Crypto币小言

We can never harm those who truly think — because they possess both wisdom and kindness.

Wisdom allows them to see through deception: when information is complete, they can make accurate judgments; when information is scarce, they can still make preliminary deductions; kindness enables them to sense the suffering of others, to empathize with the world, and to instinctively make the right choices.

In other words, even if wisdom has its blind spots, kindness can help avoid risks.

In this world of myriad beings: there are those who use resources to turn truth upside down, those trapped in ignorance and illogical reasoning, those who resemble the awakened individuals in Lu Xun's writing, "sacrificing oneself for the law, pleading for the people's cause" (although they are rare), and those who live in a muddled state of "indifference."

The cause and effect between people and fate all begin with the choice of thought — where there are thoughts, there is perspective; where there are the thoughts of a pig, it is difficult to escape the fate of a pig.

True kindness possesses the power of redemption; many people sink into chaos, and survivors are not necessarily those who are merely clever, but they certainly have a clear understanding of good and evil. They use good and evil as a yardstick, maintaining their bottom line in critical choices, ultimately using their conscience as a shield to protect themselves.

This Prague upgrade includes:
1. Lift the staking restrictions, focus on the staking and re-staking sectors: LDO, SSV, ENA, PENDLE, EIGEN, etc.;
2. Increase the number of Blobs in L2 to speed up, focus on the L2 sector: ARB, OP, METIS, ZRX, etc.;
These are beneficial for its staking and L2 functions. #特朗普称无意解雇鲍威尔

What is being smart?

Being smart is not about how accurately you can predict the market or how many times you can predict correctly.

In fact, when you start trading through predictive models, you have already placed yourself in a difficult mode of the game.

Because predictive models are about predicting a complex system influenced by countless variables, which is a very difficult task.

Truly smart investors are those who can achieve profits without relying on predictive models.

That is, finding some long-term patterns that remain unchanged in the market.

The unspoken rules of survival in the jianghu: Eight reality-based survival laws

The essence of the jungle law: In areas not covered by rules, strength equates to discourse power.

Logic of resource acquisition: To break through social strata, one must leverage the thinking of those in higher positions, rather than solely relying on oneself.

Dilemma of primitive accumulation: The first capital accumulation is the most challenging; after breaking through, wealth growth becomes exponential.

Key to class crossing: The critical turning point for those starting from scratch often begins with the resource empowerment of benefactors.

The weight of responsibility: Having the courage to take on risks is the ticket to breaking through social circles; those who shrink back will always remain at the bottom.

Truth of resource distribution: Quality resources need to be actively contested; "fairness" is often a self-comfort for the weak.

Trade-offs in the game: Reject the trap of small profits, but decisively seize strategic opportunities.

Wealth class code: Maintain rationality towards the statements of higher classes, as their experiences may contain the logic of class moats.

Duo Dan Die Po 86 reconsider,

light calculations below 86 are very strong, there is a chance to make a move,

refer back to the position of 85650/85450... #Strategy增持比特币

#加密市场反弹

If you don't work hard, no one can help you; you need to have enough strength for your principles and bottom line to be respected. Do useful things, speak brave words, think beautiful thoughts, sleep soundly, and spend your time on progress, not on complaints.

After such a long time, there is finally a somewhat interesting trend.
In my opinion, the bull market won't arrive so quickly, nor are there supporting factors for a bull market to emerge. One cannot become a big fat guy in one go; even if the bull market begins, there must be a short period of accumulation.
In the end, it will still return to where it should be～ ​​​​ #美联储独立性

On April 21, the cryptocurrency market experienced an unexpected rebound, with BTC and ETH leading the rise. The underlying reason was not traditional positive news, but rather the sudden weakening of the dollar.

Fundamentals: Former U.S. President Trump’s comments on the Federal Reserve's intervention raised concerns about the independence of the Federal Reserve, causing the dollar index to fall to a three-year low.

As risk-averse sentiment increased, gold prices reached new highs, and Bitcoin, as 'digital gold', also gained popularity, with prices rising rapidly.

The US dollar DXY we talked about last time has finally broken through, falling below the 98 mark for the first time since March 2022, dropping over 1% during the day.

Remember when USDT was devalued and unpegged due to FUD, and risk-averse funds went to pull up BTC? Now that the USD has truly devalued, are risk-averse funds finally starting to shift from gold to BTC?

The good news is that the speed of CNY's devaluation is even faster? So CNY/USD has effectively not devalued?
#鲍威尔发言

The circle determines life; the kind of people you associate with will dictate the path you take.

As the saying goes, birds of a feather flock together.

Card-playing friends will only urge you to play cards, drinking buddies will only push you to drink.

However, reliable people will inspire you on how to make progress.

Both suffering and happiness are rewards that life gives us.

Getting through today's hardships is the hope for living tomorrow; to be alive is to be happy. #币安Alpha上新

In the past two years, making money by shorting in the commodity market has relied on the industry, betting that no bulls dare to take delivery, because the largest industry bulls are all hedging by shorting.

Isn't the secondary market the same? The project parties are inactive, and retail investors dare not take delivery. Many simple truths remain unchanged in essence, just expressed differently in a different market.

It is known that most secondary markets cannot escape the fate of going to zero; what needs to be done is to find a position to short, avoid the liquidation line with low leverage, and extend the cycle while quietly waiting for the secondary market to collapse. This is a cyclical thinking issue and has no reference value in the short term. #鲍威尔发言

The circle determines life; the kind of people you associate with will shape the path you take.

