Brothers, something big has happened! The US has gone crazy again.
In October alone, the amount of money borrowed by stock investors skyrocketed by $57.2 billion, bringing the total to a historic high of $1.2 trillion! This has been the 6th consecutive month of increase.
This year so far, these folks have borrowed an additional $285 billion, up by 32%! Even scarier is that it has surged by 39% in the past six months! The leverage they've taken on makes me feel anxious just watching. In simple terms, this is the whole nation leveraging to gamble on tomorrow!
What is margin debt? Simply put, it means you don't have that much money yourself, so you borrow money from a broker to invest in stocks. For example, if you only have $100,000, you borrow $900,000, and put together $1 million to invest. If you make money, it's exhilarating, but if it drops by 10%, your principal is gone.
My view is straightforward: this is not investing at all; this is gambling! Given the current position of the US stock market, with so many people daring to borrow money to jump in, it shows that the market has gone completely insane. Everyone thinks it will rise further, but history tells us that when everyone thinks this way, it's often the most dangerous time.
So what does this have to do with our crypto space? A lot! First, the global markets are interconnected now. If the US stock market crashes, the crypto market cannot remain unscathed and will definitely be dragged down, possibly even more severely. Second, among those borrowing money for stocks, there are certainly many who also dabble in cryptocurrency. If they incur significant losses in the stock market, they will definitely sell their crypto to cover losses, leading to selling pressure. Third, this indicates that the global market's risk appetite has become absurdly high, and this sentiment will also infect the crypto space, leading more people to borrow money to trade cryptocurrencies, increasing the risk even further.
What should retail investors do now? My advice is: absolutely do not follow the crowd and get overly excited! Seeing others make quick profits by borrowing money can lead to disaster. The crazier it gets, the calmer you must be.
First, check your positions; urgently reduce any high leverage to avoid sleepless nights. Keep some cash on hand, so if an opportunity arises when the market truly drops, you'll have the bullets to buy the dip.
Want to know how to adjust your positions specifically? Which coins are still worth holding, and which should you sell? Follow me, and I'll explain in detail. In this kind of market, one wrong step could lead to a series of mistakes; you need someone to help keep an eye on things! #加密市场观察
The Federal Reserve's interest rate decision will be announced at 2 AM on Thursday night. A 25 basis point rate cut is a certainty, but what truly determines the direction of the cryptocurrency market is not the rate cut itself, but the liquidity of market funds. Whether it can drive the cryptocurrency market up is also key, but don't celebrate too early. A rate cut is just a moderate easing, not a flood of liquidity. There will definitely be short-term fluctuations, but the direction may not be smooth sailing. Remember, the cryptocurrency market is always a place where smart people make money and impulsive people pay the bill. You need to stay calm, have a plan, and don’t go all in just because the market is rising. True opportunities are always reserved for those who can see the direction early and follow the right rhythm. In the cryptocurrency market, choosing is more important than effort. Follow the right people, and when the market comes, you will naturally sail smoothly! #加密市场反弹 #美联储降息预期 #巨鲸动向
If you had bought 1 Bitcoin in 2011 and held it until now, what would happen? According to the image, the price of Bitcoin in 2011 was 32 USD, and the exchange rate of USD to RMB was calculated at 6.5. You spent 208 RMB to buy a scarce currency asset that was popular worldwide at that time. In 2025, one Bitcoin is worth 111970 USD, an increase of 3498 times over 14 years, which is outrageous. If we still use the exchange rate of 6.5, the value would be nearly 780,000. What if you had bought 10 at that time? #美联储降息预期升温 #山寨季将至?
