ETH Showdown at 4280 Tonight: How Will Powell's Speech Ignite ±5% Volatility?
ETH Night Battle at Jackson Hole: Key Levels and Strategy Essentials
Ethereum's 1-hour K-line has broken through the middle track of the Bollinger Bands, targeting the upper resistance area at $4340. Currently, $4280 is the pivotal point for bulls and bears: if it stabilizes with volume, look towards $4381→$4430→$4500; if it loses support at $4214, be cautious of a pullback to $4160-4100.
Technical Double-Edged Sword: MACD golden cross releases bullish momentum, but the upper Bollinger band pressure looms like a sword hanging overhead. On-chain data shows that whales have increased their holdings by over 120,000 ETH in the last 24 hours, with massive buy orders accumulating in the $4227-$4297 range, a breakout may trigger a short squeeze. Beware of a double explosion trap near $4280, it is advised to "lightly test positions, increase on breakout".
Powell's speech at 22:00 tonight will ignite the market: dovish signals may help bulls break through $4430; hawkish statements necessitate a strict defense of the $4214 line to prevent capital withdrawal. Historical data shows that during meetings, ETH's volatility often exceeds ±5%, making it a "night of terror in the crypto world".
Mig Strategy: Certainty in the Storm
Bullish Path: After confirming a breakout at $4280, gradually position towards $4380→$4430; if breaking $4430, hold until $4500.
Bearish Script: If $4214 is lost, wait for a pullback to short, targeting $4160-4100, with a stop loss set at $4280.
Retail Key Points: Closely monitor whale chip movements, a breakout in the $4227-$4297 range determines the direction, avoid heavy bets at key levels.
Tonight, the ultimate collision of technical and news factors, a watershed moment for professionals and retail investors. In a market with volatility exceeding 5%, strategy is more important than luck. Follow institutional thinking to navigate the storm confidently.
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