Jamison Richard
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Bitcoin could be a lifeline to US global dominance as US debt doubles China
#USChinaTensions
The United States federal deficit is projected to reach $1.9 trillion in fiscal year 2025, approximately 2.4 times larger than China’s estimated 5.66 trillion yuan ($780 billion) shortfall.
According to Reuters, the US Treasury recorded a $1.15 trillion deficit during the first five months of the fiscal year (Oct – Feb), marking a 38% year-over-year increase.
The Congressional Budget Office estimates the full-year shortfall at 6.5% of GDP, significantly above the 50-year average of 3.8%, as entitlement costs and interest payments surge.
Debt servicing alone reached $396 billion during the same five months, while federal revenue growth stagnated at around 1% year-on-year.
In contrast, China’s Ministry of Finance has set its 2025 deficit target at 4% of GDP, the highest in over three decades.
While the nominal figure is smaller, adjusted estimates from Fitch Ratings suggest China’s actual fiscal deficit may be closer to 8.8% of GDP when off-budget borrowing is included.
The increase reflects a deliberate shift toward infrastructure investment, expanded subsidies, and efforts to offset the prolonged property market slowdown, as outlined in Beijing’s Government Work Report.
The magnitude and trajectory of US debt growth have reignited debate over the dollar’s long-term viability as the world’s primary reserve currency.
BlackRock CEO Larry Fink recently warned that escalating US deficits could erode global confidence in the dollar and open the door for alternative financial instruments, such as Bitcoin. Bitcoin’s decentralized structure and fixed supply have led some analysts to consider it a hedge against fiat currency devaluation.
Amid these concerns, the concept of Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset has gained momentum in policy circles. Former President Donald Trump signed an executive order to establish a national Bitcoin reserve using assets seized from criminal cases, positioning digital assets as tools for bolstering fiscal resilience.
However, adoption faces challenges. Bitcoin’s perceived price volatility and regulatory direction continue to raise concerns. The European Central Bank, for example, has dismissed the idea of including Bitcoin in its reserves, with President Christine Lagarde stating it will not happen during her tenure.
As US debt accelerates beyond even China’s rising fiscal imbalance, discussions about reserve diversification, particularly involving Bitcoin, are likely to intensify.
Advocates cite Bitcoin’s deflationary properties and independence from central banks, while the strength of critics’ arguments on its instability and unclear regulatory frameworks is decreasing.
There is growing uncertainty around the future of global monetary policy, and the search for alternative safeguards against systemic fiscal risk may well lead to Bitcoin.
The United States federal deficit is projected to reach $1.9 trillion in fiscal year 2025, approximately 2.4 times larger than China’s estimated 5.66 trillion yuan ($780 billion) shortfall.
According to Reuters, the US Treasury recorded a $1.15 trillion deficit during the first five months of the fiscal year (Oct – Feb), marking a 38% year-over-year increase.
The Congressional Budget Office estimates the full-year shortfall at 6.5% of GDP, significantly above the 50-year average of 3.8%, as entitlement costs and interest payments surge.
Debt servicing alone reached $396 billion during the same five months, while federal revenue growth stagnated at around 1% year-on-year.
In contrast, China’s Ministry of Finance has set its 2025 deficit target at 4% of GDP, the highest in over three decades.
While the nominal figure is smaller, adjusted estimates from Fitch Ratings suggest China’s actual fiscal deficit may be closer to 8.8% of GDP when off-budget borrowing is included.
The increase reflects a deliberate shift toward infrastructure investment, expanded subsidies, and efforts to offset the prolonged property market slowdown, as outlined in Beijing’s Government Work Report.
The magnitude and trajectory of US debt growth have reignited debate over the dollar’s long-term viability as the world’s primary reserve currency.
BlackRock CEO Larry Fink recently warned that escalating US deficits could erode global confidence in the dollar and open the door for alternative financial instruments, such as Bitcoin. Bitcoin’s decentralized structure and fixed supply have led some analysts to consider it a hedge against fiat currency devaluation.
