M2 money flow of the top 2 countries in the world:
United States: Starting to loosen quantitative easing (QE) again, relaxing the money flow - With the current situation, the likelihood of falling into recession is very high, the Fed cannot remain still.
China: Continuously pumping money, injecting hundreds of billions of dollars into the economy due to unstable conditions and Trump's tariffs.
- Economic instability -> Lower interest rates -> Printing money -> Printing money -> Printing money -> Prices of everything rise again -> Gold reaches new highs continuously -> Stocks surge -> Real estate will surge again -> And inflation again -> ...
⏳ This cycle has existed for hundreds of years, passing through many empires and civilizations. The question is: What stage are we in this cycle?
Understanding this means that investment will always be profitable 💵💵💵
President Trump proposed the "Future Account" – 1000$ for every newborn, which could provide a significant boost to the economy! 💰🚀
The idea is similar to cash support during COVID, when the market surged due to money being pumped in. Each child receives a contribution of $1000, which earns interest over time, boosting consumption and investment. In 2020, the direct cash distribution policy stimulated the stock market, real estate, and personal assets to rise sharply. Now, pumping money into children's accounts could continue to drive new cash flow, causing stocks, crypto, and land to soar.
If successful, the market will grow rapidly, but this could create a bubble and the world may not like it. Therefore, a type of common and fair asset will be sought after in the next 20 years (GOLD, CRYPTO).
GOLD will continuously increase in price if money is still being printed. (This has been clearly proven and anyone who invests knows this well) CRYPTO, a new type of asset, is not being sought after without reason and is gaining attention from young people.
This is like a "money pump – stimulus" strategy, opening up great opportunities but also not insignificant risks.
The inflow of money into BTC is being withdrawn while the inflow into ETH is increasing, indicating a shift at this important moment. This signals that altcoins may rise in price in the near future. 🔥🔥🔥
Interestingly, the 4-year cycle coincides with the Having Season, coincides with the new presidential election, coincides with the Fed entering a rate-cutting cycle, and coincides with the M2 money supply (preparing to be injected into the market).
The US-China tariff situation may have peaked; even if tariffs are increased further, it won't matter as they are already too high. All indicators regarding oil prices, soybean prices, and product prices are decreasing, which is a good sign for the Fed to continue lowering interest rates. And the reverse wave cycle will begin. 🎉🎉🎉
Nothing bad remains, everything has already happened.
The interest rate situation in the US: When "bad news is good news"
📉 GDP turns negative Recently, the US GDP figures officially recorded negative growth, indicating that the economy is struggling after several quarters of slow growth. This is a clear warning sign of recession risk. However, in the financial market, this is received in a different way – "bad news is good news".