Marcelo Amaral-Rosa
Professor universitário. Entusiasta do universo cripto e análise técnica desde 2018. Gosto de análise gráficas descomplicadas, simples e diretas. ;D
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#BTC | 21jan25 - 9:35 AM
Stock-to-Flow mathematical model: according to this mathematical model, BTC is predicted to have a price of 441k by the end of May. The model is based on the mining capacity and maximum projected quantity of BTC. If confirmed, it matches the projected time for BTC.D to fall, as shown in the graph. Conclusion: let's pray that the model is correct.
Stock-to-Flow mathematical model: according to this mathematical model, BTC is predicted to have a price of 441k by the end of May. The model is based on the mining capacity and maximum projected quantity of BTC. If confirmed, it matches the projected time for BTC.D to fall, as shown in the graph. Conclusion: let's pray that the model is correct.
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#AAVEUSDT | 20jan25 - 18h25
It is in a lateral macro trend, after a strong rise. Price has stretched 7% from fair. It is stretched from the EMA50 ~13%. It is inside a triangle, in the R region. It has already risen 22% today and has a candle with a large upper shadow. Correction is expected at the Fibo retracement. Conclusion: Short 3x (at market).
It is in a lateral macro trend, after a strong rise. Price has stretched 7% from fair. It is stretched from the EMA50 ~13%. It is inside a triangle, in the R region. It has already risen 22% today and has a candle with a large upper shadow. Correction is expected at the Fibo retracement. Conclusion: Short 3x (at market).
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#LINK | 20jan25 - 13h
It is very stretched from the averages (weekly). In addition, it is above the price by ~15%. It is in a resistance zone, with a lot of shadow. In the shorter time frames, it has a lot of shadow on the recent candles, respecting the R. Conclusion: Retraction with final target at EMA21.
It is very stretched from the averages (weekly). In addition, it is above the price by ~15%. It is in a resistance zone, with a lot of shadow. In the shorter time frames, it has a lot of shadow on the recent candles, respecting the R. Conclusion: Retraction with final target at EMA21.
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#BTC.Dominance | 20jan25 - 09h15
BTC dominance remains high and rising (~59%) with euphoria due to Trump's inauguration today. Altseason occurs after BTC reaches ~65-80%, as BTC needs to stabilize for money to migrate to altcoins. Conclusion: it is time to accumulate altcoins, as altseason will take some time. Forecast is mid-2025.
BTC dominance remains high and rising (~59%) with euphoria due to Trump's inauguration today. Altseason occurs after BTC reaches ~65-80%, as BTC needs to stabilize for money to migrate to altcoins. Conclusion: it is time to accumulate altcoins, as altseason will take some time. Forecast is mid-2025.
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#AAVE | 19jan25 - 13h30
Macro uptrend. Within a descending triangle formation. Support (~298) with a lot of shadow. Now, it is trying to break the resistance (340). Watch for a possible retraction after today's fch. Good entry zone at 300-290. Conclusion: wait until 21h for reanalysis.
Macro uptrend. Within a descending triangle formation. Support (~298) with a lot of shadow. Now, it is trying to break the resistance (340). Watch for a possible retraction after today's fch. Good entry zone at 300-290. Conclusion: wait until 21h for reanalysis.
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#TAO | 19 Jan 25 - 8:40 AM
It is inside a descending triangle, in a macro uptrend on the weekly basis. It is ~10% cheaper (30D). It will test support. There was a lack of interest in the asset (OBV). Probable RSI rebound in the oversold zone. It may be forming a W in the reversal zone. It did not make a bullish pivot at 4 am and 12 pm. Conclusion: wait for confirmation of support and reversal candle (hammer).
It is inside a descending triangle, in a macro uptrend on the weekly basis. It is ~10% cheaper (30D). It will test support. There was a lack of interest in the asset (OBV). Probable RSI rebound in the oversold zone. It may be forming a W in the reversal zone. It did not make a bullish pivot at 4 am and 12 pm. Conclusion: wait for confirmation of support and reversal candle (hammer).
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#TRUMP | 19jan25 - 8:20
The new crypto manipulation. This is what turns the crypto universe into a casino. The blatant manipulation around a public figure takes away credibility and the idea of decentralization. Conclusion: in the casino, roulette is more fun.
The new crypto manipulation. This is what turns the crypto universe into a casino. The blatant manipulation around a public figure takes away credibility and the idea of decentralization. Conclusion: in the casino, roulette is more fun.
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#ETH | 18jan25 - 21h
Weekly macro trend: bullish. Price at averages and fair (30D). Dominance remains between 56-58% and may increase further with Trump's inauguration on Monday. Buying pressure has decreased, but has been holding the price. Bullish pivot in the weekly in sight. Conclusion: buy.
Weekly macro trend: bullish. Price at averages and fair (30D). Dominance remains between 56-58% and may increase further with Trump's inauguration on Monday. Buying pressure has decreased, but has been holding the price. Bullish pivot in the weekly in sight. Conclusion: buy.
