1.1 Morning Market Analysis New Year Blessing: Auspicious dragon brings blessings, investment new chapter flows with fragrance. The auspicious dragon arrives, auspicious signs arise, wishing you a new year where your investments are smooth and effortless, portfolio allocation is exquisite and appropriate, risk avoidance is just right, and returns grow steadily and reasonably. The auspicious dragon presents good fortune, abundance of wealth, and joy year after year! On the daily chart, the market has repeatedly rebounded but failed to stabilize around the 96000 level. The price has broken down and is declining again. Currently, the Bollinger Bands are opening downwards, with the five-day resistance line forming around 94500 and slowly moving downward. If the market cannot produce a strong rebound today, there is a possibility of further decline in price. On the short-term hourly chart, the recent price fluctuations have been significant, with multiple long upper and lower shadows appearing. The last few candlesticks show a clear oscillating trend, with prices repeatedly testing within a range. Currently, the coin price is retracing and operating in the middle to lower band area, indicating that the market is under pressure. In the short term, if it cannot break and hold the day's high of 96000, there may be a possibility of a pullback. Therefore, it is not advisable to blindly chase long positions; focus on shorting at range highs and longing at range lows, while being cautious of further price declines. Bitcoin Upper resistance: 94440-94840-95949 nearby Lower support: 93050-92500-92030 nearby
Currently, we are seeing a rebound repair after an overshoot. It appears to be a warming rebound, but in reality, it is weak. The daily candlestick shows a low close with a doji, so our thinking today is very clear: first short, then long. Use the mid-track of 99500 as a dividing line; short below this critical point, and remember not to chase too deep in the short term.
Afternoon Strategy: For Bitcoin, short near 98000-97500, with a stop loss of 600 points, targeting around 95500, and then cautiously consider going long again. For Ethereum, short near 3420-3380, with a stop loss of 600 points, targeting around 3300-3280, and then cautiously consider going long again.
12.22 Morning Navigation Analysis After a rebound during the day, the market has pulled back, with Bitcoin reaching the second resistance level mentioned in my afternoon article, slowly declining to the Doku support level before making a slight rebound and fluctuation. Ethereum is under pressure at the first resistance level and has pulled back to the first support level with slight fluctuations. For Bitcoin to rise, it needs to rebound and stabilize above the 98000 level, looking at the resistance near 99600, 101500, and 102500 above; conversely, we will look at the support situation at the 96400 level, and if it closes below this level, we will look at the areas around 95400-94700-94000; Ethereum's movement is basically in sync with Bitcoin, continuing to rebound and stabilize around the 3440 level, looking at the resistance near 3490 and 3550-3600 above; conversely, we will look at the support situation at the 3340 level, and if it closes below this level, we will look at the areas around 3290 and 3240-3190; In summary, the Silk Road suggests that as long as the support level is not broken during the pullback, we can expect a rebound.
Midnight Navigation Analysis Yesterday, the big pie made a sharp drop and then rebounded back into the consolidation zone. The daily pullback trend remains unchanged, and the support for bulls and bears at 101227 needs to continue to push higher. First, it must break through the top resistance of the consolidation zone at 98371 and then break through the daily resistance at 101227 to have a second chance to rise further. Currently, the four-hour level has also started to show a rebound, indicating that this rebound is not over yet. Short positions should pay attention to the upper resistance levels and take care, while the lower support to watch is 96374. As long as the four-hour closing price falls below this level, it indicates that this rebound has ended, and there will be a second drop to the lower support at 94137-92338. The aunt is currently also in a four-hour level rebound, with no clear direction in the consolidation zone. If the top resistance of the consolidation zone at 3500 breaks, look for 3566-3674-3760. The four-hour support for bulls and bears is at 3421. If the four-hour closing price falls below this level, this four-hour level rebound will be considered over, with lower target support at 3263-3104-3038! #加密市场反弹
Evening of December 21, Four Roads From the current trend, the daily level pullback situation has not changed. There is an important resistance level above for the future market trend, specifically between 98371 and 100000 points. To continue pushing higher, it is necessary to first break through the top resistance of this horizontal consolidation area. Only when the price further breaks through the daily level resistance at 101227 may there be a possibility of a second opportunity for a rally. At the same time, investors need to closely monitor the support level below, especially around 96374 points. If the four-hour level K-line closes below this position, it may indicate the end of the rebound, and the market will test the lower support levels again, such as 94137 and the 338 spike points, which still remain near 90286.85589 unchanged.
