Bùi Anh 85

#TrumpVsMusk #BTC and ETH is rising in doubt 😃,

#BTC #ETH Friday, June 6, the entire Crypto market is flooded in red. This strong decline was 'anticipated' by those who monitor cash flow, as large capital has quietly withdrawn. (I posted a warning on May 29), but the market makers have been too good at concealing the truth.... As for you, if you want to survive and thrive in this treacherous market, learn how to monitor cash flow.

#BTC
📊 1. Capital Flow Analysis:

Net Cash Flow from 22–28/05:

Net cash flow has been continuously flowing out for 6 out of the last 7 days.

On 25/05, there was a single net cash inflow of +208.19 BTC.

The remaining days all showed negative values, fluctuating from -395 BTC to -798 BTC.

This reflects a dominant selling pressure, meaning investors are withdrawing capital from the BTC market.

Details for 27/05:

Net cash flow out: -613.32 BTC

Inflow: 2.63K BTC

Outflow: 3.24K BTC

Structure:

Super large outflow accounts for up to 43.41% (2.55K BTC) – → Sign of whales withdrawing capital.

Super large inflow is only 1.89K BTC.

✅ Potential bearish signal as whales are offloading.

2. Margin Long/Short Ratio:

The long/short ratio is at 4.05 (20:35 on 29/05).

This is a very high level, indicating that many people expect the price of BTC to rise.

However, when combined with the outflow of cash, this leads to:

A dominant FOMO psychology, but being countered by whale selling.

➜ High risk of "long squeeze" – prices may be pushed down sharply to liquidate high leverage long positions.

🔎 3. Summary of Current Trends:

Factor Signal Meaning

Net Cash Flow (7 days) Strong outflow High selling pressure
Super Large Cash Flow (27/05) Outflow > inflow Whales are offloading
Margin Long/Short Ratio 4.05 (high) Risk of long squeeze
Current BTC Price 107,719.6 USDT Fluctuating, not breaking trend

✅ Conclusion & Trading Recommendations:

Short-term trend: Decrease or corrective decrease to shake out weak longs.

If you are Long: Consider exiting or setting a careful stop loss.

If you are looking to Short: You may consider the current price range to open a position, but additional confirmation is needed through price action (strong red candles, breaking short-term support...).

#AltcoinETFsPostponed

WILL SOL BE APPROVED FOR ETF IN 2025?

POSITIVE REASONS (supporting the approval):

1. Precedent from Bitcoin & Ethereum Spot ETFs
→ The SEC has approved the Bitcoin Spot ETF (January 2024) and is highly likely to approve the Ethereum Spot ETF (in 2025).
→ If ETH is approved, other Layer-1s like Solana are likely to open up afterwards.

2. Major organizations have filed applications
→ Franklin Templeton has officially submitted a Solana Spot ETF application in early 2025 – this is a reputable organization with experience in managing ETFs.
→ This indicates that the legal pathway is starting to open up.

3. Strong growth and transparency of the Solana network
→ Solana is improving stability, decentralization, and transparency – factors that the SEC considers when evaluating whether an asset is a “security.”

NEGATIVE REASONS (obstacles to approval):

1. The SEC has not clearly defined Solana as a “commodity” or “security”
→ If the SEC considers SOL a security, then a spot ETF will be difficult to approve because it needs to comply with different regulations.

2. ETH has not been approved (as of May 2025)
→ The SEC is still delaying its decision on the Ethereum Spot ETF – Solana will definitely have to wait after Ethereum.

3. There is no regulated trading market for SOL in the U.S.
→ The SEC requires that the asset tracked by the ETF must have a clear and easily monitored market – this is not yet fully available for Solana.

Overall prediction:

The likelihood of the Solana ETF being approved in 2025:
→ Low to medium (30–40%) – unless the Ethereum ETF is approved early and SOL is classified as a commodity.

Higher likelihood in 2026 and beyond when:
→ The ETH ETF has stabilized
→ The SEC has a clear legal framework for altcoins
→ Solana proves its decentralization and network stability.

#EthereumSecurityInitiative

ETH is showing signs of exhaustion after the recent recovery, with price action forming a potential local top near $2,500. The high RSI (74.17) indicates overbought conditions, while declining volume suggests that bullish momentum is weakening. The current structure still maintains an upward trend but caution is needed at these levels.
💰 Technical Overview:
ETH is undergoing its first significant correction (-4.50%) after a strong uptrend, testing the $2,473 level. Positive MACD divergence (217.45 versus signal 168.00) indicates latent strength, but the narrow BB width (13.06%) suggests a potential upcoming consolidation. Weak ADX (3.4) indicates a potential weakening of the trend.
📈 Trade Setup:
• Major support area at $2,425 aligns with S1 ($2,420)
• Main resistance cluster between $2,542-$2,578
• Risk/reward ratio favors waiting for a retest of support before opening new positions
• A tight stop loss below $2,367 (S2) is recommended for any long positions
🎯 Strategic Outlook:
The current setup indicates a potential short-term consolidation phase. Traders should pay attention to:
1. A bounce off the support area $2,420-$2,425
2. Volume confirmation in any breakout attempt
3. RSI dropping below 70 to remain healthier
💡 Action:
Consider increasing long positions near the support level $2,425 with strict risk management. The current risk/reward ratio does not favor speculative positions until price action shows a clear direction. Wait for volume confirmation before increasing position size.

#ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 and #BTC☀️ , have you guys boarded the train yet?

#ETH is adjusting after hitting the strong resistance area of $2700, this is a good opportunity for everyone to find a nice entry point because soon it will reach $3000 - $3200.

CURRENT TREND (1W FRAME):

ETH is recovering from the bottom of 1384 USDT and has just had a strong green candle surpassing EMA(7) and is close to EMA(25) and EMA(99).

RSI (6): Has risen above the 70 area → short-term overbought signal, but indicates that buying pressure is coming back strongly.

MACD: Is giving a bullish crossover signal (MACD crossing the signal line from below), indicating the possibility of continued increase.

=> Positive short-term signals on the weekly frame, ETH has the momentum to continue rising to higher levels like 3,000 – 3,300.

#TradeWarEases I don't understand what our "elders" are thinking to issue such a statement? Do you feel "confused"? As for me, I don't care at all 😀
By the way, can I ask if Vietnam has any licensed cryptocurrency asset management organization yet?

#ETHCrossed2500 ETH has just reached 2519$ , causing many short traders' accounts to be burned.

#TRUMP LATEST :
The Trump family's stablecoin, $USD1, is dominating the BNB chain, reaching over $2 billion in market capitalization and becoming the second largest stablecoin after $USDT, according to CryptoRank.

#BTCBREAKOUT

BTC IS HEADING TOWARDS THE NEAREST PEAK 110$ .

1. Main Price and Trend

BTC is at the area of 102,481 USDT, significantly rising from the recent low of 57,446 USDT.

There is a strong bullish candle with good recovery force after the correction phase.

It is highly likely that BTC is continuing its recovery trend within the long-term upward main trend, but the 110,000 area is the nearest peak – which could be a strong resistance zone.

2. Bollinger Bands

The price has broken above the middle band (MB) at 92,014 and is heading towards the upper band (UP) at 106,867.

This indicates that buying momentum is dominant, potentially approaching the upper band – which is also strong resistance.

3. RSI (6) = 75.12

RSI has surpassed 70, entering the overbought zone, it may continue to rise further but also carries the risk of a short-term technical correction.

In the weekly timeframe, RSI at this level often accompanies a mid-term peak or strong recovery wave.

4. MACD

The MACD line is still below 0 and DIF < DEA, but is showing signs of moving upwards, indicating that selling pressure is weakening.

The histogram is gradually narrowing, potentially preparing to cross upwards if the uptrend continues in the next 1-2 weeks.

5. Trading Volume

Volume has significantly increased in the last 2 weeks, reinforcing the recently formed bullish candle.

This is a confirming signal of a strong recovery momentum.

Conclusion and Strategy

BTC in the weekly timeframe is in a recovery wave within the larger uptrend, with the nearest target around 106,000–110,000.

If it decisively surpasses 110K with accompanying volume, there is a potential for a new upward wave to form.

However, this area also represents strong resistance, so caution is needed regarding the possibility of profit-taking and pullbacks here.

#BTCBackto100K Technical analysis on the 1D frame of BTC, please take a look.

1. Overall trend:

BTC is currently in a strong upward trend, with a continuous series of green candles and the price has surpassed the important psychological level of 100,000 USDT.

The latest candle has a long upper wick (peak at 106,680 USDT) indicating that short-term profit-taking pressure is emerging.

2. EMA lines:

EMA7: 101,224 USDT

EMA25: 96,059 USDT

EMA99: 92,545 USDT

=> The current price is above all major EMAs, confirming that the upward trend remains very strong and clear.

3. RSI indicator (6):

The current RSI is 83.2, indicating that BTC is in an overbought state, posing the risk of technical correction or short-term profit-taking.

4. MACD:

The DIF and DEA lines are clearly trending upwards, with the MACD being very strong.

The histogram has just turned positive again after a small correction, indicating that the upward momentum may continue if not strongly resisted.

5. Volume:

Volume has been gradually increasing in recent sessions, supporting sustainable upward momentum.

6. Notable technical zones:

Short-term resistance: 106,680 – 108,000 USDT (candle peak + psychological zone).

