TraiHaNoi

Recently, there's been a hot trend of copying trades, so I've just created a trade lead account. Anyone interested can follow me.

I trade with a small capital, mainly taking cash profits; you can observe for a few days and then decide. My viewpoint is to earn profits gradually, so it’s not possible to have beautiful profit numbers like in the pictures of many people. Anyone who likes slow and steady profits can try following.

Last week was a bit negative when thinking BTC would drop to 70k immediately. However, it seems that the 76k area has temporarily become a good support zone for BTC. After observing, I have made a few light long orders with Altcoin, expecting to possibly carry over to next week.

For BTC, the chart has currently broken, and it is trending to retest the 90k area. This will cause some coins to rebound. However, as mentioned in many previous posts, there are strong signs of capital outflow, so the rebound trends will occur in a short time, from 2-4 weeks.

The current strategy is to short BTC as it approaches the 90k area; besides, the long rebound orders can enter to take short positions within this week.
#TrendingTopic
$BTC

The short-term this week will hit 70k. The scenario at the beginning of the week is still the same: push up in the morning, pull down in the evening. Panic selling can happen at any time when the majority's psychology has no longer high expectations.

Anyone who hopes for a quick escape should consider exiting early or DCA (dollar-cost averaging) in the recovery zone before cutting. Don't have too high expectations only to regret later.
$BTC

To be honest, the current market is really brutal. The financial market is like a chain of dominoes; once it starts, it's hard to stop. Investor money has run out, and now where will we get liquidity to support the market.

BTC could drop to 70k, 60k at any moment; we may see a new bottom as soon as next month. Right now, many accounts have already halved or tripled and still haven't absorbed it. Remember the time in 2021-2022, when many people held coins that multiplied 10, 20 times. It's also because during times like this, they refuse to cut losses.

Investing and saying to cut losses of 50-60% is very painful, but at least with the remaining amount, buying at different prices can help recover some losses, rather than just burying capital there and not knowing when it will return.

The time you should cut should be when the market has a strong rebound, like BTC's previous 78k. Those rebounds might provide beautiful exit points; it's a bet to limit the losses. Currently, it's best to stay still. Cutting now might limit the halving from 2-3 to 4-5, but I think for the majority, they have already lost the feeling about their money. So, we just have to gamble.

#MarketPullback
$BTC

This season, there is something called the BTC investment fund, making many people overlook the harshness of the market.

The essence of the investment fund is that individuals buy BTC through the fund, which is like countless small fish following the big fish. These small fish continuously pump money into the market, causing many to believe that the big fish are buying. Now that BTC is being sold off, it is also because of these people.

The price range is starting to see significant participation from the investment fund's capital starting from around 4x-6x. So it is not surprising if in 1-2 weeks BTC returns to this price.

The best thing is for those who have capital, do not foolishly try to catch the bottom at this time, when most investors buying BTC are already in profit; if you jump in, it will only be to get dumped on.

$BTC

PI AND HOW THE CONVENTIONAL MINDSET EXPRESSES.

In recent days, the online community has had many conflicting opinions when PI was listed. Currently, at the time of writing, the price of PI has almost reached 3u when the bottom price 2 days ago was 0.6u

So the question is, when faced with the opportunity to get rich, why are so many people hesitant?

The problem here is the majority's mentality of listening to the online community, thinking that PI is a pile of trash (it really is trash) but not thinking about its strengths.

PI has an extremely large community, especially the middle-aged. This is a group of people who are extremely susceptible to fomo. Anyone who has experienced 2021 will know how terrible fomo is. Coin prices going up xx times in a few days is a common thing.

And whether a coin project is successful or not depends on the community that holds it. A typical example is doge, the number 1 meme coin on the market today. Owning a large community, all the kols are big shots.

Coin projects that have not been listed on the exchange all aim for a large enough community, then the coin will have a price to promote, but there are few projects that can develop long-term.

So people with different thinking, seeing strengths, are the ones who can make money. In today's money era, don't think in a rut.

P/s: I've been holding PI since the price of 1.4, now I have 1 order of 2.2. Still waiting for a new miracle to appear in the gloomy winter of the market.

$BTC strong buying power at 86k, guys. The best scenario is to rebound to the 95k-100k range for altcoins to follow, then it will return to a downtrend.

However, to confirm this range has buying power from the buyers, we need more information today. If today's scenario is an increase with moderate volume, the probability of a full market recovery is 80%.

A bad scenario may occur if selling pressure continues to appear by the end of the day, usually from around 6 PM to 3 AM the next day. This is the time when the Americans and Europeans are awake and trading a lot.

