量化机器制造者-jake

I have discovered a phenomenon, I don't know if it's just a coincidence.
The degree of dispersion in ETH contracts is much higher than that in lotteries.
If we categorize the lottery by odd and even numbers, if you buy odd numbers and the draw is odd, you win, for example, if you buy 100 you earn 100, and if you lose, you lose everything.
This is equivalent to opening a 100x leverage contract for buying and selling; if you buy and the price rises 1%, your principal doubles, and if it falls by 1%, you lose your principal.
I represent a rise of 1% with 1 and a fall of 1% with 0.
An odd lottery draw is represented by 1, and an even draw by 0.
Have you noticed that the winning rate of contracts has a degree of dispersion that is much higher than that of lotteries?
This can roll over.
If the contract rolls on both the long and short sides, setting a target of hitting 3, 4, 5 times in a row, up to 9 times, all of which are profitable, if the principal is 30u, and you open with 1u at 100x leverage, setting the expectation of hitting 7 and 8 times in a row for maximum profit can reach 10 times in 8 days!
If you buy on both odd and even sides of the lottery, also using the rolling profit method, regardless of whether you set a target of hitting 3, 4, or 5 times in a row, the result will be a 50/50 win-loss.
The conclusion is that contract prices have a certain trend, and this characteristic can be fully utilized for rolling positions.
If this holds true, it would be incredible; there is a possibility of achieving 1000 times annualized returns.
I don't know if my conclusion is correct.
I have written the program but still don't know if it holds true.
I plan to backtest 10 years of data to see what results show.
Are there any interested crypto friends who would like to discuss this and see if it holds true? Let's exchange ideas.
#合约挑战 #快速致富 $ETH

Brothers, let's take a gamble!
I have turned the ETH contract into a high-low game, playing 17 times a day.
Image
See Image 1:
This image might be hard to understand.
0 represents a 1% drop, 1 represents a 1% increase.
Using 100x leverage, if you win, it doubles; if you lose, you lose everything!
If I win this time, I'll double my bet next time and compound my position.
Have you noticed that this is different from the high-low game? It has a clear trend, unlike the lottery where the highs and lows are evenly distributed.
If I determine it’s going down, I'll bet on 0, setting my expectation for 8 consecutive wins. If there are 8 consecutive drops, represented by 8 zeros in the image, the profit is 2 to the power of 8, which is 64 times. There have been two instances of 9 consecutive drops in the past 8 days. Since I aim for 8 consecutive drops, I can only count 2 instances of 64 times, totaling 128 times. Setting the target at 9 consecutive wins would yield higher profits, but the future is uncertain.
If I set 50x leverage and bet on it going down, I can endure one pullback, meaning a 1 can appear between multiple zeros, but 1 cannot be consecutive.
See Image 2:
This profit can reach 1.5 raised to the power of 14, over 290 times.
Using 50x leverage, the event on May 8 could reach 190,000 times!
You can go in both directions with multiple expectation combinations. I find that I definitely earn much more than I lose because it has a clear trend.
You can't win every time, so I need to prepare capital for 50 bets, investing 2 USDT each time. If I lose it all, that’s 100 USDT.
What if I lose it all and still don’t see 8 zeros?
What else can I do? I'm living paycheck to paycheck; if I lose, I’ll come back next month. There’s bound to be a time in a year when I can achieve 10,000 times.
Don’t talk to me about position size; if I lose, I start over. Does this small amount of capital mean anything to talk about annualized returns?
I have written the program, and it's free! Are there any friends who want to join me in this? Let’s organize an action with thousands of people shorting, leveraging our capital advantage for a comeback!
If there are like-minded friends, add me, and we will act together.
$ETH #合约挑战

# Quantitative trading robots, no manual intervention, pure mathematical model operation
137u account has increased by 20-30% in just one month, very satisfied. #防爆仓设计 #量化合约 #比特币2025大会