Crypto Strategist

#USNationalDebt #MarketPullback #KouachiSignals 💥💰🚀
🔧 01. Technical Analysis – 1H Timeframe
RSI = 27 → Oversold signal that may trigger a rapid rebound.
MACD: Bearish lines, but may be in a reversal phase if the histogram starts to rise.
MA7/14/28 mixed, price slightly below the short-term moving averages (MA7).
Last 1H candle pattern: Candle within a small range after a sharp decline → beginning of equilibrium and preparation for a breakout.
🎯 3. Trading Recommendations – 1-Hour Timeframe
✅ Long Buy Plan – Rebound from Oversaturation$BTC
Entry Condition: 1H candle confirms the bounce (Bullish Engulfing or Hammer) and the RSI rises above 35.
Entry Point: 103250 – 103300
Targets:
103500 (partial pullback above MA7)
103800 (14/28 moving averages)
104050 (4H resistance area)
Stop Loss: 103000 (below the recent low)
⚠️ Short Sell Plan – When the bounce fails$BTC
Entry Condition: The price fails to bounce and closes back below 103100 with the RSI remaining <30.
Entry Point: 103100 – 103150
Targets:
102800 (previous technical support)
102350 – 102300 (daily low)
Stop Loss: 103400 (above the high of the bounce candle)
📰 4. News Affecting the Price
Bitcoin's decline below the 106000 level led to a liquidation wave of approximately $450M, according to CoinDesk.
The close around the 100-110K area is due to the market's hesitation between geopolitical concerns and the return of funds to alternative assets.
Israeli hackers attack Iran's Nobitex, highlighting the impact of the cyber war between Israel and Iran on digital infrastructure and its impact on market volatility.
🔍 5. Professional Summary and Recommendations
Current Trend: Bearish on short-term timeframes, but the price level and oversold signals open the door for a corrective bounce.
Best Opportunity: Long (buy) trading at 103250 with RSI confirmation, with a first corrective target of 103800.
Protection Line: Stop loss at 103000 and shorts above 103400.
Risk Factor: Geopolitical news and cyber breaches may increase volatility. Monitor the proximity of 103000–102350, as it is a critical support level.
Quick Reflections:$BTC
If the price breaks below 103000 and closes 1H there, the next target is 102300.
If it rebounds above 103800–104050, move to a 4H Fibonacci retracement and a professional entry approach.
Watch the next hour's close and build calculated entry options based on it. Happy trading! 🚀

#USNationalDebt $BTC $SOL $XRP
🔗 1. Linking Debt and Treasury Demand via Cryptocurrencies
Under the GENIUS Act, stablecoins must be backed by short-term bonds such as T-bills, which could increase demand and lower US borrowing costs.
Economists like BIS warn that stablecoin liquidity relies on Treasury bonds, and that pooled liquidity could affect interest rates and unsettle financial markets.
📉 2. The Weak Dollar and Bitcoin's Role as a Haven
Increasing debt and expanding money printing are weakening the dollar, prompting investors to seek alternatives such as gold and Bitcoin.
Bitcoin's price has been on a steady rise; it recently surpassed $110,000, driven by a weaker dollar and trading volume.
⚖️ 3. Bitcoin as a Financial Hedge
Analysts like RaoulPal believe that rising debt and printed banknotes are causing a "liquidity squeeze," with Bitcoin providing a rare digital haven.
An article from Cointelegraph suggests that the rise in "Big Beautiful Bill" debt could signal a shift toward Bitcoin.
📊 4. Cryptocurrency Volatility and Profit/Loss
Despite its hedging status, Bitcoin is ~97% correlated with the Nasdaq 100. If stocks decline, Bitcoin may follow suit.
A weaker dollar could boost Bitcoin's price, but market volatility is likely to be severe.
⚠️ 5. Financial Stability and Liquidity Risks
The expansion of stablecoin investments in T-bills could lead to:
Short-term yield volatility.
Liquidity accumulation in limited assets (T-bills), reducing liquidity for traders and banks.
Rapidly released stablecoins could disrupt the bond market.
🏛️ 6. Government Policies Toward Cryptocurrencies
The official creation of the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve (held by the government) reflects a direct American move toward incorporating Bitcoin into reserve assets.
There are calls to include Bitcoin in the government treasury to protect it from the "debt crisis."
✅ Conclusion of the Impact
| Side | Impact |
| Dollar | Continued weakness due to debt drives investors to Bitcoin |
| House Market | Possible safe haven support but linked to volatility |
| Stablecoins | Stimulates the purchase of T-bills, may significantly impact liquidity |
| Policies | US government seriously considering incorporating Bitcoin into its reserves |
🧭 Cryptocurrency Investor Recommendations:
Use Bitcoin as a hedge against inflation (financial deflation).
Monitor bond volatility, as it is an indicator of upcoming volatility in digital assets.
Monitor regulatory legislation for stablecoins (GENIUS/STABLE Act).
Don't ignore the risks: Market volatility and the strong correlation between Bitcoin and stocks.

#USNationalDebt $BTC $BNB $ETH
1. 📊 Current Size of the US Debt
According to the Treasury Department's Debt to the Penny website, the total public debt (paid by and owed to the government itself) amounted to approximately $36.22 trillion as of June 17, 2025.

