刘枫论币

Driven by Lihao's comments on interest rate cuts on Friday night, the Bitcoin price surged to around 117,400, but the weekend consolidation caused this increase to be completely reversed, with the price oscillating around 115,000. By early this morning, Bitcoin's price fell to a low of around 110,500 before stopping the downward trend, and the current market stabilized around 112,000. Ethereum continued to rise during the weekend consolidation and broke through previous highs, reaching a historical high of 4,957, but faced resistance and retreated at this level. In the early morning, it dropped in sync with Bitcoin, touching a low near 4,700 before being blocked, and the overall market is currently in a recovery state, with strong characteristics still evident, very close to the 5,000 mark.

From the daily chart of Bitcoin, there was initially a large bullish candle followed by a large bearish candle, and the overall trend is under pressure from the middle track. Today's candlestick formed a long lower shadow, indicating that bullish forces still dominate the market, and there is still some upward expansion space in the future market, with a key resistance level to watch at 115,800. From the four-hour chart, indicators are also showing a bottom divergence signal, indicating that the market will welcome a new round of upward movement; this pullback is our opportunity to enter, with a medium to long-term bullish outlook. Currently, we advise caution in pursuing short positions. Ethereum shows no signs of bearishness at the moment.
The trading suggestion for Bitcoin is to go long around 112,000-111,500, targeting 114,800, and subsequently looking up to 117,500. For Ethereum, consider going long in the range of 4,680-4,650, targeting around 4,950. $BTC $ETH

Last night, there was a strong surge, with Bitcoin rising by more than 6,000 points, and Ethereum following suit with a rise of over 600 points, reaching a new high of 4,888. It truly lived up to Black Friday; those who participated in this wave should have made a fortune. From the current market perspective, after some fluctuations, Bitcoin is gradually stabilizing above 116,000. The weekend's fluctuating trend has already become evident. Based on daily indicators, the price ratio is expected to continue its upward trend. Although there are signs of a short-term pullback, we can maintain a bullish outlook overall and should focus on buying the dips.

Buy Bitcoin around 116,000 and target 117,500, with a continued upward trend aiming for 120,000. Be cautious and adjust promptly if it breaks below.
Buy Ethereum around 4,750-4,720, targeting around 4,850, and in the long term, we see a new high of 5,000, reaching $BTC $ETH .

In the morning, the key support range for the strategy is given. Bitcoin continues to decline and has broken through this key level, while Ethereum is also declining, currently around 4300, with the downward momentum slowing. In the future, attention should be paid to whether Bitcoin's support at 115,000 is stable, and for Ethereum, focus on the key range of 4300-4370. After the price stabilizes, one may consider entering trades moderately for rebounds. It is a reminder to always pay attention to market changes and make timely adjustments. Currently, the overall market trend is downward, but there are still bullish opportunities. At present, price levels are at recent lows, so just find the key levels to make entry.
If Bitcoin does not break below 115,000, one can consider a light entry. The target is 118,500, for Ethereum around 4300-4270, the target looks up to 4480. Everything should be operated based on real-time market conditions, strictly manage stop-losses, and make necessary adjustments $BTC #加密市场回调

A new week begins, Bitcoin experienced a strong surge last week and entered a consolidation phase over the weekend. Yesterday afternoon to evening, the price once again saw a slight increase, reaching a peak of 118558 before facing resistance and pulling back. In the early morning, the price hit a low of 117245 before stabilizing, and in the short term, it is still showing a fluctuating upward pattern. Ethereum's performance has also rebounded to around 4520. Although there have been delays in updating the strategy recently, the market trend is clear; we just need to go with the flow.
From the market perspective, Bitcoin's daily chart briefly broke the upper band to give a new high of 124545; then a full-bodied bearish candlestick pulled the price back to near the middle band. After that, the price continued to run above the middle band, confirming the middle band support is firm. The Bollinger Bands are flat, and the moving averages and KDJ indicators have entered the oversold area. Switching to the four-hour structure, the price's box-like fluctuating pattern remains intact, continuously operating near the middle band. The MACD indicator shows that the volume is continuously increasing. Combined with the hourly chart, the price is in a short-term upward posture. Moving forward, we will maintain low positions for accumulation. Ethereum's trend is resonating; we just need to identify key levels for a bullish outlook.
Bitcoin is ranging around 117300-116800 for accumulation, targeting 118500. For Ethereum, we are temporarily looking at light accumulation around 4480, targeting 4580. Operations should be conducted with strict risk management, avoiding actions outside of the plan.

