币圈大神潇洒

When will $BTC need to be adjusted to start a violent rise or even break new highs? Based on past adjustment times, the market should at least start in mid to late April. During this period, if it retraces to 65000-75000, you can buy with your eyes closed. The final bottom will eventually come, but I remain confident in the future of BTC. It's never too late to buy in spot, because its current position is already among the stars and the sea!

So which version will we go to next? $BTC

Looking at this trend, something big is about to happen $BTC

I don't know if you've noticed a phenomenon where $BTC is rising, while other coins are not following much; BTC is slightly down, and other coins are plummeting. This actually reflects a underlying logic, the altcoin market $DOGE urgently needs a bear market accumulation to soar higher (the market makers are not willing to take on altcoins at this price; only when they do, will new interest emerge). So even if BTC skyrockets now, it has nothing to do with altcoins. Therefore, will Bitcoin come down and take its little brothers with it?

Let’s briefly discuss the current trend of $BTC ,
1. After failing to reach a new high on June 10 and pulling back for 5 days, looking at technical indicators like OBV and MACD to assess the direction of funds, this recent surge lacks follow-through strength. Therefore, the next peak will not exceed 110000, leading to the conclusion that the main force has no intention of continuing to push up, and the high point oscillation for unloading is more in line with the main force's intentions.
2. From the perspective of sentiment indicators, panic is rapidly dissipating. The main force intends to maintain this price.
3. The current K-line shows a reversal signal; exceeding 106200 will confirm another push-up for unloading. The peak price of the upward move is likely to be lower than 110000. Of course, if the main force easily pushes it above 110000, they would be pleased to sell at a better price; it just depends on how many people come to support it.
In the long term, this does not align with a low-position buying opportunity.
In the short term, there is indeed some space.
Operation suggestion: short at 108500 for the long term; give up shorting for the short term, cautiously consider going long. #MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC

At this stage, institutional investors are being cautious in selling off their holdings. Once they finish selling, they will start to aggressively offload. The so-called 'shanzhai season' suggests that the next time $BTC rises from 70000, there may be a chance to ride the wave of popularity.

This brother's intuition was not wrong, but in the end, the result was still a dismal exit. How many people are like him, having the right direction but unable to successfully realize their ideas? I am not talented, but I have some thoughts, so let me analyze how to avoid this situation from happening.
1. Emotional Management: When we determine a direction, we always worry about missing out. Although we are still a little far from the analysis result, we cannot bear to trade directly and no longer wait. (Conversely, there is another emotion where one endures the feelings but shrinks back after reaching the analysis result.) Having a firm belief is the most important aspect of investing; without belief, the result will be like a reed in the wind, swaying wherever it is taken.
2. Risk Control: No one in this world can always be right. While maintaining belief, be prepared to bear the consequences of being wrong. No one is a born trader; even Buffett has lost everything before getting back up. If you put all your funds in a single bet on one success, failure is destined. Even after that success, human greed will ultimately lead you to failure.
3. Learning from Experience: If you cannot achieve risk control, then you have no chance to learn from experience. All trading is a bet, and we all have our judgment logic. Where did you go wrong? Where were you right? After each trade, review and continuously improve your understanding and skills. $ETH
4. Trend Trading: No longer pay for 'what if.' If you think it will rise, but the market is currently falling, then do not short it. For example: while you are waiting to enter a long position, the market falls. If you change your perspective and decide to short, then when it reaches the point, you can go long. Wouldn't that be satisfying? In fact, this goes against the principle of trend trading, as mentioned in point 2, no one can always be right; the chance of being right consecutively is even lower. The correct method of reverse thinking: if you believe it will rise, but the overall trend is falling, then wait until the overall trend just starts to rise, and then enter with conviction, aligning with the trend.
On the path of investing, most of us act on impulse, valuing freedom, but the market is cruel. The cost of investment freedom often comes at the expense of sacrificing our freedom in real life. $BTC

Will BTC drop to 100,000? Here, nothing is impossible. Based on Fibonacci timing and depth, there is hope to see 93,000 in June. Without major news driving it, 94,000 is a suitable price to go long. It is expected around the 20th, and then it will surge to 130,000. Partners who are stuck in long positions shouldn't panic. Looking at the historical data of $BTC , those who persist with faith have never lost. This is not a big A; it's a step-by-step journey towards the future, with the peak of Bitcoin still out of sight.

Currently, there are constant reports in the news saying that large investors are increasing their holdings in $BTC , which is optimistic. However, from the market perspective, it is in a high position for selling off, with a 4-hour top divergence escape signal and daily line capital outflow, resulting in weakening buying sentiment. I have reason to believe that a significant correction is about to occur, and these messages are deliberately released to make you buy in. This does not mean that it won't rise afterward, but rather that after you buy in, it will break through your psychological defense line before rising again.