Amid these concerns, the concept of Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset has gained momentum in policy circles. Former President Donald Trump signed an executive order to establish a national Bitcoin reserve using assets seized from criminal cases, positioning digital assets as tools for bolstering fiscal resilience.
However, adoption faces challenges. Bitcoin’s perceived price volatility and regulatory direction continue to raise concerns. The European Central Bank, for example, has dismissed the idea of including Bitcoin in its reserves, with President Christine Lagarde stating it will not happen during her tenure.
As US debt accelerates beyond even China’s rising fiscal imbalance, discussions about reserve diversification, particularly involving Bitcoin, are likely to intensify.
Advocates cite Bitcoin’s deflationary properties and independence from central banks, while the strength of critics’ arguments on its instability and unclear regulatory frameworks is decreasing.
There is growing uncertainty around the future of global monetary policy, and the search for alternative safeguards against systemic fiscal risk may well lead to Bitcoin.
#BTCRebound
🚨 Bitcoin Eyes Breakout Despite Legal Heat
BTC$BTC is holding strong above $84K, shrugging off a lawsuit against Coinbase by Oregon’s AG. Despite regulatory pressure, BTC has gained 12% since April 12, outperforming tech giants like NVIDIA.
📉 14K BTC pulled from exchanges since April 12—a bullish sign of long-term conviction.
📈 #BTC now coils below key resistance at $85.5K. A breakout could send it to $88K+.
Regulators may tighten the screws, but bulls aren't backing down. Is $90K next?
🚨 Bitcoin Eyes Breakout Despite Legal Heat
BTC$BTC is holding strong above $84K, shrugging off a lawsuit against Coinbase by Oregon’s AG. Despite regulatory pressure, BTC has gained 12% since April 12, outperforming tech giants like NVIDIA.
📉 14K BTC pulled from exchanges since April 12—a bullish sign of long-term conviction.
📈 #BTC now coils below key resistance at $85.5K. A breakout could send it to $88K+.
Regulators may tighten the screws, but bulls aren't backing down. Is $90K next?
$BTC and the "Golden Cross" Phenomenon – Where Are We Heading by 2026? 🚀
Every time BTC$BTC shows a "Golden Cross" (when a short-term moving average crosses above a long-term moving average) on its weekly chart, the market enters an explosive growth phase:
📌 2016: +139%
📌 2017: +2200%%
📌 2020: +1190%
Now, in 2025, we're witnessing this historic signal again. What can we expect in the next year and a half? Looking at previous cycles, the potential for this current movement might easily exceed expectations.
Considering the average growth (~1176%) from past events, Bitcoin could realistically reach levels between $150,000 to $200,000 within the next 12-18 months.
⚠️ However, remember: History doesn't always repeat itself exactly, but it certainly rhymes. Keep a close watch, trade carefully, and let's see where we stand by the end of 2026!
What's your prediction for the peak of this cycle? 🤔
Every time BTC$BTC shows a "Golden Cross" (when a short-term moving average crosses above a long-term moving average) on its weekly chart, the market enters an explosive growth phase:
📌 2016: +139%
📌 2017: +2200%%
📌 2020: +1190%
Now, in 2025, we're witnessing this historic signal again. What can we expect in the next year and a half? Looking at previous cycles, the potential for this current movement might easily exceed expectations.
Considering the average growth (~1176%) from past events, Bitcoin could realistically reach levels between $150,000 to $200,000 within the next 12-18 months.
⚠️ However, remember: History doesn't always repeat itself exactly, but it certainly rhymes. Keep a close watch, trade carefully, and let's see where we stand by the end of 2026!
What's your prediction for the peak of this cycle? 🤔
#BTCRebound
Liquidity Watch
Most of the liquidity is stacked on the upside—and the market loves to chase liquidity.
After a minor correction, Bitcoin could pump to grab that upper-side liquidity. Stay sharp—this move could come fast.
$BTC
Liquidity Watch
Most of the liquidity is stacked on the upside—and the market loves to chase liquidity.
After a minor correction, Bitcoin could pump to grab that upper-side liquidity. Stay sharp—this move could come fast.
$BTC
USDT Fed Chair Powell Signals Openness to Crypto — Stablecoin Laws Incoming?
