GhulamHussainn

‎Look, here's the backdrop:
‎Bitcoin is currently hovering near its all-time high (at the time of writing). If the broader bull case holds true, we could be looking at a blowoff top for Bitcoin somewhere in the range of $180,000 to $250,000 — possibly by Q4 2025 or Q1 2026 (according to Global M2 and similar macro data).
‎But if that happens, what about our altcoin bags?
‎Most of us are deep into altcoins and want to be well-positioned for maximum gains when the euphoria phase kicks in. Historically, altcoins dramatically outperform Bitcoin in that final stage of the cycle.
‎‎So today, we’re exploring:
‎How high can altcoins go for the rest of the cycle?

‎Defining Altcoins in This Context
‎For today’s discussion, “altcoins” = all cryptos outside the top 10 — not including Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, Solana, etc.
‎We're talking about:
‎▫️Smaller Layer 1s (e.g. Aptos)
‎▫️Meme coins (e.g. DogWifHat, Fartcoin)
‎▫️Niche narrative plays (e.g. Plume, Ono, Wormhole)

‎This brings us to our base chart:
‎Total crypto market cap minus the top 10 coins = ~$250 billion.
‎Peanuts, relatively speaking

‎Scenario 1: Bitcoin-Dominant Market
‎In this scenario, Bitcoin gets all the attention:
‎▫️Corporate adoption
‎▫️Nation-state backing
▫️‎Institutional money
‎
‎Altcoins get the sloppy seconds.
‎Altcoin dominance stays low — roughly 10% — while Bitcoin remains in the upper 50s to low 60s in dominance.
‎
‎Running the Math:
‎‎▫️Bitcoin market cap peaks between $3.7T to $5T
‎‎▫️Altcoins = 10% dominance
‎→ Altcoin market cap = $600B to $800B
‎Return from here?
‎→ 2.5x to 3x
‎Not bad for a bearish altcoin case.
‎
‎Scenario 2: Full-Blown Altcoin Mania
‎Now imagine strong altcoin narratives hypnotizing the market:
‎▫️Real World Assets (RWA)
▫️‎Gaming
‎▫️AI integrations
‎‎In this world, altcoin dominance reaches 20% (like in early 2022).
‎Bitcoin's dominance falls to the low 40s.
‎
‎Running the Math:
‎▫️Altcoin market cap = $1.75T to $2.44T
‎▫️Return from here?
‎→ 7x to 9x
‎
‎Scenario 3: The Middle Ground — “Altcoin Season Light”
‎This is a balanced scenario:
▫️‎Bitcoin doesn’t dominate everything
‎▫️But altcoins also don’t steal the show
‎Altcoin dominance = 10–20%,
Bitcoin dominance = just over 50%
‎Bitcoin still hits $180–250K.
‎
‎Altcoin Market Cap Estimate:
‎→ $800B to $1.7T
‎→ 4x to 6x returns
‎Seems like a pretty realistic base case.
‎Technical Analysis & Fibonacci Extensions
‎‎Let’s try to narrow the range using traditional TA.
‎Measured from the 2021 top to 2022 bottom:
‎▫️1.618 Fibonacci level = $750B
‎▫️4.236 Fibonacci level = $1.85T
‎These align closely with our earlier projections.
‎
‎MACD Insight:
‎‎▫️Previous MACD crossovers → 100–250% gains
‎▫️A 175% move from now = $700B
‎→ Just below the 1.618 Fib level
‎So even in a Bitcoin-dominant market, we might raise the lower bound to around $700B
‎And perhaps lower the top from $2.44T to $1.85T, respecting that 4.236 Fib level.

‎Revised Altcoin Market Cap Range:
‎‎▫️Low End: $700B
‎‎▫️High End: $1.85T
‎▫️Return Potential: 2.8x to 7.5x
‎That’s for the entire altcoin market outside the top 10.
‎
‎Final Thoughts: It’s All About Selection
‎Just because the market might 3x–7x doesn’t mean everything will.
‎‎▫️Most altcoins will underperform
‎‎▫️A few will 5x, 10x, 50x, even 100x
‎
‎Tips:
‎▫️Look for coins with strong narratives
‎▫️Don't just buy old coins down 99% hoping they return to ATH
‎▫️Meme coins still win big attention
‎▫️Technical altcoins will also shine at the right time

‎Thanks for reading — and remember:
‎Narrative, momentum, and timing are everything in altcoins.
#Altcoins!
‎

The short article discusses whether SUI could become the next Solana and analyzes its 2025 price action. SUI's market cap dropped from $16 billion in January to $7 billion, presenting a 50% discount opportunity.
Early investors like Andreessen Horowitz, Samsung, Coinbase Ventures, and Circle show strong institutional backing, which is very bullish for SUI’s future.
DeFi metrics highlight SUI's strong performance:
DEX volume: SUI ranks among the top 10 chains with ~$200 million daily volume.
Stablecoin growth: SUI's stablecoin volume surged 23% in 7 days, mainly driven by USDC (74% dominance).
TVL (Total Value Locked): Historically, TVL trends have predicted price recoveries for SUI, suggesting a potential upcoming rally.
Technical analysis shows bullish patterns:
Compression downtrend and cup-and-handle patterns suggest upward momentum.
Elliot Wave Theory supports the idea of entering a bullish Wave 5, often the most explosive.
Price targets suggest $7 to $10 potential by the end of 2025.
Finally, a 3-day bullish RSI divergence has appeared, which previously led to 5x and 10x price increases, signaling another strong potential rally.
$SUI

