狗庄别搁我

Many people are saying that for Bitcoin to reach a new high, it must undergo a serious washout and break the new low! Is the big player foolish? Falling down allows retail investors to pick up cheap chips! The current sideways movement without an increase is making you think there will be a big drop, prompting you to give up your chips. During this period, many retail investors and big players have been selling. As long as Bitcoin keeps rising, there’s no fear of retail investors not getting on board! Those who believe there will still be a big drop are likely missing out, stuck in short positions, clinging to a glimmer of hope for a Bitcoin crash, merely self-soothing. In these two days, it will definitely break 100,000!

#空投操作全指南 shares some personal insights on the current hot alpha trade volume brushing for airdrops.
Many people may encounter the issue of excessive losses when brushing trade volume; I have some experience with this.
First, do not choose the ETH or BSC chains, as the gas fees for these two chains are relatively high. It is best to choose the SOL chain or BASE chain.
Second, when brushing trade volume, select projects with high market capitalization and strong liquidity. Set the candlestick chart to 15 minutes; if the trend looks good, it can be selected, preferably those that have shown an increase in price, as this way, it can even be achieved to not only avoid losses but also make a small profit.
Finally, I wish everyone can meet the threshold for each airdrop!
#Airdrop Operation Complete Guide

The sovereign stablecoin launched recently by Abu Dhabi marks a new phase in the global cryptocurrency market where sovereign power deeply participates. As a core hub for fintech innovation in the Middle East, Abu Dhabi will leverage its substantial oil capital and financial openness policies to upgrade stablecoins from "grassroots tools" to "national strategic infrastructure," having a profound impact on the virtual currency market and the international financial system.
**On the crypto market: Reshaping trust and liquidity**
The Abu Dhabi stablecoin, backed by sovereign credit, may disrupt the current stablecoin landscape dominated by private entities such as Tether (USDT) and Circle (USDC). Its design, pegged to the US dollar or a basket of currencies, combined with the reserves supported by the Abu Dhabi Sovereign Wealth Fund, will attract traditional financial institutions to accelerate their entry, enhancing the liquidity and stability of the cryptocurrency market. Meanwhile, Middle Eastern capital entering fields such as DeFi and cross-border payments through stablecoins may trigger a new wave of compliance-driven innovation.

The #亚利桑那比特币储备 Crypto Reserve Bill has been passed, and a battle between bulls and bears is about to break out! Evening thoughts from Auntie Big Cake on 4.29.
The BTC Strategic Reserve Bill in Arizona has been passed, making it the first state to recognize the status of crypto assets. Although the purchasing power of one state is not enough to affect price trends, the symbolic significance outweighs the actual significance. Where there is one, there will be a second!
The liquidation map shows that if the coin price breaks through 97,500, nearly 1.5 billion USD of short positions will be liquidated, and if it falls below 90,000, over 2 billion USD of long positions will be liquidated! The competition between bulls and bears is intense!

#空投发现指南 Binance airdrop pig rice is back, ALPHA points requirement is 65 points and above, offering 1500 SIGN airdrop, should be able to get over 100 US dollars;
Tomorrow there will also be haedal's airdrop and MILKY Way TGE, ALPHA points requirement will be announced tomorrow, feeling that the points requirement will increase, it's best to be able to earn 10 points every day, basically a safe way to farm, just buy and sell;
Method:
Combining TGE and airdrop eligibility, it's best to keep 3 BNB in the wallet or platform, because the TGE exactly fills up to 3 BNB;
This way the balance exceeds 1000 dollars, earning 2 points every day, then buying ALPHA tokens worth more than 256 dollars once a day, earning another 8 points, getting 10 points every day, in 15 days that’s 150 points, basically can consistently qualify for TGE and airdrop every time;

#特朗普税改 Below are the core contents of Trump's 2025 tax reform plan:

- Tariff adjustments: On April 2, 2025, local time, Trump announced a 10% "baseline tariff" on all countries and personalized higher "reciprocal tariffs" on countries with the largest trade deficits with the United States. For example, the cumulative tariff on China could reach 104%, Vietnam 46%, Cambodia 49%, etc. At the same time, some products may be exempt, such as steel and aluminum products subject to specific tariff constraints, automobiles, and items like copper and pharmaceuticals.