🫡😍🤗🤗
In his latest remarks, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell doubled down on the need for a clear legal framework for stablecoins.
While regulatory pressure remains, Powell’s comments reveal a shift:
The Fed isn’t rejecting crypto—it’s preparing to govern it.
With bills like the STABLE Act and GENIUS Act back on the table, regulatory clarity might be closer than ever.
Is crypto about to become institutionally official?
— Jamison Richard
#Powell #FederalReserve
🫡😍🤗🤗
In his latest remarks, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell doubled down on the need for a clear legal framework for stablecoins.
While regulatory pressure remains, Powell’s comments reveal a shift:
The Fed isn’t rejecting crypto—it’s preparing to govern it.
With bills like the STABLE Act and GENIUS Act back on the table, regulatory clarity might be closer than ever.
Is crypto about to become institutionally official?
— Jamison Richard
#Powell #FederalReserve
A Gentle Remainder fellas..!!
Powell Speaks Today At 11:30am Et
Will Address: INFLATION DATA & MARKET OUTLOOK
EXPECT MASSIVE VOLATILITY
Powellspeaks USA Inflation CPI Bitcoin Cryptonews Cryptoupdates Bitcoinnews CryptoBullrun Altseason2025
$BTC
#PowellSpeech #Powell
Powell Speaks Today At 11:30am Et
Will Address: INFLATION DATA & MARKET OUTLOOK
EXPECT MASSIVE VOLATILITY
Powellspeaks USA Inflation CPI Bitcoin Cryptonews Cryptoupdates Bitcoinnews CryptoBullrun Altseason2025
$BTC
#PowellSpeech #Powell
$TRX
🚀 #TRON Eyes Breakout as Fundamentals Strengthen
TRX$TRX is holding steady at $0.243—but the stars are aligning for a bullish move.
🔹 #TRX is now the 2 most profitable chain YTD ($985M in fees), beating Ethereum & Solana
🔹 DeFi volume is up 20% this week, hitting $1.06B
🔹 33B+ USDT moved on Tron in a single day
🔹 Bullish wedge forming—break above $0.2585 could target $0.3085
🔹 #TRXETF، with staking (up to 4.5% yield) officially filed 📝 #ETF
Strong momentum. Big upside possible. Eyes on the breakout
🚀 #TRON Eyes Breakout as Fundamentals Strengthen
TRX$TRX is holding steady at $0.243—but the stars are aligning for a bullish move.
🔹 #TRX is now the 2 most profitable chain YTD ($985M in fees), beating Ethereum & Solana
🔹 DeFi volume is up 20% this week, hitting $1.06B
🔹 33B+ USDT moved on Tron in a single day
🔹 Bullish wedge forming—break above $0.2585 could target $0.3085
🔹 #TRXETF، with staking (up to 4.5% yield) officially filed 📝 #ETF
Strong momentum. Big upside possible. Eyes on the breakout
#TRXETF
Canary Capital has filed with the SEC to launch the first-ever spot TRX ETF featuring a staking component, called the Canary Staked TRX ETF. This innovative fund aims to provide investors exposure to Tron’s native token price movements while allowing them to earn staking rewards, a feature that sets it apart from other crypto ETFs. The fund will hold actual TRX tokens under custody by BitGo Trust Company. Notably, TRX is part of the WLFI investment portfolio, aligning with other altcoins applying for spot ETFs that are either US coins or in WLFI’s portfolio. This move highlights growing institutional interest in TRX despite regulatory challenges around staking in ETFs.
Canary Capital has filed with the SEC to launch the first-ever spot TRX ETF featuring a staking component, called the Canary Staked TRX ETF. This innovative fund aims to provide investors exposure to Tron’s native token price movements while allowing them to earn staking rewards, a feature that sets it apart from other crypto ETFs. The fund will hold actual TRX tokens under custody by BitGo Trust Company. Notably, TRX is part of the WLFI investment portfolio, aligning with other altcoins applying for spot ETFs that are either US coins or in WLFI’s portfolio. This move highlights growing institutional interest in TRX despite regulatory challenges around staking in ETFs.
