policies will not push up inflation. It is crucial to ensure the dollar's global reserve currency status. The Federal Reserve should be independent and willing to work with Trump and lawmakers to cancel the debt ceiling and will not let the U.S. debt default.
2. The report said that unless Trump causes market chaos, the Bank of Japan is likely to raise interest rates in January, and the yen will rise in the short term! Bank of Japan officials believe that Japan's economy and inflation are in line with their expectations and support them in achieving their 2% inflation target. Officials were also encouraged by signs of wage growth and expected solid results from the annual spring wage talks, which could support rate hikes.

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Two major positives: Core CPI lower than expected, ceasefire in Gaza Strip, important news on January 17
1. The U.S. CPI data is out, showing further signs of cooling inflation. The core CPI in the U.S. in December increased by 3.2% year-on-year, lower than the previous month's level and also below the market expectation of 3.3%. In terms of overall CPI, the overall CPI in December rose by 0.4% month-on-month, slightly above the market expectation of 0.3%. Year-on-year, the overall CPI increased by 2.9%, in line with expectations. Analysts say the market is comforted by the fact that inflation indicators have been slightly below expectations for two consecutive days, with PPI on Tuesday and CPI on Wednesday. Most importantly, today’s CPI data eliminates the possibility of further interest rate hikes, while some market participants had prematurely started pricing in rate increases. Following the CPI report, the U.S. dollar index and the yield on 10-year U.S. Treasuries both fell, with the 10-year Treasury yield briefly dropping 15 basis points to 4.64%, and Bitcoin returning to $100,000.
2. Israeli officials confirmed that Israel and the Palestinian resistance movement (Hamas) have reached an agreement on a ceasefire in the Gaza Strip and the issue of hostages. An Arab official added that an announcement is expected to be made in the coming hours.
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Attention Attention Tonight at 21:30 the US CPI data will be released, will it save the market or bring a black swan? Binance's appeal was rejected by the US Supreme Court, an important news on the 15th
1. With non-farm employment far exceeding expectations, Federal Reserve officials have collectively turned hawkish. Coupled with market expectations that Trump may announce a state of economic emergency to implement tariff policies, inflation concerns are exacerbated, leading to a significant market drop. Tonight at 21:30, the US CPI data is about to be released, will it save the market or bring a black swan?
2. The US Supreme Court rejected the appeal request from Binance and its former CEO Zhao Changpeng on Monday. Previously, the Second Circuit Court ruled that even if Binance does not have a physical headquarters, US securities laws still apply to the cryptocurrency exchange.
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Pay attention to the PPI data at 21:30 tonight. Michael Saylor has released an investment tracking chart for the tenth consecutive week, which may imply that he will continue to increase his holdings of Bitcoin. 1. Important news on the 14th
1. As non-farm employment exceeded expectations, the tone of Fed officials was collectively hawkish. In addition, the market expected that Trump might declare an economic emergency to introduce tariff policies, exacerbating inflation concerns and triggering a market crash. Tonight, the US PPI data will be released at 21:30. PPI is an important data reflecting US inflation and directly affects the Fed's decision to cut interest rates.
2. Michael Saylor has released an investment tracking chart for the tenth consecutive week, which may imply that he will continue to increase his holdings of Bitcoin. MicroStrategy founder Michael Saylor has released an investment tracking chart for the tenth consecutive week and said, "Is there a green dot missing on the MicroStrategy portfolio tracking chart?" It may imply that he will continue to increase his holdings of Bitcoin.
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Trump will enter the presidency as a felon, and Sun Yuchen wins the election in Liberland, becoming the Prime Minister. Important news on January 13
1. A judge from the New York State Supreme Court ruled on the case regarding elected President Trump's "hush money" payments, finding Trump guilty on 34 counts. However, given that he is at a critical stage of the presidential power transition process, he is released unconditionally and will face no punishment. Nonetheless, the ruling means that Trump will still be considered a felon; he just won't face imprisonment, penalties, or probation. Trump will enter the presidency as a felon.
