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The weekend altcoin market is crazy, but the overall market performance is mediocre. Bitcoin and Ethereum have not shown upward trends and have been in a weak adjustment instead. This morning, Bitcoin has already fallen below 115000, and the 4-hour trend does not look good. We may need to re-verify the 110000 USD level;
On the altcoin side, Aster has already given us direction, and there will be a bunch of perpetuals coming out on-chain soon. However, we will focus only on a few influential ones, such as LIGHTER and EDGEX, etc.; additionally, we need to pay attention to Xlaery's perpetual, as this project will definitely present a big opportunity;
On the 25th of this week, XPL will be launched, and we will see the opportunities in the stablecoin track at that time. Currently, there aren't many coins in the stablecoin track, such as ena, xpl, stbl, etc.
On the altcoin side, Aster has already given us direction, and there will be a bunch of perpetuals coming out on-chain soon. However, we will focus only on a few influential ones, such as LIGHTER and EDGEX, etc.; additionally, we need to pay attention to Xlaery's perpetual, as this project will definitely present a big opportunity;
On the 25th of this week, XPL will be launched, and we will see the opportunities in the stablecoin track at that time. Currently, there aren't many coins in the stablecoin track, such as ena, xpl, stbl, etc.
See original
The explosion of altcoins will happen within three months, bottom-fishing for three altcoins with a future growth of 10 times!
Talk about the overall situation of the altcoin market
For momentum-based trading of altcoins, the essence is to catch the breakout at the first moment of trend initiation and seize that acceleration phase. Now, in many altcoins, we can see relatively standard structural setups, especially after a few months of compression and consolidation. Once a breakout occurs with increased volume, it is highly likely to experience an acceleration phase.
If the macro environment in Q4 continues to be favorable, the focus should be on momentum. This is because altcoin starts often happen very quickly, and if you wait for confirmation before chasing, the profit margin becomes small. Therefore, the role of filters and scanners is to screen potential targets in advance.
For momentum-based trading of altcoins, the essence is to catch the breakout at the first moment of trend initiation and seize that acceleration phase. Now, in many altcoins, we can see relatively standard structural setups, especially after a few months of compression and consolidation. Once a breakout occurs with increased volume, it is highly likely to experience an acceleration phase.
If the macro environment in Q4 continues to be favorable, the focus should be on momentum. This is because altcoin starts often happen very quickly, and if you wait for confirmation before chasing, the profit margin becomes small. Therefore, the role of filters and scanners is to screen potential targets in advance.
See original
Bitcoin and Ethereum have performed moderately in the past few days, but altcoins are quite active, with various altcoins rising to different degrees. At this time, everyone must avoid FOMO (Fear of Missing Out), as chasing highs in the current market can easily lead to losses.
In the second half of the year, it is essential to pay more attention to stablecoin-related sectors, contract-related sectors, and AI-related sectors, as these have already established themselves as certain trends.
Bitcoin is crawling slowly on the 4-hour level; although it is slow, it is relatively steady, and the current trend is quite good. We anticipate an ATH (All-Time High) by the end of the month.
In the second half of the year, it is essential to pay more attention to stablecoin-related sectors, contract-related sectors, and AI-related sectors, as these have already established themselves as certain trends.
Bitcoin is crawling slowly on the 4-hour level; although it is slow, it is relatively steady, and the current trend is quite good. We anticipate an ATH (All-Time High) by the end of the month.
See original
A slow bull market is about to begin, with three types of altcoins that could rise tenfold!
The Federal Reserve lowered interest rates by 25 basis points as expected
Summarized Powell's speech
The U.S. economy is in a tug-of-war: Inflation is stubborn, and employment is declining. Economic growth has dropped from 2.5% to 1.5%, the unemployment rate has risen to 4.3%, and new jobs are averaging only 29,000 per month; however, inflation remains between 2.7% and 2.9%.
The Federal Reserve can only weigh: Employment risk > Inflation risk, so it slightly lowered rates by 0.25% while continuing to reduce its balance sheet.
Forecasting an interest rate of 3.6% by the end of the year and 3.1% in 2027, which means there should be two more rate cuts this year, but this is just a guess, not a commitment.