‎What’s Next for Crypto in 2025? 3 Possible Scenarios
As we move deeper into Q2 of 2025, the $crypto markets remain unpredictable. After a chaotic year shaped by political turmoil, tariff wars, and shattered expectations, investors are trying to make sense of what’s next. While the early year hype of a mega bull run didn’t pan out as expected, there are still a few plausible paths forward. Let’s break down the three most likely scenarios for the rest of the year.
‎Scenario 1: The Bull Is Back On
‎This optimistic base case assumes that inflation continues to fall, trade tensions begin to ease, and the Fed ends QT and cuts rates by June. If political tensions stabilize and global liquidity increases, markets could see a major rally.
‎Bitcoin could reach $150K by June, cool off in summer, and possibly hit $250K by late 2025 or early 2026.
‎Altcoins like Solana might surge to $1,000, and meme coins could experience mania-level hype.
‎Central banks cutting rates and peace in regions like Ukraine and Iran would further support a bullish outcome.
‎Scenario 2: The Middle Path
‎This more moderate outcome sees trade deals eventually being made, but the damage already done keeps growth sluggish.
‎The Fed ends QT but holds off on rate cuts due to creeping inflation.
‎Bitcoin rallies to $110K–$120K before ranging for the rest of the year.
‎Altcoins underperform due to weak ETF inflows and continuous token unlocks.
‎The classic four-year Bitcoin cycle may be delayed until 2026.
‎Scenario 3: Goblin Town
‎The worst-case scenario.  Global economic conditions worsen, trade wars get worse, and geopolitical tensions get worse.
The U.S. and China fall into deep recessions, with a possible global depression.
‎Stocks crash, the housing market collapses, and inflation spikes again due to global conflicts.
‎Bitcoin falls below $50K, Ethereum sinks to $500–$600, and Solana drops below $50.
‎Investor confidence erodes and crypto sentiment hits rock bottom, with recovery not likely until 2026.
‎Conclusion
‎While Scenario 3 is the most extreme and least likely, it highlights the risks still looming. Scenario 1 is hopeful but requires several variables to align. Scenario 2 feels like the most balanced outcome. No matter where you stand, the key is to remain optimistic but prepared. The future of crypto may still hold massive potential — but staying informed and adaptable is crucial.
#BTCvsMarkets #BinanceHODLerSIGN #CryptoMarketCapBackTo$3T #EthereumFuture #TariffPause
$BTC
‎

‎Despite current economic uncertainties and fear-driven narratives, signs are pointing toward a potentially massive crypto bull run. With global liquidity on the rise, M2 money supply expanding, gold hitting new all-time highs, and institutional interest growing, the conditions are aligning for what could be the perfect storm for Bitcoin and the broader crypto market. Rate cuts, Fed interventions, and even national strategic interest in Bitcoin are all contributing to an ultra-bullish setup. Here's a breakdown of what’s happening and why it matters.
‎
‎1. The Setup: Global Liquidity is Soaring
‎Behind recession fears and market hesitations, global liquidity is at an all-time high. The M2 money supply is expanding again, typically a bullish sign for risk assets like crypto. Historically, Bitcoin reacts to these liquidity shifts with a delay, potentially signaling a big move soon. Gold’s recent surge to over $3,300 may be the early indicator, with Bitcoin poised to follow.
‎2. Smart Money is Accumulating
‎While short-term holders panic and sell, Bitcoin whales are buying aggressively. On April 9th alone, $3.6 million worth of Bitcoin was accumulated—the biggest day since February 2022. These signs contradict a bearish outlook and suggest preparation for a bullish run.
‎3. The Fed Under Pressure
‎With recession odds rising and tariff tensions growing, Wall Street is pushing the Fed to act. JP Morgan CEO Jamie Dimon is calling for relaxed capital requirements and potential market intervention. Fed Chair Jerome Powell appears hesitant but is feeling the heat from inflation fears, market pressure, and looming economic instability.
‎4. Rate Cuts and Stimulus Are Coming
‎Markets are already pricing in multiple rate cuts in 2025. Excess inventory from companies like Apple may soon lead to deflation, forcing the Fed to slash interest rates and possibly restart stimulus measures. Any hint of bond market intervention or end to quantitative tightening could set off a crypto rally.
‎5. Canada Beats the U.S. to the First Altcoin ETF
‎Canada launched the world’s first spot Solana ETF—with built-in staking rewards—leaving the U.S. behind. This move increases pressure on the SEC to approve altcoin ETFs in the States, with October being the final deadline for key decisions. Once approved, the legitimization of the altcoin market could flood the industry with institutional money.
‎6. Bitcoin as a Strategic Reserve?
‎The Trump administration is exploring unconventional ways to acquire Bitcoin—possibly using tariff revenue or even selling parts of U.S. gold reserves. If the U.S. announces strategic Bitcoin holdings, it could act as a seismic shift in global finance. Predictions suggest such a move could catapult Bitcoin to $1 million, or at least trigger a major bull cycle.
‎Conclusion
‎All the ingredients for a historic Bitcoin bull run are converging—rising global liquidity, rate cut expectations, institutional support, regulatory developments, and possible national-level Bitcoin adoption. Whether or not the million-dollar mark is hit, it’s clear that crypto is entering a new era of opportunity. The perfect storm might just be forming.
‎$BTC
#USStockDrop #CryptoMarketCapBackTo$3T #BinanceHODLerHYPER #TrumpVsPowell #MarketRebound