#BitcoinWithTariffs 2.1 Trillion Market Rally Sends Bullish Signals for Crypto 🚨
President #Trump announced a 90-day pause on new #Tariffs, and U.S. markets have roared back, adding over $2.1 trillion in value.
The tariff pause signals lower near-term geopolitical friction, giving investors room to rotate into higher-beta assets like BTC and ETH.
With trade flows stabilising, demand for stable coins, tokenised commodities, and DeFi FX products is expected to tick up, especially in regions using crypto for cross-border settlements.
How do you think markets will react after the 3 month halt?
President #Trump announced a 90-day pause on new #Tariffs, and U.S. markets have roared back, adding over $2.1 trillion in value.
The tariff pause signals lower near-term geopolitical friction, giving investors room to rotate into higher-beta assets like BTC and ETH.
With trade flows stabilising, demand for stable coins, tokenised commodities, and DeFi FX products is expected to tick up, especially in regions using crypto for cross-border settlements.
How do you think markets will react after the 3 month halt?
#BitcoinWithTariffs BEARİSH: The European Union expects the tariffs imposed by the US to remain in effect due to the deadlock in negotiations. China says the US's "extremely shameless" tariff war will soon backfire.
The European Union and CHINA are gearing up against the US. Trump's tariffs will put even more pressure on US companies. CHINA may see this situation as an opportunity. Bitcoin and altcoins are affected by this situation.$BTC will emerge from this process much stronger with its solid stance. The future is here...
The European Union and CHINA are gearing up against the US. Trump's tariffs will put even more pressure on US companies. CHINA may see this situation as an opportunity. Bitcoin and altcoins are affected by this situation.$BTC will emerge from this process much stronger with its solid stance. The future is here...
#BitcoinWithTariffs #Bitcoin on the Edge of a Breakout! 🚀
$BTC has finally broken its multi-month downtrend and is just hours away from confirming a full breakout into a new technical uptrend 📈
📊 Weekly close above ~$86,900 could trigger a major rally, positioning #BTC for the next leg up
At time of writing: $BTC = $84,066
Meanwhile, ETH$ETH must hold key support to mirror its 2023 rally pattern — all eyes on the historical demand zone 👀
$BTC has finally broken its multi-month downtrend and is just hours away from confirming a full breakout into a new technical uptrend 📈
📊 Weekly close above ~$86,900 could trigger a major rally, positioning #BTC for the next leg up
At time of writing: $BTC = $84,066
Meanwhile, ETH$ETH must hold key support to mirror its 2023 rally pattern — all eyes on the historical demand zone 👀
$BTC 🔥JUST IN: Corporations has purchased 95,431 $BTC in Q1 2025, bringing total corporate Bitcoin holdings to 688K. That's a 16.1% increase in Bitcoin holdings!
$BTC
$BTC
$BTC
While crypto markets have shown relative resilience amid global volatility, they weren’t immune to the latest shifts in U.S. trade policy. Despite traditional markets reacting sharply to Trump’s changing tariff plans, the crypto market remained surprisingly stable—until Sunday.
📉 $BTC fell over 2%, dropping to $83,003 during Asian trading hours, giving back some of last week’s gains and underperforming compared to the stock market. Other major altcoins like Ethereum also slid, dipping below $1,600, with mixed performance across the board.
🔍 The decline came as uncertainty mounted over how the new U.S. tariffs on Chinese goods—particularly tech products like phones, semiconductors, and laptops—might impact the global economy.
🇺🇸 In a Sunday post on Truth Social, Donald Trump stated that some electronics would be temporarily excluded from the new 10% reciprocal tariffs. However, he added that they could still face a separate 20% tax, citing national security and fentanyl concerns..
$BTC
While crypto markets have shown relative resilience amid global volatility, they weren’t immune to the latest shifts in U.S. trade policy. Despite traditional markets reacting sharply to Trump’s changing tariff plans, the crypto market remained surprisingly stable—until Sunday.
📉 $BTC fell over 2%, dropping to $83,003 during Asian trading hours, giving back some of last week’s gains and underperforming compared to the stock market. Other major altcoins like Ethereum also slid, dipping below $1,600, with mixed performance across the board.