A one-sentence summary of Powell's speech: Lowering interest rates is a necessary move to save jobs, but we cannot let go completely.
Summarized Powell's speech
The U.S. economy is in a tug-of-war: Inflation is stubborn, and employment is declining. Economic growth has dropped from 2.5% to 1.5%, the unemployment rate has risen to 4.3%, and new jobs are averaging only 29,000 per month; however, inflation remains between 2.7% and 2.9%.
The Federal Reserve can only weigh: Employment risk > Inflation risk, so it slightly lowered rates by 0.25% while continuing to reduce its balance sheet.
Forecasting an interest rate of 3.6% by the end of the year and 3.1% in 2027, which means there should be two more rate cuts this year, but this is just a guess, not a commitment.
A one-sentence summary of Powell's speech: Lowering interest rates is a necessary move to save jobs, but we cannot let go completely.
See original
Last night, the interest rate was cut by 25 basis points, which had already been digested by the market, so there wasn't much movement after the rate cut. However, some projects like eigen and avax started early because there were no more worries, so they can continue to be a focus later on;
After last night's rate cut, the market is now speculating on the rate cut expectations for October and December, so the market in the second half of the year shouldn't be bad. At this time, we should be energized and work hard on research;
Currently, besides the perpetual track, the market also has the stablecoin track and the meme track, so we should focus on the leaders in these tracks, and projects that haven't issued tokens yet should be actively participated in;
There isn't much to analyze about Bitcoin; the 4-hour level has already started, and the next step is an increase. The estimate for ATH is also coming soon.
After last night's rate cut, the market is now speculating on the rate cut expectations for October and December, so the market in the second half of the year shouldn't be bad. At this time, we should be energized and work hard on research;
Currently, besides the perpetual track, the market also has the stablecoin track and the meme track, so we should focus on the leaders in these tracks, and projects that haven't issued tokens yet should be actively participated in;
There isn't much to analyze about Bitcoin; the 4-hour level has already started, and the next step is an increase. The estimate for ATH is also coming soon.
See original
On Saturday, the altcoin market surged wildly, with #doge leading the way as meme coins began to take off. #moodeng, #pnut, #pepe, and others saw significant increases, but by Sunday, most had returned to their starting positions. Currently, the weaker altcoins are not showing sustained momentum;
Bitcoin surged to 116000 on Saturday but couldn't hold on and was knocked down on Sunday. It is currently mainly experiencing fluctuations, with a 4-hour upward trend forming, so patience is required. After the interest rate cut this week, it is expected to officially start because after the September rate cut, the market will quickly focus on the next rate cut, including the extent and timing of the cut. This expectation of a rate cut will last for a while and will not end immediately.
Bitcoin surged to 116000 on Saturday but couldn't hold on and was knocked down on Sunday. It is currently mainly experiencing fluctuations, with a 4-hour upward trend forming, so patience is required. After the interest rate cut this week, it is expected to officially start because after the September rate cut, the market will quickly focus on the next rate cut, including the extent and timing of the cut. This expectation of a rate cut will last for a while and will not end immediately.
See original
Bitcoin initially fell and then rose after the CPI data was released last night. The reason for the drop was market concerns about intensifying inflation, leading to lowered expectations for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. However, the market subsequently rebounded strongly, and Bitcoin has now reached the 115000 position.
From the 4-hour trend line perspective, it has broken through the downtrend and is currently transitioning from a downtrend mode to an uptrend mode, which is expected to continue strongly;
The altcoin market has already started, with recent strong altcoins like $pyth $ondo $doge $bonk $ena $pump $sol, etc., all being key targets for attention and buying. In short, the altcoin market has already started, so everyone should cherish the opportunity.
From the 4-hour trend line perspective, it has broken through the downtrend and is currently transitioning from a downtrend mode to an uptrend mode, which is expected to continue strongly;
The altcoin market has already started, with recent strong altcoins like $pyth $ondo $doge $bonk $ena $pump $sol, etc., all being key targets for attention and buying. In short, the altcoin market has already started, so everyone should cherish the opportunity.
See original
$WLD has consolidated for a year and is now pulling up, currently hovering around the 1.7 position, with the previous high at 11U. I still have high hopes for it to continue climbing.