How to stabilize profits in trading, it's been five years, this is the path I've walked! 1. Throw away your 1-minute timeframe, immediately! The random noise in the 1-minute timeframe accounts for 90%, the "trend" you see is likely an illusion. High-frequency trading firms use algorithms and ultra-low latency to harvest retail traders like you. Solution: At a minimum, switch to a 15-minute timeframe, mainly focus on the 4-hour/daily trend direction, and use the 5-minute only as an entry point filter. Underlying logic: Define direction with a larger timeframe, find positions with a smaller timeframe; if you do the opposite, your capital is just cannon fodder. 2. Stop "testing positions and trends", this is slow suicide Do you think testing positions is low cost? Frequent trial and error with 10 stop losses, even if you lose 1% each time, your capital evaporates by 10% after 10 tries (compound losses are even scarier). Solution: Only enter positions when the trend is clear on the larger timeframe + the pullback on the smaller timeframe has ended (for example, during an upward trend on the daily chart, wait for a 5-minute pullback to the moving average/previous low). Give up on "predicting trend starting points", only take the second leg after trend confirmation (like breakout pullback, end of flag consolidation). 3. The core of profit can be summed up in one sentence: "Cut losses short, let profits run" The root of your losses: Run away after making 5 points, but hold on through 20 points of loss. Brutal correction method: Hold winning trades at least with a risk-reward ratio of 2:1 or more (for example, stop loss at 20 points, profit at 40 points before closing). Move stop loss: After the price breaks past the previous high/low, move the stop loss to breakeven, then follow up with trendlines/moving averages for profit taking. The harsh truth: In 10 trades, 6 small losses, 3 breakeven, and 1 big win can keep you alive, but you must resist the temptation to take early profits! Review focus: In the past week, which positions were real breakouts/fake breakouts? If your stop loss is placed outside the market structure, can you survive? After holding winning trades, does your final profit cover the cost of trial and error? The last truth: There is no "stable profit" endpoint in trading, only the process of "using rules to counter human nature". If you are still struggling with "why am I still losing despite learning so much", there is only one answer: your discipline does not match your ambition. Either enforce strategies with code/programming (zero emotional influence), or print your trading plan and post it on the wall, even if you have to chop your hands off, you must comply. #加密市场回调 #ETH走势分析
If the 4-hour level breaks above $3900, it will confirm the continuation of the bullish trend; if it falls below $3700, it may pull back to $3530-$3460.
The ten cross-mantras I summarized in the crypto world, suitable for most people. At least it can help you avoid years of detours, especially the tenth word! An important word in the crypto world: Endure Two important words in the crypto world:戒贪 (Avoid greed) Three important words in the crypto world: Follow discipline Four important words in the crypto world: Rational layout Five important words in the crypto world: Follow the main force Six important words in the crypto world: Centered around value concepts Seven important words in the crypto world: Do what you understand Eight important words in the crypto world: The market is the best teacher Nine important words in the crypto world: Rational, advance and retreat with moderation, be strategic Ten important words in the crypto world: Good mindset, do not hesitate, learning has no end #加密市场反弹 $BTC
I have been in the crypto world for 5 years, from initially losing 85% to making a living from trading, there is almost no method I haven't tried. If I have to say what truly helped me out of confusion, it would be the ten maxims I summarized myself, which actually apply to most people. Reading this can at least save you a few years of detours, especially the tenth one! An important word in the crypto world: Patience Two important words in the crypto world: Avoid Greed Three important words in the crypto world: Maintain Discipline Four important words in the crypto world: Rational Allocation Five important words in the crypto world: Follow the Main Force Six important words in the crypto world: Focus on Value Concepts Seven important words in the crypto world: Do What You Understand Eight important words in the crypto world: The Market is the Best Teacher Nine important words in the crypto world: Rational, Measure Your Entry and Exit, Have a Strategy Ten important words in the crypto world: Good Mindset, No Hesitation, Learning is Endless If there are contracts you don't understand👀 my name, let's communicate and discuss together! #BTC重返10万 $BTC
The large pancake with ID #BTC has broken through the resistance level of 96,000, aiming for 105,000; everyone, don't party too hard during the May Day holiday, have you all boarded the train?
