陈方华论势

$BTC 比特币行情呈现出震荡式上行的态势，价格也从114855低点一线后不断上探至的115677高点一线后止步,以太坊行情同步于比特币走法，价格在昨日晚间回撤至3633低点一线后止步反弹,早间行情最高来到3730高点一线。
从当前盘面观察，四小时级别行情维持稳步上行态势，价格已逐步贴近布林带上轨。期间虽有空头小幅回撤，但力度微弱,并未撼动整体上行趋势，目前多头动能持续释放，整体走势已由多头主导。再看一小时级别，行情在二连阳上探后遭遇上方压力，价格出现回落，但布林带保持向上开口，中轨线同步上移，且MACD指标双线形成金叉后持续向上延伸。综合来看，早间操作建议以回撤后低多为主。#币安Alpha上新 #加密市场反弹 #美国加征关税 $ETH

The overall market for Bitcoin ($BTC ) is in a state of fluctuating back and forth. This morning, it started retracing from 115000, dropping to a low of 114000 before rising again and then retreating. #币安Alpha上新 #加密市场反弹 #美国加征关税 looks for opportunities in the short term and captures trends in the phases; this is what we should do. Many people do not understand why I dare to short during a market rebound, because it is all about controlling the overall structure. Understanding resistance and pressure is the key to winning!

From the four-hour level, the market touched the middle track, and the opening of the US stock market provided a tempting breakout signal, but the bullish momentum did not form a substantial breakthrough. Instead, it closed down with a pin bar. After the close at 12 o'clock, a significant bearish retracement is expected. Currently, the rhythm is upward, but anyone with discernment can see that the bullish energy column is not strong. The fragmented bullish rhythm is enough to prove everything; just maintain a bearish outlook until midnight!

The technical daily line for $ETH closed positively yesterday, currently experiencing a 6-day consecutive positive close. It is now operating above the lower Bollinger Band, with an upward trend expected within the day. However, the MA10 and MA30 around 116000 are crossing, creating a resistance level. A short position can be arranged near the rebound during the day, as the overall trend remains bearish, with the target focusing on the integer level of 110000. The 4-hour Bollinger Band is narrowing, and after 6 consecutive positive closes, a negative close is observed, with a clear bearish trend continuing. After a one-sided rise from yesterday to today, it is advisable to look for a pullback space during the daytime. The middle track of the Bollinger Band near 114000 serves as short-term support; if it breaks down, the lower track near 112000 should be examined. The 3-hour Bollinger Band is also narrowing, with a green 9 appearing on the TD indicator, indicating a bearish trend. In the short term, attention should be paid to whether the support formed by the intersection of the middle track and MA10 around 113500 breaks down; if it does, the lower track at 112500 should be targeted. Additionally, from the MACD indicator's perspective, referencing the data from August 3, DIF is -484.77, DEA is 470.89, and MACD is -13.88, indicating an increasing trend in bearish strength. In summary, the overall trend for BTC remains bearish, with operations focused on short positions at high rebounds. #美国加征关税 #币安Alpha上新 #加密市场反弹

$BTC Technical Analysis Daily Line Closed Positive Yesterday, Currently Experiencing 6 Consecutive Negative Days Followed by a Positive Day, Returning to Run Above the Lower Bollinger Band. There is a Continued Upward Trend During the Day, but the MA10 and MA30 Above Are Crossing Around 116000, Forming a Resistance Level. A Short Position Can Be Arranged Near the Rebound During the Day, and the Major Trend Still Looks Bearish, With the Target Focusing on the 110000 Integer Level. The 4-Hour Bollinger Band Is Narrowing, Currently Experiencing 6 Consecutive Positive Days Followed by a Negative Day, and the Downward Trend Is Obvious. After a One-Sided Rise from Yesterday to Today, Everyone Can First Look for a Pullback Space During the Day. The Bollinger Band Middle Track Near 114000 Serves as Short-Term Support; If It Breaks Down, Then Look Down to the Lower Track Around 112000. The 3-Hour Bollinger Band Is Narrowing, and a Green 9 Appears Above the TD Indicator, Indicating a Bearish Trend. In the Short Term, Pay Attention to Whether the Support Formed by the Middle Track and MA10 Near 113500 Breaks Down; If It Breaks, Then Look Down to the Lower Track at 112500. Additionally, From the MACD Indicator's Perspective, Referring to August 3rd Data, DIF Is -484.77, DEA Is 470.89, MACD Is -13.88, Indicating an Increasing Trend in Bearish Strength. In Summary, BTC's Major Trend Still Looks Bearish, With Operations Mainly Focusing on Short Positions at High Rebounds. #币安Alpha上新 #加密市场反弹 #美国加征关税