Many people are concerned about the daily unlocking issue. Looking at the linear unlocking amount of WLD, 2 million pieces are unlocked daily, which amounts to approximately 4 million USD at the current price. If we extend this to December, it will require a total of about 360 million USD for the next 3 months. Recently, Eitco Holdings announced a fundraising of 250 million USD to reserve WLD, similar to MicroStrategy buying BTC. BITMINE also increased its holdings by 20 million USD. By the end of the year, this increased funding can fully absorb the selling pressure from unlocking.
Additionally, this linear unlocking allocates 75% of the share to community incentive tokens, which are airdropped to users who have completed iris recognition. On average, a regular user’s account receives 40 WLD tokens. Currently, there are over 12 million registered users who have completed iris recognition, equivalent to 12 million holding addresses, with each address holding between 40 to 160 tokens (with some rewards for the US region). The holding amount per address is not large, so the selling pressure is minimal.
Looking at early institutional financing, a16z purchased at a price of 1.3U in May, which is similar to the holding costs of Eitco and BITMINE now. Eitco Holdings acts as a guide for Wall Street capital, while BITMINE is the largest Ethereum holder globally, with its crypto treasury second only to MicroStrategy. The key figure @BitMNR has been actively promoting $WLD and iris recognition technology. The influence of these institutions and individuals should not be underestimated.
The institutional cost price is between 1-1.5U, which is not far from the current 1.88, and institutions are generally in a long-term holding state. With so many recent positive factors, it seems unreasonable for the price to only rise to 1.88 and then drop back. Thus, even in the short term looking towards the end of the year, the growth should not be limited to this.
In the long term, AI pioneer Altman’s vision for the construction of human digital identity and token applications is a grand vision that is worth significant capital investment and anticipation.
Of course, if it's small capital, it's more advisable to look for low DVF coins with high liquidity and strong project resources, seeking high cost-performance opportunities to gain big with small investments.
Many people are concerned about the daily unlocking issue. Looking at the linear unlocking amount of WLD, 2 million pieces are unlocked daily, which amounts to approximately 4 million USD at the current price. If we extend this to December, it will require a total of about 360 million USD for the next 3 months. Recently, Eitco Holdings announced a fundraising of 250 million USD to reserve WLD, similar to MicroStrategy buying BTC. BITMINE also increased its holdings by 20 million USD. By the end of the year, this increased funding can fully absorb the selling pressure from unlocking.
Additionally, this linear unlocking allocates 75% of the share to community incentive tokens, which are airdropped to users who have completed iris recognition. On average, a regular user’s account receives 40 WLD tokens. Currently, there are over 12 million registered users who have completed iris recognition, equivalent to 12 million holding addresses, with each address holding between 40 to 160 tokens (with some rewards for the US region). The holding amount per address is not large, so the selling pressure is minimal.
Looking at early institutional financing, a16z purchased at a price of 1.3U in May, which is similar to the holding costs of Eitco and BITMINE now. Eitco Holdings acts as a guide for Wall Street capital, while BITMINE is the largest Ethereum holder globally, with its crypto treasury second only to MicroStrategy. The key figure @BitMNR has been actively promoting $WLD and iris recognition technology. The influence of these institutions and individuals should not be underestimated.
The institutional cost price is between 1-1.5U, which is not far from the current 1.88, and institutions are generally in a long-term holding state. With so many recent positive factors, it seems unreasonable for the price to only rise to 1.88 and then drop back. Thus, even in the short term looking towards the end of the year, the growth should not be limited to this.
In the long term, AI pioneer Altman’s vision for the construction of human digital identity and token applications is a grand vision that is worth significant capital investment and anticipation.
Of course, if it's small capital, it's more advisable to look for low DVF coins with high liquidity and strong project resources, seeking high cost-performance opportunities to gain big with small investments.