Due to yesterday's news regarding Lido signals, the market experienced a strong surge. Although Bitcoin briefly touched the 120,000 mark, it failed to make an effective breakthrough and is currently consolidating near this key position. In contrast, Ethereum's performance is particularly impressive, showing a strong one-sided upward trend. The price has consecutively overcome key resistance levels, after a brief pause at 4,500, the bulls continued to push, soaring to a high of 4,640, demonstrating strong market resilience.

From a technical perspective, Bitcoin has formed a staircase-like upward pattern on the daily chart, and the current price operates in the upper Bollinger Bands region. Although the intraday rebound has recovered some ground, the volume-price coordination still needs to be strengthened, and the upward channel has not been fully opened. However, the new high testing behavior indicates that there is still further upward space in the medium to long term, with a possibility of refreshing historical highs in the future. On the four-hour level, the ascending channel is clearly visible, with price lows continuously rising and the Bollinger Bands consistently opening upwards, indicating that short-term pullbacks are merely a process for bulls to gather strength. Ethereum's strong performance speaks for itself, continuously breaking through key pressure levels, and it is just a step away from historical highs. It is worth noting that the U.S. stock market has also been hitting new highs recently, showing a strong correlation between the two. In this market environment, the upward trend of Ethereum is expected to continue.

It is recommended to lightly enter the Bitcoin position in the 12,000 - 11,950 range, targeting 121,000; for Ethereum, consider lightly entering around 4,500, targeting 4,800. During the trading process, it is crucial to closely monitor market dynamics and changes in macroeconomic factors, reasonably control positions, and preferably adjust based on real-time analysis. $BTC $ETH

The ideas have already been given in advance, the main strategy has always been to buy on dips. In the evening, due to news, a signal was given for Lido, and Ethereum surged again, quickly breaking through the 4400 mark. The recent upward momentum has been so fierce; if we’re not buying, what are we doing? The levels we provided have always been very conservative, and they generally reach expectations, with most exceeding expectations. However, we have continuously reminded everyone to operate according to the plan and not to be greedy. This wave also netted over a hundred points, and timely adjustments are crucial. It's important to analyze data from multiple sources for reasonable planning.
Currently, the price has made a short-term high with a certain pullback, so you can patiently wait for a better entry point. Ethereum has given a new high of 4428, and the hourly chart shows a long upper shadow, closing above the 4400 mark. Looking at the indicators, the bulls are still continuously increasing their volume, and there is still some room for further increases. The four-hour price has broken through the upper band, with the middle band forming strong support, and the Bollinger Bands are opening upwards. Subsequently, you can still maintain the strategy of buying on dips. Bitcoin has also seen a surge of over a thousand points, and the hourly chart has formed a consolidation pattern. The MACD has formed a golden cross upward, and bullish momentum is gradually manifesting, consistent with our previous strategy. We continue to be bullish in the evening.
Bitcoin is around 119000-118500; the short-term target looks to break through 12000 and continue upwards. For Ethereum, try lightly around 4380 with a target of 4480. Make sure to plan well, adjust accordingly, and keep your stop-loss at $BTC $ETH .

The Bitcoin price comparison has entered a narrow range of fluctuation between 119200 and 118500. The Ethereum has not provided a good range relatively. After Ethereum dipped to a low of 4185 in the morning, it stabilized and rebounded, recovering the losses and rising to the 4332 line at its highest. Currently, the price comparison is fluctuating around 4300. The stable trend of Bitcoin is likely to be building momentum for the upcoming market conditions in the evening. Focus on the volatility caused by the CPI data release at 8:30. Adjustments should be made in real-time as needed.
Bitcoin is around 118500-118000 with a target of 120000, and Ethereum is around 4200-4220 with a target of 4350$BTC $ETH .

Early morning Bitcoin prices fluctuated slightly, then rose modestly to the 120,799 line but failed to stabilize, quickly retreating under pressure, nearing the early session's low of 118,050 points, followed by a period of narrow range oscillation. Ethereum also experienced a pullback, dropping to around 4,185 in the morning before briefly consolidating, after which the price warmed up again. Overall, the upward trend remains intact, and it has always been said that a pullback presents an opportunity for us to enter the market. When the price action shows a retracement, we just need to wait for the price to adjust before entering the market.