2. Liberland has announced its latest congressional election results.
TRON (TRX) network founder Sun Yuchen won this election and was nominated by Liberland President Vit Jedlicka as the acting Prime Minister.
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The United States approved the sale of $6.5 billion of seized darknet Silk Road bitcoins, and XRP ETFs will soon be realized. Important news on January 11
1. The U.S. Department of Justice approved the sale of $6.5 billion of seized darknet Silk Road bitcoins.
2. Ripple President Monica Long said that the XRP ETF may soon be realized because favorable U.S. cryptocurrency legislation will greatly benefit domestic companies. Long said: I think we will see more spot ETFs launched in the United States this year, and XRP is likely to be the next crypto spot ETF after Bitcoin and Ethereum. Especially with the change of government, the approval of these applications will accelerate.
3. Gary Gensler, the outgoing chairman of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), said in an interview with the media on Wednesday that the field of encrypted digital currencies is full of "bad practitioners." Chairman Gary Gensler said that cryptocurrency is a field built on "non-compliance", and the emotional component of the market has a much greater impact than the fundamentals, and most cryptocurrency projects will not survive in the end.
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The data is positive, the chairman of the US SEC is about to change, and the new chairman will definitely support cryptocurrencies. Important news on January 10
1. The number of ADP jobs in the United States in December unexpectedly slowed sharply to 122,000, the lowest level since August, which is good for the currency circle. Analysts believe that the ADP data shows that the US labor market has gradually weakened in 2024 and will continue until the end of the year. Federal Reserve officials must balance this trend with new rounds of inflation concerns when deciding on the path of interest rate cuts in 2025 and beyond. Yesterday, the number of first-time unemployment claims was lower than expected, which was slightly negative. However, the ADP data on September 15 was positive. In terms of data, one positive and one negative offset each other.
2. The transition team of US President-elect Donald Trump is looking for a cryptocurrency-friendly candidate to serve as the next chairman of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). Those competing for this position include current CFTC Commissioner Summer Mersinger, a16z Crypto Policy Director and former CFTC Commissioner Brian Quintenz, and Kraken's Chief Legal Officer Marco Santori. What is certain is that the new SEC chairman is definitely a candidate who supports cryptocurrency. Once the candidate is confirmed, it will surely bring a carnival to the number of people in the cryptocurrency circle, which is a big positive.
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With Trump's rise to power, these concept coins must be noted. If you want to make money, come in and take a look. Important news on January 7:
1. The U.S. Congress has officially certified Trump's election as president, and Vance has been elected the next vice president. After Trump takes office, these concept coins related to him will experience a wave of market activity. Trump's related concept coins include AAVE, the Ethereum series lending protocols, DEFI, and many whales are hoarding! LINK, the leader in the oracle sector. ENA, the creator of the Ethereum series stablecoin USDE, is part of the DEFI concept! ONDO, the leader in the RWA sector, favored by major American institutions! COW, executing transactions on the Ethereum chain; the above tokens are traded through COW!
2. NASDAQ has submitted an application to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission to increase the holding limit of BlackRock's spot Bitcoin ETF by 10 times, from 25,000 to 250,000 shares.
3. MicroStrategy purchased 1,070 Bitcoins at an average price of about $94,000 on December 30 and 31. Currently, MicroStrategy has been buying Bitcoin for nine consecutive weeks, with a total holding value of about $44.3 billion.
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Overview of key data this week, two positive points to watch if you want to make money 1. Important news on January 6:
1. This week, pay close attention to December's non-farm payrolls, as well as ADP employment changes, and last week's unemployment claims data. In addition, the Federal Reserve will release the minutes from the December monetary policy meeting; pay attention to whether Congress can confirm Trump's election victory on January 6 as scheduled.
2. Japanese listed company Metaplanet plans to expand its Bitcoin holdings to 10,000 coins by 2025. Metaplanet is the largest corporate Bitcoin holder in Asia and ranks 15th globally. The most recent purchase was 619.7 Bitcoins, accounting for more than 35% of total holdings, with an average price of $77,196. Gerovich stated that if the US establishes a strategic Bitcoin reserve, it may trigger a global imitation.