See original
There are 7 days left before entering the interest rate cut cycle
Just endure a little longer
📈Wells Fargo expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates five times before mid-2026
Each time by 25 basis points
It is expected that the next three meetings will consecutively cut rates
By the end of the year, the interest rate will be lowered to 3.50%—3.75%
Then there will be two more cuts in March and June 2026
Bringing the interest rate range down to 3.00%—3.25%
The liquidity in the market during the interest rate cut cycle will be much better
Hot money will come out of the banks
But a rate cut does not mean that currencies will necessarily rise
Protect your principal and patiently wait for clear opportunities
Just endure a little longer
📈Wells Fargo expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates five times before mid-2026
Each time by 25 basis points
It is expected that the next three meetings will consecutively cut rates
By the end of the year, the interest rate will be lowered to 3.50%—3.75%
Then there will be two more cuts in March and June 2026
Bringing the interest rate range down to 3.00%—3.25%
The liquidity in the market during the interest rate cut cycle will be much better
Hot money will come out of the banks
But a rate cut does not mean that currencies will necessarily rise
Protect your principal and patiently wait for clear opportunities
See original
Patiently wait for the adjustment to end, welcome the bull market, and seize the opportunity for 3 altcoins that will rise 10 times in the future!
Patiently wait for the adjustment to end.
Currently, it is a process of oscillation adjustment with gradually decreasing volume. We need to wait for the next rise and the opportunity to walk the trend again. This kind of trend has a probability of 70%.
Some people also say that this is a head, a major peak, but the probability is low, less than 30%.
Personal judgment that a wave of market activity will start again at the end of September or early October.
Now is the time to choose the right sectors and coins, patiently lurking in and waiting.
Personally, I think the following sectors can be重点考虑: RWA, mainstream coins, public chains, platform coins, altcoin ETFs, and Ethereum series, etc.
Currently, it is a process of oscillation adjustment with gradually decreasing volume. We need to wait for the next rise and the opportunity to walk the trend again. This kind of trend has a probability of 70%.
Some people also say that this is a head, a major peak, but the probability is low, less than 30%.
Personal judgment that a wave of market activity will start again at the end of September or early October.
Now is the time to choose the right sectors and coins, patiently lurking in and waiting.
Personally, I think the following sectors can be重点考虑: RWA, mainstream coins, public chains, platform coins, altcoin ETFs, and Ethereum series, etc.
See original
Last night, Bitcoin surged due to the PPI data falling short of expectations. The logic is quite simple; it significantly increased the expectations for interest rate cuts. Meanwhile, some traders are speculating on a 50 basis point expectation, and currently, a 25 basis point cut is 100% certain.
The 4-hour level can still be understood as a range-bound adjustment. Although there was a surge last night, the overall trend remains weak. In contrast, ETH and then SOL showed strong performance. Some treasury companies are on their way, and they can be a focus moving forward.
The 4-hour level can still be understood as a range-bound adjustment. Although there was a surge last night, the overall trend remains weak. In contrast, ETH and then SOL showed strong performance. Some treasury companies are on their way, and they can be a focus moving forward.
See original
Next week, the market is set to cut interest rates, prepare for 3 types of future altcoins that could see a tenfold increase!
I believe an interest rate cut next week is inevitable, 25 basis points are a given, and I even think it is quite possible to cut by 50 basis points. Some might say, 'Does positive news turn negative after it is implemented?'
No, no, this phrase has been overused in the market. Not all positive news translates to negative outcomes. There are many types of positive news, including monetary, fundamental, and technical.
Monetary positive news, like interest rate cuts, will inspire market confidence before implementation, but it is only after implementation that it truly takes effect. Once it is implemented, more funds will gradually flow into the financial market.
No, no, this phrase has been overused in the market. Not all positive news translates to negative outcomes. There are many types of positive news, including monetary, fundamental, and technical.
Monetary positive news, like interest rate cuts, will inspire market confidence before implementation, but it is only after implementation that it truly takes effect. Once it is implemented, more funds will gradually flow into the financial market.
See original
Last night's data not only confirmed the market's expectation of a 100% rate cut this month but also raised concerns about the risk of economic recession. If a recession is indeed confirmed, the impact of the recession would far exceed that of a rate cut, which is bearish for the market. However, as far as the current data is concerned, a recession is far from guaranteed. But that's how the market operates: it usually panics first and then corrects.