Breakdown of Debt:
Public Debt: approximately $28.9 trillion
Internal Debt (between governments): approximately $7.3 trillion
According to usdebtclock, the debt burden per American is approximately $106,482.
2. 🧮 Debt-to-GDP Ratio
Debt is estimated to be approximately 122–123% of GDP.
Exceeding 100% is considered an indicator of long-term fiscal fragility, as economists such as Ray Dalio and Ken Rogoff have warned.
3. 🚀 Growth Rates and Forecasts
The CBO forecasts spending to increase from 23.3% of GDP in 2025 to 26.6% by 2055, although revenues will increase at a slower pace (from 17.1% to 19.3%).
The EY QUEST report warns of declining economic growth ($340 billion in 2035, $1.1 trillion in 2055), millions of job losses, and delayed wages.
4. ⚠️ Risks and Challenges
Interest Cost: Interest paid on debt exceeded $579 billion in 2025, becoming the second largest item after Social Security.
Reduced Private Investment: Higher interest rates reduce companies' appetite for borrowing and investment, leading to reduced future growth.
Loss of Global Confidence: The debt crisis could diminish the role of Treasury bonds as a safe haven, as several economists have pointed out.
Risk of Interest Rate Manipulation: Under "Fiscal Dominance," the government may be forced to print money, leading to inflation and real damage to purchasing power.
5. 🧭 Positions and Statements from International and Financial Parties
Taiwan is concerned about the rapid increase in debt and the decline in investor confidence in US bonds.
BlackRock (Larry Fink) warns that the United States will enter a financial crisis if it does not achieve growth of approximately 3% annually.
Moody's downgraded the US credit rating from AAA to Aa1, warning that interest payments could rise to nearly match defence spending.
6. 💡 Political Response and Future Expectations
The "One Big Beautiful Bill," which includes tax cuts and spending increases, could add $2.8 to $5 trillion to the deficit over the next decade.
Senate Republicans are preparing to pass new legislation that would increase the deficit by $2.8 trillion.
Pressure on the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, amid fears that the economy will lose out in exchange for rapid refinancing.
7. 🛠️ Possible Reform and Policy Options
Increase tax revenue, especially for the wealthy, or raise the Social Security tax cap.
Cut spending by reviewing programs like Medicaid and SNAP while maintaining essential investments.
Effective budget controls: Enact laws that limit the annual deficit or debt-to-GDP ratio.
Spur economic growth by developing strategic plans to increase productivity and innovation, as BlackRock has called for.
🔍 Conclusion
| The Point | Evaluation |
| 🧾 Current Size | ~$36.2 Trillion, High Ratio of GDP |
| 💰 Potential Damage | Inflation, High Interest, Pressure on Growth |
| 📉 Investor Confidence | At Risk, Especially with Rating Downgrades |
| ⚠️ Are We Facing a Crisis? | It May Not Appear Suddenly, But the Trend Is Unsustainable |
| ✔️ Alternatives | Tax Reform, Spending Control, Debt Rationalization |
Moving toward a sustainable fiscal path requires a combination of spending packages, smart growth stimulus, and strict fiscal controls. Without these, the economy faces two options: gradual deterioration or a sudden financial crisis.
🏦 Which bank or banks are responsible for the national debt?
The Federal Reserve
Became the largest single holder of Treasury debt thanks to quantitative easing policies, with its net holdings swelling from about $1 trillion in 2010 to about $4.7 trillion by February 2025.
It now represents about 13–14% of the public debt, amounting to approximately $4.6–4.8 trillion.
U.S. Government Own Debt (Intrastate Debt)
This debt represents what the Social Security program and other intra-governmental trusts hold, amounting to about $7–7.7 trillion.
Domestic Creditors
Individuals, pension funds, domestic banks, insurance companies, and others account for about 15% of the public debt, amounting to approximately $15 trillion.
Foreign Creditors
Creditors outside the United States hold about $8.2 trillion, representing about 30–34% of the tradable debt.
The most prominent of them are Japan (about 1.09 trillion), China (780 billion) and the United Kingdom (690 billion).

#PowellRemarks $BTC $ETH

#MyTradingStyle #KouachiSignals $ETH
A detailed trading plan for Ethereum.
Scenario 1: Day Trading (based on 1h and 4h charts)
Buy Entry:🚀$ETH
Above 2,535 (with a breakout of the ascending triangle shown on 1h).
Volume: 70% of the position.
Targets:
2,580 (moderate resistance).
2,620 - 2,650 (partial take profit).
Stop Loss: Below 2,505 (below the 1h MA5).
Risk/Reward: 1:3 (e.g., $30 risk for $90 profit).
Scenario 2: Swing Trading (based on a daily chart)
Sell Entry:$ETH
At 2,580 - 2,600 (major resistance + convergence with the daily MA10).
Volume: 50% of the position.
Targets:
2,520 (immediate support).
2,480 (full take profit).
Stop Loss: Above 2,630 (strong resistance breakout).
Term: 3-5 days.
Scenario 3: Long Buy (based on all charts)
Entry Conditions:
Weekly close above 2,600.
Volume exceeds 3M.
Long Targets: 2,800-3,000 (2024 high).
Stop Loss: Below 2,450.
Conclusion:
Ethereum is showing short-term strength but faces critical resistance at 2,580-2,600. Your optimal strategy: Buy at 2,535 with a stop at 2,505 to target 2,580, or sell at 2,590 to target 2,480. Avoid heavy trading before testing these levels!