The value of this analysis is still rising. Since the post was made, I have kept it pinned on the homepage. To be honest, it's a pity that I haven't implemented the plan myself. When the tariff war reached 75,000, I didn't buy the dip (the reason for not buying the dip was that unexpected events made the subsequent developments unclear; in reality, the main players took advantage of the bad news to wash and raise the market. I knew there was intra-day capital lurking at 81,000.). I am still waiting for stabilization before making further moves. Regarding $DOGE , I have mentioned before that after $BTC takes off, the related altcoins will soar even higher. The current increase has just begun; after the subsequent interest rate cuts, a big explosion will come. Returning to the current analysis, BTC is no longer suitable for short-term corrections (but I also do not recommend chasing it directly if it does not correct). There are more policies and huge increases attracting new investors. Looking at 130,000, DOGE will also rise, 0.3 will be easy to achieve, and at 0.4, the chance for everyone to break even is also visible. As for the coin $LAYER , the main force has cashed out; it won't complete bottom adjustments quickly and will need some time. We will see if it can gain momentum later on. Overall, the opportunities in altcoins are greater than in BTC now!

Now $BTC has shown a callback trend, the previously given support levels were 85000 and 78500, which have been updated to 86000 and 78000 as time passes. (78000 should quickly spike and recover within a week) Recently, 13 Asian countries plan to unite against M country's tariffs, and if they can secure the EU's participation later, it would be quite unfavorable for M country. Currently, the market has formed a subtle interdependence with M country's heavy involvement; if M country collapses, it might be a good idea to decouple from old M for the healthy development of the entire industry, which may not necessarily be a bad thing.

Buffett is about to retire. What words of wisdom before retirement are worth rethinking? Everyone knows that the old man has always insisted on value investing. For the crypto community, it is difficult for us to know who the future value stars will be, and which coins will break through and thrive (although it is currently $BTC ). The principle we can learn and adopt is to wait; opportunities come from waiting, not in a day, a week, or even a month. We actually know that no matter how advanced a genius is, frequent trading ultimately leads to liquidation. If we cannot let go of small fluctuations, what we lose is our capital. Therefore, before trading, we must set a trading principle for ourselves, determining what time frame we are trading in, rather than being swayed by rumors. I personally prefer at least a 4-hour time frame; the reliability of daily and weekly charts is better. The role of shorter time frames is to provide more precise entry timing within larger cycles, rather than making entry signals based solely on short time frames. More extreme trading principles, like Buffett's, involve waiting for a major panic in financial markets, presenting a clear oversold condition (for instance, during the COVID-19 period, some companies' annual stock dividends even exceeded the principal of holding the stock for a year), before trading and buying the dip, such as during the COVID-19 pandemic, financial crises, wars, and other factors. Learning from this, we don't necessarily have to wait for this moment entirely, but when it arises, I hope everyone does not hesitate!

As it stands, the bull market has arrived. I mentioned before that the middle to late April and early May is the time for the bull market to start, and during this period, the price has not gone down. Now that we have reached this time, it is difficult to see a significant drop again. Therefore, the next rhythm is to look for buying opportunities during corrections (currently, the last short position has not been resolved, waiting for this wave of correction to resolve the position and buy back; a top divergence signal has appeared on the 4-hour chart, so I am directly shorting). The daily support below is at 85,000, and the weekly support is at 79,500. Both of these positions within a thousand points are buying opportunities. It can be understood as the last opportunity to board at 130K for $BTC 's sprint. (At that time, one could also choose to layout well-performing altcoins). Let’s review why this weekly correction has crossed the red line of 78,500 and dropped to 74,500; the reason is still due to the negative impact brought by the trade war. Meanwhile, based on the current trend, I believe that news can change the degree of trend changes, but it cannot change the macro expected trend. The negative impact will quickly be pulled back by the expected trend. (If there are no negative factors below 78,500, then a deep bear market has arrived, and we will have to wait until the fall of the second half of the year for a start.)

What is this? The US stock market has fallen to $DOGE , and you still rise to $BTC . It's just a trap to entice buying and then squeeze shorts! When you should increase volume, you don't, and when you shouldn't, you do. It's really annoying.

Nothing escapes the cyclical laws; what we experience is merely a repetition of history. In a downtrend, the bulls' celebration is coming to an end, just like the drop from 995000 to 78000. A new round of sharp decline may be imminent! $BTC

As shown in Figure $BTC

Trump wants to fire Powell, which is clearly impossible. Even if he succeeds in firing him, although interest rate cuts may come sooner, a new crisis of trust would be far more severe than the rate cuts. Why does Trump want to cut interest rates? Does he need it more urgently than us investors? 1. Stimulate economic growth to achieve political goals 2. Lower national debt interest rates 3. Address inflation pressures caused by tariffs 4. Control the Fed to enhance his own political influence. I think old Trump is going crazy wanting to get to Mount Rushmore!

Do you think the next trend will be like this? $BTC

First of all, it is important to know that the bull market is still on. I believe it will go below 80000 once again, in line with the cyclical pattern. Three tests will fully evoke fear, and then it will take off✅$BTC #鲍威尔发言

Surely there isn't anyone who hasn't shorted yet, it's still not too late 😂$BTC