Bitcoin has a very clear 4 year halving cycles which it followed all previous years.
Top of each cycle comes to November-December. Bottom forms 1-1.3 years after that top.
Bottom consolidation period usually correlates with 0.5-0.75 period of bearish cycles which corresponds with December'22-June'23. Since it doesn't yet look like BTC had final capitulation I believe we should see the bottom in the beginning of 2023 year (March-June). Most probably it will be 10540-12500 zone (see week cha
So far playing with lower timeframes. #BTC didn't cover the zone I was waiting for (and mentioned in Daily Review), so entered a bit higher. Not a bad bounce. But still can drop lower after it. So partial TP and buy more on the dips.
Wise Analyze
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📉 Bitcoin Daily 📈
$BTC remains within a bullish consolidation pattern. The Asia session pushed price back above Friday’s close, creating a FVG around 93944–94550, which is now the nearest zone for quick bullish dips.
Today’s low at 92700 should hold — otherwise, we risk a dip back toward the potential bottom of the consolidation range around 91.9K, or a deeper correction into the 89400 / 90400 / 88400 zones.
S&P 500 closed last week bullish but remains trapped in a choppy structure, constantly chasing old gaps while leaving new ones behind. That’s why I doubt the market is fully out of the trenches yet — meaning there will be more opportunities to buy dips. Especially important now, since the month is ending — only 3 trading days left before the MONTHLY candle close!
$BERA still consolidates after the dump. I believe here price have found fair value and so any sharp move far from that level will be returned back. But will indicate the direction it can continue after the bounce. On its own it is bearish, but together with overall market bullishness maybe those launchpad coins will also grow a little.
Targets I've mentioned before at 5.25 / 5.7 remain valid as these levels correlate with range bottom broken down on April 6th.
$XRP grown above critical level and still haven't generated enough volume to think, that dip buyers took full profit and flipped short. So nearest target I've mentioned over two weeks ago remains valid (although minimum TP for 2.5 RR achieved).
Obviously everything depends on BTC as it is the one pushing USDT prices. Against Bitcoin #Ripple is still in lower timeframe choppy correction for almost 1.5 months. And only on weekly it moves within 154 days old bull flag consolidation range.
Who is more crazy - Trump or people buying his meme coin at this level?
Meanwhile if you count waves/impulses, there is still some space for another one and the only area that make sense pushing to it liquidity above 17.75 - no guarantees, but manipulators won't find much liquidity below that level.
After that $TRUMP will drop back into correction with nearest support zones <13 and <11
Did you buy $SUI under 1.77 as I told you last time? It is almost there at my next target at 3.9 👌🏼
I believe here it enters high resistance zone so taking more partial profit make sense.
Since price moved that far from 2.26-2.55 zone I've mentioned as a good one for additional buys, I think I'll add alarm for another level at 2.83
Not shorting yet! Respect the pump.
Wise Analyze
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$SUI actually looks nice. Price returned back to the bottom, there is a bullish divergence and therefore next dip to ~1.77-1.92 has a chance to be picked up and pumped. But so far there is no confirmation for reversal and these are only feelings.
In order to confirm reversal SUI got to grow above 2.4176 (LH on Daily) and create higher low on the following swing down.
$BTC remains within a bullish consolidation pattern. The Asia session pushed price back above Friday’s close, creating a FVG around 93944–94550, which is now the nearest zone for quick bullish dips.
Today’s low at 92700 should hold — otherwise, we risk a dip back toward the potential bottom of the consolidation range around 91.9K, or a deeper correction into the 89400 / 90400 / 88400 zones.
S&P 500 closed last week bullish but remains trapped in a choppy structure, constantly chasing old gaps while leaving new ones behind. That’s why I doubt the market is fully out of the trenches yet — meaning there will be more opportunities to buy dips. Especially important now, since the month is ending — only 3 trading days left before the MONTHLY candle close!
