币圈大神潇洒
公众号：币圈大神潇洒 交易理念：秉持严格风控，践行理性投资，追求稳中求胜。在充满机遇与挑战的投资市场中，我始终坚持以专业分析为基础，科学决策为核心，稳健操作为准则。希望与每一位粉丝朋友共同成长，助力大家在投资之路上实现财富梦想！
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When will $BTC need to be adjusted to start a violent rise or even break new highs? Based on past adjustment times, the market should at least start in mid to late April. During this period, if it retraces to 65000-75000, you can buy with your eyes closed. The final bottom will eventually come, but I remain confident in the future of BTC. It's never too late to buy in spot, because its current position is already among the stars and the sea!
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As it stands, the bull market has arrived. I mentioned before that the middle to late April and early May is the time for the bull market to start, and during this period, the price has not gone down. Now that we have reached this time, it is difficult to see a significant drop again. Therefore, the next rhythm is to look for buying opportunities during corrections (currently, the last short position has not been resolved, waiting for this wave of correction to resolve the position and buy back; a top divergence signal has appeared on the 4-hour chart, so I am directly shorting). The daily support below is at 85,000, and the weekly support is at 79,500. Both of these positions within a thousand points are buying opportunities. It can be understood as the last opportunity to board at 130K for $BTC 's sprint. (At that time, one could also choose to layout well-performing altcoins). Let’s review why this weekly correction has crossed the red line of 78,500 and dropped to 74,500; the reason is still due to the negative impact brought by the trade war. Meanwhile, based on the current trend, I believe that news can change the degree of trend changes, but it cannot change the macro expected trend. The negative impact will quickly be pulled back by the expected trend. (If there are no negative factors below 78,500, then a deep bear market has arrived, and we will have to wait until the fall of the second half of the year for a start.)
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Nothing escapes the cyclical laws; what we experience is merely a repetition of history. In a downtrend, the bulls' celebration is coming to an end, just like the drop from 995000 to 78000. A new round of sharp decline may be imminent! $BTC
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Trump wants to fire Powell, which is clearly impossible. Even if he succeeds in firing him, although interest rate cuts may come sooner, a new crisis of trust would be far more severe than the rate cuts. Why does Trump want to cut interest rates? Does he need it more urgently than us investors? 1. Stimulate economic growth to achieve political goals 2. Lower national debt interest rates 3. Address inflation pressures caused by tariffs 4. Control the Fed to enhance his own political influence. I think old Trump is going crazy wanting to get to Mount Rushmore!
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Stop pretending, come down quickly, this time I can hold on until the world explodes, waiting for you to return 74000😂$BTC
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The market is generally bullish now!! What do you think, my friend? Hello everyone, it has been a while since I provided a detailed analysis of the market because there have been too many news events during this period, and I was waiting for the market sentiment to stabilize. Back to the topic, from the daily chart, this time 85300 is the extreme point, 84500 is hard to break, daily selling sentiment is gradually increasing, the upper cloud layer is thick, and the 4-hour framework is still in a descending channel, with buying sentiment declining. Looking at the hourly chart, buying sentiment has dropped to freezing point, and liquidity is weakening, which can be understood as the last stubbornness. Previously, I would say to wait for 84400 to short, defending 85500. Given that I often miss the market when waiting for the best entry point, if not shorting now, then when? Open short position entry. $BTC
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A certain giant whale deposited 1,500 BTC to Binance after being silent for 1.5 months, worth approximately 120.29 million USD.
The giant whale still holds 1,486 BTC, worth approximately 119.76 million USD.
What signal does this release? It means preparing to reduce holdings by half, 1,500 BTC, once sold can draw a line. $BTC
The giant whale still holds 1,486 BTC, worth approximately 119.76 million USD.