Currently, Bitcoin is primarily in a phase of consolidation and recovery on the 4-hour chart, with 110000 being a strong support level. So far, there have been 4 instances of effective support around 110000. However, without any major positive stimuli, the market is likely to primarily undergo consolidation and adjustment in the future.
As long as the market stabilizes and continues to consolidate, altcoins will perform very actively. We are currently in the altcoin phase, so it is important to focus on altcoins from CEX, as the leading ones are performing strongly.
Currently, Bitcoin is primarily in a phase of consolidation and recovery on the 4-hour chart, with 110000 being a strong support level. So far, there have been 4 instances of effective support around 110000. However, without any major positive stimuli, the market is likely to primarily undergo consolidation and adjustment in the future.
As long as the market stabilizes and continues to consolidate, altcoins will perform very actively. We are currently in the altcoin phase, so it is important to focus on altcoins from CEX, as the leading ones are performing strongly.
See original
The bull market is about to start in late September, laying out 3 types of altcoins that could increase 10 times in the future!
From the daily chart, Bitcoin is still in a high-level consolidation phase, with $112,000 to $113,000 being a key turning point.
Looking at the 4-hour chart, the consolidation range is clearer: support at $110,000 below and resistance at $112,700 above. The chart also shows that the 200-day moving average continues to apply pressure, while the price is between the 120-day and 200-day moving averages. According to the trading logic of moving averages, when the price approaches the moving average, it often signals a trading opportunity. Currently, the KDJ has entered the overbought zone and is starting to turn down, while a top formation K line has appeared on the 4-hour chart, all indicating short-term pressure.
Looking at the 4-hour chart, the consolidation range is clearer: support at $110,000 below and resistance at $112,700 above. The chart also shows that the 200-day moving average continues to apply pressure, while the price is between the 120-day and 200-day moving averages. According to the trading logic of moving averages, when the price approaches the moving average, it often signals a trading opportunity. Currently, the KDJ has entered the overbought zone and is starting to turn down, while a top formation K line has appeared on the 4-hour chart, all indicating short-term pressure.
See original
Currently, there are two typical methods of washing the盘:
The first is simple and brutal, with sudden drops of 30%, which looks scary but bounces back right after the wash. This method is like a quick knife cutting through chaos, shaking off all the weak hands.
The other is like boiling a frog in warm water, with daily oscillations that neither rise nor fall, and key positions are defended by capital. The goal is to wear you down and strike when you can't hold on anymore.
Regardless of the method, the ultimate goal is the same - to wash out the weak hands.
The first is simple and brutal, with sudden drops of 30%, which looks scary but bounces back right after the wash. This method is like a quick knife cutting through chaos, shaking off all the weak hands.
The other is like boiling a frog in warm water, with daily oscillations that neither rise nor fall, and key positions are defended by capital. The goal is to wear you down and strike when you can't hold on anymore.
Regardless of the method, the ultimate goal is the same - to wash out the weak hands.
See original
Altcoins have already begun to stir! Layout potential coins with a 10-fold increase in the future bull market!
The weekly closing is in, and Bitcoin has performed well, currently reclaiming the EMA15 weekly line at 110400. Ethereum continues to adjust weakly over the weekend, fluctuating around 4300, with the range getting smaller and smaller. From the weekend's liquidation data, trading opportunities are very limited.
The current best-performing sector is the AI sector. This month's macro data is Thursday's CPI. After the non-farm payroll, the market's expectation of interest rate cuts has increased, but the risk of recession in the U.S. has also heightened. U.S. stocks rose and then fell, and Bitcoin and Ethereum also experienced a surge followed by a drop. However, since the interest rate cut in September is already a foregone conclusion, the market drive brought about by liquidity easing will genuinely exist. Therefore, the current lack of a significant rise may also be a good layout opportunity. Some eager altcoins have already sounded the horn. Remember, first focus on the leading coins in the sector!
The current best-performing sector is the AI sector. This month's macro data is Thursday's CPI. After the non-farm payroll, the market's expectation of interest rate cuts has increased, but the risk of recession in the U.S. has also heightened. U.S. stocks rose and then fell, and Bitcoin and Ethereum also experienced a surge followed by a drop. However, since the interest rate cut in September is already a foregone conclusion, the market drive brought about by liquidity easing will genuinely exist. Therefore, the current lack of a significant rise may also be a good layout opportunity. Some eager altcoins have already sounded the horn. Remember, first focus on the leading coins in the sector!