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#BTC | 18jan25 - 17h
Weekly macro trend: Sideways. It is slightly stretched from the averages and above the price by ~5% (30D). Dominance remains between 56-58% and may increase further with Trump's inauguration tomorrow. Buying pressure has remained optimistic since November. The 100-105 zone remains as strong resistance. Possible correction in sight. Conclusion: optimistic, with caution.
Weekly macro trend: Sideways. It is slightly stretched from the averages and above the price by ~5% (30D). Dominance remains between 56-58% and may increase further with Trump's inauguration tomorrow. Buying pressure has remained optimistic since November. The 100-105 zone remains as strong resistance. Possible correction in sight. Conclusion: optimistic, with caution.
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#PENDLE |18jan25 - 14h25
Bullish macro trend (EMA200). It is ~6% cheaper 30D. Bullish pivot on 4h. Price in the average crossover zone, after hitting an important support line on the weekly. Potential ~20% in the short term. Conclusion: I buy.
Bullish macro trend (EMA200). It is ~6% cheaper 30D. Bullish pivot on 4h. Price in the average crossover zone, after hitting an important support line on the weekly. Potential ~20% in the short term. Conclusion: I buy.
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Crypto in 1min | ETH
| January 17, 2025 | 8:30 p.m.
It's an interesting time for anyone looking to build a position. It overcame the resistance of the "cup handle", despite little buying strength on the weekly basis. It is at an acceptable price, given the expected potential. Possible targets between 8 and 13k USD. Conclusion: Good area for accumulation.
It's an interesting time for anyone looking to build a position. It overcame the resistance of the "cup handle", despite little buying strength on the weekly basis. It is at an acceptable price, given the expected potential. Possible targets between 8 and 13k USD. Conclusion: Good area for accumulation.
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Altseason 2025: Previsão meio do ano
A Dominância do #BTC segue na casa dos 57%. Assim, com base no gráfico, pode-se perceber que vem respeitando bem o triângulo ascendente formado. Se seguir assim, a tão esperado altseason de 2025 deve ficar para a metade do ano.
Conclusão: é hora de aportar em boas altcoins, acender um maço de velas e rezar para que tudo saia conforme o planejado.
Conclusão: é hora de aportar em boas altcoins, acender um maço de velas e rezar para que tudo saia conforme o planejado.
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What are the main moving averages?
I like to use 4.
1. EMA7 = Weekly trend.
2. EMA21 = Short-term trend.
3. EMA50 = Medium-term trend.
4. EMA200 = Long-term trend.
I like to use 4.
1. EMA7 = Weekly trend.
2. EMA21 = Short-term trend.
3. EMA50 = Medium-term trend.
4. EMA200 = Long-term trend.
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A cripto está cara ou barata?
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Crypto in 1min | DONE
FET | 17jan25 - 16h28
| 17jan25 - 16h28
Clear triangle pattern. Crypto that tends to grow a lot with the AI sector. Price is fair (30D). First target around +10%, which could reach ~170%, if it finds the historical top, after breaking the triangle resistance.Conclusion: good entry area, with good potential.
| 17jan25 - 16h28
Clear triangle pattern. Crypto that tends to grow a lot with the AI sector. Price is fair (30D). First target around +10%, which could reach ~170%, if it finds the historical top, after breaking the triangle resistance.Conclusion: good entry area, with good potential.
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Crypto in 1min | Avax
Weekly chart.
Ready to take off 145%?
Ready to take off 145%?
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"W" invertido??? Como assim??? Tem um W se formando nitidamente, concordo plenamente. PS. "W" invertido é "M"
thaitraderoficial
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‼️Who is positioned at #AVAX ??
Let's keep an eye on it, because in the daily we have an OCOI indicating a "leg up" that should reach $50 - 52 soon, the movement is almost over.
$AVAX
Let's keep an eye on it, because in the daily we have an OCOI indicating a "leg up" that should reach $50 - 52 soon, the movement is almost over.
$AVAX
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In this RSI setup, it looks to me like there will be a lot of divergence ahead.
$BTC Really sorry to tell you guys but the chart says otherwise.
The monthly RSI from March 2024 to Nov 2024 have hidden bearish divergence. Meaning we are likely to see the $BTC price in the box between $65000 - $73500, in coming weeks and months, before actually going up.
Bad for btc is bad for alts.
Check my pinned post and date and time when I posted and the price action.
This is completely my opinion and my idea based on how I analyze charts and markets, and I will not be responsible for you guys buying or selling, while you are using your fingers to do it. Good luck. Invest safely.
$SOLV for tag only.
The monthly RSI from March 2024 to Nov 2024 have hidden bearish divergence. Meaning we are likely to see the $BTC price in the box between $65000 - $73500, in coming weeks and months, before actually going up.
Bad for btc is bad for alts.
Check my pinned post and date and time when I posted and the price action.
This is completely my opinion and my idea based on how I analyze charts and markets, and I will not be responsible for you guys buying or selling, while you are using your fingers to do it. Good luck. Invest safely.
$SOLV for tag only.
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