#CPIWatch pls follow me I will follow you back kind request lovely people šššš¤šššš š CPI Watch ā July 15, 2025
The June Consumer Price Index (CPI) report is dropping today, and all eyes are on how inflation is reacting to recent tariff hikes and broader economic shifts:
š Key Forecasts - Headline CPI (YoY): Expected to rise 2.6%, up from 2.4% in May - Headline CPI (MoM): Forecasted at 0.3%, compared to 0.1% last month - Core CPI (YoY): Projected at 2.9%, slightly above Mayās 2.8% - Core CPI (MoM): Also expected to tick up to 0.3%, from 0.1%
š§¾ Whatās Driving It - Tariffs: President Trumpās new duties (20ā50%) on imports from Canada, Mexico, and the EU are starting to show up in pricesāespecially in core goods like apparel and used cars - Business Pressure: Companies are finding it harder to absorb import costs, which could lead to more price hikes over the next few months - Fedās Dilemma: With the July FOMC meeting approaching, the Fed is watching closely. Markets expect rates to hold steady, but a cut could come as early as September if inflation cools
š§ What to Watch Next - Core goods inflation: Think cars, electronics, and clothingāthese are most sensitive to tariffs - Food prices: Especially imported fruits and vegetables, which canāt be stockpiled - Fed commentary: Multiple officials are speaking today, and their tone could shift depending on this CPI print.
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