The United States does not rule out the possibility of a rate cut in March, and the Bank of Japan is very likely to raise interest rates in January. Important news on January 17

1. U.S. retail sales in December were lower than expected month-on-month. The Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index in January was 44.3, a record high since April 2021, with the largest monthly increase in four and a half years. The number of Americans who applied for unemployment benefits for the first time last week was 217,000, higher than expected. Waller, a popular Fed director: The possibility of a rate cut in March is not ruled out. If the data cooperates, there may be 3-4 rate cuts this year. Traders' expectations for the Fed's rate cuts have increased. U.S. Treasury Secretary nominee Bensont: Not extending tax cuts will face "economic disasters" and supports increasing sanctions against Russia. Trump's policies will not push up inflation. It is crucial to ensure the dollar's global reserve currency status. The Federal Reserve should be independent and willing to work with Trump and lawmakers to cancel the debt ceiling and will not let the U.S. debt default.

2. The report said that unless Trump causes market chaos, the Bank of Japan is likely to raise interest rates in January, and the yen will rise in the short term! Bank of Japan officials believe that Japan's economy and inflation are in line with their expectations and support them in achieving their 2% inflation target. Officials were also encouraged by signs of wage growth and expected solid results from the annual spring wage talks, which could support rate hikes.

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