$ETH The white pancake is in a typical range oscillation pattern, and the technical aspect has not provided a clear directional signal. The technical indicators show that the price is above the short-term moving averages but below the long-term moving averages, the moving average system is tangled, momentum is weakening, and the trading volume has drastically decreased, further validating the market's wait-and-see approach.
Once the evening consolidation is completed, a short position can be taken at high levels. #币安Alpha上新 #加密市场反弹 #美联储利率决议

$BTC The white pancake is in a typical range oscillation pattern, and the technical indicators do not provide a clear directional signal. The technical indicators show that the price is above the short-term moving averages but below the long-term moving averages, the moving average system is entangled, momentum is weakening, and the extremely low trading volume further confirms the market's wait-and-see attitude.
Once the consolidation is completed in the evening, it can be shorted at high positions. #币安Alpha上新 #加密市场反弹 #美联储利率决议

Professional market analysis, current price orders. If the direction is unclear, we can discuss and communicate together $BTC $ETH #币安Alpha上新 #加密市场反弹 #美联储利率决议

$ETH There is no success that comes without effort, nor is there mediocrity that is without reason. Worthwhile things are always hard-earned. So when you feel lost and confused, do not question your efforts; all these accumulations will become a foundation, silently paving the way for you. Today's midday market continues the oscillating upward trend, but the overall volatility has narrowed, and the upward momentum appears slightly restrained. Since early morning, Bitcoin has only fluctuated around 1500 points, and resistance has gradually become apparent during the bullish advance. Currently, the price is oscillating around 114500. Ethereum is similarly showing a slow upward rhythm at midday, having peaked at around 3575 before encountering resistance and retreating. As of now, the price is consolidating around 3550.

From a technical structure perspective, the Bollinger Bands on the four-hour chart show a diverging downward trend, and the current price has effectively stabilized above the lower band, entering a phase of oscillation and repair. Although there are signs of a rebound in the pattern, the strength is weak, and recent candlesticks have produced longer upper shadows, indicating clear selling pressure above. Overall, the trend remains in a weak downward trajectory. In this weak structure, if the market shows a slight rebound, it can be viewed as a shorting opportunity, and one can follow the trend. For Monday's intraday operations, Lao Chen suggests capturing opportunities for the continuation of the bearish trend.

Bitcoin: Short around 115000 Target 113000
Ethereum: Short around 3580 Target 3480
#币安Alpha上新 #加密市场反弹 #美联储利率决议

$BTC There is no success that is taken for granted, nor is there mediocrity that is without reason. Things worth having never come easily. So when you are wandering and confused, do not doubt your efforts; these accumulations will eventually become a foundation, silently paving the way for you. Today's midday market continues the trend of fluctuating upward, but the overall volatility has narrowed, and the upward momentum seems slightly restrained. Since midnight, Bitcoin has fluctuated only around 1500 points, and the bulls are facing increasing resistance in the process of pushing forward, with the current coin price oscillating around 114500. Ethereum is also showing a slow upward rhythm this midday, reaching a daily high of around 3575 before encountering pressure and falling back. As of now, the coin price is consolidating around 3550.