2 cases for the bad scenario:
1. If the selling pressure is not too strong, then the BTC price will test the 85k-86k range again, and then recover. Altcoins will follow that recovery.
2. Strong selling pressure breaks the support at 86k, there is a very high possibility of a large long squeeze across the market, causing a pessimistic mentality for investors.

Personally, I lean towards a more positive scenario. So, here’s some advice for anyone holding or in futures or waiting to buy:

The recovery process will be an opportunity to restructure the portfolio; if the money is important, cut losses at an acceptable level. If anyone is holding cash and doesn’t know what to do, just put it into earning to gain interest. Or if you like to catch the bottom, catch with only about 10-15% of the account to ensure risk of loss.

Wishing everyone an effective strategy for successful trading.

It's been a long time since I've written an article, today coincidentally I have completed my graduation project, so I’m putting up an analysis for anyone reading who has a plan to handle the current market situation.

In fact, if anyone observes well and has a foundation in market analysis, they would have noticed that since December 2024 the market has already been bad, not just currently. During the December 2024 - January 2025 period, I shared quite a few articles about the market entering a long-term downtrend, and enough bricks to build a house 🙂. Up to now, the market has been operating exactly as it functions "extreme prosperity must decline".

Currently, the coin market is entering a down wave, so the decline process will have a rebound wave, and for those who are losing due to holding or futures, I have the following advice:

The weekly chart of many altcoins has dropped quite deeply, almost ready to form a new bottom. Therefore, if BTC has a strong dump down to the 8x range and then pulls up, the probability of altcoins having a strong rebound is 90%.

However, the general dump waves across the market will be very fierce, so to ensure DCA, or futures long orders are not liquidated, the entry price should be a sufficiently large distance from the current price, depending on the coin. And I advise everyone that if you can catch it, it’s best to take profit quickly within 1-2 weeks and then withdraw. The longer it takes, the more likely it is to continue negative.

Please note: Money is yours, please take responsibility for yourself.

P/s: By the way, I need to find a position related to sysadmin or devops or some related jobs for an intern in Hanoi, if anyone has a job for me, please let me know 😶, I can work full-time.

$BTC
#bitcoin

because you are in a one-sided position, if you want to be as you think, you must switch to a defensive mode

After many weeks, it seems that the psychology of investors has cooled down a bit, which warns of a general downtrend in the market that has not yet concluded.

If the previous bottom test of BTC was at 91.5k, the buying rate of Usdt was around 26.1. However, currently, we see that although the market price of BTC has dropped from 102k to 92k, the buying rate of Usdt is still only 25.8. This shows that the current price level is not attractive enough to attract smart money to participate.

Looking at the weekly candlestick chart structure, it is easy to see that even though today is Thursday, the trading volume of this week is almost equal to last week, so the upcoming bottom at 92k is unlikely to hold if there is no buying support.

Currently, it is unclear when the long-term downtrend structure will conclude, but it is necessary to pay attention to the volume status on daily and hourly candles to identify the areas with a high probability of recovery.

The idea of short-term profit-taking, in my personal view, is still not feasible for spot trading, while futures will currently aim for the price recovery of BTC and short. The potential price range will be 95k-96k. Previously, I also shared a short position at 99k-100k, but I hit a stop loss at 102k right before it dropped, which was quite unfortunate.

As for the issue of when to enter spot trading, there have been many articles I shared before, so I won't discuss it again.

If anyone has questions or needs support, please comment below, and I will respond.
#ShareYourTrade
$BTC

So spicy, short BTC 99k but stop 102k, it went up and licked my order before going down 😑. I don't know if anyone is holding this deal I gave, now I can probably get a piece of it. Expected target 1: 95k is in the near future. Target 2: 92k. Final target 88k.
$BTC
#BullCyclePrediction

A few days ago, I shared a short position when BTC was priced at 99k-100k. My long position for BTC at 92k has reached its take profit, so now I will go short, though the entry isn't perfect since I wasn't monitoring it closely. The stop loss for this position will be 102k, take profit 1 is 95k, take profit 2 is 91k, take profit 3 is 88k.
$BTC
#TrumpBTCBoomOrBust

We still expect that BTC will recover this week, okay everyone. The weekly downtrend structure has not been broken, so anyone who likes to ride the future wave can trade BTC as follows.

1. Currently, we have a resistance at 100k, and BTC is heading towards this resistance zone. You can place a short order at the price of 99k-100k, with moderate and small volume, stop loss at 102k. The daily uptrend structure of BTC shows signs of divergence when price and volume move oppositely, indicating that the cash flow is quite cautious, and if there is no significant buying force appearing at the resistance zone of 100k, the possibility of a reversal is very high.

