1. According to market expectations and the Federal Reserve's statement, the Fed decided to maintain the federal funds rate unchanged at 4.25%–4.50% during this meeting. No new economic forecast dot plot was released (the next update will be in the June meeting), and the wording of the statement was similar to previous ones, continuing to emphasize points such as 'the labor market is robust and inflation is slightly above target.' The FOMC's decision to hold steady confirmed the strong performance of previous employment data while showing that the Fed remains cautious under the shadow of tariff uncertainty.
2. In the press conference, Powell's tone was generally seen as dovish. Market analysts pointed out that if Powell emphasizes economic downside risks (rather than inflation pressures), it would further strengthen expectations for interest rate cuts. He previously stated, 'All options for action are on the table,' leading the market to speculate that the Fed may seek to cut rates in the future. Crypto market observers believe that if this speech leans dovish, Bitcoin prices will be boosted; if it leans hawkish, it may come under pressure.
3. Historical data shows that Bitcoin's momentum often slows before FOMC meetings, with significant price volatility increasing after the meetings. Analysts believe: if Powell's speech is dovish, Bitcoin may break through short-term resistance and challenge the $100,000 level; conversely, if it is hawkish, Bitcoin may short-term retreat to around $91,000. Overall, after the announcement of this meeting, Bitcoin may experience significant fluctuations and higher volatility. #最近的一笔交易 #比特币预测
Bitcoin has recently become more volatile. At the end of April, Bitcoin rebounded from 82K to about 94K (Cointelegraph), and after entering May, it briefly fell back to around 95K (May 5). , and then rose again to around 97.3K on the evening of May 6 . In general, the spot price of BTC fluctuated upward in the range of 94K-98K. In the contract market, the price of Binance BTC perpetual contract basically changed synchronously with the spot price, and the long-short game was fierce. Cointelegraph reported that bulls increased their positions near 94.4K, and the futures open interest increased by about 2,000 contracts (≈US$189 million) in a few hours, and the trading volume also increased by 15%, indicating that the buying power is still strong.