From a technical structure perspective, the Bollinger Bands on the four-hour chart are diverging downward, and the current coin price has effectively stabilized above the lower band, entering a phase of oscillation and correction. Although there are signs of rebound in the pattern, the strength is weak, as recent K-lines have all closed with long upper shadows, indicating significant selling pressure above. Overall, the trend remains in a weak downward trajectory. In this weak structure, if the market shows a slight rebound, it can be seen as a shorting opportunity, allowing for a follow-up. Regarding intraday operations on Monday, Lao Chen suggests taking advantage of the continuation of the bearish trend.

Bitcoin: Short around 115000 Target 113000
Ethereum: Short around 3580 Target 3480
#币安Alpha上新 #加密市场反弹 #美联储利率决议

$ETH Success has no shortcuts; it is built upon countless days and nights of hard work. Every drop of sweat is not in vain, and every moment of perseverance brings you closer to your goal. Pave your own path to success with persistence and effort. In the early hours of Sunday, the overall market rebounded after reaching a low, and last week's market also saw a decline of nearly ten thousand points. The lowest point touched was around the 111850 mark before rebounding. Today marks the start of a new week, and opportunities are always present. Currently, the price of Bitcoin has warmed up to above 114000. Ethereum is showing a similar trend, and it has also begun to turn upward, with the price of Ether rebounding to around 3530. The bullish outlook we provided over the weekend has been validated.
The current four-hour chart clearly shows that the market's strong upward pattern has been established. If the price can successfully reclaim the upper middle track in the short term and stabilize above it, it will release a strong signal indicating that the market is about to undergo a reversal. Today's intraday candlestick is steadily climbing with a strong bullish trend, and the trajectory has returned to the middle and upper track range, highlighting a clear intention to challenge and test the upper track boundary. Based on this, the strategy recommendation for Monday is to follow the trend and actively position long trades.
Currently, Bitcoin directly targets 116500
Ethereum directly targets 3650#加密市场反弹 #美国加征关税 #以太坊十周年

$BTC Success has no shortcuts; it is built from countless days and nights of hard work. Every drop of sweat is not in vain, and every moment of perseverance brings you closer to your goals. Pave your path to success with persistence and effort. In the early hours of Sunday, the overall market rebounded after hitting a low, and last week's market also retracted nearly ten thousand points. The lowest point reached was around 111850 before stopping and rebounding. Today marks the beginning of a new week, and opportunities are always present. Currently, the price of Bitcoin has warmed up to above 114000. Ethereum also follows this trend, and has now begun to turn, with Ether rebounding to around 3530. The bullish outlook we provided over the weekend has been validated.
The current four-hour chart clearly shows that the market's strong upward trend has been established. If the price can successfully reclaim the upper middle track and stabilize above it in the short term, it will release a strong signal that the market is about to undergo a reversal. Today's K-line has steadily climbed with a strong bullish candle, and the trajectory has returned to the middle and upper track range, highlighting a clear intent to challenge and test the upper track boundary. Based on this, the strategy suggestion for Monday is to follow the trend and actively position long positions.
Bitcoin currently looks directly towards 116500
Ethereum's target looks directly towards 3650#美国加征关税 #加密市场反弹 #以太坊十周年

$BTC Good morning everyone on this new day. The price of the pancake coin has entered a stage of fluctuation during the early morning, with lower space opened up, and the moving average system has not shown a rebound trend; on the contrary, as the strength of the short side is released, the trend of the moving average moving downward is more evident. This is not the beginning of a downward cycle, but a pullback in a bearish trend. The price has tested the support level multiple times but has not been able to hold, indicating that the market is waiting for further advances from the short side.

In the short term, attention can be paid to the stabilization near the 114000 line below, considering a small position attempt to go long; cautious traders can continue to wait for pressure from above before planning related operations. #美国加征关税 #加密市场回调 #以太坊十周年

$BTC The market may experience various fluctuations, but those who hold firm will eventually penetrate the fog and witness the dawn's light; although profits may seem as unpredictable as stars in the clouds, those who cultivate and strategize will surely reap echoes in the long river of time. Looking back at today's market, Bitcoin has continued to rise from the morning low of 111850, reaching a peak of around 114200 in the evening before facing downward pressure. The performance of Ethereum is basically consistent with Bitcoin, having climbed from the morning level of 3353 to a daily high of 3514, but due to selling pressure above, it has not been able to stabilize effectively and has currently retreated to around 3490.
The current rebound shows obvious signs of momentum exhaustion. A brief lack of upward strength is not a problem; we still maintain a bullish outlook! Target 116000#美国加征关税 #加密市场回调 #以太坊十周年 .

$ETH This week's market situation is coming to an end. Let's review this week's trends: At the beginning of the week, the market attempted to break the 120,000 mark but failed, and subsequently entered a correction phase. The price of Bitcoin reached a high of 119,812 at the beginning of the week but encountered resistance and pressure. As we analyzed earlier, the longer the sideways consolidation lasts, the more it often breeds larger fluctuations. Indeed, after struggling to gain momentum, the price of Bitcoin underwent a strong correction, dipping to a low of 111,850 and fluctuating in that range. Ethereum's trend followed suit, rising to a high of 3,940 at the beginning of the week before retreating under pressure, with the lowest point hitting 3,353, completing a phase of adjustment.
This week, we gained a total of 11,348 points in Bitcoin and 708 points in Ethereum.
From the current market perspective, the daily chart still shows a bearish trend, with multiple long lower shadows indicating that buying pressure from below is relatively active. The four-hour chart has already shown three consecutive bearish candles, indicating signs of weakness in the bears, with upward space opening up; however, the overall market trend remains weak, and the risk of decline still exists. On the hourly chart, the price is under pressure and moving down towards the midline, with short-term prices encountering resistance around 115,000, forming a long upper shadow, indicating strong support and resistance at this level. Our strategy for the future market is to focus on buying on dips. #美国加征关税

$BTC 本周行情已至尾声，我们一同回顾本周走势：周初市场尝试冲击十二万关口未果，随即开启回调行情。大饼币价在周初最高触及119812一线后遇阻承压，正如我们此前分析、横盘蓄力越久，往往酝酿着更大级别的波动。果然，冲高乏力后币价迎来强势回调，最低下探至111850一线震荡运行。以太坊的走势亦如出一辙，周初冲高至3940一线后承压回落，回调过程中最低触及3353低位，完成阶段性调整。
本周我们总计斩获大饼11348点空间，以太斩获708点空间。
当前盘面来看，日线仍是空头趋势，多次长下影线,表明下方买盘较为积极。四小时线已然给到三连阴，空头呈现乏力迹象，上方空间打开,但市场整体趋势偏弱，下行风险依然存在。小时线上比价承压中轨下行，短期比价触及115000附近承压，并形成较长上影线说明此位置存在较强的支撑和压力。后市的思路我们以低多对待即可。#美国加征关税 #加密市场回调 #以太坊十周年

$ETH This week's market has come to an end, let's review the trends of this week: At the beginning of the week, the market attempted to break the 120,000 mark but failed, subsequently starting a corrective trend. The price of Bitcoin reached a peak of 119,812 at the start of the week but faced resistance, as we previously analyzed, the longer it consolidates sideways, the more likely it is to lead to larger fluctuations. Indeed, after the weak upward momentum, the price experienced a strong correction, dipping to a low of 111,850 and fluctuating. Ethereum's trend mirrored this, reaching a high of 3,940 at the beginning of the week before facing downward pressure, and during the correction, it dropped to a low of 3,353, completing a phase of adjustment.
This week, we achieved a total of 11,348 points in Bitcoin and 708 points in Ethereum.
From the current market perspective, the daily chart still shows a bearish trend, with multiple long lower shadows indicating that buying pressure is relatively active below. The four-hour chart has shown three consecutive bearish candles, indicating signs of weakness in the bears, with upward space opening up, yet the overall market trend remains weak, and the downward risk still exists. On the hourly chart, the price is under pressure below the middle band, and in the short term, it has faced resistance around 115,000, forming a long upper shadow which indicates strong support and pressure at this level. For the future market direction, we should adopt a low-buy approach. #美国加征关税 #加密市场回调 #美国初请失业金人数

