小马pro

ETH just dropped below $3700, and the whole circle instantly panicked, with a bunch of people starting to shout that it’s over. In reality, it comes down to poor risk control. To put it bluntly, many people simply do not have the ability to cope with normal fluctuations, heavily investing at a slight rise and panicking at a slight drop, with no position management at all.

Based on my years of watching and observing, the vast majority of people who make money do so during a bull market where everything takes off, and they just buy with their eyes closed. However, this kind of market may be hard to see in the future. Even if it does, it’s more likely to be a structural rotation in specific sectors, relying on rhythm and direction rather than blindly holding.

According to the current liquidation map, the market is currently dominated by short positions. Based on the current Bitcoin price around $117,700, if the market fluctuates within $2,000 in either direction, rising again to around $119,700 is expected to result in a cumulative potential liquidation of approximately $1.02 billion in shorts. Conversely, if the market falls to around $115,700, it is expected to lead to a cumulative potential liquidation of approximately $1.184 billion in longs. Yesterday, Bitcoin spot ETF saw a net outflow of $83.4 million, while Ethereum spot ETF had a net outflow of $5.1 million.
Market direction is primarily sideways, with the current market and Ethereum trends indicating a general daily level of consolidation. The market is currently more focused on upcoming news, and caution is needed to prevent large fluctuations. Additionally, most altcoins have slowly retraced, and the strategy for Ethereum remains unchanged, focusing on short-term waves. Furthermore, pay close attention to US-China trade negotiation news; if substantial progress can be made, it would be a boon for various financial sectors, helping to avoid another large fluctuation.

According to the current liquidation map, long positions were liquidated last night, and the market is currently dominated by short positions. Based on the current Bitcoin price around $117,900, if the market fluctuates by $2,000 up or down and rises again to around $119,900, it is expected that approximately $770 million worth of short positions could be liquidated. Conversely, if the market falls to around $115,900, about $1.248 billion worth of long positions could be liquidated. The net outflow for Bitcoin spot ETFs yesterday was $21.2 million, and for Ethereum spot ETFs, it was $17.6 million.
In terms of Ethereum's trend, the daily chart is still in a sideways consolidation. As the end of the month approaches, more market-moving news is likely to dominate market trends. The market has entered a wait-and-see phase for major directional changes, and as Ethereum slightly corrects, most altcoins have also followed suit, so short-term trading should focus on short-term swings until news comes out.

According to the current liquidation map, short positions are being liquidated gradually. Based on the current Bitcoin price around $119,500, if the market fluctuates up and down by $2,000, and rises again to around $121,500, it is estimated that the cumulative amount of liquidated shorts will be about $960 million. Conversely, if the market drops to around $117,500, it is estimated that the cumulative amount of liquidated longs will be about $534 million.
The market direction is bullish. From the current market trend, the daily chart is overall still in a bullish sideways consolidation. The overall market sentiment is still in a state of greed, and with the favorable news coming for Ethereum's 10th anniversary, I believe Ethereum will have another wave of increase, and altcoins will also continue to rebound. Therefore, the strategy remains to buy the dips.

According to the current liquidation map, long positions are being gradually liquidated. Based on the current Bitcoin price around $117,600, if the market fluctuates $2,000 up or down, to around $119,600, the cumulative liquidated short amount is expected to be about $550 million. Conversely, if the market drops to around $115,600, the cumulative liquidated long amount is expected to be about $2 billion. Yesterday, Bitcoin spot ETF saw an inflow of $194 million, and Ethereum ETF spot saw an inflow of $231 million.
The overall market direction appears to be trending downward on the daily chart, with short-term fluctuations expected to continue within a daily range. As for when a real trend reversal might occur, we can only continue to observe and wait. Ethereum is also primarily in a sideways trend, with daily fluctuations still possible, but overall altcoins are experiencing some pullback. If altcoins wish to rebound further, more attention must be paid to Ethereum's movements. Personally, I believe that as the end of the month approaches, the market will shift to a wait-and-see approach, so short-term strategies should focus on swing trading.