From a technical analysis perspective, the four-hour chart for Bitcoin shows a five consecutive bearish candle pattern, with prices retreating to the middle band of the Bollinger Bands. Although the short-term moving averages are collectively declining, the middle band acts as a solid support line, making it difficult for bears to break through, which sets the stage for a potential bullish counterattack. Switching to the one-hour timeframe, prices have shown a stepwise decline before entering a consolidation phase, with the Bollinger Bands running horizontally. Meanwhile, the KDJ indicator has completed a bottom formation in the oversold zone, with the three lines converging upwards, signaling a potential golden cross pattern, indicating that bearish momentum is waning, and bulls are expected to return, so the strategy remains to maintain a bullish outlook at lower levels.

Bitcoin can be bought on dips in the 119,000-118,500 range, targeting above 120,000; Ethereum can be bought on dips in the 4,210-4,130 range, targeting 4,300. During the trading process, it is essential to set stop-loss orders to guard against potential risks and to seize swing trading opportunities. $BTC $ETH

The current price of light blue kongsdan mentioned in the midnight live stream is near 4290, with a target to look for a drop to around 4240. Also, for Bitcoin around 120000, a short-term pullback to near 119000 has perfectly arrived. Due to being busy with many matters, we had also given our approach for entry in advance last night until early morning, successfully capturing two ethereums. We have consistently reassured everyone in advance, and the market trends are continuously validating this. Any strategy has a certain time sensitivity, and I often mention that all operations should be based on real-time market conditions $BTC $ETH .

$ETH continues

　　The intraday market is coming to a close, Bitcoin saw a strong rise in the morning, peaking at 122335 in the afternoon, and then facing pressure and falling back. As of the evening, it has dropped by 3000 points, showing an overall trend of a rise followed by a fall. Ethereum has also retraced to the level of 4166, confirming that the bottom support is solid. The price comparison has once again risen to a new high. Our trading strategy has also achieved several successful entries, although there was a small drop in the evening, it quickly recovered. The strategy of retracement and buying has been consistently validated, with each strategy being provided in advance, never playing catch-up or boasting about it.

　　From the current perspective, the Bitcoin daily chart shows that the price comparison is still in a bullish trend. Both Bollinger Bands and MACD indicate strong bullish momentum, and there is further upward potential. However, the KDJ indicator shows that the market has entered the overbought area, and there may be a need for another pullback in the short term. If the price comparison can effectively break through the upper band and stabilize, then we can continue to look bullish. It is important to pay attention to the stability of the mid-band support level. Switching to the hourly level, the price comparison shows a rise followed by a fall, with a MACD death cross indicating that short-term bearish strength is being released. However, the KDJ shows a rebound signal at a low level, and we will continue to monitor the price comparison's test of the mid-band. In the short term, Ethereum still maintains strong bullish momentum, and after breaking through, there is still potential for further upward movement. The focus should be on the resistance at the upper band, and we will maintain the strategy of buying on dips.

　　Bitcoin is around 120000, with an upward target of around 122800, and key support below is at 119200. For Ethereum, continue to test the bullish trend around 4275-4250, with a target directly at around 4400 $BTC $ETH

The evening Bitcoin has given a certain pullback, with the Bitcoin dropping 2800 points from the afternoon until now. The current price has reached the recent key support level near 119500. We also closed our position 600 points away. In this market situation, it is not advisable to resist hard; instead, patiently wait for the next entry opportunity. In the future market, we can watch the U.S. stock market to follow the trend. The four-hour level pullback signal has already been confirmed. For Ethereum, pay close attention to the stability of the 4160 level. In the future market, we can confirm the specific direction based on the opening trend of the U.S. stock market. Currently, we can continue to manage positions carefully, ensuring proper risk management and planning for entry and exit timing, as well as making necessary adjustments.
Bitcoin is around 119500, with a target of 123000. Pay attention to the defense at 118900. Ethereum is around 4180, with a focus on the stability of 4160-4150; defense can be around 4140. $BTC $ETH