Wanting to profit from trading is not something that can be achieved once or twice, but rather it requires persistence to see results. In the cryptocurrency world, wealth is accumulated slowly; those who think about getting rich overnight are always the fuel for the market! If you don't understand, add my name to communicate together! #加密货币总市值重回3万亿 #加密市场反弹 #特朗普称无意解雇鲍威尔
Newcomers to this circle must first reduce the risk of opening positions, manage their position ratios well, understand the essence of rising and falling, know what the high points and low points are, when to buy, and when to sell. I have been playing for four or five years, and in my opinion, the most basic foundation for avoiding liquidation is to avoid trading in the opposite direction, improper position management, and always holding onto the illusion of a pullback. The result is that you open opposite positions and stubbornly resist, which ultimately leads to your own downfall. In this circle, if you make a mistake, it is a mistake. You must cut losses in a timely manner. Remember one thing: as long as there is still U, there is still hope! #巨鲸动向 #MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC
Many people treat finance and trading as a get-rich-quick industry, hoping to become wealthy regardless of the market or the situation. This is not hard to understand; it is merely driven by human nature. However, in reality, trading is about using stable strategies and properly managing each trade—cutting losses when necessary and taking profits when appropriate. By maintaining a reasonable risk-reward ratio, one can secure their rightful profits and consistently make solid gains. Then, just repeat the process; that’s all there is to it.
Sure enough, after Trump loosened up, how much did everyone gain from this wave of increase? In my opinion, those who have played with cryptocurrencies will not want to play with anything else. Indeed, many people have gotten rich overnight by taking small risks. Other industries cannot achieve such effects. That's how I turned my life around. If you don't understand, ask me, don't be greedy, set a good stop-loss. Steadily make a profit every day.
Some advice for newcomers, welcome to discuss the market together. 1. When there is a continuous decline during the day in the domestic market, a good bottom-fishing opportunity is around 21:30 in the evening; after a large drop during the day, around 21:30 in the evening is often when the external market pulls up, seize this opportunity to buy the dip. 2. Do not chase high prices during a big rise in the day, as there is a high probability of a pullback in the evening. If the market price rises significantly during the day, it is likely to pull back in the evening; be cautious when chasing highs. 3. Insertion signals get stronger the deeper they go: The key signal for buying or selling is the "pin insertion"; the deeper the insertion, the stronger the buy or sell signal. 4. Good news fully released is bad news: Before major meetings or the release of good news, the market price usually rises, but after the news is out, it often declines. 5. Be cautious of community recommendations; counter-trading may be safer: When a community or group chat wildly recommends a certain cryptocurrency and talks it up, it is highly likely to be a trap; counter-trading may be wiser. 6. Overheating is alarming: When a certain cryptocurrency is overly hyped, consider going short; the higher the hype, the greater the pullback risk. 7. Not interested in a friend's recommendation? It might be an opportunity: If you are not interested in the cryptocurrency a friend recommends, it may actually be a potential opportunity; consider trying it with a small amount of money. 8. Heavy positions must lead to liquidation: When you hold a heavy position, the liquidation risk is extremely high, as exchanges pay close attention to large holdings, making them easy targets for liquidation. 9. Stop-loss is often followed by a drop: After your short position stop-loss is triggered, the market price often drops, as the market does not "wash you out" or pull up easily, and the downtrend is unlikely to end soon. 10. Stay calm, do not be emotional: Avoid emotional trading and maintain rationality. 11. Do not be greedy; remember to set profit and loss targets: Set reasonable profit and loss targets and avoid excessive greed. 12. Invest spare money, act within your means: Only use funds that do not affect your daily life for investment.
Newcomers in this circle need to first reduce the risk of opening orders, manage their position ratios well, understand the essence of rising and falling, know what the highs and lows are, when to buy, and when to sell. I have been playing for five years, and in my opinion, the most basic foundation for liquidation is doing the opposite direction, improper position management, and always holding onto the illusion of a pullback. The result is that one opens opposite orders and stubbornly holds on until they are crushed. In this circle, if you make a mistake, it's a mistake; you must cut losses in time. Remember a saying: as long as there is still 'u', there is hope! If novices don't understand, let's communicate together on my homepage.