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$BTC Due to the Trump administration's back-and-forth on import tariffs, market panic escalated. The U.S. stock market continued to decline on Friday after the University of Michigan survey showed deterioration in consumer confidence and a surge in inflation expectations. However, with Federal Reserve voting member Collins stating that they are 'absolutely' ready to help stabilize the market if necessary, and a glitch in the U.S. tariff reporting system, all three major stock indexes gained some breathing room. Combined with Wednesday's intraday reversal, the U.S. stock market recorded its best single-week performance in over a year.

#美国半导体关税 Due to the Trump administration's flip-flopping on import tariffs, market panic has escalated. The US stock market continued its decline on Friday after a University of Michigan survey showed a deterioration in consumer confidence and a surge in inflation expectations. However, as Federal Reserve voting member Collins stated that they are 'absolutely' prepared to stabilize the market if necessary, and with a glitch in the US tariff declaration system, all three major stock indices gained some breathing room. Coupled with Wednesday's intraday reversal, the US stock market recorded its best single-week performance in over a year.

$BTC Although the big pie can be let down by everyone, the big pie will not let everyone down. The big pie has successfully broken through and stabilized at 83500.
The next position to challenge is 85500. If it can stabilize above 85500, it will be really good.
The big pie breaks through 85342 with volume, and the hourly closing price is above 85342, so enter a long position on the right side. Set a stop loss if it breaks.
If it breaks 85216 with volume and fails to recover on the rebound, enter a short position on the right side, and set a stop loss if it recovers. Pay attention to changes in volume, and manage your stop loss carefully.
At 83528, there is a false breakdown. Recover with a light long position. Set a stop loss at the low point of the false breakdown or if it breaks 82747. If there is no recovery action, do not go long.

#加密市场反弹 One can disappoint the world, but the world will not disappoint one; Bitcoin has successfully broken through and stabilized at 83500.
The next challenge will be the position of 85500. If it can stabilize at 85500, things will really improve.
Bitcoin has broken through 85342 with volume, and the hourly closing price is above 85342, which indicates going long on the right side, with a stop loss if it breaks.
At 85216, a volume-driven drop failed to recover, indicating going short on the right side, with a stop loss if it recovers. Pay attention to changes in volume and manage your stop loss carefully.
At 83528, a false break below occurred; recover lightly and add one more position, with stop loss at the false break low or if it breaks below 82747. Do not go long if there is no recovery action.

$ETH Haha.
Back to the market, Bitcoin is currently testing a peak of 82900 and facing resistance around 83500. As long as it doesn't drop below 81000 on the four-hour chart, the bullish trend remains intact. Wait for a small-scale pullback in Bitcoin to observe 82300-81760 for short-term long positions. For upper resistance levels, watch 85500-88000 for short positions at these two levels.

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Brothers, the United States has called for a 90-day halt on tariffs, and the crypto market immediately rebounded. Many people thought they could finally breathe a sigh of relief, but this is just a smokescreen. The real risks have never left, especially with Eastern powers' tariffs skyrocketing to 125%. The global situation will only become more turbulent. Now is the time to calmly assess your asset allocation; don't let a temporary market surge cloud your judgment. Set stop-losses where needed, diversify risks where possible, and protecting your assets is far more important than chasing highs. Don't forget, the crypto market has never lacked surprises or unexpected events. So, brothers, how you should act, you must decide for yourselves, and I wish you all the best.

Last night, after the CPI was released, we continued to suggest a shorting strategy, targeting 80,000 and 78,000 respectively. The price of Bitcoin fluctuated and declined from the 82,500 level, accelerating downwards to reach the 78,400 level during the early morning hours. The movement basically met expectations, and congratulations to friends who kept up with the rhythm and profited from exiting!
On the daily chart, after a strong upward movement, it reached the middle track and faced pressure. The K-line turned from bullish to bearish, and the price broke below the key support level of 0.618. After breaking below the EMA15 trend line, the bearish trend continued to decline. Currently, although there is a rebound, the bearish trend is obvious. The indicators show a decrease in volume and accumulation with K-line divergence downwards, and the DIF and DEA lines are obstructed with signs of continued downward expansion. It is expected that after the correction, there will still be a demand for further decline.

$BTC Just now, the news caused a crash that hit our long positions
For now, let's hold on and wait for the U.S. stock market to open at 9:30
Normally, there should be a rebound today; if by midnight the big coin can’t recover above 78000, then it’s another guillotine.
The news really can't control the long and short positions of $BTC
If it can recover above 78000, 82000 is definitely on the way.

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The short-term focus should be on the resistance level of 84000. If it continues to pull back, Bitcoin may break a new low, or form a secondary low before rising again. This morning's movement has already exhausted part of the bulls' strength.
Trading suggestion: Aggressive investors can short directly at the current price of 80800, and it's advised to short again after filling the gap at 81500~82000, with a stop-loss set above 83000.