　　Currently, regarding the current market, Bitcoin has risen again to break 122,000 and reached the 122,335 line, then entered a consolidation phase. At present, it shows a slight pullback, but the strength is not deep. As the dominance of the bulls remains unbroken, our thinking remains to buy the dips. After a large bullish candle on the four-hour chart pulls back again and forms a longer upper shadow bearish candle, it indicates that the competition for dominance here is quite intense. The KDJ indicator is gradually flattening out. Combined with the hourly level, the MACD momentum bars are gradually shortening, and the short-term bullish volume has weakened, suggesting a possible pullback. This is also a good opportunity for us to enter the market. Let's see if the price can consolidate and build momentum for another high. Ethereum is also showing a slight pullback. In the future, we will focus on the key position of 4,250 for entry, maintaining a bullish outlook.

　　Bitcoin targets 123,000 around 121,600-121,000, and Ethereum targets 4,350 breaking above 4,280-4,250, looking at 4,460 around $BTC $ETH .

　　The market once again welcomes a surge, and the Bitcoin price comparison breaking through the 120,000 mark was already anticipated. The altcoins continue to gain strength, and those who entered at the right time can choose to exit according to their plans. Ethereum is rising in sync, and the price comparison has reached the morning target of around 4,350. When the strategy was shared with everyone, it was also the perfect entry point. There are always some who hesitate and do not dare to enter the market. Must one really wait until the opportunity has passed and regret it?

　　From the market perspective, Bitcoin's hourly chart has strongly broken through the upper Bollinger Band and is quickly diverging upwards. Currently, it seems that altcoins have some continuation. The four-hour chart shows no signs of retracement, and the price comparison continues to run along the upper band. The moving averages show a bullish arrangement, indicating strong upward momentum. For now, let’s see if the price comparison can reach above 121,000. A pullback to this level could allow for continual bullish outlook. Pay attention to the market indicators for signals. Ethereum also looks bullish. With no change in the market situation, medium to long-term opportunities may arise to directly reach above 4,500.

　　Near the 121,000 level, the outlook is cautiously bullish, targeting 122,000 for a breakout. Ethereum is around 4,300-4,280 with targets sequentially looking at 4,350 and 4,400. $BTC $ETH

A new week begins, and Bitcoin has experienced a strong surge over the weekend but is now temporarily calm. In the early morning, Bitcoin retraced to around 118,000 and began to rise again, reaching a high of 119,221. Last night's strategy was completely validated, as Ethereum also briefly adjusted after dipping to around 4,150 and then surged to around 4,331. The strategy provided in advance clearly indicated the best entry and exit points, and the opportunity was again presented; it just depends on who capitalized on it.
Looking at the current market, Bitcoin is showing a trend of oscillating upwards on the four-hour chart, with little to no significant retracement. However, each retracement has provided entry signals, and the moving averages are in a bullish arrangement, with no signs of weakening upward momentum. The hourly level shows a stepwise upward trend, and the current price is in recent high-level consolidation. There may be some minor short-term retracement, but this also presents new entry opportunities. Pay close attention to the key short-term support level at 118,000. The MACD has formed a golden cross and is continuously diverging upwards. Overall, the bullish momentum is strong, and there is potential for the price to break through the 120,000 mark during the day, while Ethereum also looks bullish.

Bitcoin near 118,700 aims for around 121,500, with caution below, so keep an eye on market information and make timely adjustments.
Ethereum near 4,220-4,190 aims for around 4,350 $BTC $ETH

$BTC provided ideas within 30 days have all been realized. Although the rise of Bitcoin is not substantial, after the consolidation ends, it will still reach around 118,000. Ethereum's upward momentum remains strong, peaking at around 4246. The ideas were given in advance; we never engage in follow-up actions after the fact. Whether to hype it up or not is another story; the directions given are based on comprehensive data analysis combined with the market situation. Currently, all indicators still signal a continuation of the bullish trend. I believe most friends have already followed our ideas and secured quite a bit. This market situation definitely reminds everyone not to attempt trading without clear signals. At this time, traders can look for suitable points to exit on their own, and do not be greedy.
This evening, the focus should be on Ethereum at 4200 and Bitcoin at 117600—117000 support levels. If there are aggressive traders, they can trade lightly around these points. $BTC $ETH