According to the current liquidation map, the market is currently in a relative balance between long and short positions. Based on the current Bitcoin price of around $118,800, if the market fluctuates by another $2,000 and rises to around $120,800 again, the cumulative amount of short positions that can be liquidated is expected to be approximately $2 billion. Conversely, if the market falls to around $116,800, the cumulative amount of long positions that can be liquidated is expected to be approximately $988 million. Bitcoin spot ETF saw an outflow of $228 million yesterday, and Ethereum spot ETF saw an inflow of $7.6 million yesterday.
As for the market direction, the daily line continues to fluctuate sideways. At present, the overall market 4H and daily level are still in the oscillating area, while the Ethereum daily level has entered a oscillating downward trend. It is necessary to pay attention to whether Ethereum will fall below. Once it falls below, Ethereum will almost continue to pull back, and this round of rise will almost be over. At the same time, it is not difficult to find that as Ethereum pulls back, many altcoins have begun to pull back, so those who buy at a relatively high level should pay more attention.

According to the current liquidation map, the market is still predominantly bullish. Based on the current Bitcoin price around $12,000, if the market fluctuates up and down by $2,000 and rises again to around $12,200, it is expected that approximately $1.7 billion in shorts may be liquidated. Conversely, if the market drops to around $11,800, about $1.2 billion in longs could be liquidated; there has been no inflow or outflow of funds in Bitcoin spot ETFs yesterday, while Ethereum ETF saw an inflow of $108 million.
In terms of the overall market direction, the daily chart continues to oscillate sideways. Currently, both the 4H and daily levels are still in a consolidation area, and Ethereum is also entering a phase of consolidation. Whether there will be another independent rally later depends on further observation, so we still focus on short-term and swing trading.

According to the current liquidation map, the market remains dominated by bears. Based on the current Bitcoin price around $116,800, if the market fluctuates up or down by $2,000, rising again to around $118,800, the cumulative liquidated short amount is expected to be about $6.9 billion. Conversely, if the market drops to around $114,800, the cumulative liquidated long amount is expected to be about $1.6 billion. Yesterday, $131 million flowed out of Bitcoin spot ETFs, while $195 million flowed into Ethereum spot ETFs.
In terms of market direction, the daily chart is overall in a sideways consolidation leaning toward a short-term focus on whether the market will break below the consolidation range, and Ethereum's unilateral upward trend during this time has also driven the rebound of altcoins. Of course, the current unilateral upward trend of Ethereum is still ongoing, but it is important to note that there are many shorts accumulated above Ethereum that need to be monitored.

According to the current liquidation map, the market is still dominated by short positions. Based on the current Bitcoin price around $117,200, if the market fluctuates by another $2,000 up or down, and rises to around $119,200, it is expected that the cumulative amount of short positions liquidated will be about $654 million. Conversely, if the market falls to around $115,200, the cumulative amount of long positions liquidated is estimated to be about $1 billion.
As for the overall market direction, the daily chart shows a slightly downward oscillation. Currently, the market is in a downward oscillating trend, and the overall swing is not very large. However, it is important to be cautious if the market breaks below the support level, and for Ethereum, the daily trend still shows an upward trajectory. Even if the overall market corrects, Ethereum’s performance remains strong. There are capable altcoins that have already risen alongside Ethereum, showing significant gains, thus the market is also in a state of greed.

According to the current liquidation map, the market still leans towards bullish dominance. Based on the current Bitcoin price around $119,500, if the market fluctuates up and down by $2,000 and rises again to around $121,500, it is expected that approximately $930 million in short positions could be liquidated. Conversely, if the market drops to around $117,500, it is expected that approximately $1.2 billion in long positions could be liquidated.
The Bitcoin spot ETF saw an inflow of $5.3 million yesterday, while the Ethereum spot ETF had an inflow of $34.3 million.

The overall market direction is still in a consolidation phase on the daily chart. From the current market trend, although there was a quick rise last night mainly due to some news impact, it has not effectively broken out of the consolidation range. Therefore, the market still needs to consolidate and gather momentum for a real trend change. Additionally, regarding Ethereum, it is still slightly fluctuating, but from the daily view, Ethereum appears relatively healthy, remaining in an upward trend, and could continue to have a separate rally. Personally, I believe it is advisable to continue buying on dips while also remembering to set stop-loss orders when building positions. Don't fear a loss of ten thousand, just fear the one in ten thousand.