概率之外-止损不可避免

$BTC Try this feature

#金狗势不可挡

At Binance Square, I am enthusiastically discussing new trends in the cryptocurrency market, particularly optimistic about #GoldenDog's unstoppable momentum! Golden Dog Coin, with its unique community culture and strong technical support, is leading a new wave of investment enthusiasm. However, investment always comes with risks, especially in the cryptocurrency market, where price fluctuations are significant, and careful judgment is necessary. As long as we keep pace with the market pulse, analyze rationally, and avoid blindly following trends, we can seize opportunities in this wave and achieve wealth appreciation. Meanwhile, don't forget to participate in discussions, share insights, and have a chance to win a 3 BNB reward! But remember, investing has risks, and entering the market requires caution!

What do you think?

#土狗冲锋
The following content is for reference only and should not be taken as investment advice.
1. Emotional Spread
Meme coins often use popular cultural symbols (such as PEPE the Frog, Shiba Inu, etc.) as carriers to attract retail investors through viral social media. For example, PEPE coin skyrocketed 270,000 times in half a month, essentially driven by the community's pursuit of an 'entertainment spirit.'
Meme coins often narrate themselves as 'decentralized' and 'anti-elite.' For instance, LoserCoin positions itself as a 'poor youth,' resonating with retail investors. This narrative lowers the investment threshold, creating a psychological effect of 'retail investors.'
2. Low Technical Barriers and Near-Zero Issuance Costs
Popularity of Smart Contract Platforms
Through public chains like BSC and HSC, individuals can quickly issue meme coins at costs as low as a hundred yuan, even using AI tools to automatically generate code.
Abuse of Liquidity Pool Mechanisms
Issuers create false prosperity by adding liquidity pools (like Uniswap), and then withdraw funds, leading to price crashes, forming a 'cutting leeks' model.
3. Market Sentiment and FOMO Effect
Stimulus of Short-Term Get-Rich-Quick Myths
The high volatility of meme coins (like SHIB and DOGE) attracts speculators, with some projects achieving hundredfold increases in a very short time, strengthening the expectation of 'getting rich overnight.'
Driving Force of Altcoin Seasons
During the 'altcoin season' that occurs every four years (such as Litecoin in 2013 and the ICO boom in 2017), funds rotate from Bitcoin to high-risk assets, with meme coins becoming the focus of speculation.

#币安理财收益竞技场
If I choose this, does it mean my principal is guaranteed?

Definition of principal guarantee:

1. Principal safety guarantee: Locking in principal risk through a principal guarantee commitment, avoiding capital losses caused by market fluctuations, suitable for risk-averse investors.

2. Stable return expectation: Usually setting a minimum yield rate, achieving stable asset appreciation while ensuring the safety of the principal, with a higher certainty of returns than floating return products.

3. Risk-return balance: Under the premise of controlling downside risk, moderate participation in low-risk investments (such as money market funds, government bonds, etc.) to obtain returns better than current deposits.

4. Psychological safety margin: Eliminating anxiety about principal loss, especially suitable for investors with clear fund purposes (such as education funds, emergency reserves).

5. Liquidity options: Some principal-protected products offer flexible redemption mechanisms, balancing fund safety and convenience of use.

$TON

TON Coin (Toncoin) is the native token of the high-performance blockchain platform incubated by Telegram, gaining attention for its technological advantages and ecological potential. Its core technologies include sharding architecture, multi-chain parallel processing, and smart contract support, achieving a processing capacity of millions of transactions per second and transaction costs as low as $0.01, significantly enhancing blockchain scalability. Leveraging Telegram's 90 million active users, TON has reduced the user entry barrier through built-in wallets and DApp integration, with daily transaction volume exceeding 4.5 million and accounts surpassing 38 million, demonstrating a strong user base.
In terms of ecological layout, TON has attracted institutional collaborations with Tether, Bybit, and others, while the integration of the USDT stablecoin further enhances its payment scenario practicality. In its token economic design, 6,893 TON are burned daily to regulate circulation, with over 5.6 billion tokens staked to participate in network security, reflecting a healthy supply-demand mechanism. Regarding market performance, TON's market cap has surpassed $23.5 billion, ranking among the top ten cryptocurrencies, with analysts predicting a potential short-term surge to $12 and long-term growth potential.
However, the challenges faced by TON include insufficient maturity of the smart contract ecosystem, changes in the regulatory environment, and intensified market competition. Although technical indicators show a strong neutral bias in the short term, investors need to pay attention to its ecological implementation progress and market volatility risks. Overall, TON possesses differentiated competitive strength in the high-throughput blockchain sector, supported by Telegram's traffic endorsement and technological innovation.