$AIXBT showing some volume - I believe 0.1353-0.140 now is the top of the range that was tested multiple times. Once AIXBT gets above, it will fly towards ~0.2
That is 50% from CMP and over 120% from possible dip buy zone I indicated around 0.094
No changes since yesterday. I already wrote about potential bull flag/pennant consolidation. That is what we can see on 1H $BTC chart now. Obviously horizontal levels play more important role, but it can be a descending channel as well. That doesn't reduce bullish potential on breakout.
Overall developing week candle looks very bullish. If manage to cross above 94971 (March high) might get additional impulse to pump higher. Although same valid for bull trap with fast correction back to bullish consolidation bottom. So watch it closely.
$BTC pumped all the way to 94904.3, nearly wiping out liquidity above the next historical Lower High at 94971 (March high). ✅ On the Daily, Bitcoin has confirmed a bullish reversal. 🔄 On the Weekly, full confirmation will only come after a breakout above 99431.
So yes — we can lean bullish now, but we’re not completely out of the trenches. I’m stressing that to stay objective in my TA — though personally, I’m feeling very bullish.
On my chart, you’ll see that the current BTC price zone aligns with several key levels, both horizontal and dynamic. After a move like this, price typically needs either consolidation (bull flag) or a correction to shake out late long entries.
⚠️ And the deeper the pullback, the more low-leverage longs get liquidated. I’ve listed the key liquidation heatmap levels below.
The most frequent question I’m asked right now: "Will BTC revisit the 78–80K zone?" That depends on this week’s close. ➡️ If we close bullish, continuation next week is likely. After that, BTC will need to form a Higher Low on the Weekly. From a pure TA perspective, any low above 74457 would count as a valid Higher Low. But it doesn’t mean price has to go that far.
This is still a liquidity game, and if there’s enough interest higher, BTC can bottom higher. That said — weekly HL is a story for later, probably a few weeks away.
Took partial profit from $SUI long here. Next TP at ~3.9
Bullish reversal confirmed. Will be buying more at 2.26-2.55 range.
Wise Analyze
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$SUI actually looks nice. Price returned back to the bottom, there is a bullish divergence and therefore next dip to ~1.77-1.92 has a chance to be picked up and pumped. But so far there is no confirmation for reversal and these are only feelings.
In order to confirm reversal SUI got to grow above 2.4176 (LH on Daily) and create higher low on the following swing down.
ADA’s correction from the March pump dragged on longer and went deeper than many expected. In the end, price even dropped below its pre-pump level.
The nearest bearish OB is around the 0.73 zone. A breakout above that could open the path toward a retest of the 2024 close at 0.844, and possibly even 0.92.
I’ve drawn $ADA long setup that offers a 2:1 risk-reward.
Personally, I won’t take it — doesn’t make much sense to wait that long for such a modest payoff.
But for those interested, it’s better to ladder your entries: 0.66 / 0.63 / 0.59
#Ethereum remains within downtrend against BTC. So USDT chart can be rather misleading. Just keep that in mind.
Pectra upgrade in two weeks is one of the most anticipated fundamental crypto events that should help ETH to recover. At least theoretically. So closer to that date ETH can start growing to price in the changes.
So we know approximate time of sell-off - May 7th. What will be the price yet hard to forecast. The least expected is re-test of developing decade VWAP around 1960. Going there won't change the trend on weekly, so it is a bearish target. For bullish targets I'd start with 2023 close at 2283.
$BTC pumped all the way to 94904.3, nearly wiping out liquidity above the next historical Lower High at 94971 (March high). ✅ On the Daily, Bitcoin has confirmed a bullish reversal. 🔄 On the Weekly, full confirmation will only come after a breakout above 99431.
So yes — we can lean bullish now, but we’re not completely out of the trenches. I’m stressing that to stay objective in my TA — though personally, I’m feeling very bullish.
On my chart, you’ll see that the current BTC price zone aligns with several key levels, both horizontal and dynamic. After a move like this, price typically needs either consolidation (bull flag) or a correction to shake out late long entries.