- Income tax adjustment proposal: The plan aims to reduce the tax burden on middle and low-income families through tariff revenue, which could significantly reduce or even eliminate federal income tax. However, there have been no specific details released about the income tax adjustment plan, such as how tax rates will change or whether tax brackets will be adjusted.

#XRPETF ETF is an exchange-traded fund (ETF) with XRP as the underlying asset. Here is a detailed introduction:
Definition and Operating Principle
• XRP ETF is a financial product that holds XRP as the underlying asset and issues fund shares. After investors purchase shares, they can trade these shares on the secondary market like stocks, thereby indirectly gaining exposure to the price fluctuations of XRP without the need to directly buy, store, or manage XRP.
• Its price is primarily determined by the value of XRP but is also influenced by factors such as the fund's net asset value (NAV), which is calculated by dividing the total value of XRP held by the fund by the number of ETF shares outstanding, providing a benchmark for the ETF's market price.

#XRPETF 🤔🤔Potential Impact on XRP Price
Optimistic Scenario: If the SEC approves the XRP ETF and reaches a favorable settlement with Ripple, the XRP price could break through the historical high of $3.55 and even challenge $5 in the medium term.🔥🔥🔥
・Pessimistic Scenario: If the SEC rejects the ETF application or the legal dispute with Ripple continues, the XRP price could fall back to $1.50.⬇️🚨
✅✅Summary
The development of the XRP ETF is at a critical stage, with the listing of spot ETFs in Brazil and the launch of futures ETFs in the U.S. showing strong market demand for XRP investment products. In the coming months, the SEC's review results will have a significant impact on XRP's market performance, and investors should closely monitor relevant developments.

#XRPETF welcomes dual heavy benefits in the capital market, achieving a leap in influence and compliance processes in the institutional market. On February 19, the world's first XRP spot ETF - Hashdex Nasdaq XRP Index Fund was successfully approved for listing in Brazil and traded on the São Paulo Stock Exchange (B3). The launch of this ETF not only provides compliant and convenient XRP investment channels for investors in Brazil and Latin America, but also breaks the market gap of lacking a spot ETF for XRP, marking a significant increase in XRP's recognition in the traditional financial field, and is expected to attract more institutional investors to allocate XRP assets through standardized products.

At the same time, the world's largest futures exchange, the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME), announced that it will officially launch XRP futures contracts on May 19. This initiative is a key step for XRP towards the mainstream financial market. As an authoritative institution in the traditional financial market, CME's endorsement greatly enhances XRP's compliance and credibility in the eyes of institutional investors. The launch of XRP futures allows institutional traders to manage price risk and investment strategies through derivative tools without directly holding XRP, effectively lowering the participation threshold.

#特朗普暂停新关税 Trump's Tariff Emergency Brake! What Lies Behind the 90-Day Suspension?
Trump suddenly backed down! On April 9, he announced a 90-day suspension of "reciprocal tariffs" on multiple countries, but maintained high pressure on China. On the surface, it was said to be a "negotiation strategy," but in reality, it was a response to the crushing blow from the U.S. bond market—$58 billion in Treasuries sold in three days, and the 30-year yield soared above 5%, setting the worst record since 1981.
Three truths tear away the veil:
🔥 Wall Street's pressure: JPMorgan CEO Dimon warns of "economic recession," Republican financiers bombard the White House with calls.
💣 Retail investors bail out: U.S. stocks surged 8% in a single day, setting a record, but 74% of investors are already at a loss.
⚠️ China's counterattack: With a 145% tariff, the price of bicycles in the U.S. rose by 50%, and Walmart's shelves are running low.