3. The Solana ecosystem lending protocol, Kamino, announced that it will remove the usage cap on SOL in its main market, increasing the market supply by approximately 3.3 million SOL.
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BlackRock ETF sets record for fund outflows, Microsoft will invest $80 billion in AI, if you want to make money, you must read the important news and market analysis on January 5:
1. BlackRock's iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT) suffered a net outflow of $333 million on Friday, the largest single-day outflow since the fund was launched. In addition, BlackRock IBIT has experienced net outflows for two consecutive weeks for the first time. Paul Howard, senior director of cryptocurrency market maker Wincent, said: Fund outflows and reduced open interest are expected. Institutional investors are reducing their risk exposure and decorating their balance sheet for year-end adjustments.
2. Microsoft announced on Friday that it will spend $80 billion on AI data centers in fiscal 2025 to build data centers capable of handling artificial intelligence workloads. Affected by this news, AI tokens soared. We have also talked about the narrative and prospects of AI many times, and we continue to be optimistic about AI in the future.
3. Thomas Barkin, chairman of the Richmond Fed, said, "With the finalization of Trump's tariff policy, uncertainty should decrease, and the risk of inflation is greater." Barkin also said that he tends to maintain restrictive policies for a longer period of time
Market analysis: It is still in the stage of shock and correction. The current performance of altcoins is better than that of Bitcoin as we said before. When making orders, look at altcoins first. 2025 will be the altcoin season and altcoin year. There will be a series of altcoin surges. Now there are signs. At present, pay attention to the upper resistance level of 99,500 and the lower support level of 96,000. If it breaks through, it will see a new high. If it falls below, it will take a big correction to readjust. Don't be anxious about the current shock market. Wait for the policy of the special outrageous to come to power. At that time, ambush SOL first. This year, SOL's ETF will definitely pass
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Microsoft's poker AI! AI tokens surge, holding onto AI is holding onto the future. Microsoft will spend 80 billion dollars on AI data centers by 2025. On Friday, Microsoft announced that it will spend 80 billion dollars on AI data centers in fiscal year 2025. Currently, large cloud infrastructure providers like Microsoft and Amazon are competing to expand computing power, investing billions of dollars to purchase Nvidia chips for training and running artificial intelligence models, and building new data centers to meet demand. This year, Microsoft purchased significantly more Nvidia AI chips than any competitor to accelerate investment in AI infrastructure. Microsoft's Nvidia chip orders this year are more than three times the number of Nvidia AI processors it purchased in 2023. With the announcement of Microsoft's investments, both the Nasdaq and AI tokens have seen a significant rise, reflecting market optimism about Microsoft's investments. Currently, the AI market is a blue ocean, and the narrative surrounding AI is very promising. Product iterations and upgrades are happening rapidly, and new breakthroughs can occur every day. The 21st century is the century of AI, and we have always recognized the importance of AI in the advancement of human civilization. Relevant AI tokens can be positioned, waiting for the emergence of the next representative AI product. Holding onto AI is holding onto the future, following the giants in the US and us is always a safe bet. #AIAgent热潮 #加密市场反弹 #比特币哈希率创新高 $BTC $ETH $AI

Volatility Shares proposed an inverse and leveraged Solana ETF. You must read it today. Important news on January 3:
1. ProShares plans to launch an S&P 500 index ETF denominated in Bitcoin. Strive Asset Management and REX Shares plan to issue ETFs that invest in convertible bonds of Bitcoin companies. Volatility Shares proposed an inverse and leveraged Solana ETF, as well as an ETF based on futures contracts to track Solana.
2. USDC Treasury minted a total of 400 million USDC in three batches (one batch of 300 million and two batches of 50 million).
3. At around 00:45 today, 44.32 BTC flowed from the Coinbase Prime hot wallet address to the Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust Fund, worth $4.31 million.
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