#比特币反弹 BTC is no problem above 90,000, go for it!

The 2025 Bitcoin bull market is accelerating. Data shows that institutions like BlackRock have accumulated over 3 million BTC, accounting for 16% of the circulating supply. The recently approved spot ETF by the U.S. SEC has seen an average daily net subscription of 230 million USD, driving market sentiment to remain high. Technically, Bitcoin has surpassed the 2024 peak, and the RSI indicator shows there is still room for upward movement.
The current market presents three major catalysts: first, the countdown to the halving event (expected in April 2026), which will reduce miner selling pressure by 50%; second, PayPal's announcement to support BTC payments for cross-border shopping, covering over 200 countries; third, Singapore's MAS including BTC in the list of eligible collateral, leading to a surge in institutional holding demand.
However, caution is needed regarding the risk of a pullback, as the current long-short ratio in the futures market is 3.2, indicating the possibility of short-term profit-taking. It is recommended that investors adopt a phased entry strategy, focusing on the breakout of the historical resistance level at 92,000 USD. (Note: This article does not constitute investment advice)

$BNB

BNB (Binance Coin) is currently the third largest cryptocurrency in the world, with a price of approximately $550 and a market capitalization exceeding $100 billion. Its core value is based on the rapid expansion of the Binance ecosystem, which is primarily reflected in the following aspects:
Technical and Ecological Advantages
BNB Chain (formerly Binance Smart Chain) supports the explosive growth of applications such as DeFi, NFT, and GameFi through its low transaction fees and high throughput characteristics, attracting a large number of developers and users. The upgrade of cross-chain interoperability protocols further enhances asset liquidity, creating differentiated competition with public chains like Ethereum.
Deflationary Mechanism and Application Scenarios
Binance repurchases and destroys 20% of its profits in BNB every quarter. To date, over 30 million BNB have been destroyed, reducing the total supply from 200 million to 100 million, continuously optimizing the supply-demand relationship. BNB is also used to offset transaction fees (with a maximum discount of 25%), participate in IEOs, and earn staking rewards, enhancing user stickiness.
Market Performance and Prospects
In 2024, the price of BNB is expected to break the historical high of $719, reflecting investors' confidence in Binance's compliance progress and ecological innovation. Its market capitalization fluctuations are influenced by major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, but independent market trends are often driven by platform strategies (such as Launchpad projects and fiat trading expansion). In the future, as Layer-2 solutions are implemented, the regulatory environment improves, and institutional funds flow in, BNB is expected to further solidify its position in the Web3 infrastructure.
Risk Warning
Be wary of increasing market competition (such as the rise of the Coinbase ecosystem), technical vulnerabilities, and regulatory policy changes. Short-term prices may fluctuate sharply due to market sentiment, while long-term value depends on Binance's continuous innovation capabilities and global compliance progress.

$ETH

Ethereum (ETH), as the second-largest cryptocurrency, has recently stabilized at around $3050, and its revival prospects for 2025 are receiving significant attention. Core driving factors include: 1) Deep integration of AI technology, expanding application scenarios through automated trading and personalized services; 2) Continuous network upgrades (such as EIPs and hard forks) enhancing scalability and security; 3) Improvements in the U.S. regulatory environment may attract institutional capital inflows. In addition, the prosperity of the DeFi and NFT ecosystems, along with the maturity of Layer-2 solutions, further consolidates its position in the Web3 infrastructure. However, scalability bottlenecks, intensified competition, and regulatory uncertainties remain potential risks. Short-term prices may fluctuate due to market sentiment, but in the long term, technological iterations and institutional adoption may drive value growth. Investors need to pay attention to regulatory dynamics and the progress of technological implementation.