$ETH $ETH Indeed, just as expected, yesterday morning, including the whole day before yesterday, emphasized a two-hour decline. In the end, in the afternoon, after two hours of volume increase, it consolidated and fluctuated. In the evening, there was still a two-hour rebound, providing both support and a rebound. As long as today's consolidation fluctuates, it would be best to stabilize around 1780. Once stabilized, it will definitely return to around 1800 today, with hopes of reaching a new high. Yesterday provided an opportunity for the bottom bears to escape. Of course, if it's too low, there's nothing that can be done. 🤫

#以太坊的未来 Old Vine Review | The fluctuations are just a transition, the storm is building up
First, let's mention a few key signals —
1️⃣ The SEC is holding a crypto roundtable at 1 AM tonight; don't underestimate this 'neutral occasion'; the new head is relatively friendly and may throw out some treats;
2️⃣ Trump continues his verbal attacks, causing the dollar, U.S. Treasuries, and U.S. stocks to collectively unanchor, making daily remarks that determine global ups and downs; this Wall Street is truly collapsing;
3️⃣ The Fed is basically certain not to raise interest rates in May, and the 'unemployment expectations' brought by high officials have also brought rate cuts back to the table, overall leaning towards being bullish.

$TRUMP Whale Frenzy, ETF Surge, Is Bitcoin Brewing a Surprise Attack?
Bitcoin is either a final push towards 96K or just an illusion before a reversal?
Since the beginning of the year, Bitcoin has been experiencing wild fluctuations. After a pullback from its high of $109,000, bullish momentum has not only persisted but has repeatedly counterattacked, breaking through the key resistance of $88,500 in a continuous rise, reaching a high of $94,100.
Key Data Overview:
Glassnode shows that super whales (holding over 10,000 BTC) are accumulating at the fastest pace since 2020;
Mid-tier whales (1k~10k BTC) are also steadily increasing their holdings;
Spot ETF inflows soared to nearly $1 billion in a single day, setting a record since November last year, with institutional funds fully unleashed.
However, the long-short battle remains ongoing:
The long-short ratio is 0.9841, with a large number of hedged positions still in play;
Long positions account for 49.56%, while shorts make up 50.4%, indicating a neutral short-term market;
Although the MACD trend is bearish, the RSI shows a bullish crossover, intensifying the technical divergence.

#比特币市值排名 Whale crazily absorbs, ETF surges, is Bitcoin brewing a raid?
Bitcoin, is it the final push towards 96K, or is it creating an illusion before a reversal?
Since the beginning of the year, Bitcoin has been highly volatile. After pulling back from a high of $109,000, the bullish momentum not only did not fade but instead repeatedly counterattacked, breaking through the key resistance of $88,500 in a continuous rise, reaching a peak of $94,100.
Key data overview:
Glassnode shows that super whales (holding over 10,000 BTC) are accumulating at the fastest pace since 2020;
Mid-sized whales (1k~10k BTC) are also steadily increasing their holdings;
Spot ETF inflows surged to nearly $1 billion in a single day, breaking the record since November last year, and institutional funds are fully activated.
However, the battle between bulls and bears is still ongoing:
The long-short ratio is 0.9841, with a large number of hedging positions still in place;
Bullish positions account for 49.56%, while bearish positions account for 50.4%, indicating that the market is still neutral in the short term;
The MACD trend is bearish, but the RSI shows a bullish crossover, intensifying the technical divergence.

#TRUMP晚宴 Shock!
The whales at the TRUMP dinner suffered greatly!
The suspected TOP1 big shot is...
In simple terms:
1. 10 wealthy big shots hoarded 1.65 million TRUMP coins, which are now worth 20.49 million USD, but they have collectively lost 1.26 million (the cost is not disclosed, it's an estimate)!
2. Only 2 people bought the coins early, while the remaining 8 only bought them after hearing about the dinner news, either from the exchange or directly on-chain (following the trend to enter the market is confirmed 😅)
3. The wallet address of the richest big shot (TOP1) is suspected to belong to Wintermute (a very famous market maker, possibly related to market manipulation).