The tariff war of $ETH will not stop, and may even escalate into a regional war, but for Wang, it is all just a trivial matter, not affecting the fundamental issues.
The financial market has certainly not been good recently; both sides are testing the limits of economic collapse, seeing which side will crack first.
The cryptocurrency market has seen a recent surge, but it should be quite small; a rebound still requires an opportunity. However, a continued plunge is also possible. On the 10th, Wang will begin to implement countermeasures against tariffs. It can be said that nothing will change.
Wang's citizens will blame all this hardship on the American king. The world is in chaos, but this is just a temporary situation that will eventually come to an end.

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Unprecedented! China's Tariff Policy on No. 10 May Change, Will the Market Rebound?
Previously, China announced a 34% tariff on U.S. goods starting April 10, but now it seems this timing is very delicate. I believe China is unlikely to actually take action directly on the 10th, but rather will engage in a tug-of-war with the U.S. government, putting on a show. Why? Because if they directly impose a 34% tariff, the market will definitely plummet, and neither side wants to see that kind of situation.

$BTC BTC plummeting into a bottomless pit? Don't be afraid! 70,000 dollars is the real bottom set by the big players!
Today, Bitcoin plunged down like a roller coaster, while the Nasdaq only dropped 4%. BTC instantly broke through 81,000, heading straight for 77,000. It may seem like panic, but it's actually a setup!
Three core logic points are made clear:
True support at 70,000: 77,000 can't hold anything, the real fortress is 70,000. Just looking at the daily chart makes it clear, the resistance at 84,000 has become a dead weight, while the true bottom is hidden below.
US stocks' downward trend is not over: If the Nasdaq replicates the 2020 trend, it still needs to drop another 8%, which means BTC could fall another 10% down to stabilize at 70,000. This wave of correlation is too precise, like a script that has been well-written.

From a broader overall trend perspective, I do not recommend everyone to chase short-term bullish trends.
The bearish position has remained relatively strong, especially during the recent consecutive 4-hour cycles, where the bearish performance has been robust.
In this situation, I prefer to wait for a rebound to establish a bearish position, as I previously mentioned in my aggressive strategy (see the image below), shorting at the fib level rather than chasing bullish opportunities.
I still maintain this view: when reaching the fib level (such as 0.382), it can be considered to short. Although this could also be an opportunity to catch a rebound, I do not believe the rebound will last long, at least not at this moment.

$BTC $BTC
BTC's current trend. According to technical analysis, a divergence on the daily chart has not yet appeared, and it has consistently remained below the 7-day moving average. Meanwhile, the MACD is also below the zero axis, and various technical indicators show weakness. Is there a likelihood of breaking below previous lows? It is highly probable. In April, it seems that a reversal trend will not occur; currently, we are still in a downtrend. There may be a rebound, and it can be played with a small position. It is very difficult to determine where the bottom is, but one thing is for sure: BTC is definitely the most resilient to declines. To avoid risk, if you can't control your impulses, just play with BTC. It is not suitable for large positions at the moment; controlling your hands is essentially controlling your capital.

Have you ever encountered a situation in trading where a profitable position was closed too early due to a misjudgment of the market, or held onto it out of greed only to end up with a loss?
Why does this happen? What should we do?
This is actually a problem with your trading strategy. You may often hear the phrase 'let the profits run for a while,' but how can you truly achieve this? You need to learn to use 'trailing stop losses or trailing take profits.' To achieve long-term positive returns in the investment market, in addition to learning how to stop losses during a downturn, you must also learn to reasonably apply trailing stop losses when you have profits.

When investing, it is important to diversify, which brings to mind the famous saying, "Don't put all your eggs in one basket." Perhaps there should also be a second part to this saying: At the same time, be careful not to let all the baskets be on the same vehicle.
In the process of asset allocation, it is necessary to be extra cautious of "pseudo-diversification." Pseudo-diversification appears to be a diversified allocation on the surface, but the underlying drivers of asset returns are highly similar. Therefore, when the market fluctuates, their performance tends to converge, failing to truly mitigate risk.

#比特币对抗市场 $BTC
The current trend of BTC, according to technical analysis, the divergence on the daily chart has not yet appeared, it has consistently remained below the 7-day moving average, and the MACD is also below the zero line. Various technical indicators show weakness. Is it likely to break below the previous low? The probability is high. It seems that a reversal trend will not occur in April; currently, it is still a downward trend. There may be a rebound, which can be played with a small position. It's hard to determine where the bottom is, but it can be confirmed that BTC is definitely the most resilient to declines. To avoid risks, if you can't control your impulses, just play with BTC. Currently, it is not suitable for large positions; controlling your hand is essentially controlling your capital.