秦峥

#现货与合约策略 July 6th, Sunday Afternoon Cryptocurrency Market Analysis*
Market Overview
Weekend market trading is light, and volatility has narrowed. Yesterday, mainstream cryptocurrencies maintained range-bound fluctuations:
BTC: 107,700-108,300 USDT
ETH: 2,495-2,528 USDT
BTC Four-Hour Technical Analysis
1. Price Structure
After a high pullback, it entered a low rebound phase
Currently under pressure at the middle band of the Bollinger Bands (MA20), indicating significant resistance above
2. Indicator Signals
KDJ: Three lines converging, potential golden cross indicates short-term rebound demand
MACD: Operating below the zero axis, medium-term bearish dominance
RSI: Not breaking through the 50 dividing line, bullish momentum is insufficient
3. Comprehensive Conclusion
There is a possibility of a technical rebound in the short term, but the medium-term bearish trend remains unchanged.
Trading Strategy Suggestions:
Bitcoin: Position short near the 108000-109000 range, target focusing on 106500
Ethereum: Position short near 2550, target focusing on around 2450

After reaching a high of 110,000 on July 3, it continued to decline. After dropping below 105,000 yesterday, it rebounded like a spring within a few hours, and the trading volume remained high, expanding by 40% compared to the previous period. A breakout is imminent; once it effectively stabilizes, it is expected to challenge 109,500 within 3 days, which is undoubtedly bullish #美股代币化 #BTC走势分析

It's not that simple to get out of a predicament, is it?

Big rise to buy, retreat to short, successfully cut 1500 points, trust in the big direction with me #BTC

Are you still waiting and watching others reap the rewards? #非农就业数据来袭 #大而美法案 $BTC

I myself 😂😂

Real trading record of brother No. 7.4, trust Qin Zheng, after non-farm payrolls, simply grasp #非农就业数据来袭 #BTC走势分析

Currently, SOL is like a tightly stretched spring, bouncing back and forth in the small space between 148 and 153. The price is now around $152.80, approaching the upper limit, but has not broken through yet. The overall market sentiment is 'wait and see + test', with both bulls and bears waiting for the next decisive large bullish or bearish candle. Understanding the current situation through three indicators:
1. Bollinger Bands: Volatility contraction = the eve of an outbreak
The three lines of the Bollinger Bands are converging, and the market is narrowing.
It's like the tide retreating, which means 'either a rise or a significant drop,' but it won't stay quiet.
The current price is near the upper Bollinger band (above 149), indicating a bullish market, but it hasn't broken through yet.
2. MACD: Rising momentum is 'braking'
The red bars are getting smaller, like the brake lights of a car turning on, indicating that momentum is weakening.
Although there is no death cross, if it doesn't accelerate upward, it may turn downward.
3. KDJ: Too hot, needs to cool down
K and D are above 80, and J has already turned down—this is an 'overbought' signal.
This means: there may be a small pullback to cool down in the short term, just like an overheated engine needs to cool off.
Operating strategy: Conduct guerrilla warfare around the spring box
Buying low to go long:
If SOL can retrace to 149~150 without breaking, it would be a great 'line bounce' opportunity.
Set a stop loss below 147.5; once it breaks, do not linger.
The initial target is 153.5, and if it breaks through 160, then look for 165.
Shorting at high positions:
If the price approaches 153~155 but does not break through, consider lightly shorting.
The target is to retrace near 150, with a stop loss set above 156.2, aiming for a 'failed breakout'. #sol板块 $SOL

#非农就业数据来袭 #4-hour chart trend is clearer, the market is in a clear uptrend, with strong bullish momentum. The trend line and the pullback low of 108480 form a key short-term defensive support level, and after a slight pullback, the market stabilizes and rises in a series of consecutive bullish candles. The opening price this week is already at a high level, showing strong momentum to challenge new highs. However, it should be noted that the subsequent market is likely to continue the rhythm of 'one step back after one step forward'; even if there is a pullback, the extent is relatively limited.
Operational suggestions are adjusted as follows:
Bitcoin: It is recommended to set up long and short positions in the range of 108800 - 1090000, with a target price of 107800.
Ethereum: Go long in the range of 2540 - 2520, targeting 2680, with a stop loss set at 2500. Given that Ethereum's trend is relatively independent and the bullish trend is evident, it is advisable to moderately relax the target price and capture a larger upward space.