Ethereum is currently also in a four-hour level rebound phase, and its horizontal direction remains unclear. Based on the current situation analysis, the top resistance of the consolidation area is roughly at 3500 points. If this resistance can be successfully broken, the subsequent market may shift its focus to higher points, such as 3566, 3760, etc. At the same time, the key positions for four-hour support and resistance are around 3421. If the four-hour K-line closes below this position, then the four-hour level rebound may end. At that time, the market's next target support levels will be 3263, 3104, and 3038, among others. #加密市场反弹
12.21 Afternoon Four Roads The large candlesticks on the daily chart of the big pancake have basically formed a short-term bottom. As long as the 4-hour level retracement does not break below 95629, there shouldn't be a problem. If it breaks, then it will need to revisit 94251-92741. The hourly level must break and stabilize above 98355 to look upwards, otherwise it will be a consolidation and fluctuation around 99485-100561. If it breaks down to 97051 with volume, go short on the right side and take a stop loss. The upper pressure is at 98408-99054-100454. The lower support is at 96255-95340-94318. For the second pancake, breaking above 3481 with volume is a signal to go long on the right side and take a stop loss. Retracement to 3392 confirms the support is valid for an additional long position, break below 3353 is a stop loss. If it breaks down to 3457 with volume, go short on the right side and take a stop loss. The second pancake at the hourly level must break above 3518 to perform stronger, target level is 3640-3718. Pay attention to 3633 for a light position short, stop loss if breaking above 3660. Left side order at 3152 is a direct long, stop loss if breaking below 3121. The upper pressure is at 3518-3593-3637. The lower support is at 3410-3366-3319. For the second pancake, as long as the daily level does not break below 3034, there is nothing to worry about. If it breaks 3034, then it will drop conservatively to 2893-2753.
Midnight Navigation Analysis The large pancake is currently rebounding at the 1-hour level. Pay attention to the position of 95600 during the night. As long as it stands firm above this position at the 1-hour level, it will continue to rebound upwards. The target/resistance levels above to watch are near 98000-99610-101475! If it falls below the position of 95600 during the night, then the 1-hour rebound will fail, and the market will turn bearish, continuing to decline. The support levels below to watch are near 93950-92280-90860. The second pancake is currently rebounding at the 1-hour level. Pay attention to the position of 3300 during the night. As long as it stands firm above this position at the 1-hour level, it will continue to rebound upwards. The target/resistance levels above to watch are near 3391-3465-3520! If it falls below the position of 3300 during the night, then the 1-hour rebound will fail, and the market will turn bearish, continuing to decline. The support levels below to watch are near 3200-3105-3037! #加密市场回调
Evening of 12.19, Four Routes The large pancake fell back to around 100600 after reaching around 101200 at noon and then rebounded to around 101800 with fluctuations. The overall range of Auntie is maintained between 3650-3700, currently fluctuating around 3677. From the current four-hour structure, the Bollinger Bands are opening downwards, the large pancake's volume is decreasing, and it is operating near the lower track. KDJ is gradually moving upwards, while MACD is still moving downwards below the zero axis. From the one-hour structure, the Bollinger Bands are opening downwards, the large pancake has reached the middle track, with increased volume, and MACD is crossing upwards, while KDJ is opening upwards. Regarding the evening nebula, I personally think: Above the large pancake, pay attention to resistance around 102000-102300, and if it breaks through, pay attention to the 103100 line, with the second line at around 104500. Below, pay attention to small support around 100600, and if it breaks, watch for around 99700. Above Auntie, pay attention to resistance around 3700-3720, if it breaks through, pay attention to the 3760 line, with the second line around 3800. Below, pay attention to small support around 3650, and if it breaks, watch for around 3615.
12.19 Afternoon Market Analysis Currently, it can be seen from the daily chart that the speed and intensity of Bitcoin's decline have clearly accelerated, especially after the Federal Reserve's actions. This morning, it accelerated downward, breaking below the 100,000 mark, and is currently continuing to fall towards the middle track. The market has shown a one-sided bearish sentiment, and there is no doubt that the trend remains bearish. Structurally, it should be viewed as weak. Regarding the current rebound strength, the probability of further decline is still very high, so we should directly look at 98,000 below.
Afternoon trading strategy for Bitcoin: Short from 101,000 to 101,500 with a target of 98,000. Afternoon trading strategy for Ethereum: Short from 3,670 to 3,710 with a target of 3,570. 2196504931 94804894344
In the morning, I was bearish and shorted the first round of the big cake. I won 1169 iodine and 64 iodine of Ethereum. I won the first victory today. The 100,000 integer mark has been broken, and the short position is still continuing. Just keep looking down! #BTC☀ #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥 #超级央行周
Morning Analysis on December 18 Yesterday, the market saw a fluctuating upward trend, reaching a high of 108353 after a drop of nearly a thousand points. From a daily perspective, after the major asset hit a new high, it retraced but remained above the three-day moving average. Last night, after testing support, it rebounded quickly, with strong support at 105000. Following the strategy of buying on dips, using moving averages as a reference, as long as the support at 105000 holds, the bullish trend will continue. Major Asset: Retracement near 105000 - 105500, target around 107200-107800. Minor Asset: Retracement near 3830 - 3850, target around 3940-4000. #BTC☀ #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥 #BTC再创新高
Midnight Thought Analysis Currently, Bitcoin has broken through the upper pressure of 107783, with the next resistance level at 108500. For mid to long-term short strategies, we start planning at 110000, as discussed in the evening live stream. Below, support is at 107000; if this position is broken, a one-hour level correction will begin, with lower correction support at 106000, 103294, and 101835. If the four-hour closing breaks below 106000, the four-hour level will start to correct.
