On April 10, according to the General Administration of Customs of China, as announced on April 9, starting from today at 12:01 PM, an additional 84% tariff will be imposed on all imported goods originating from the United States, on top of the existing applicable tariff rates.
The U.S. Department of Labor will announce the March CPI and the number of initial jobless claims for the week ending April 5 at 8:30 PM Beijing time tonight. The previous value of the U.S. March unadjusted CPI year-on-year rate was 2.8%, while the current forecast is 2.6%. Goldman Sachs believes that the main driving factor for the significant rise in the U.S. March CPI will be the continuous increase in auto insurance, while tariff pressure will be almost zero. Foreign exchange: Key resistance for the U.S. dollar index is at 106; a breakthrough would be bullish. Gold: If CPI exceeds expectations, it may test the support at $2300. U.S. stock futures: The implied volatility of the S&P 500 (VIX) has risen to 16, indicating caution against short-term selling pressure.
On April 10, according to statistics from Jinshi Data, the Dow Jones Industrial Average initially closed up nearly 3,000 points, an increase of 7.87%, marking the largest gain in history. The S&P 500 index closed up 9.52%, setting the largest single-day gain since 2008. The Nasdaq Composite Index closed up 12.16%, marking the largest gain since January 2001. However, historically, several record-breaking surges have occurred during bear market crises, known as 'dead cat bounces', including: After 'Black Monday' in October 1987 — the Nasdaq fell by 27% on 'Black Monday' in October 1987, but rebounded about 10.4% two days later. During the burst of the dot-com bubble in 2000 — while the Nasdaq faced significant declines during this period, it also experienced several rebounds, such as a 7.8% bounce on April 18, 2000.
During the 2008-2009 financial crisis — the Nasdaq experienced severe volatility during this time, rebounding 11.81% on October 13, 2008, after government intervention.
In the 'bear market year' of 2022 — after a continuous decline in the first three quarters, the Nasdaq rebounded 7.35% on November 10, due to U.S. CPI data being lower than expected and market expectations that inflation had peaked. During the Trump tariff era — after Trump's tariff policy took effect, the Nasdaq dropped a cumulative 13% over four trading days; early this morning, Trump suddenly announced a 90-day suspension of reciprocal tariffs, leading to a significant rebound in U.S. stocks, with the Nasdaq closing up 12%. This time, the market turmoil in the U.S. has a significant difference; many investors indicate that this market turmoil could have been easily avoided, and that the situation could reverse as long as Trump changes his decision. However, companies still face uncertain outlooks. Many companies may need to pause plans and clarify the extent to which existing and anticipated tariffs will impact costs and damage revenues, as well as the actions necessary to solidify their supply chains. #美国加征关税 #风险回报比
Old Mo's Message: On April 10, President Trump announced that he has authorized a 90-day suspension of tariffs, applicable to reciprocal tariffs and a 10% tariff. The suspension takes effect immediately.
Trump stated: "In light of more than 75 countries having called the U.S. representative offices to negotiate on issues related to trade, trade barriers, tariffs, currency manipulation, and non-monetary tariffs in search of solutions, and these countries, at my strong suggestion, not retaliating against the U.S. in any way or form, I have approved the implementation of a 90-day suspension measure. #特朗普暂停新关税 #美国加征关税
News from Old Mexico: On April 10, according to Coinglass data, if Bitcoin rebounds and breaks through $84,000, the cumulative short liquidation intensity on major CEXs will reach $637 million. Conversely, if Bitcoin falls below $81,000, the cumulative long liquidation intensity on major CEXs will reach $918 million. Bitcoin is in a "knife-edge balance" state, and the breakout direction in the $81,000-$84,000 range may determine the market tone at the beginning of the second quarter. Investors should pay close attention to: On-chain data (Glassnode on-chain liquidation heatmap) Exchange stablecoin reserves (Is there enough ammunition to drive the rise?) It is recommended to reduce leverage and wait for direction confirmation before positioning to prevent the risk of "double killing" for both long and short positions.
On April 9, the Tariff Commission of the State Council of China announced an adjustment to the tariff rate specified in the "Announcement of the Tariff Commission of the State Council on Increasing Tariffs on Imported Goods Originating from the United States," raising it from 34% to 84%.
A spokesperson for the Ministry of Commerce announced today that China has filed a lawsuit against the U.S. regarding the latest tariff measures under the WTO dispute resolution mechanism.
The so-called "counter-tariff" measures by the U.S. severely violate WTO rules, and the additional 50% tariff is compounding errors, highlighting the unilateral bullying nature of U.S. measures. China will firmly defend its legitimate rights and interests according to WTO rules and steadfastly maintain the multilateral trading system and international economic and trade order.
