富婆MP

$ETH
《2025.5.1：ETH》
ETH continues to consolidate structurally, the view remains unchanged, small range 1750~1820, large range 1400~1980.
The expected time window for a bullish trend reversal is still 1~2 weeks away.
Pay attention to news from trade war negotiations, which may resonate with the reversal window to form a turning point in the trend.

$BTC
《2025.5.1：BTC》
On the technical front, the market continues to consolidate, with daily bullish panic gradually dissipating. Multiple validations of support at lower levels have been effective, and the center of gravity has slightly shifted upwards.
The pressure at 96000 still persists, while the support level has moved up to 92000.
Yesterday's data release indicated that the US GDP has begun to fall into recession, with the effects of tariffs becoming apparent.
After a significant drop at market open, US stock indices have rebounded, with Microsoft and META's earnings reports still exceeding expectations, showcasing strong market resilience.
At the same time, we observe that crude oil, gold, and commodities are experiencing a sharp decline, while the US dollar index is rising.
In summary, the market is clearly betting that "recession pressures will soon compel Trump to lift tariffs, restoring trust in dollar assets."
Expectations for cryptocurrencies may be more flexible, with a diverse and optimistic buying composition, and the current market maintains high resilience.
To make further upward movement from this price level, it may still require waiting for clear easing of trade tensions, while Powell's current stance indicates that interest rate cuts are difficult to initiate under high tariffs.

$ETH
《2025.4.30：ETH》
ETH maintains a narrow range of fluctuations, with a small range of 1750~1820 and a large range of 1400~1980.
Currently, the overall sentiment for altcoins is improving, and Ethereum is undergoing sideways consolidation.
From a weekly perspective, the bullish reversal window still requires at least 1~2 weeks, and bulls need to be patient.

$BTC
《2025.4.30：BTC》
Bitcoin's 6-hour level continues to consolidate, with a slight upward shift in focus, but no obvious driving force.
There is significant resistance around 95000, and moving upwards to around 98000 will enter the resistance zone of 100000.
Recent increases tend to be rapid surges followed by consolidation, with few following trend premiums.
Before the macro issues of US debt and tariffs are resolved, it is not recommended to gamble on long positions at high levels, as the risk-reward ratio is poor.
Currently, the small level is in a volatile range (93800~94800), which is relatively lackluster. It is advisable to consider low longs around 90000~92000 after releasing risk.

$BCH
《2025.4.29：$BCH 》
BCH 15-minute level has shown unusual movement since this morning, and the 6-hour MACD is about to turn bullish.
The 30-minute level may experience some pullback, so one can choose to go long at the right time.
The weekly pattern adjustment is relatively sufficient; if the weekly MACD successfully turns bullish, the short-term target could be 400.

$ETH

《2025.4.29：ETH》
Ethereum's volatility is further contracting, with a small range of 1750~1820 and a larger range of 1400~1980.
From a weekly perspective, Ethereum's launch is usually slow, and a period of weekly consolidation is expected.
Historical data shows a high probability of a second weekly pullback to the 1500~1600 range; if stability is maintained, long positions can be established at the right time.

$BTC

《2025.4.29：BTC》
Xiao En stated that the United States is negotiating with countries such as Japan and India, and Trump expressed optimism.
Bitcoin is consolidating at a high level, struggling to break through 95000~96000, and risks should be noted.
MACD shows that bullish momentum is gradually weakening, and the probability of a pullback this week is increasing (90000~91000).
According to observations from the 24-year startup period, there is still a considerable pullback even when the situation gradually clarifies in the later stages of the election.
The current market conditions do not support a one-sided trend; positions can be built at low levels, but caution is needed for false breakouts at high levels.