🔍 The decline came as uncertainty mounted over how the new U.S. tariffs on Chinese goods—particularly tech products like phones, semiconductors, and laptops—might impact the global economy.
🇺🇸 In a Sunday post on Truth Social, Donald Trump stated that some electronics would be temporarily excluded from the new 10% reciprocal tariffs. However, he added that they could still face a separate 20% tax, citing national security and fentanyl concerns..
$BTC
Bitcoin's Apparent Demand Shows Signs of Recovery! 📰
After spending a considerable stretch in negative territory, $BTC 30-day Apparent Demand is finally showing a positive turn. This shift could signal renewed interest and momentum building in the market, a key metric to watch closely as we move further into Q2.
Historically, rising demand has often preceded strong price movements! 📈 🥂.$BTC
#BitcoinWithTariffs
After spending a considerable stretch in negative territory, $BTC 30-day Apparent Demand is finally showing a positive turn. This shift could signal renewed interest and momentum building in the market, a key metric to watch closely as we move further into Q2.
Historically, rising demand has often preceded strong price movements! 📈 🥂.$BTC
#BitcoinWithTariffs
#USElectronicsTariffs "US China Trade Talks Heat Up: Tariffs on Semiconductors Could Shake Global Tech 🔥💻🇺🇸🇨🇳"
Breaking Trade Heat 🔥🇺🇸🇨🇳
According to Foresight News, U.S. Commerce Secretary Lutnick just revealed in an ABC interview that the U.S. and China are secretly holding preliminary talks on tariffs through intermediaries 👀🤝
But here’s the juicy part: the U.S. is eyeing special tariffs on key electronic products like semiconductors! 💾⚙️💥
Why it matters:
Semiconductors = the heart of modern tech 💻📱
Could shake up global markets 🌍📉
Impact crypto mining hardware costs 🚀🔌
Push chip prices higher 📈💸
Looks like the tech war is heating up again! Who’s ready for the next move? 🥶🔥
Breaking Trade Heat 🔥🇺🇸🇨🇳
According to Foresight News, U.S. Commerce Secretary Lutnick just revealed in an ABC interview that the U.S. and China are secretly holding preliminary talks on tariffs through intermediaries 👀🤝
But here’s the juicy part: the U.S. is eyeing special tariffs on key electronic products like semiconductors! 💾⚙️💥
Why it matters:
Semiconductors = the heart of modern tech 💻📱
Could shake up global markets 🌍📉
Impact crypto mining hardware costs 🚀🔌
Push chip prices higher 📈💸
Looks like the tech war is heating up again! Who’s ready for the next move? 🥶🔥
The U.S. #SEC has pushed back the time to decide on a proposed rule change to enable staking within Grayscale's $ETH spot ETF products.
According to a notice released on April 14, 2025, the SEC has designated a longer period to take action on NYSE Arca’s proposal to amend the rules governing the Grayscale Ethereum Trust ETF and Grayscale Ethereum Mini Trust ETF.
The SEC’s decision comes after Grayscale filed 19b-4 for the Hedera ETF with the US SEC. The original 45-day review period would have concluded on April 17, 2025, but the SEC has now extended this deadline to June 1, 2025.
In its notice, the Commission stated it “finds it appropriate to designate a longer period within which to take action on the proposed rule change so that it has sufficient time to consider the proposed rule change and the issues raised therein.” The notice also mentioned that the SEC has received no public comments on the proposed rule change to date.
#options #JPMorgan #TRUMP
According to a notice released on April 14, 2025, the SEC has designated a longer period to take action on NYSE Arca’s proposal to amend the rules governing the Grayscale Ethereum Trust ETF and Grayscale Ethereum Mini Trust ETF.
The SEC’s decision comes after Grayscale filed 19b-4 for the Hedera ETF with the US SEC. The original 45-day review period would have concluded on April 17, 2025, but the SEC has now extended this deadline to June 1, 2025.
In its notice, the Commission stated it “finds it appropriate to designate a longer period within which to take action on the proposed rule change so that it has sufficient time to consider the proposed rule change and the issues raised therein.” The notice also mentioned that the SEC has received no public comments on the proposed rule change to date.