See original
Will October be the explosion period for altcoins? Ambush 3 types of potential coins that could increase 10 times in the future!
Unknowingly, the bull market of 2025 has already reached its later stages. Most altcoins are still at the bottom, with prices similar to the bear market. The real benefits of the bull market have mostly been consumed by Bitcoin alone. From the end of 2022 until now, Bitcoin has been on the rise for over two years; it is the barometer of this market. However, the problem is that most retail investors have not really held Bitcoin, but rather invested heavily in altcoins. Watching Bitcoin rise so high, many people are very anxious, worried that they might have missed the bull market, and are all asking: "When will altcoins take off? How much more can they rise?"
See original
Bitcoin fell again last night, testing the bottom support. It is currently around 110,000, where it has gained effective support again. The subsequent trend will entirely depend on tonight's data. If the data is weak, there will be a 100% interest rate cut in September, and the market will strengthen. If the data is strong, the probability of a rate cut will decrease, and the market will enter a wait-and-see trend.
If Bitcoin returns to above 112400, then the market performance will remain strong. This month, it is expected to achieve an ATH due to the expectations of a rate cut.
At the altcoin level, we need to watch the trend of ETH. If ETH resumes its upward trend, then the leading altcoins will definitely rebound strongly; otherwise, there won't be any hope.
If Bitcoin returns to above 112400, then the market performance will remain strong. This month, it is expected to achieve an ATH due to the expectations of a rate cut.
At the altcoin level, we need to watch the trend of ETH. If ETH resumes its upward trend, then the leading altcoins will definitely rebound strongly; otherwise, there won't be any hope.
See original
BTC's dominance is returning! Watch for 3 altcoins with a potential 10x future increase!
BTC's dominance is returning
Recently, traditional markets like gold and government bonds have experienced significant fluctuations and increased uncertainty. BTC's dominance has regained an advantage, but it hasn't truly broken through the key position of 57.79%. Therefore, the trend is not considered a complete reversal yet.
From a short-term perspective, BTC has consistently stayed within the 110K-108K range. If it holds above 108400, it is expected to push upward to 113K, 115K, or even 118K in the coming days. Particularly, 113K is critical; if it can break through, it means the short-term structure will strengthen.
However, from a larger perspective, as long as BTC remains below 120K-118K, it still leans towards a bearish pattern. There is a high probability of lower positions in the medium term, although a relief rebound may occur in the interim. Currently, the strength is primarily supported by BTC, and its dominant position has indeed returned, but whether it is temporarily strong or can continue remains to be observed.
Recently, traditional markets like gold and government bonds have experienced significant fluctuations and increased uncertainty. BTC's dominance has regained an advantage, but it hasn't truly broken through the key position of 57.79%. Therefore, the trend is not considered a complete reversal yet.
From a short-term perspective, BTC has consistently stayed within the 110K-108K range. If it holds above 108400, it is expected to push upward to 113K, 115K, or even 118K in the coming days. Particularly, 113K is critical; if it can break through, it means the short-term structure will strengthen.
However, from a larger perspective, as long as BTC remains below 120K-118K, it still leans towards a bearish pattern. There is a high probability of lower positions in the medium term, although a relief rebound may occur in the interim. Currently, the strength is primarily supported by BTC, and its dominant position has indeed returned, but whether it is temporarily strong or can continue remains to be observed.
See original
The bloody storms of September are still brewing
Let's look at tonight's NDP data and then tomorrow's NFP data
We seek fortune in danger, but also lose in danger
In seeking, one in ten; in losing, nine in ten
At this time in the market, the more dullness traders have, the more opportunities there are
Slow is fast, fast is slow～
Let's look at tonight's NDP data and then tomorrow's NFP data
We seek fortune in danger, but also lose in danger
In seeking, one in ten; in losing, nine in ten
At this time in the market, the more dullness traders have, the more opportunities there are
Slow is fast, fast is slow～
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