As the saying goes, birds of a feather flock together.

Card-playing friends will only urge you to play cards, and drinking buddies will only encourage you to toast.

However, reliable people will inspire you on how to make progress.

Both suffering and happiness are rewards that life gives us.

Surviving through today's hardships is the hope for living tomorrow; to be alive is to be happy.

The minute line trends of the top fifty cryptocurrencies by market capitalization are highly similar. Some opinions suggest that certain exchanges use AI for control, leading to the convergence of different volatility patterns. Although altcoins have large amplitudes, their trends are also affected.

In fact, five years ago, experienced investors discovered signs of market manipulation and warned to pay attention to abnormal trends. #鲍威尔发言

Trading should not be rushed for quick success; missing a market wave does not mean losing the opportunity for success. Market competition requires steady and methodical progress, gradually accumulating experience rather than dismissing an entire trading career due to short-term gains or losses.

There are only two types of opportunities that truly drive change in trading: one is being forced out due to continuous losses;

the other is actively breaking out of the comfort zone. People often lack the motivation to change when in a state of comfort, but if one wants to achieve something in trading, it is essential to think deeply about their own positioning.

Many traders blindly switch strategies, ignoring a key question: what is their own risk tolerance? Are they better at in-depth post-analysis, or quick decision-making during trading, or dynamic adjustment and error correction?

Everyone has different areas of strength, and frequently changing methods does not solve the fundamental issues.

At its core, trading tests cognitive and execution abilities; if one cannot overcome their own weaknesses, even changing strategies will be difficult to achieve breakthroughs. #币安上线WCT

Recently, many friends and classmates have called to express their anxiety. After selling their old homes and holding funds, they find themselves in a dilemma of 'not daring to purchase large properties and not daring to enter the stock market.'

Looking back in history, it is not difficult to find that most people have truly had disposable funds or assets for only the past twenty to thirty years; prior to that, such worries did not exist.

In the past, the urbanization process was slow, with the rural population accounting for as much as eighty to ninety percent. Most families grew enough grain to sustain their livelihood for the year, and often could barely afford their children's tuition fees.

When young people started families, acquiring a bicycle or a sewing machine was considered respectable.

Although urban residents had slightly better living conditions, being able to watch a movie or occasionally eat out, most were crammed into small housing allocated by their workplaces, with scant assets. If a family could place a large color TV in their home, it was already a source of envy, marking them as a moderately prosperous household. #币安上线WCT

The BTC daily chart is in a descending wedge pattern, with the upper trendline experiencing its fifth test.

If market expectations are met, it may slowly break through with reduced volume, and after reaching the upper range, it could suddenly accelerate. This type of movement aligns with the characteristics of a bullish continuation attracting short positions.

However, if this breakout fails again, we can only continue to wait until there is a clear breakout in the range. A downward breakout allows for short positions, while an upward breakout allows for long positions.

It is important to note that after a prolonged period of significant oscillation in a clear range, the later the entry time, the theoretically higher the win rate for breakout trades, but at the same time, the greater the possibility of missing the breakout move.

From the 4-hour perspective, Bitcoin has stabilized above 83000, and the KDJ is opening upwards. The trend is still leaning towards a bullish development, but there is likely to be some pullback.

This month, Bitcoin is expected to challenge the 88500 level, and long-term operations suggest buying on dips.
Bitcoin operation suggestion: 83000-83500 dips
Target 86000, if it breaks and stabilizes, look towards 88500
Defense at 81500-82000 #币安上线WCT

Profits are hard to hold
Losses are stubbornly endured
This is the reason most people lose money
Holding onto profits
Cutting losses when wrong
Reaching the peak
Being able to hold onto profits
Also holding onto losses
Ordinary people are doing quite well #Metaplanet增持比特币

FUEL The dog farm is playing quite cheap, all the right-side limit orders triggered entry, and then all the stop losses were hit. The dealer often only needs to pull a small section to trigger the market's limit orders and test the buying pressure above. It's like setting off fireworks, once the fuse is lit, it goes up with a bang. #币安上线WCT

The current status of the ASR-VC indicator 4-hour channel appears to be generally healthy.

Although market sentiment is slightly bearish and seems a bit excessive, BTC has stabilized and rebounded from the blue support zone, successfully staying above the middle track, and has been oscillating above the middle track for some time. There has been neither a violent upward liquidation nor a drop back below the middle track.

From both the wave and trend perspectives, I am not so pessimistic. If it weren't for the impact of tariff news, that W-bottom wouldn't have formed at all; the market might have remained within the oscillation channel, rebounding to the current position after touching the cyan support line.

From the wave counter-trend perspective, the price has not touched the upper yellow line of the channel, which means that the bearish signal is not yet clear. Moreover, the yellow line overlaps with the left supply zone, so even if one wants to bet on a short position after a failed breakout, they would need to wait for the price to rise to around 88000 first.

From the trend perspective, as long as the price holds above the middle track, the structure is still intact, whether it's a consolidation or a transition to a bullish structure (which requires a breakout above the orange line to confirm).

Therefore, my current thinking is still leaning towards oscillation and bullishness. As long as there is no confirmation of a drop below the middle track, there is no rush to turn bearish; we will consider the possibility of continuing bearishness only after a real breakdown.