#options #JPMorgan #TRUMP
What to Expect from the Trump–Bukele White House Meeting on April 14
On April 14, 2025, U.S. President Donald Trump is set to meet with Salvadoran President Nayib Bukele at the White House. While the main agenda includes security cooperation, Bitcoin and crypto policy are also expected to be in the spotlight.
🔑 Key Insight: A meeting between two openly pro-crypto leaders could trigger new momentum in global crypto regulation and adoption.
💬 What’s Likely on the Table:
🟢 Bitcoin is anticipated to feature in the broader economic discussions
🟢 Both Trump and Bukele have expressed strong support for cryptocurrencies
🟢 Any joint statements or policy hints could influence $BTC price and shape regulatory narratives worldwide.
On April 14, 2025, U.S. President Donald Trump is set to meet with Salvadoran President Nayib Bukele at the White House. While the main agenda includes security cooperation, Bitcoin and crypto policy are also expected to be in the spotlight.
🔑 Key Insight: A meeting between two openly pro-crypto leaders could trigger new momentum in global crypto regulation and adoption.
💬 What’s Likely on the Table:
🟢 Bitcoin is anticipated to feature in the broader economic discussions
🟢 Both Trump and Bukele have expressed strong support for cryptocurrencies
🟢 Any joint statements or policy hints could influence $BTC price and shape regulatory narratives worldwide.
Bo Hines, Executive Director of Digital Assets under Trump, recently stated! 📰
"We want as much $BTC as we can get "
This isn’t just a headline, it’s a clear indicator of how digital assets are becoming a serious focus at the highest levels. Institutional interest in Bitcoin is growing rapidly, and this shift could shape the future of finance! 🫳#BTCRebound
$BTC
"We want as much $BTC as we can get "
This isn’t just a headline, it’s a clear indicator of how digital assets are becoming a serious focus at the highest levels. Institutional interest in Bitcoin is growing rapidly, and this shift could shape the future of finance! 🫳#BTCRebound
$BTC
#BTCRebound #Bitcoin Surges Past $82.7K Amid US-China Trade War Tensions
BTC$BTC rebounds 3.7% after dipping below $75K, as rising US-China tariffs spark fears of recession—and hopes for Fed rate cuts. 📈
Markets eye Bitcoin as a safe haven, with bullish patterns pointing to a possible breakout toward $122K.
Cautious optimism builds as crypto market cap tops $2.6T. Will #BTC hold strong or retest lows?
BTC$BTC rebounds 3.7% after dipping below $75K, as rising US-China tariffs spark fears of recession—and hopes for Fed rate cuts. 📈
Markets eye Bitcoin as a safe haven, with bullish patterns pointing to a possible breakout toward $122K.
Cautious optimism builds as crypto market cap tops $2.6T. Will #BTC hold strong or retest lows?
$BTC 📊 $BTC : Is the Fear & Greed Index Signaling Overheating?
The #BTC Fear & Greed Index suggests the market may be in "Greed" or even "Extreme Greed" territory.
🔍 What Does This Mean?
Historically, Extreme Greed often precedes corrections
Rising index indicates FOMO and overbought conditions
⚠️ Possible Scenarios:
▸ If Extreme Greed is confirmed – potential pullback to $70K
▸ Sharp drop to "Fear" zone – accumulation opportunity
💡 Tip: Take partial profits and monitor:
Trading volumes
Options OI data
Macro factors
P.S. How do you assess current market sentiment? Share in comments! 👇
The #BTC Fear & Greed Index suggests the market may be in "Greed" or even "Extreme Greed" territory.
🔍 What Does This Mean?
Historically, Extreme Greed often precedes corrections
Rising index indicates FOMO and overbought conditions
⚠️ Possible Scenarios:
▸ If Extreme Greed is confirmed – potential pullback to $70K
▸ Sharp drop to "Fear" zone – accumulation opportunity
💡 Tip: Take partial profits and monitor:
Trading volumes
Options OI data
Macro factors
P.S. How do you assess current market sentiment? Share in comments! 👇
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