The current Ethereum price is entering a stagnation phase in the short term, and the Bitcoin price ratio is starting to rise slowly. In the early morning, a bullish signal was given, breaking out of the thousand-point range. The previous narrow fluctuation pattern between 116000-117000 has broken upward, and we are very close to our target of 117500. Friends holding Ethereum can continue to hold. The four-hour chart shows that the Ethereum price is starting to gain momentum again. The MACD fast and slow lines have given an upward signal after a brief crossover. The KDJ indicator has also crossed and is diverging upwards. The Bollinger Bands on the hourly level are opening upward, and the price ratio has broken the upper resistance and is rising. Comprehensive analysis shows that the Ethereum price is starting to gain momentum again, and the market outlook remains bullish.
Bitcoin can be entered at 116000 as previously suggested; Ethereum holders can patiently hold on, while conservative investors can keep part of their position. The target is set around 118500. As for Ethereum, the afternoon analysis indicates a bullish outlook, paying attention to whether it can strongly break the level 4200 and reach a new high $BTC $ETH .

The market enters the weekend, and the big cake is stuck in sideways movement. Ethereum has risen again, currently reaching a maximum of around 4200. This evening, it was noted that Ethereum's movement has exceeded the expectation of 4120. This surge has accumulated strength over several days. Previously, we have consistently advised everyone to take a bullish medium to long-term outlook aiming for above 4000. There was no 'black swan' event on Friday, and the price briefly broke through key levels. The market indicators provided sufficient evidence, and together with friends, we also achieved a profit of 200 points, directly benefiting from it.
As of now, the market is giving a certain pullback again. From the market perspective, on the four-hour level, the price is gradually rising along the upper track. The MACD histogram continues to expand, and the momentum remains strong. The KDJ indicator is flattening at a high level, which may face a correction after being overbought. In the short term, attention is needed on the crossover changes in indicators. Looking at the hourly level, the short-term situation dominated by momentum is still ongoing. If the price gives further pullback, pay attention to the stability of the middle track support. The Bollinger Bands are opening upwards, and the momentum trend is clear. The outlook remains to maintain the strategy of buying on the pullback.

Ethereum: Continue to watch around 4150-4120, with the target being whether the price can break the previous high of 4200 again, continuing to look towards 4250$BTC $ETH .

On Friday, $BTC , the market showed a volatile upward trend, with Bitcoin and Ethereum displaying significant correlation. In the morning session, Bitcoin's price hit a high of 117577 before facing short-selling pressure, quickly dipping to a low of 116357, and then entering a range-bound consolidation. Although there was an attempt in the evening to rise to 117210, it failed to break through effectively and faced downward pressure again. Ethereum also experienced a rally followed by a pullback, reaching 3966 in the morning before encountering resistance, oscillating around 3880 to build momentum. In the evening, bulls suddenly surged, breaking through key resistance levels, peaking at the 4066 mark.

From a technical analysis perspective, the current market has re-entered a consolidation phase. The candlestick patterns exhibit a clear characteristic of narrow fluctuations, with the price range continuously narrowing and moving averages entangled, indicating that the market direction is currently unclear. In terms of trading volume, it has remained low recently, reflecting a balance of power between bulls and bears, with strong market sentiment of wait-and-see. Market data shows that active buying pressure has significantly weakened, and the frequency of large transactions has decreased sharply. Overall, it is expected that the market will likely continue its volatile pattern this weekend; everyone should remain cautious and pay attention to key level breakthroughs, flexibly adjust strategies, and prepare for market adjustments.
Bitcoin is around 116000, aiming for 117500, while Ethereum can adjust based on real-time market conditions, targeting 3980-4000, with an aim towards 4120$ETH .

$BTC Evening Bitcoin has been consolidating sideways, quickly spiking to around the 117229 line with Ethereum's strong push for price comparison, and then giving a quick pullback. It has currently dropped to around 116000. In the evening, a pullback strategy is suggested, which is the entry point. For now, we will first pay attention to whether the four-hour closing can stop the decline and maintain above 116000; otherwise, the price comparison may continue to decline. The four-hour indicators are all giving pullback signals, but from a daily perspective, a new round of upward movement is about to emerge, and with the weekend approaching, our short-term strategy remains to focus on a pullback strategy.
Bitcoin is still around 116000; it's advisable to buy on dips, and conservatively, one can wait for the hourly close to confirm the lower support. If the four-hour close stabilizes above 116000, we target around 117500.