Metaplanet has recently continued to increase its holdings in Bitcoin, reaching 4,855 BTC, valued at over 400 million USD, demonstrating a strong confidence in crypto assets. It has raised funds by issuing zero-coupon bonds and stock subscription rights, strategically allocating Bitcoin as part of its corporate asset allocation, aiming to hedge against fiat currency depreciation and enhance long-term value. Despite the challenges posed by market volatility and tariff uncertainties, Metaplanet remains actively 'buying the dip', with strong stock performance reflecting market recognition of its strategy.

After Bitcoin reached a high of $100,000, it entered a correction mode, leaving many investors confused and torn, speculating whether this is a brief pause in a bull market or if the market has reached its end.
First, let's analyze the key factor of Bitcoin's halving mechanism. It is well known that Bitcoin's production is halved every four years. Historical data shows that after previous halvings, the market usually experiences a real price peak about 1 to 1.5 years later. Based on this timeline, the end of 2025 to early 2026 appears to be the most likely peak moment, and the current correction seems more like a halftime break. Comparing the magnitude of the correction, this time it has only dropped by 30%, whereas in 2017 and 2021, Bitcoin experienced significant corrections of 45% and 53% respectively. In contrast, the current correction is not considered exaggerated. Furthermore, the cost line for miners is currently around $78,000. If the price really falls to this level, miners will hold back their Bitcoin for cost considerations, which will, to some extent, create price support, acting like a natural moat.

As of now, the trade relationship between China and the United States remains tense, with both sides' trade war continuously escalating, causing far-reaching impacts on the global economy. The U.S. government has imposed tariffs as high as 145% on Chinese goods, while China has retaliated with tariffs of up to 125%. The Chinese government has warned other countries that if they reach trade agreements with the U.S. that harm China's interests, they will take countermeasures. This move aims to prevent the U.S. from undermining China's international trade position by pressuring other countries.
This trade war not only affects China and the U.S. but also impacts the global market. The World Trade Organization has warned that the high tariffs from the U.S. could cause global trade growth to drop from the expected 2.7% in 2025 to 0.2%, and there could even be negative growth. Furthermore, the trend of economic decoupling between China and the U.S. is intensifying, covering multiple areas including trade, finance, corporate cooperation, education, and geopolitics. U.S. companies are reducing their reliance on the Chinese market, while China is seeking to alleviate pressure by strengthening cooperation with other countries.

#加密市场反弹 $BTC
Even if BTC rises to 90,000, there is a high probability that it will face a significant drop starting with 7! BTC won't drop to 70,000, and the bull market script simply can't be written.
We are not even at a point where a big rally can happen all at once.
Whether it's market sentiment, capital flow, or news, none support this. If BTC wants to start a real bull market, a key signal is the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates.
But what is the Fed's attitude now? There is no reliable news on rate cuts yet. So, this current wave of increase is, to put it bluntly, just a big rebound; don’t mistake it for a reversal, it’s not yet time to sprint.
From 100,000 to 70,000, how many people are trapped in this range? If the Fed does not lower rates, capital won't flow in, and market liquidity remains the same.
Relying on existing capital and retail investors alone cannot support a rise to 100,000.
The main players are not foolish; how could they possibly absorb all the trapped positions only to get stuck themselves, helping retail investors to break even? Who would engage in such a losing deal? It’s like pulling a cart; if the load is too heavy, the horse can’t pull it.

$TRX shocks the world! Legendary trader Brandt predicts Ethereum will plummet to $800!
🔥 Ethereum could fall below $1,000, explosive prediction from Peter Brandt!
Veteran trader Peter Brandt warns that Ethereum (ETH) may return to its 2022 low of $800! The technical chart released by Brandt shows that the price trend of ETH is forming a descending triangle pattern, suggesting a significant possibility of further declines. Over the past year, ETH has already dropped by 46%, and the current trading price is around $1,600.
📉 The crypto world is shaken! "Worthless junk"?
Brandt publicly stated that ETH is "worthless junk", which has sparked widespread controversy. Nevertheless, ETH's future continues to attract the attention of many celebrities.
💡 Pippen and Sun Yuchen are optimistic about ETH, bullish against the trend!