盈贝趋势量化-Vicky左

Not as good as a dog 🐶

The giants of lending on the Ethereum chain are in a precarious situation. Two giants have been testing the liquidation edge around 1800 these days. If it breaks below 1698, there will be another batch. If these two waves of lending get liquidated, a long wick will appear, and it will depend on whether it breaks below 1500. Currently, the key area for Bitcoin seems to be between 80000 and 79000; if it breaks, it may go towards 70000. As of now, it is still in a downward trend. There has been no bottoming stabilization signal on the 4-hour level, so do not blindly go long before that [smile].

This map is fake, right? The price hasn't been like this recently.

The map disappeared when I opened it 😂

The current trend of the pancake is a fluctuating trend. After breaking the pressure at 85500, look for 86500 to 87500.
The support for the upward trend is at 82000; if it breaks, look for 80500.

Short Strategy: Short near 86000 with a 2-hour auxiliary cycle dead cross; second entry near 87500 with a 4-hour auxiliary dead cross; set stop loss at 88200 and take profit at 3%, near 85000.

Long Strategy: Long near 82000 with a 1-hour auxiliary; second entry near 80500 with a 30-minute auxiliary cycle. Set stop loss at 79000 and take profit at 84000, 3%#BTC走势分析 #BTC☀ $BTC

The trend of the large pancake today shows that the current rebound trend supports the range of 80500 to 80000. A pullback to this position can be used to close short positions or increase long positions, with a stop loss set at 80000. If it breaks below 80000, watch for 79000 and 78000. If the pullback does not break 80500, continue to look for a rebound with a resistance breakthrough at 82000, looking at strong resistance at 83000 to 83600, and 84000.

A more spirited hairstyle should look cooler.

🚦Gap for Bitcoin and Ethereum
​Bitcoin Gap:
⭕Gap One: $85,720 – $93,050
⭕Gap Two: $77,930 – $78,675

🚦Analysis: Both of these gaps are below the current price, indicating that if the market declines, there is potential for these gaps to be filled.
🔴Ethereum Gap:
⭕Downward Gap: $2,322 – $2,433
⭕Upward Gap One: $2,566 – $2,623
⭕Upward Gap Two: $2,911 – $3,275
🚦Analysis: The latest gap ($2,322 - $2,433) is a downward gap, while the other two upward gaps suggest that if the price rises and new highs are formed, there may be blanks left in that range that could be filled in the future.

Large unlock next week, friends with related positions should pay attention.

Every major market movement results in a significant number of people being liquidated, while a small portion may become wealthy, leading to a reshuffling of wealth. The most challenging time for every trader during their growth is when dealing with significant market fluctuations. Doing it right could lead to wealth, but doing it wrong could mean facing the darkest moments. When account losses increase during substantial volatility, we should respond calmly and prepare measures in advance.

1. When a trend breaks the first key level, promptly stop-loss and cut positions to avoid larger losses. If decisive enough, one can consider opening a position in the opposite direction.

2. If the first key stop-loss level was missed, account losses will certainly increase. At this point, the operation should be to lock positions at a 1:1 ratio to halt account balance fluctuations and mitigate further risks.

3. The purpose of locking positions here is to avoid increasing unrealized losses, especially the risk of liquidation, while allowing oneself to detach from account risk concerns and have the energy to calmly analyze the market and develop future trading plans.

4. Regarding the strategy for releasing positions, when the decline reaches the final key support area, wait for a 30-minute stabilization signal to appear. When a small-level rebound trend is established, close half of the short positions to ensure that there is no risk of liquidation if the account experiences another spike.

The greatest taboo in trading is resisting positions, especially holding on stubbornly. Leaving the green mountains means not fearing the lack of firewood. Do not lose sight of your original intention due to temporary gains or losses. Accept mistakes and acknowledge losses; times of loss are also moments for reflection and growth. Do not give up on yourself; think calmly and continue to grow. There will eventually be a moment of enlightenment. The market presents many opportunities; seize the ones you understand. I hope everyone can find their own trading system and journey further and longer in trading.