2. The long entry point is decreasing, and currently, the candle structure has not formed, so I can only dare to suggest the following opinion: go long when volume and price move in the same direction, and the volume must be small.

Scrolling through a few posts, I see quite a few people questioning this recovery. So I also explain. The recovery structure on the H1 frame of BTC has formed a short-term double bottom model, where at the second bottom, large buying volumes appeared. The market makers intentionally create noise signals with two strong long and short sweeps. But essentially, we have cash flow participating at support. So the recovery is natural.

I also had a long order at the price of 92k, and I DCA a position at the price of 94k3, currently still holding. And targeting 100k.
Please note that when trading futures, you must manage your capital carefully, limiting the size of your orders. If you have any questions, you can comment, and I will respond.

The BTC long order with a quick test price of 91k, I caught it quite accurately and now it is gaining. It is expected that the BTC price will recover by the end of this week. The price will reach around 98k-100k. When this threshold is reached, I will enter a BTC short order afterwards. You can refer to the short order at the price range of 98k-100k. As for long positions, it is quite late to enter now, so I do not recommend it much.
$BTC
#BtcNewHolder

The weekend liquidity is usually quite weak, and there will likely be no significant fluctuations. If the trading volume of the organizers this week is not too large, it is highly probable that next week there will be a quick bottom test at around 90k, followed by a strong recovery. Many altcoins will either test the old bottom or create a new bottom. You can allocate about 20-30% of your capital to catch this wave for a rebound. Don't be too greedy, just aim for a profit of 20-30%, and you can consider taking profits then.
$BTC
#BtcNewHolder #Altcoins!

These days I'm studying for exams, I don't really have time to analyze. I set up 2 random short orders and then went to study. After the exam, I checked the scores and it was a bit disappointing, but at least seeing some blue orders made me somewhat happy. 😆
$BTC $ETH $SOL
#BtcNewHolder

A few days ago, I'm sure you noticed a small detail, which is that the exchange rate for buying USDT has increased quite significantly, at around 26.1 in the recent phase. This indicates that there has been a flow of money wanting to buy USDT to wait for a bottom.
This phase is generally quite sensitive, but according to my experience, we will still have another test of altcoin after this recovery phase. The reason is that BTC on the larger time frame has not really formed a clear distribution or accumulation structure.
The current 92k area is quite sensitive; if it breaks, BTC will head towards the support area of 86k, and altcoin is likely to test the bottom again before any new signals appear.

$BTC #BtcNewHolder #altcoins

Short-term recovery prospects

In recent days, I've been writing somewhat negatively, so today I’ll put up a positive view for you to consider.
Regarding short-term expectations, the price of BTC has strong support around 91k-92k, and currently, the price is trending to retest this support area.

A positive scenario that may occur is that BTC will hold up, and Altcoin will have a breath, recovering stronger when forming a short-term double bottom structure on a smaller time frame.

If there is a recovery bounce in the market, you should cash out 50% of the Altcoin you are holding to avoid further price declines. It’s also to have capital ready to calculate the next entry points.

In a worse scenario, BTC continues to decline. At that time, advising to cut or hold would be equally unhelpful.

The most unlikely scenario that could occur is that altcoin will bounce from now on and start Altcoin ss. But this scenario requires 4 factors:
1. The market liquidity must be sufficient to pump at least 10k coins currently existing on exchanges.
2. The time to accumulate stock by mm must be long enough.
3. BTC needs to hold the 90k area firmly.
4. There must be a large influx of funds from novice investors who don't understand the market.

If anyone still thinks that 2024-2025 will resemble 2020-2021, then you are gravely mistaken; these two phases have a significant difference in the investment mindset of investors, market position, and even in social issues.

2020-2021 was a phase where not only Coin increased, but all types of assets that could be invested through online forms also rose (gold, stocks).

Wishing you insightful thoughts with your investment decisions.

BTC is not ripe yet, those who catch altcoins early may face losses, my dear friends.

Right now, we just have to wait for BTC to distribute in this larger timeframe to be completed, then the reaccumulation process will occur, and then the market may have the potential to rise further.

It is expected to take quite a while, and during that time, altcoins will still continue to test the bottoms.

At this point, only those like me who hold cash will be the happiest, with altcoins on sale it feels like shopping where anything is a bargain 🤭🤭🤭

$BTC $ETH $SOL
#altcoins #BTC70k