⚠️ And the deeper the pullback, the more low-leverage longs get liquidated. I’ve listed the key liquidation heatmap levels below.
The most frequent question I’m asked right now: "Will BTC revisit the 78–80K zone?" That depends on this week’s close. ➡️ If we close bullish, continuation next week is likely. After that, BTC will need to form a Higher Low on the Weekly. From a pure TA perspective, any low above 74457 would count as a valid Higher Low. But it doesn’t mean price has to go that far.
This is still a liquidity game, and if there’s enough interest higher, BTC can bottom higher. That said — weekly HL is a story for later, probably a few weeks away.
$BTC has officially confirmed a full bullish reversal after breaking above 88752 🔥
So far, the momentum is being driven mostly by the Asian market, while the US sessions have mostly been a mix of pumps & dumps. How the “burgers” will react today — no one knows. But in general, this move could stretch to 91.2K–92.5K.
⚠️ Just because we’ve confirmed a bullish shift doesn’t mean we’ll go straight up forever.
At some point, a higher low will need to form, and that could happen anywhere above 74457 on the 3D–W timeframe. Hopefully not that low — but it’s a reminder not to FOMO too hard.
In the short term, the nearest untouched support is around 85600 — the top of the previous consolidation range. That level is now likely to act as strong support in future price action.
⚠️ Another important factor: Thursday’s US close was around 84.8–85K, and since then, price has been moving away from it without offering a clean re-entry. That fact shouldn’t be ignored. I believe this “virtual gap” still acts as a magnet — and price could return to revisit it.
$FET missed my alarm and buy zone by 0.0081 👌🏼🤦🏽♂️ I believe it should be interesting for buying mid/long term on pullbacks.
Moving ⏰ for 0.54 to watch it there. Will appear in my free TG
This chart is reversing on daily and weekly. Worth buying imho
Wise Analyze
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⏰ Setting alarm for $FET at 0.435 (will appear in my free TG)
It is in downtrend on weekly, so will reconsider that setup once alarm is triggered. But the zone on its own is good. Strong OB that can work out as support on pullback.
Setting alarm for TAO at 274 to watch it on correction move. Will appear in my free TG. Prefer to buy closer to ~253
If price reach drawn target first, maybe buy zone will be moved higher as well, to ~274. But I still prefer to watch PA myself instead of leaving limit order there.
$BTC has finally broken out of the range and hit the nearest target for that move 🚀
The only thing left to confirm a full bullish reversal is a breakout above 88500 (ideally 88752 for 100% confirmation). Momentum remains strong, so that confirmation could come as soon as today.
If bulls hold it together, the next target zone is 91.2K–92.5K. Interestingly, despite the sharp move, no new CME gap was formed — so there's no immediate price magnet pulling us back.
Still, there are key levels worth watching: - Wed/Thu NY highs at 85441–85493 — likely to be revisited - Thu NY close around 84800 — also a valid correction target
Wherever the pullback happens, those zones are your first support checkpoints.
$BTC chart hasn’t changed since yesterday—it’s still hovering near the middle of the range. This means the market’s predictability is still stuck at 50/50, with equal chances for a move up or down 😎
The real action happens at the range extremes, where we can watch price action closely to spot a solid entry—whether for a bounce or a break of the pattern. The price has touched the bottom three times and the top twice, and both sides are weakening.
The yellow and green zones represent key targets for a breakout or breakdown. The middle of these zones sits at ~87300 and ~81666, respectively.
$TAO range - now at the top. Looks bullish, but until broken range remains valid.
Therefore I believe it is worth waiting for price at the bottom around 231 and only there either get into long, or catch breakdown for short.
FOMO long from here doesn't provide any good SL level that would justify the risk. As you can see, even drawn setup is only for 2RR. Yes, 56%, but only 2RR, so not worth it. Better wait for breakout and then long with tight SL.