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$BTC



Bitcoin’s been on a wild ride lately!

After crashing down from its all-time highs earlier this year, it’s suddenly bounced back and shot up again over the last few weeks. Here’s what’s really going on, in plain English:

First off, a lot of this has to do with what’s happening in the broader economy and politics. The US dollar has gotten weaker recently, especially after Trump started criticizing the Federal Reserve and pushing for interest rate cuts.

When the dollar drops or there’s drama around central banks, people start looking for alternatives, and BTCUSD is like the go-to “digital gold” for a lot of investors these days.

There’s also been a ton of money flowing into Bitcoin ETFs (those are investment funds that directly hold Bitcoin), especially from big institutions like BlackRock and Fidelity. These huge inflows mean more demand, but since there’s only so much Bitcoin out there, the price gets pushed up even more.

Another big reason is the recent Bitcoin “halving,” which happened about a year ago. Basically, every four years, the reward for mining new Bitcoin gets cut in half, so fewer new coins are created. This makes Bitcoin even scarcer, and historically, prices have always jumped in the months after a halving event. As we said in previous ideas BTC could be near USD 200k this summer.

On top of that, there’s been some good news about trade relations between the US and China, which has made investors more optimistic and willing to take risks again. When people feel better about the global economy, they’re more likely to put money into things like crypto.

Technical confirmations

Bouncing in the previous 2024 highs is really good for Bitcoin, people was ready to buy a lot of BTC in the right price and after that a lot of inflows moved the price over the blue trendline meaning that this small downtrend is over.

Bitcoin is volatile, so this kind of movements are ideal to make money or invest in a discount. If the price moves below the support line, then I recommend to stay away of BTC because there could be a free fall...

So, to sum it up: weaker dollar, big institutional buying, post-halving scarcity, better vibes around global trade, and people running from stock market chaos—all of that has pushed Bitcoin back up after its recent dip. Who knows how long it’ll last, but right now, crypto’s hot again!