$ETH 《2025.4.25:ETH》 After China slapped Trump in the face yesterday, ETH's price has weakened. There is a tendency for the price to further retreat to around 1700~1680, and long positions need to be approached with caution. If Ethereum truly breaks through 1800, it may reach a fluctuation range of 1800~2000, but the probability is still relatively low at the moment. The market is expected to show wide fluctuations before June, and repeated bottom-seeking is likely to occur, so it is advisable to operate by selling high and buying low.
$BTC 《2025.4.25:BTC》 Yesterday, China faced off against Trump, responding that negotiations have not yet begun, and the market was temporarily impacted. But overall, the market judges that as long as Trump is willing to back down, there is optimism about the subsequent negotiations. The market has once again entered a relatively stable period, with investors maintaining optimism, and global markets continuing to rebound. The US stock market has a certain expectation for a rebound, but the monthly pattern has broken down severely; an early and rapid rebound may lay the groundwork for a larger collapse in the future. Although Bitcoin's current rebound has risen, it is not a high certainty, sustainable increase; rather, it is a verbal rally based on news that quickly reaches the target level and then consolidates. This type of rise is not very healthy and is difficult to serve as a basis for judging a bullish trend, and under the current macro conditions, Bitcoin's continued upward movement will encounter huge selling pressure. The price is currently stuck around 94000, and a pullback to around 88000 is expected, so bulls need to be cautious.
$ETH 《2025.4.24:ETH》 ETH weekly resistance is strong at 1800, with the upper Bollinger Band at 2000 (which is also the previous platform high). Currently, ETH is more passively moving upwards; if Ethereum stands above 1800, it may correspond to Bitcoin at 94000 and above. If it surpasses 2000, it may correspond to Bitcoin returning to 98000. If the price can stabilize at 1700 this week, it could serve as a sign for ETH to break away from a one-sided decline, but it is expected to consolidate for at least a month. Bitcoin has expectations of a digital gold, while Ethereum and various altcoins may rely more on a stable macro environment. At this stage, the market is blindly optimistic; if Bitcoin rapidly rises by overshooting expectations, bulls need to stay calm, as altcoins may create a final frenzy and escape opportunity.
《2025.4.24:BTC》 Bitcoin attempted to continue rising yesterday but fell back, and the market's optimistic sentiment is gradually returning to calm. The rapid increase in recent days is likely not a sudden turnaround in traditional investors' perception of Bitcoin's value, but rather a purely optimistic rise. However, we see Bitcoin facing significant resistance in the range of 94000~98000. Since Trump's election victory until the tariff-induced crash, the price has mostly hovered in this range. Only with extreme optimistic expectations (immediate storage + interest rate cuts) does BTC have a chance to briefly break through one hundred thousand. The market is now blindly optimistic, while the macro environment is difficult to support the current price. If the price continues to rise, it may face a large amount of selling pressure. From a weekly perspective, the market's consolidation time is insufficient, and blind rises without substantial good news may ultimately overdraw Bitcoin's future trend, increasing the probability of a significant bearish outcome. The current macro expectations are highly uncertain, and Bitcoin is expected to show a wide range of fluctuations, with a short-term possibility of retracing to the range of 86000~87500.