$ETH

《2025.4.28：ETH》
Currently, Ethereum is once again entering a sideways trend, and volatility may further contract.
The Bollinger Bands are becoming stable, with the expected trading range between 1400 and 1980 in the near term.
The market is currently moving into a sideways trend without subsequent retail investor sentiment spilling over, making it difficult to grasp the market.
From a weekly perspective, there may still be two weeks to a month of correction time before we reach a true turning point.
Short-term investors should refrain from entering, while long-term investors may consider starting a grid position below 1700.

《2025.4.28：$BTC BTC》
Currently, the news and market situation are relatively calm, with prices fluctuating slightly at a high level. Before the negative impact of tariffs leads to a drop below 90,000, there has been a narrow range of fluctuations over the past two weeks, and it may currently be developing in that direction.
The market currently lacks further upward motivation, although the support below is slightly precarious (support at 90,000), it may choose to consolidate sideways to digest selling pressure.
If this position remains strong, then 90,000~92,000 will form strong support, and the possibility of returning below 90,000 will decrease.
However, before U.S. Treasury maturities in June, we still need to be cautious of market fluctuations.

The market has news that XRP will launch a futures ETF, but some unscrupulous media intentionally hide the type of ETF, making people think it is a spot ETF that has been approved. In fact, it is very simple to judge this content, because Grayscale's XRP trust was established the earliest. The SEC, for fairness, usually allows the institutions applying for the ETF to open sales at the same time when a spot ETF is approved.
Of course, even after a spot ETF is approved, one should not be overly optimistic, as Grayscale's XRP trust is equivalent to an open unlock, and the market may not be able to absorb these assets.
$XRP

Rested over the weekend. If the pancake $BTC can drop to 92000, consider buying some of the previously recommended strong altcoins, take a chance. If it doesn't drop, then hold yourself back and resist the urge to open a position.

$ETH 《2025.4.25：ETH》
After China slapped Trump in the face yesterday, ETH's price has weakened.
There is a tendency for the price to further retreat to around 1700~1680, and long positions need to be approached with caution.
If Ethereum truly breaks through 1800, it may reach a fluctuation range of 1800~2000, but the probability is still relatively low at the moment.
The market is expected to show wide fluctuations before June, and repeated bottom-seeking is likely to occur, so it is advisable to operate by selling high and buying low.

#The future of Ethereum

$BTC 《2025.4.25：BTC》
Yesterday, China faced off against Trump, responding that negotiations have not yet begun, and the market was temporarily impacted.
But overall, the market judges that as long as Trump is willing to back down, there is optimism about the subsequent negotiations.
The market has once again entered a relatively stable period, with investors maintaining optimism, and global markets continuing to rebound.
The US stock market has a certain expectation for a rebound, but the monthly pattern has broken down severely; an early and rapid rebound may lay the groundwork for a larger collapse in the future.
Although Bitcoin's current rebound has risen, it is not a high certainty, sustainable increase; rather, it is a verbal rally based on news that quickly reaches the target level and then consolidates.
This type of rise is not very healthy and is difficult to serve as a basis for judging a bullish trend, and under the current macro conditions, Bitcoin's continued upward movement will encounter huge selling pressure.
The price is currently stuck around 94000, and a pullback to around 88000 is expected, so bulls need to be cautious.

$ETH
《2025.4.24：ETH》
ETH weekly resistance is strong at 1800, with the upper Bollinger Band at 2000 (which is also the previous platform high).
Currently, ETH is more passively moving upwards; if Ethereum stands above 1800, it may correspond to Bitcoin at 94000 and above. If it surpasses 2000, it may correspond to Bitcoin returning to 98000.
If the price can stabilize at 1700 this week, it could serve as a sign for ETH to break away from a one-sided decline, but it is expected to consolidate for at least a month.
Bitcoin has expectations of a digital gold, while Ethereum and various altcoins may rely more on a stable macro environment. At this stage, the market is blindly optimistic; if Bitcoin rapidly rises by overshooting expectations, bulls need to stay calm, as altcoins may create a final frenzy and escape opportunity.