On April 9, Marc Rowan, co-founder and CEO of Apollo Global Management, delivered a market outlook: It is expected that major countries around the world will reach a preliminary agreement on monetary policy coordination within the next 90 days.
If the Federal Reserve actively intervenes to stabilize market liquidity, this move will meet the expected demand of the current macro-financial environment.
0.22 is the upper edge of the daily convergence triangle; after a breakout, the volume will multiply, and the MACD golden cross confirms the trend reversal.
Initial Position Testing: Lightly position 10% (of total position) near 0.22U, increase position by 5% if breaking through 0.25U!
Reinforcement: If it pulls back to 0.19U (strong support at weekly EMA90), increase position to 20%!
At 0.3U (50% increase), reduce position by 50%, keep the remaining to ensure breakeven.
Mid-term: 0.45U (double) for second take profit.
Initial position tests the waters, reinforcement waits for a deep squat, wait for the wind to come.
Spot Crypto Strategy Review: Lao Mo Takes Action, Schools of Fish Come! The Bigger the Waves, the Bigger the Fish!
Yesterday, Lao Mo struck precisely, decisively laying out a spot crypto strategy near the SOL price of 144, with a clear target — expecting a rise of 30%+! From entering the market yesterday afternoon to midnight, SOL surged to around 179, achieving an increase of 24%, just a step away from the expected target.
This operation not only caught the big fish amid the waves but also once again validated the strategy's stability and precision.
Lao Mo's vision, the market's rhythm, perfectly in sync!
Follow-up Strategy: For holders: Partially take profits near 179U (lock in profits), and move the remaining position to breakeven loss at 144U, aiming for 187U (30% increase)
Follow Lao Mo to catch the next wave of "Big Waves Hiding Fish" opportunities. The bigger the waves, the fiercer the fish; stick close to Lao Mo and don't fall behind.
When Old Mo makes a move, the fish come in. Indeed, the bigger the storm, the bigger the fish!
Yesterday afternoon, Old Mo strategically positioned himself in the spot ETH, and in the evening, the market took off directly, peaking with a 15% surge!
Old Mo decisively entered around 2221, anticipating a rise of over 30%. By dawn, ETH surged directly to 2550, strongly climbing by 15 points! Such a level of increase in ETH is no small feat; it’s definitely a big catch!
The bigger the storm, the greater the opportunity. Old Mo's strategies are always steady, precise, and ruthless! #美国加密战略储备 #加密市场反弹
Spot Code: $TRUMP Current Price: Around 13.4 Strategy: Accumulate in Batches Expected Increase: 30%+
The current price is close to a key support level, and technical indicators (such as RSI) show oversold conditions, indicating a rebound opportunity. Batch Accumulation Strategy: First Purchase: Build a position of 30% around 13.4 Second Purchase: Add 40% at 12 (retracement support level) Third Purchase: Add 30% at 10.5 (strong support level)
Spot Code: $SHELL Current Price: Around 0.5U Strategy: Gradual Bottom Fishing Expected Increase: 30%+
Gradual Bottom Fishing Strategy: First Purchase: Build a position of 30% around 0.5U Second Purchase: Add 40% at 0.45U (Retracement Support Level) Third Purchase: Add 30% at 0.4U (Strong Support Level)
Target Price: 0.65U (30% Increase)
Closely monitor market dynamics, especially the trends of BTC and ETH. After the market stabilizes, small-cap coins are more likely to explode.
Spot Code: $SOL Current Price: 144U Strategy: Averaging Down Expected Price Increase: 30%+
Averaging Down Strategy: First Purchase: 144U (Current Price) Establish 20% Second Purchase: 138U (Pullback Support Level) Add 30% Third Purchase: 132U (Strong Support Level) Add 50%
Target Price: 187U (30% Price Increase)
SOL has recently pulled back to a key support level, technical indicators show oversold conditions, and the probability of a rebound is high.
Closely monitor market dynamics, especially BTC market trends, and adjust positions according to your risk tolerance.
Current Price: Around 2221U Recommendation: Gradually buy the dip in spot Expected Increase: 30%+
The current price of ETH is close to a key support range (2200U-2250U), positioned near an upward trend line on the weekly level, and the RSI indicator is approaching the oversold area, indicating strong rebound demand. The MACD on the daily level shows a bottom divergence signal, suggesting a high probability of a short-term rebound.
Gradual Position Building: It is recommended to enter the market in 2-3 batches around 2221U to reduce short-term volatility risk. If the price further dips to around 2150U, you may increase your position.
First Target 2887U (+30%), Second Target 3000U (+35%), gradually take profit based on market conditions.
Continue to track ETH ecosystem dynamics and adjust strategies in a timely manner.