#交易分析101

The current technical situation of Bitcoin shows a significant downward trend. After confirming the double top pattern at the daily level, the price has fallen below the neck support of $82,000, with the RSI indicator retreating to 42 (neutral but slightly low), and the MACD bearish signal strengthening, indicating significant downward pressure in the short term. Key support levels are concentrated in the range of $78,000 to $72,000 (where the 50-day moving average and the 200-day moving average overlap), and if this level is lost, it could further test the psychological level of $60,000. On-chain data shows that institutional funds are continuously withdrawing, with net outflows from Bitcoin ETFs in the U.S. exceeding $500 million in March, but long-term holders (those holding for over a year) have started to turn into net buyers, with an average daily inflow of about 5,000 coins, suggesting that a bottom area may be brewing. Market sentiment indicators (fear index at 35) and liquidation data confirm the spread of panic, suggesting that investors should remain cautious and wait for a clearer trend.

1. Choose to participate and complete this quiz.
交易者训练营

2. Create a post on Binance Square with "#交易者训练营 " to recommend Binance trading tools and follow the following guidelines:
(a) Make sure the post is at least 100 characters
(b) Contain only one #TraderTraining Camp";
(c) Achieve at least 10 interactions (total of likes, shares, comments, reposts, etc.)
3. All users who complete the above 2 tasks will be eligible to share the 10,000 USDC prize pool with other eligible participants. The rewards will be issued within 21 days after the end of the event.

Remember to like me and then get the answer in the comment area!

Check out my asset return and position distribution, feel free to follow!

This wave of cryptocurrency strategic reserves initiated by Trump is simply a blatant scheme to exploit investors! Just after announcing the inclusion of Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other cryptocurrencies into national reserves, the prices skyrocketed to 95,000 like a rocket, only to plummet below 83,000 immediately after, causing over 300,000 people to go bankrupt within 24 hours! This is not about managing the economy; it's clearly a game of high-stakes gambling with the market makers! Do you really think he is supporting the crypto industry? Just look at the WLF project his son is involved in, and the TRUMP coin he released; it is obvious that he is using favorable policies to fatten his own wallet. Now, the crypto market can experience dramatic rises and falls multiple times a day, and ordinary retail investors are like fish on a chopping board, at the mercy of the market makers. This tactic is too obvious; everyone should quickly hold onto their wallets and not be fooled by such policy slogans!

Since Trump's Bitcoin-themed speech in 2024, his rhetoric around Bitcoin as a strategic reserve has been as changeable as the weather in June. This has made it extremely difficult for us traders, who are on edge every night watching the market. Prices can suddenly spike, making it impossible to discern any patterns, and trading has become really challenging. I don't even know where to set my stop-loss because no matter where I set it, it seems like it will definitely get triggered. It's absolutely frustrating!

Ma De, why are there so many pi advertising accounts now, it's too much, seriously affecting reading, they can't be banned completely, even Sima pi needs to be suitable for advertising, how many have been torn down at home this year? How to send.

ETH has not been easy to trade recently, these candlestick patterns are similar to some altcoins with no trading volume, and there are too many upper and lower shadows! $ETH

It's over $XRP

This trading is too poor, stubbornly refusing to cut losses, no matter how high the win rate, it's all in vain. The key issue is being hard-headed. I set a 95% stop loss and still got liquidated, yet he argues that he is not wrong and that he has a stop loss. Everyone, see the picture. id: Start operating

Anti-single expert, I said before not to go against the trend, but the old habit came back. What's the use of a high win rate if your losses exceed what you earn in three or four days? Useless. I set my stop loss at 95% and it still failed. Think about whether your operation was wrong. I won't say more.

Newbies are like this, don't worry, in about a month, you will experience your first liquidation in life, after that, it depends on your understanding.

#比特币四年周期将改变？

Is the four-year cycle law of Bitcoin broken? I don't know. However, in the past few days, over 700,000 people have been liquidated, which has set a new historical high.
The aerial acrobats are about to increase again.