云鹿趋势论_

#美国宏观经济数据上链 币圈的每一次深V回踩，都是主力馈赠的埋仓机会。凌晨插针111872后的强势反弹，再次验证了“杀不崩的底部终将成就新高”的铁律——守得住寂寞的仓位，才配享受破晓时的暴涨。真正的赢家，不是在暴涨时追高，而是在恐慌中冷静抄底。切记：牛市在悲观中诞生，止损在历练中升华，持币在手终见星辰。比特币于凌晨时段下探111872低点后再度企稳反弹，目前重新回升至112500一线附近震荡整理；以太坊同步探底4430后反弹至4510附近运行。走势再次验证下方支撑有效性，凌晨依策略布局多单者可捕捉大饼约500点、以太约60点空间。
大饼111800-112000区间与以太坊4420-4450区域形成密集支撑带，多次回踩均未有效跌破，表明多头防御稳固；4小时级别均线系统呈多头排列，回调低点逐步抬升，趋势结构未破坏。大饼若站稳112500上方，短期目标可看113800，突破后有望测试114500；以太坊需突破4530压力带方可打开上行空间，否则延续4450-4530区间震荡。日内关注美股开盘及宏观情绪变化，若跌破上述支撑需警惕深度回调风险。短线操作建议止盈止损，避免过度贪婪。
操作建议
比特币：回踩112000-112200区域企稳布局多单，目标113000-113500
以太坊：回调至4470-4490区间可试多，目标4580-4600

综合价格走势、成交量以及移动平均线等技术指标来看，比特币在1小时级别上呈现出较为强劲的上升趋势。多方力量主导市场，成交量配合良好，移动平均线也给出了看涨信号。以太坊在短期内多方力量有所增强，价格有上行的趋势，但成交量未能有效放大，可能会限制价格上涨的空间和持续性。
比特币：112800-113000附近可多目标114000-114500
以太坊：回踩4580附近可多目标4680-4700

$SOL 午后思路
回踩210-208附近做多，看218-220

The evening pancake has seen a pullback. At this stage, it is important to consider positioning for long trades. This point must be noted.

It is recommended to look for opportunities to go long in the range of 110500 - 110000, with an initial target of 112000. If this level can be successfully broken, you can follow the trend and pursue long positions further up to 113000 and 114000; if it cannot break through, then directly take a short position. Be sure to grasp the timing for entry and do not miss the opportunity! #美联储降息预期

The order for the quilt cover is still not following up, the teacher is analyzing online, opportunities are limited, are you not coming in to take a look #加密市场回调

Daily Double Bottom or Bearish Continuation? Intense Tug-of-War Between Bulls and Bears After Major Fluctuations in BTC/ETH
The intraday market has once again experienced extreme volatility, showcasing a ‘roller coaster’ trend. Bitcoin sharply plummeted from a high of 114917 in the early morning, crashing over 4200 points to a low of 110680, before quickly rebounding to oscillate around the 113000 area; in the afternoon, the price weakened again, dipping to a low of 110588 before finding support and rebounding, currently consolidating around 112700. Ethereum’s performance has been even more intense, plunging after initially reaching a historical high of 4956, breaking below the 4800 and 4700 levels, hitting a low of 4519, and then rebounding to operate around 4690. All three long and two short strategies provided today have profited, totaling a gain of 5239 points for Bitcoin and 386 points for Ethereum. All strategies were deployed in advance, strictly adhering to the take-profit and stop-loss discipline.
From a technical structure perspective, Bitcoin has received strong support and quickly rebounded twice in the 110500-110600 area, forming a double long shadow candlestick pattern on the daily chart. This area has become the most critical defense line for bulls. This pattern could signify a reversal signal of a ‘double bottom’ or a consolidation during a downtrend. The key depends on whether the price can effectively hold above 113500—if it does, it may build a bottom structure and test the 116000 resistance upward; if it loses the 110500 support, it will open up greater downside potential to the 108000-105000 area. The low of 4519 for Ethereum has reached the lower boundary support of the weekly rising channel, and whether this position can stabilize is crucial. If the rebound can re-establish itself above 4780, the overall upward trend will continue; if it effectively breaks below the 4500 level, it would indicate a potential peak, with the market likely to deeply retrace to the 4300-4200 area. In the early morning, we can follow up with a high short strategy.
Bitcoin Suggestion: Short near 113500-113800, target 111000-110500
Ethereum Suggestion: Short near 4680-4660, target 🉑 look for 4550-4500