The one-hour level of the altcoin has formed a sideways fluctuation. The upper pressure is at 4030; at least a breakthrough and stable hold above this pressure is needed for the market to continue to rise. The upper pressures are at 4074 and 4109. The lower support is at 3988; at least a four-hour closing must break below this position for the four-hour to start correcting, which will weaken the upward momentum. Lower support levels are: 3942, 3890, and 3846. #BTC☀ #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥 #BTC再创新高
On the evening of December 17th, the four roads The large pancake has once again consolidated at a high position, truly unable to drop even a little. It has now broken through the first resistance level, and at the hourly level, it has once again stood on the bullish side. If this position remains stable, the next resistance level to watch is 107783. Observe the situation of a second peak test, and if it breaks through the next resistance level, look towards 108500. If the resistance at 106335 cannot effectively hold, the hourly level will once again enter a correction, with lower support at 105354-104720-103300! Aunt stepped on the four-hour support at 3945 this morning and then surged up, but from an overall pullback perspective, it still appears relatively weak. Pay attention to the resistance at 4022 above; if this position breaks through, continue to look at the two resistance levels 4074-4109. If the resistance at 4022 cannot be broken and held, the smaller timeframe will still belong to the correction, with lower support at 3955-3890-3822. #BTC☀ #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥 #加密市场狂欢
12.17 Midday Navigation Clear Analysis The big pie has once again been consolidating at a high position, truly 📉 not moving down at all. It has already broken through the first resistance at 106672. The hourly level has once again stood above the bulls; if this position stabilizes, we will continue to look at the next resistance level of 108083 to observe a second peak test. If we break through the next resistance level, we will look around 108500. If the pressure of 106672 cannot be effectively stabilized, the hourly level will enter a pullback again, with support on the downside at 105354, 104720, and 103300. The second pie touched the four-hour support at 3945 this morning and then surged again. However, from the overall pullback perspective, it still appears relatively weak. Pay attention to the pressure at the top at 4035. If this level breaks through, we will continue to look at the two resistance levels of 4074 and 4109. If the pressure of 4035 cannot be broken and stabilized, the smaller level will still belong to a pullback, with support below at: 3955, 3890, 3822.#BTC☀ #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥 #超级央行周
Midnight thoughts are perfect and correct, congratulations brother for eating meat, securing the big pancake close to 1165 iodine, two pancakes 152 classics, successfully collecting 33151 dollars Follow Qiuyang to help you sail through the sea of writing #BTC☀ #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥 #币安LaunchpoolVANA
12.17 Morning Update: Last night, the Bitcoin price once again broke a new high, reaching 107793. After breaking the new high, it fell back to 105800. During the night, it captured a significant space of 1061 for Bitcoin.
It is expected that there will continue to be adjustments in the morning, and after some strength accumulation, it will break new highs again.
The overall direction continues to look upward, aiming for 110k. In light of this, the focus is still on pullbacks. For Bitcoin, it may pull back to around 105000-105300, with a target looking at around 106500-107000. For Ethereum, it may pull back to around 3960-3980, with a target looking at around 4050-4100. #BTC☀ #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥
Bitcoin: Pay attention to minor support during the night at the position of 104831. If this position is not broken, continue to look for the previous high resistance at 106654. If it breaks through, continue to look for a new high. However, if the one-hour close falls below 104831, the one-hour level will start to pull back, with support levels below at 103695, 102000, and 108000. If the four-hour close falls below 103695, the four-hour level will begin to pull back.
Ethereum, driven by Bitcoin, has successfully rebounded slightly. Pay attention to the position of 3938 during the night. If it stabilizes at this position, there will be a rebound in the one-hour and two-hour charts, with upper rebound resistance at 3988, 4022, and 4090. If 3938 cannot hold, continue to look for a pullback to the four-hour support at 3900. If the four-hour close falls below 3900, the four-hour level will start to pull back, with support levels below at 3867 and 3822. If these two positions are broken, prevent a spike down to 3731.
Bitcoin's nighttime attention should be on the minor support level: 104831. If this position is not broken, continue to look for the previous high resistance at 106654. If it breaks through, continue to look for new highs. However, if the hourly close falls below 104831, the hourly level will begin to pull back, with support at 103695, 102000, and 108000 below. If the four-hour close falls below 103695, the four-hour level will begin to pull back.
Ethereum, driven by Bitcoin, has successfully rebounded a bit. During the night, pay attention to the position at 3938. If it stabilizes at this position, a rebound will start in the one-hour and two-hour time frames. The upper rebound resistance levels are: 3988, 4022, and 4090. If 3938 cannot hold, continue to look for the four-hour support at 3900. If the four-hour close falls below 3900, the four-hour level will begin to pull back, with support below at 3867 and 3822. If these two positions are broken, prevent a spike to 3731. 3572#BTC☀ #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥 #超级央行周