Sashko kolobok

🐻Медвежий сигнал по BTC?

Коэффициент MVRV только что опустился ниже 200-дневной простой скользящей средней, — отмечает Ali.

Это является медвежьим сигналом, который может указывать на дальнейшее снижение цены🔽

Which coin to invest in right now 💸

1. Bitcoin (BTC)

Why now: after the halving in April 2024, BTC historically tends to rise for 6–18 months.

Risk: low (for crypto), the least volatile asset on the market.

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2. Ethereum (ETH)

Why now: active development of the ecosystem (Layer 2, restaking, EIP-4844), stable position No. 2.

Risk: medium. But the growth potential is good due to updates.

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3. Solana (SOL)

Why now: return of trust, active NFT and DeFi ecosystem, speed and low fees.

Risk: higher than BTC/ETH, but the profit potential is also.

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4. Toncoin (TON)

Why now: deep integration with Telegram, growth in the number of users and dApps.

Risk: medium. But the project is becoming increasingly noticeable.

… On the horizon is a week full of traps 🔥

The USA is pulling out a couple of trump cards that could create a real storm in the market. Volatility will dance like a tribal shaman before the rain.

🗺️ What awaits us on the path:
• inflation data (!!!);
• producer price index;
• consumer confidence index in Michigan.

June 11 — a red mark on the calendar — the release of inflation data. The day when BTC could either shoot up or plunge into the crypto abyss. So, seat belts are fastened, take profits are set, emotions locked away.

We are keeping our eyes wide open. Movement means opportunity. And where there is opportunity, there is profit 👍

TRUMP
📈 Historical Dynamics

First Days: Capitalization skyrocketed — over $27 billion in less than 1 day; the token price surged from $7–8 to $75.

Subsequent Decline: After the peak, the price fell to ~$38 per token; then stabilized within $12–14.

Trump's Earnings: Due to trading commissions, he was paid approximately $350 million–$100 million+, depending on the sources' estimates.

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⚠️ Risks and Ethical Aspects

Conflict of Interest: The President personally benefits — through sales, commissions, special dinners for state investors.

Dinners and Access: In May, Trump organized a private banquet for investors who spent around $1–1.7 million per dinner — suspicions of lobbying and violations of legislation.

Investor Loss: Several hundred thousand (over 800,000) potential investors incurred losses of $2 billion+.

Regulatory Issues: There are concerns about the possibility of undisclosed donations passing through, the potential classification of the coin as securities, or circumventing the FEC. There are disputes regarding SEC/CFTC jurisdiction.

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📊 Current Status

Price: ~$11–$13.85

24-hour Trading Volume: from $10 million to $2.2 billion across various platforms.

Capitalization: Circulating — ~$2.2–2.7 billion; FDV — up to ~$13.8 billion.

Today I received 3 WCT for participating in training. Don't miss the opportunity)
#Earn

Information for beginners. For example, you want to invest a minimal amount💸 in crypto and are afraid to do so. Here are some small tips🧐 To invest $10, it’s important to understand that such an amount is more about trying to understand the market than making big profits. Here are a few options depending on your goals:

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1. If you want minimal risk (long-term and stable):

Bitcoin (BTC) or Ethereum (ETH)
→ It’s like investing in "blue chips". Reliable, but don’t expect big growth in the short term.

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2. If you want to take a risk for potential growth:

Solana (SOL) — a rapidly growing blockchain with significant ecosystem development.

Arbitrum (ARB) or Optimism (OP) — scaling solutions for Ethereum, still young tokens.

TON (The Open Network) — gaining popularity due to integration with Telegram.

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3. If you want maximum risk and potential X100 (but can lose everything):

Look for meme coins with early-stage potential (like $PEPE, $WIF, $FLOKI) — it’s a lottery.

But you need to thoroughly research the project, the team, and the community.

ETH comes alive🤞 Ethereum, which has long been trailing behind BTC and SOL, will finally get its moment. It is still -50% from its peak, and it is during such periods that the big players start to act. Large players do not sell off, but begin to accumulate. When ETH comes alive, all altcoins follow. First, Ethereum will start pumping, and then all altcoins will go up. I think this will happen very soon.
#ETH#altcoins

❗Possible risks for TON

1. Centralization of Telegram:

Although Telegram claims to be decentralized, key decisions are still made by a limited group of people.

TON is closely tied to Telegram — if something happens to it (e.g., a ban), it will also affect TON.

2. Competition with other L1 (Layer 1):

Ethereum, Solana, Avalanche, Near — powerful competitors with larger DeFi ecosystems.

TON will have to not just catch up but come up with a unique niche (e.g., mass adoption through Telegram).

3. Legal issues:

The SEC (U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission) already had a conflict with TON in 2020 (after which the launch of TON Gram was canceled). Now it is a revived project by the community, but regulatory risks remain.

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📈 Forecast:

Short-term (2025): TON may experience a sharp increase due to Telegram Mini Apps and the implementation of crypto features for regular users.

Medium-term (2025–2027): If TON becomes the “default Web3” in Telegram, it could become one of the top 5 cryptocurrencies by usage.

Long-term: Everything will depend on whether TON can become not just a platform but an infrastructure for global payment and decentralized services.

📉Убытки Трампа и Маска из-за конфликта.

Аналитики Axios посчитали примерные убытки от личного конфликта Илона Маска и Дональда Трампа.

▶️Маск потерял почти $20 млрд, так как акции Tesla упали на 14.3%.
▶️Трамп потерял примерно $202 млн из-за просадки Trump Media на 8%.

Помимо этого, отреагировал падением и мемкоин TRUMP. Он упал на 10%.

Очень дорогие твиты получились😅
#TrumpVsMusk

The prospects of TON (The Open Network) look quite promising, especially considering recent trends in the crypto market and its close integration with Telegram. Here are the key factors that influence its potential:

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✅ Strengths of TON:

1. Integration with Telegram:

TON is the officially supported blockchain infrastructure of Telegram.

Telegram has over 900+ million users, and even a small conversion of these users into crypto-active creates huge demand.

Features like Telegram Wallet and bots are emerging, allowing instant transfer of TON coins.

2. Speed and Scalability:

TON uses a dynamic sharding architecture that allows processing millions of transactions per second.

This places it alongside Solana, Aptos, Sui, but with a better UX (thanks to Telegram).

3. Growing Ecosystem:

TON Space (wallets), TON DNS, TON Storage, TON Proxy are Web3 modules that create a decentralized ecosystem.

TON is already actively used in NFTs, games, and DeFi through Telegram.

4. Support from Developers and Investors:

The TON Foundation actively invests in startups and attracts projects.

In 2024, TON announced grant programs for developers worth tens of millions of dollars.
#TON #tonecoin

✅ ETH Strategy for June 2025:

1. Tactic "buy on dips"

Buy when falling to the range of $3,500–$3,600 (strong support).

Hold until $3,900–$4,000 (first level of resistance).

If the price breaks $4,000 — next target: $4,300–$4,500.

2. Stop-loss / risk management

Stop-loss: $3,400 (below the support zone).

Position size: no more than 5–10% of the portfolio in short-term trades.

Leverage: avoid or use minimal (up to x2).

3. Partial profit taking

25–50% of the position can be taken when reaching $3,900.

Keep the rest until a breakout or pullback.#MyCOSTrade #Ethereum

My forecast for SOL
🔍 What do the forecasts say for the next 3 days?

Barron's (last 2 days) notes that SOL has risen by ~6.1%, but the overall sentiment remains weak — sharp fluctuations and corrections are possible.

Changelly assesses the medium-term (1–7 days) technical trends as weak, with a 'bear' signal (82%) on daily charts, while on the 4-hour chart — 'bull', so short spikes are possible, but not critical.

PricePredictions.com sees the current trend as 'bearish' — SOL has dropped by ~5% over 7 days, but they call this a buying opportunity. However, they warn — now is not the best time, it's worth waiting for a market turnaround.

Market Thoughts — BTC continues its expedition for a new ATH 💰

Good day, seekers. Yesterday the market shook off excess passengers, and today many are nervously pressing the ‘sell’ button. But while some panic — we are reading the map. And it points upwards.

🗺️ What I see on the chart:
• The ‘head and shoulders’ has played out — entirely or partially, it will become clear a bit later;
• A ‘bull flag’ formation is forming — a signal before a shot upwards;
• On the 8h timeframe, there is a confident bullish divergence — which foreshadows a change in direction.

Correction? Yes, but it was not a trap — rather a technical breather. A recharge. The trap snapped, but not for us. The global trend is alive, and it breathes upwards.

🔍 Two likely paths:
• Either we break the flag from the current levels and soar to $120,000;
• Or BTC drops slightly lower, to $97,000, to gather new orders and then surge to the top with even greater force.

Both scenarios are not about a dump, but about gaining altitude. The task now is simple: stay calm, watch the signals, and prepare the gear 🔥

Based on the analysis, I plan to open a new position today. Shall we trade? 👍

The scandal between Donald Trump and Elon Musk may affect Bitcoin. Let's break it down:
1. How Trump and Musk can influence Bitcoin

Elon Musk has influence over the cryptocurrency market: his tweets have repeatedly caused sharp fluctuations in the price of Bitcoin, Dogecoin, etc.

Trump is now actively getting involved in the cryptocurrency topic (especially during the election campaign) and declares support for crypto to differentiate himself from the Democrats' position.

2. The essence of the scandal

If the scandal is based on ideological differences, the impact on the market will be psychological — investors will react to:

Regulatory risks: if Trump starts criticizing Musk for his influence on financial markets or artificial intelligence, it may deter crypto investors.

Instability among "crypto-friends": investors may begin to doubt the reliability of support for crypto from such figures if there is no unity among them.

3. What will actually happen to the price of Bitcoin

The price of Bitcoin is more dependent on:

decisions by the Fed (interest rates),

demand from ETFs,

geopolitical tension,

elections in the USA.

The scandal may cause short-term volatility, but is unlikely to lead to long-term decline or growth.
#TrumpVsMusk