$BTC This week's market has come to an end, let's review the trends of this week: At the beginning of the week, the market attempted to break the 120,000 mark but failed, and subsequently entered a correction phase. The price of Bitcoin reached a high of 119,812 at the beginning of the week but encountered resistance and pressure, just as we previously analyzed; the longer the sideways consolidation lasts, the more it often breeds larger fluctuations. As expected, after the upward momentum weakened, the price of Bitcoin experienced a strong correction, dipping to a low of 111,850 and fluctuating around that level. Ethereum's performance was similar, peaking at 3,940 at the beginning of the week before falling back under pressure, with a low of 3,353 during the correction, completing a phase of adjustment.
This week, we captured a total of 11,348 points in Bitcoin and 708 points in Ethereum.
Current market conditions show a bearish trend on the daily chart, with multiple long lower shadows indicating that buying interest from below is relatively strong. The four-hour chart has produced three consecutive bearish candles, showing signs of weakness in the bears; the upper space has opened up, but the overall market trend remains weak, and downside risks still exist. On the hourly chart, the price is under pressure as it moves down from the mid-line, with a short-term price touching around 115,000 facing pressure, forming a long upper shadow indicating strong support and resistance at this level. Our strategy for the subsequent market will be to adopt a low-buy approach. #加密市场回调 #美国加征关税 #以太坊十周年

#美国加征关税 #加密市场回调 #以太坊十周年 $BTC
BTC is in a downward trend. The macro environment is unfavorable, and the global economic downturn pressure leads to cautious investment. In terms of regulation, many countries are tightening policies, undermining market confidence. Technically, the price has broken through key support levels, and the moving average system shows a bearish arrangement. Moreover, there is a continuous influx of selling in the market, and funds are continually flowing out, driving the BTC price down.

From the weekly level, Bitcoin may be in the extended wave phase of the fifth wave, which is the final rally phase, and the increase is far lower than the previous one, entering a period of consolidation, indicating insufficient demand.

At the monthly level, it is near the upward resistance line and the upper band. If a situation arises where there are two consecutive bullish weeks followed by a large bearish engulfing, or if there is a sudden rally breaking through previous highs after a sideways movement, He Jie believes these could be confirmation signals for a bearish trend.

Additionally, the "Great Beautiful Act" promoted by A Te will raise the U.S. debt ceiling, forcing the Treasury to issue a large number of bonds, which will withdraw about $486 billion in market liquidity, equivalent to about 15% of the total market capitalization of the global cryptocurrency market. The contraction of liquidity will have a negative impact on Bitcoin prices.

#美国加征关税 #加密市场回调 #以太坊十周年 $BTC From the analysis of the 4-hour level candlestick chart, it presents a significant downward trend. The price has continuously retreated from the high near 118910, with occasional small upward corrections appearing during the decline, but it has never managed to recover the middle track resistance. The rebound amplitude is gradually narrowing, exposing insufficient momentum for a counterattack. Currently, the price is consistently running along the lower track, with the Bollinger Bands opening downwards, and the downward channel has been completely opened. In the MACD indicator, the DIF continues to be below the DEA, with green bars maintaining expansion, and the downward momentum has not shown any signs of weakening. The short-term RSI6 has fallen into the oversold range but has not led to a turning point in the medium-term indicators, indicating weak rebound momentum. Overall, the downward-dominated pattern has not changed. If the lower track is lost, it will open up deeper downward space. In terms of operations, one can rely on rebounds to choose the timing for strategic entries, and closely monitor the results of the lower track support contest.

$ETH publicly proposed a short-selling strategy in the afternoon, friends who followed the epic pullback are enjoying the gains. It's not just talk, friends. #美国加征关税 #加密市场回调 #以太坊十周年