Nearby support: 101,200 – 102,000 USDT (EMA7).

Stronger support: 96,000 – 97,000 USDT (EMA25 + old accumulation zone).

Reference strategy:

If holding Long: you can take profit on 30–50% around the current zone, keep the remaining part and move the SL up to around 101,000–102,000 USDT.

If not in a position: should wait for a pullback to the 101,000 – 102,500 zone for a safer entry. Avoid FOMO as RSI is very high.

If BTC breaks below 101,000, it may correct deeper to 96,000 – 97,000.

#ETH technical analysis frame 1D, invite everyone to refer.

1. Overall trend:

ETH is having a strong breakout from the accumulation zone, with a very large bullish candle, closing above the EMA99 line (2,109 USDT) and peaking at 2,227 USDT.

This is a strong growth signal, indicating a large influx of capital and the potential for a short to medium-term uptrend.

2. Volume:

Volume has surged to the highest level in recent weeks, confirming a genuine breakout and not a false breakout.

3. RSI (6):

RSI is at 92.6, indicating a strong overbought condition. This warns of a possible profit-taking or short-term technical correction in the upcoming sessions.

4. MACD:

MACD has crossed upwards strongly and the histogram is expanding positively, supporting that the uptrend still has momentum.

DIF > DEA indicates that the uptrend is gaining momentum.

5. Important technical zones:

Short-term resistance: 2,273 – 2,300 USDT (close to the previous long-term EMA zone).

Near support: the zone of 2,100 – 2,040 USDT (EMA99 + body of the breakout candle).

Stronger support: the zone of 1,800 – 1,808 USDT (EMA25 + previous base before breakout).

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Proposed strategy:

If you have a Long position: take partial profits, and move the SL to the range of 2,090–2,110 to secure profits.

If you haven't entered a position: wait for a technical correction to the range of 2,100 – 2,150 (if any) and then consider a new entry with a stop loss below 2,000.

Avoid FOMO buying when RSI is too hot.

If you don't have a good entry point yet, wait for it to adjust to 149.8 - 150 before entering.

Overview of the trend:

1H timeframe:

SOL has created a short-term bottom at 144.5 and has strongly surged to 151.85.

The 5/10/20 EMA lines are rising and diverging well → confirming a short-term uptrend.

RSI1 ~ 79.7, indicating that it is in the overbought region but buying pressure is still strong.

MACD has crossed above the signal line and the histogram is gradually increasing → buying pressure is still dominant.

15m timeframe:

SOL is showing signs of mild accumulation at the peak of 151 after a strong bounce from the 146.97 area.

RSI is also at a high level (~70–71), but there is not yet a clear bearish divergence.

EMA5 is still holding the price well, with no reversal signal yet.

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Conclusion:

SOL is clearly in a short-term uptrend on both the 15m and 1H timeframes. However, the RSI is high, and there may soon be a short pullback to test the EMA5/10.

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Trading strategy:

Reasonable entry: Wait for a slight price adjustment to the nearest support area:

149.8 – 150.2 (near EMA10-15m, coinciding with EMA5-1h).

If the price reacts well here (with a wick candle or engulfing candle), consider entering a Long position.

Stop loss: Below the 148.5 area (breaking EMA20 and the nearest 15m support candle).

Profit-taking expectations:

TP1: 152.2 (Upper Bollinger band 15m).

TP2: 154 – 155 if it continues to breakout.

#BTC Many brothers are shouting for Short too early, now holding losses must be tiring.

MAIN TREND IS UPTREND:

1. Price is above all EMA lines (EMA5, EMA10, EMA20):

EMA5 = 97,148.2 < Current Price = 99,242.1 → indicates strong short-term uptrend.

EMA10 and EMA20 are both trending upwards → confirming the medium-term uptrend.

2. MACD:

MACD (DIF) = 2,943.2 > DEA = 2,797.1 and is expanding → strong uptrend is continuing.

3. RSI:

RSI1 = 78.6 → signals that the market is overbought, but there is no clear reversal signal yet.

4. Bollinger Bands:

Price is near Upper Band (UB = 101,104.8), exceeding the middle zone of Bollinger Bands (MB = 93,833.7) → indicates that the upward momentum is very strong.

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General Assessment:

Main trend: Clearly Uptrend.

However, RSI is quite high, so one should not FOMO at the peak, but wait for a pullback signal to have a safer entry.

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Entry Strategy (Suggested Entry):

Scenario 1: Wait for a slight Pullback then Long with the trend

Safe entry zone: 96,000 – 97,000 USDT

This is the support zone close to EMA5 & EMA10

Wait for H4 or D1 candles to show signals of reversal at this zone to enter Long.