$BTC

《2025.4.24：BTC》
Bitcoin attempted to continue rising yesterday but fell back, and the market's optimistic sentiment is gradually returning to calm.
The rapid increase in recent days is likely not a sudden turnaround in traditional investors' perception of Bitcoin's value, but rather a purely optimistic rise.
However, we see Bitcoin facing significant resistance in the range of 94000~98000. Since Trump's election victory until the tariff-induced crash, the price has mostly hovered in this range.
Only with extreme optimistic expectations (immediate storage + interest rate cuts) does BTC have a chance to briefly break through one hundred thousand.
The market is now blindly optimistic, while the macro environment is difficult to support the current price. If the price continues to rise, it may face a large amount of selling pressure.
From a weekly perspective, the market's consolidation time is insufficient, and blind rises without substantial good news may ultimately overdraw Bitcoin's future trend, increasing the probability of a significant bearish outcome.
The current macro expectations are highly uncertain, and Bitcoin is expected to show a wide range of fluctuations, with a short-term possibility of retracing to the range of 86000~87500.

$ETH Eth

$BTC Big Pancake

$ETH

《2025.4.22：ETH》
Ethereum surged and then retreated yesterday, still oscillating in the range of 1700~1380.
Due to multiple instances of surges followed by retreats and breakouts, caution is particularly needed when going long as it approaches the upper limit of the range.
Conservative traders should wait for a breakout above the 30-day moving average before entering (stabilizing above 1720).
Bitcoin is expected to follow the rise of gold, but with ETH we can only see it following the collapse of the US stock market.
ETH reflects more of a fintech attribute, and its safe-haven property may be difficult to reach a consensus on.
From a technical perspective, it appears to be a low-volatility, trendless sideways market, with very low bullish momentum and no obvious rebound sentiment.
Ethereum is expected to need more time to consolidate, and long positions should be protected at 1380, guarding against price following a breakout in the US stock market.

《2025.4.22：BTC》
Last night, Trump once again posted to criticize Powell for urging interest rate cuts. The US stock market and the US dollar plummeted, while gold and Bitcoin continued to rise. Bitcoin unexpectedly remained strong, as it seems to be leaning towards its 'safe-haven' properties.
No one is willing to sell gold, but some buyers are hesitant to purchase gold at high prices. The rise in Bitcoin may stem from the overflow of gold's crazy increase.
However, gold, after all, is still just a reserve physical asset, making it difficult to act as a flexible circulating currency. In an environment where the dollar is declining, Bitcoin, which possesses both currency and safe-haven attributes, may be favored.
Overall, Bitcoin has the potential for sublimation, and this consensus is beginning to take root.

On the other hand, the fierce interactions between Trump and Powell are causing divisions within the United States. Trump's approval rating has dropped to a low point, and future policy uncertainty is likely to increase.
Trump is preparing to pressure Powell, but this is no easy task. If the market rise is based on optimistic expectations of Trump's control over interest rate adjustments, that could be completely mistaken.
We are still unclear whether the true driving force behind this round of Bitcoin's rise comes from blind optimism or a sublimated consensus.

From a technical perspective, the 90000~91000 range has significant resistance. Caution is particularly needed at this level, and it will take more time to verify whether it can firmly hold the 88000~86000 range.
It is recommended to take profit or set a stop-loss at the breakeven point for long positions above the 90000 resistance level, as the market appears to be in a range fluctuation between 78000~90000.

《2025.4.21：ETH》$ETH
ETH needs to wait for the price to stabilize at 1750 before considering a long position. It is about to touch the upper edge of the platform, and pressure will gradually become apparent.
Still watching the range oscillation of 1380~1700, bulls may need to pay attention to profit-taking.
Macro conditions do not provide a sustained motivation for bulls, be wary of a repeat tragedy of a large bearish candle engulfing after a continuous rise, leading to a restart of the downward cycle.$ETH