Where is this being tracked? I want to know when it will be finished; it should be a turning point signal🥳

Currently, the big pie is forming a phase support at the 61.8% position of the Fibonacci golden ratio. 88000 is the support point for the rebound trend, and 89500 is the key breakthrough point. If it breaks through, there will be further attacks at 91100 and 92700, which are two key pressures. The strong pressure looks at the 94-95 range, and if it doesn't hold above 95, we won't look at it 📈. Moreover, from the weekly volume pattern, if it retraces again and breaks below 86000, it could go down to 80000. The key support is at 74000. The turning point could be the March U.S. Non-Farm Payroll data. Friends looking to bottom out need to set a stop loss.

Ten major goals were cut today, losing half. Being able to decisively cut losses according to the trading plan is commendable; 95% of people cannot decisively stop losses. When faced with huge losses, they often think, 'I'll wait for a rebound before cutting losses,' then they think, 'I'll wait until I break even before cutting losses.' If they're lucky, they might recover, but most of the time it ends in liquidation. Trading is fundamentally a probabilistic event; when you're wrong, you must bear the cost of that error. Good position management and maintaining a risk-reward ratio where every opening can strictly control the risk-reward ratio to be significantly greater than 3 can effectively reduce false signals and improve overall profitability. What trading control really entails is avoiding large losses; it's fundamentally a market where you bet small to gain big.

Yesterday, Ether attracted more and hit the upper extension of the wedge triangle at 2848 before falling back quickly. Sol has fallen below the recent low of 160 and is expected to reach 140. Now there are concerns about the large amount of Sol unlocking on March 1. The unlocking volume accounts for about 2% of the circulation. In addition, the recent serious harvesting of celebrities’ coins has also led to the cooling of the meme craze on the Sol chain. In March, Ethereum upgraded and a lot of funds have flowed into Ethereum recently, but Ethereum’s performance is very weak. Is it the main force’s shock wash or the game harvest? Ethereum is currently fluctuating between 2500 and 2800, mainly short-term. When will the rebound stabilize at 2800 to have a chance to see 3000 points#sol

From the bull-bear indicator, we have not yet entered a bear market. On February 3rd, the lowest point of Ethereum was right at the bull-bear dividing line, so there is still a chance for the market. However, the focus should be on swing trading.

This round of the bull market has experienced a complex and ever-changing bull market. As an old investor who entered the market before 2017, this bull market is dominated by Bitcoin. After institutions entered, there were no more seasons of altcoins. Previously, before a bull market, there was always a wave of bloodshed; this time, the bull market has already undergone three waves of bloodshed, including on February 3rd and in July and August of 2024. Making money in the cryptocurrency world is becoming increasingly difficult. The tactics of the manipulators have changed; the president releases coins to harvest investors, and big names shout orders on Twitter. In this market filled with restlessness and bubbles, if you have faith, then it's over. We need to reinterpret the market, find new strategies for market-making, and strictly adhere to trading discipline to survive in the long term.

I have done 3 bands of move

On November 8, the Federal Reserve will welcome its second rate cut. Currently, the weekly chart has started to turn bullish, waiting for a volume breakout. This pullback is a great opportunity to enter or add to positions. Ethereum is in the 2600-2530 range, Bitcoin is in the 66000-65000 range. Also, there are concepts related to the US elections, XRP supports Harris, Musk supports Trump related to Doge, and there are also campaign hotspots. Get ready for the bullet rush towards #美国大选前行情观察 #BTC☀ .

Last week, the callback of the strategy was grasped again. If 60500 is under pressure from the middle track of the daily line, it will continue to decline. If it stabilizes at 60500, it is expected to rebound and touch the 61300-61500 range. Do a good job of position management. The monthly line is about to close. The debate between Trump and Harris on the 10th of next month is worth paying attention to. #加密市场急跌 $BTC

The minutes of the Fed's meeting last night showed that the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25% in September has increased. At the same time, there will be two interest rate cuts in this year's budget. The big cake broke through 62,000 and pointed directly at 65,000, just hitting the upper edge of the wedge triangle. At present, the daily bulls increased their volume and the weekly bears decreased their volume. The weekly line was strongly pressed in the 69,600-70,000 range. The callback depends on whether 63,300 can break down. If it breaks down, you can wait for the 62,500-62,200 range to get on the bus, and then add positions in the 61,500-61,200 range. The strategy is mainly low-long. There are still many medium- and long-term corrections in the short term. Bull market 🉑️ period #BTC☀ #美联储何时降息？ $BTC