Scenario 2: Continuation Breakout

If the price breaks 100,000 with high volume, consider buying the breakout with a small volume, placing a stop loss nearby.

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Note:

Always set a stop loss below EMA10 (around 95,000 USDT).

Short-term take profit can be in the range of 102,000 – 104,000 USDT if the upward trend continues.

#ETFBTC POSITIVE :
Capital inflow into BLACKROCK's Bitcoin ETF reached 7 billion USD, surpassing SPDR Gold Trust with 6.5 billion USD.

#BTC Technical analysis frame 1D.

1. Main trend:

BTC is in a clear upward trend:

The previous day's candle was a strong green candle, closing near the peak, indicating that buying pressure is still dominant.

The price is above the EMA(7), EMA(25), EMA(99) and maintains a considerable distance – a strong bullish signal.

The nearest peak is 97,424 USDT – if it surpasses this area, BTC will likely test the strong resistance zone around 98,500 – 100,000 USDT.

2. Technical indicators:

RSI(6): 81.27 – overbought area, indicating that BTC is overheating and may have a short-term correction.

MACD:

MACD is strongly positive and above the signal line (DEA), histogram is increasing – confirming that the upward momentum is still present.

Trading volume remains stable, without spikes but supporting the upward trend.

3. Support and resistance:

Near resistance: 97,400 – 98,500 USDT (nearest peak and psychological area 100K).

Near support: 93,500 USDT (EMA7 + accumulation zone before breakout).

Deep support: 90,400 USDT (EMA25) – if this area is lost, it may begin to break the short-term upward trend.

4. Scenarios:

If BTC surpasses 97,400 and maintains above this area, it may continue to expand the target toward the 98,500 – 100,000 USDT range.

If BTC is rejected at the peak area, there may be a pullback to the 93,500 – 90,400 USDT area before bouncing back.

#AltcoinETFsPostponed What criteria must a cryptocurrency meet to qualify as an ETF (especially a spot ETF, which directly tracks the asset price)?

1. Must be considered a "commodity," not a "security"

This is the most important criterion.

Bitcoin (BTC) is recognized as a commodity by the CFTC and SEC → qualifies for ETF.

Ethereum (ETH) is currently under evaluation.

Solana (SOL) and other altcoins are unclear – if considered "unregistered securities," it will be difficult to have an ETF.

2. Must have a large, transparent, and easily monitored trading market (regulated market)

The SEC requires the ETF based on an asset to have a transparent underlying trading market that can detect price manipulation.

BTC has a large market that is closely monitored (such as Coinbase, Kraken…) so the ETF is approved.

With altcoins, the market remains difficult to monitor, decentralized, and lacks centralized liquidity.

3. Liquidity and market capitalization must be sufficiently large

The asset must have high liquidity and stable trading volume to ensure the ETF operates smoothly.

BTC and ETH meet this criterion. SOL is approaching this condition.

4. Must have a surveillance sharing agreement (SSA)

The SEC requires the ETF to collaborate with at least one exchange that can share data and monitor price manipulation.

For example: BlackRock's partnership with Coinbase in the BTC Spot ETF is a crucial point for approval.

5. Clear custody and security mechanisms

There must be a qualified crypto asset custodian (such as Coinbase Custody, Fidelity Digital Assets...)

To protect investors from the risk of asset loss due to hacking or fraud.

#AltcoinETFsPostponed WHAT IS ETF, SIMPLE EXPLANATION FOR NEWCOMERS.

ETF (short for Exchange-Traded Fund) is an investment fund that is listed and traded on the stock exchange, just like stocks. Below is a simple and easy-to-understand explanation:

What is an ETF?

It is an investment fund that pools money from multiple investors and then uses that money to invest in a basket of assets (such as stocks, bonds, gold, or even cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin or Solana).

ETFs operate like stocks – you can buy and sell ETFs directly on the stock exchange throughout the trading session.

Easy-to-understand example:

For example: Bitcoin Spot ETF is an investment fund that directly buys and holds Bitcoin and divides that value into ETF shares so you can buy on the stock exchange (instead of having to buy and hold BTC yourself).

When the price of Bitcoin rises, the price of that ETF share also increases accordingly.

Benefits of ETFs:

1. Simple and accessible: No need to directly buy the underlying asset (for example, you don’t need to open a crypto wallet to buy BTC).

2. Low cost: Management fees are usually cheaper than traditional funds.

3. High liquidity: Can be bought and sold easily like stocks.

4. Diversification: An ETF can invest in multiple assets at the same time, helping to reduce risk.

What is a cryptocurrency ETF?

These are funds that invest in Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana..., allowing traditional investors (like institutions, pension funds) to access the crypto market more legally and safely through stock exchanges.