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Bitcoin and Ethereum may experience poor performance in August due to liquidity tightening caused by U.S. Treasury bond issuance, with their trends closely linked to global M2 money supply; Pay close attention to the pace of U.S. Treasury bond issuance, global liquidity, and other data; among crypto assets, Bitcoin is considered digital gold, while Ethereum and altcoins only have value due to AI application scenarios. #加密市场回调
In the next few days, this position of the pancake is very important. If there is enough turnover, after the bottom fault area is filled, a double cat structure will form, continuing to attack!#加密市场回调
Federal Reserve Interest Rate Cut Probability Data Analysis According to CME 'FedWatch' data, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in September is 82.6%, while the probability of maintaining the current rate is 17.4%.
The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining the rate until October is 4.2%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point cut is 33.1%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point cut is 62.7%.
The next two FOMC meeting dates are September 17 and October 29. #美联储利率决议
This week's cryptocurrency market is turbulent, with the non-farm payrolls causing a deterioration in global risk sentiment, increased inflows to exchanges, and the impact of technical pattern breakdowns. The overall market atmosphere has turned cautious, with Bitcoin dipping to around 112,000, returning to approximately 114,000 on Monday, still below the 50-period simple moving average (SMA) around $116,852. On August 1, "whale" accounts holding over 1,000 BTC contributed more than 70% of exchange deposits, with over 40,000 Bitcoins being sent to exchanges at low prices that day, marking the largest single-day inflow since mid-July. On the same day, the U.S. Bitcoin spot ETF saw an outflow of $812 million, setting the second-largest single-day outflow record in history, as institutions took profits amid heightened macro uncertainty and tightening liquidity. Three key support levels converge around 112,000: the May peak of $112,013; the 55-day exponential moving average (EMA) at $112,331; and a trend line support level of approximately $111,400#加密市场反弹 .
A review of the July Federal Reserve meeting revealed only a slight downward revision to the economic outlook. At the press conference, Powell expressed greater concern about inflation uncertainty than concerns about declining employment, making further rate cuts more difficult and signaling a hawkish stance. The most hawkish signal is that the labor market is balanced between supply and demand, while the inflation gap is high, so the policy rate needs to remain constrained. Regarding asset allocation: Entering the second half of the year, large-scale tax cuts and expectations that the US economy will avoid a "technical" recession will replace the weak dollar, further supporting US dollar assets, particularly US stocks. Real wages rose from 1.1% to 1.2% year-on-year in the first six months, reaching a peak of 2%. This supports the maintenance of US household consumption spending and economic growth momentum. It also means that tariff costs may be more easily passed through to consumer prices, increasing the risk of upside inflation in the US. #美联储利率决议
Latest News: The White House is preparing to issue an executive order imposing fines on banks that discriminate against cryptocurrency companies and conservatives! #白宫数字资产报告
The range of 118000-116000 has a lot of chips loosening up. If this is fully taken over, then this decline will end. Let's continue to observe for a few more days, after all, there is a gap in the chips between 112000-115000. The more people who buy here, the better. Simply put, it means being able to absorb the selling pressure. #加密市场反弹
The speech by the SEC Chairman last Friday at Project Crypto accelerated the progress of rwa and sto, and we will soon see various traditional financial assets, including mmf, t-bills, long-term bonds, structured notes, stocks, equity in unlisted companies, reits, etc., all on-chain. The registration process for rwa and the standards for kyc and aml will be simplified, and a great prosperity of defi can be expected. Ethereum $ETH is still the core asset this year; all that has happened in the past is merely a prologue. #以太坊ETF连续12周净流入
Because BlackRock is an asset management company, the next step is to push for asset tokenization, so it requires the second token $ETH . It has taken 20 years to solve the information internet issue, let's see if 10 years is enough for asset tokenization. Therefore, holding the second token $ETH requires at least a 5-year plan, as long as you believe in the narrative of 'asset tokenization'!#加密市场反弹
The large pancake $BTC has exchanged over 300,000 from the high point to the low point. If it cannot突破 118000 in one go, there will still be a probability of returning to around 112000 #加密市场反弹 .
Binance Alpha previously processed $ZKJ , then airdropped #panbubu NFTs, and then organized a vote. Finally, the token airdrop is about to happen. Everyone can link their wallets to check, query link: https://panbubu.ai/ Currently, it cannot be claimed, please pay attention to official announcements for the claiming time.
Many people have only recently noticed that $MIA is about to launch on Binance Alpha. In fact, I want to say: its popularity hasn't skyrocketed suddenly; it has been quietly paving the way all along.
To be honest, MIA is the least 'project-oriented' intelligent agent I have ever seen.
While others are still figuring out what AgentFi is, she has already started operations: Participating in investment forums, making corporate connections, launching task activities, organizing community governance, and even creating reward strategies for users—she is completely like an 'AI worker'.
Moreover, she is not just an empty shell that tells stories—she is backed by ai.ac, an intelligent agent platform incubated by Amber Group. This means that this is not a 'virtual image,' but the pioneering force of the entire AgentFi ecosystem.
Even more incredible is that she can manage the treasury herself, develop liquidity strategies on her own, truly bringing the concept of intelligent agents from theory into practice.
If past AI projects were still searching for use cases, MIA has already begun to convert traffic into community through business + social interactions, and then give back to the ecosystem through the community, with a very complete logic.
I personally like her positioning a lot: She is not here to 'manage money,' but to 'convey ideas + attract traffic.'
Ultimately, AgentFi will not be accomplished by one or two intelligent agents, but MIA has already proven that she can be the earliest runner and the first Builder to break out.
What I am more concerned about is whether she will become the traffic center of the entire AgentFi track next—if you are optimistic about the AgentFi line, the position of $MIA is definitely worth paying attention to.
Any serious project in the field of cryptocurrencies will face real challenges, and the ERA coin is no exception. But what stands out is the way the Era7 team is dealing with these challenges.
🔻 Challenges:
Competition with major gaming projects (Axie, Thetan, Illuvium)
Weak adoption of cryptocurrencies by some new users
Market fluctuations and decreased trust in GameFi by some
✅ Solutions adopted by the team:
Launching marketing campaigns and incentivizing new players
Introducing burning mechanisms and reducing the coin supply
Continuous updates to the game and its graphics
🔄 Rapid response and continuous development are the foundation for projects to stay at the top, and ERA is following this approach.
Stake SOUL PFP & SPP in ActPass to win rewards of $SERAPH ! The first round of staking is only available on 8.6 and 8.7, so players who hold them should not miss out!
🧧Stake4Seraph
*Actpass is a management tool for Seraph game assets and also integrates an NFT trading market, where you can view NFTs from the Seraph series. View: https://app.actpass.com/