$BTC simplified and achieved today

Morning Thoughts on July 4, 2025
Yesterday's daily line closed above 108800, showing a strong upward trend, but the long upper shadow also indicates significant resistance above.
Looking back at last night, after the Nasdaq closed, Bitcoin briefly rebounded to around 110000, then fell back under pressure from short-term profit-taking, fluctuating narrowly in the 110000-109300 range. The current market's volatility has narrowed, reflecting a cautious investor sentiment. From a technical indicator perspective, the hourly Bollinger Bands (BOLL) have shifted from divergence to parallel, indicating a significant reduction in short-term volatility, with the market entering a consolidation phase where the middle band becomes a key point of contention; the MACD dual lines are running parallel and downward below the zero line, with green bars maintaining a weak expansion. Although short-term bearish sentiment prevails, momentum has not further strengthened, and the overall shape leans towards a consolidation buildup.
Trading Suggestions: If Bitcoin falls back to around 107700-108500, look for upward opportunities, targeting 110000-111500; if it rebounds to around 110000-110500, consider lightly shorting, targeting downward to 109000-108500.
For Ethereum, if it falls back to around 2585-2565, watch for a rebound, targeting 2605-2635; if it rebounds to around 2630-2660, consider trying to short, targeting 2560-2530. #非农就业数据来袭 #BTC重返11万 #币安Alpha上新 #特朗普马斯克分歧

I believe many brothers were trapped tonight
110,000 area opened a warning to short, after the non-farm payrolls, if the expected drop of 108,700 occurs, it can be cashed out. The pattern still indicates bullish, so one can reverse to go long and see a round of rebound, continuing to look bullish around the trend. If there is another reversal today, we will scold the market manipulator together. Personally, I think after a brief rise to the 109,500 - 109,000 range, it will be time to short, with a target around the 108,700-109,300 range #非农就业数据来袭 #BTC重返11万

比特币在下午至109500一度拉升至110000附近；以太坊日内走出冲高回落行情，早盘触及2550高点后开启震荡调整模式，盘中最高攀升至2600一线徘徊 。
btc：价格有望创新高，目标112000-115000区间附近 目标113000
姨太：建议在2600-2580附近回撤，可能回落2550#BTC重返11万 #以太

From a news perspective, the trade agreement between the U.S. and Vietnam is a short-term positive for Bitcoin and Ethereum prices. From a technical analysis standpoint, on the four-hour chart, after two consecutive bearish candles, a bullish candle has emerged, indicating continued bullish momentum. The KDJ lines are diverging upwards, but the RSI indicator has formed a death cross and is turning down, showing that although there is upward momentum, the pressure at the 110,000 level is significant; on the hourly chart, after five consecutive bearish candles, three bullish candles have strongly reclaimed lost ground, but the pressure above still exists. After a significant move, the demand for retracement is evident. If the 110,000 level does not break, a short position may be considered. Ethereum (ETH) follows a similar trend, with a key resistance level around 2,620.
In terms of trading strategy,
Bitcoin can be shorted around 109,950-109,450, targeting 109,000-109,200;
For Ethereum, it is recommended to short around 2,650-2,700, targeting 2600#币安Alpha上新 #Solana质押型ETF .

It's like this 😅

7.3 Afternoon Market Technical Analysis (Personal Opinion Only)
From the four-hour technical chart observation, BTC price is constrained by the upper Bollinger Band resistance. At the key psychological level of 110,000, combined with technical resistance, the upward momentum of the bulls is insufficient, showing obvious signs of a pullback. Meanwhile, the bullish momentum bars in the MACD indicator continue to narrow, reflecting a gradual weakening of buying power in the short term, suggesting that the market may continue its downward adjustment trend, and potential pullback risks should be taken seriously.
🫓 Operation Idea: Short around 109500-110000, with a target towards the 107500-108800 range near #美股代币化 #BTC走势分析 #BTC

If it can effectively hold $2.23–$2.25 and break out with volume, we can expect a test of $2.30; conversely, if it drops below $2.20, we need to be cautious of a pullback.
If the ETF and fundamentals continue to strengthen, there is potential to challenge $2.50; if there are macro headwinds or a technical breakdown, it might fall back to around $2.00.
The market generally has a positive outlook on the green channel after ETF approval. If it breaks down, the subsequent direction looks bullish towards $3–$5 #xrp #etf以太坊