What signal does this release? It means preparing to reduce holdings by half, 1,500 BTC, once sold can draw a line. $BTC
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Strong resistance points from 81500 to 82000, 83100 is the top. You can choose to short based on your capacity at the above positions. As usual, take profit and reduce positions in a timely manner to protect capital, and prevent profit withdrawal and unexpected trends $BTC
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Some Insights on the Relationship Between the Trade War and the Cryptocurrency Market
The trade war has now entered a heated phase, as the saying goes, 'there are no winners', but from the perspective of active and passive roles, Country M occupies the advantage of being the initiator, while Country C is more in a responsive state. However, Country C's tough stance indicates that it is not unprepared. The policy adjustments made in recent years (such as emphasizing domestic circulation and supply chain autonomy) show that Country C has long anticipated further pressures from Country M; therefore, even if losses are inevitable, Country C seems to have prepared for a defensive bottom line.
Concerns about a 'collapse of the renminbi' may not materialize in the short term. Country C's exports are mainly composed of daily consumer goods, and even if foreign sales are obstructed, there is a high possibility of turning to domestic sales. Considering the large market capacity and manufacturing base of Country C, basic materials are unlikely to experience inflation; instead, prices may be driven down due to oversupply, further lowering costs. In this case, the direct pressure for the renminbi to depreciate is not apparent. Moreover, Country C's position in the global supply chain is unlikely to be replaced in the short term; even if Country M intensifies restrictions, the imports of basic materials can be supplemented through other countries (such as Southeast Asia, Europe), limiting cost increases. As for high-end products, while restrictions on imports from Country M will have some impact, Country C's capabilities in fields like chips and 5G have been improving in recent years, indicating that the strength of a manufacturing powerhouse is not mere rhetoric.
Concerns about a 'collapse of the renminbi' may not materialize in the short term. Country C's exports are mainly composed of daily consumer goods, and even if foreign sales are obstructed, there is a high possibility of turning to domestic sales. Considering the large market capacity and manufacturing base of Country C, basic materials are unlikely to experience inflation; instead, prices may be driven down due to oversupply, further lowering costs. In this case, the direct pressure for the renminbi to depreciate is not apparent. Moreover, Country C's position in the global supply chain is unlikely to be replaced in the short term; even if Country M intensifies restrictions, the imports of basic materials can be supplemented through other countries (such as Southeast Asia, Europe), limiting cost increases. As for high-end products, while restrictions on imports from Country M will have some impact, Country C's capabilities in fields like chips and 5G have been improving in recent years, indicating that the strength of a manufacturing powerhouse is not mere rhetoric.
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As the news fluctuates, it is still wise for everyone to remain vigilant. Currently, 84100-83500 is a resistance level, and the tendency is to be bearish. $BTC
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One day drop by ten thousand points, the cup is broken as a signal, I haven't bought the dip yet, have my brothers bought the dip? There is currently no sign of stabilization, and the key point of 78500 has been broken, indicating that a longer adjustment period will be welcomed. The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates in June, which means returning to the previous view that there will be a wave of market activity from the end of April to May. There are no support levels left, so we will see how far it can drop during this period. There will definitely be a rebound in the next couple of days, but no one knows from which position it will start; new support levels will only appear after the rebound. Although I didn’t get into the market with my orders, thankfully the direction was correct, and I didn’t incur any losses, which is also a good result. What does everyone think? $BTC
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I didn't get on the bus again, I'm really drunk, I've missed almost 7000 points again... I won't post prices anymore, only trends. Everyone find a point to get on themselves, as the saying goes, if the direction is right, it's never too late to get on at any time. $BTC
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What is going on? The trend is always correct, but I never enter the market. I think every analysis result needs to add 300 points now 😩$BTC
Today's market analysis for $BTC , the pressure at 84500 is significant, without institutional support it cannot fundamentally break through, buying pressure is gradually weakening, there is a double pressure line above, I plan to place a short order around 84200 to 83900, defending at 85000.
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Today's market analysis for $BTC , the pressure at 84500 is significant, without institutional support it cannot fundamentally break through, buying pressure is gradually weakening, there is a double pressure line above, I plan to place a short order around 84200 to 83900, defending at 85000.
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Weekend fluctuations, not much good positions, short-term trend is leaning downwards, let's wait and see, the market can never be exhausted. $BTC
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