$DOGE callback is an opportunity for us to enter long positions, currently around 0.2180 looking at 0.2255-0.2280

$SOL SOL can be bought at the current price around 197, ↑ looking at 204-206

The order is stuck and I don't know how to proceed, come to the live stream for the answer #币安HODLer空投PLUME $BTC

The current price order has arrived, why not come in and take a look? #币安HODLer空投PLUME $BTC

BTC、ETH日内暴跌后反弹！关键位解析及精准三空一多策略复盘

K线的红绿交替，是市场在教你学会耐心；涨跌的反复无常，终会让你明白，稳住心态的人，才能在波动中等到属于自己的行情。比特币日内行情冲高至117800一线后承压回落，最低触及114552低点，跌幅超3200点，目前反弹至116500附近整理。以太坊同步暴跌，自4530附近快速下探4226低点，当前反弹至4360附近横盘。云鹿团队日内策略以三空一多为主，比特币空单分别于117000、115500、115100入场，多单于115000介入，累计盈利3656点；以太坊空单于4500、4450、4300附近入场，多单于4260附近布局，累计盈利396点。
技术面显示，4小时级别117800高点触及上升通道上轨，MACD顶背离后死叉放量，确认短期见顶，114552低点测试前期筹码密集区及EMA60均线支撑后引发反弹；1小时级别116800-117200若无法突破则延续空头趋势，RSI自超卖区反弹至50中性区域需观察能否站稳。以太坊日线级别连续两日收长上影线且跌破5日均线，短期多头动能衰竭，30分钟级别下降通道内反弹高点逐步下移，若无法突破4380-4400压力带则可能二次下探4200。需警惕行情突破关键压力位BTC 117800/ETH 4450后的变盘风险，并关注美股开盘对市场情绪的影响。
大饼建议：可关注116800-117200压力区轻仓空，止损118000，目标115500-114800，或114500-114000支撑区企稳短多
以太建议：4380-4400压力区做空，止损4450，目标4280-4220，若回踩4220-4200企稳可尝试短多#加密市场回调

别让短期的波动偷走你的判断力，也别用一时的盈亏定义自己的能力。每一次回调都是筛选信念的筛子，每一次反弹都是对坚持者的馈赠。真正的币圈行者，不是永远踩对节奏的“神”，而是在震荡中学会与不确定性共舞，在涨跌里守住本心的普通人。日内市场整体呈现震荡整理态势，比特币在116800-117800区间窄幅波动，多空分歧较小，交投情绪谨慎；以太坊走势相对强势，日内最低下探4367后反弹至4490高点，随后在4405附近整理。
大饼116800为短期支撑、117800为上方阻力，当前币价处于区间中部，量能萎缩显示市场观望情绪浓厚，需关注突破时的量能配合情况。以太反弹幅度超120点，体现出下方买盘支撑较强，4367为短期关键支撑，4400整数关口为当前多空争夺焦点。整体来看，短期市场震荡格局或延续，操作上建议以区间操作为主，比特币关注116800支撑与117800阻力的突破情况，以太坊留意4367支撑与4490阻力的有效性，在区间未突破前可考虑高抛低吸，止损设置在区间外，避免追涨杀跌。
大饼建议：116800附近轻仓试多，117800附近轻仓试空
以太建议：在4367-4400区间分批布局多单，4490附近可短空#美国7月PPI年率高于预期

#香港稳定币新规 $BTC Market trends are always born amidst disagreement and die amidst consensus. When everyone shouts, "The bull market is coming," it's often a foreshadowing of risk; when most lament, "The bear market isn't over yet," opportunities may be brewing around the corner. The cryptocurrency market is cruel in that it leaves no room for hesitation; but it is also gentle in that every decline is a test, every rebound a gift. There's no need to fight the market or compare yourself to others. Simply ask yourself: do you understand the logic, can you withstand the volatility, and are you willing to take responsibility for your choices? The market surged and then retreated this morning. Bitcoin hit a high of 115,306 before fluctuating downward. Bearish pressure pushed the price below 114,000. It hit a low of 113,573 before rebounding slightly and consolidating around 113,900. Ether similarly surged to 3735 before retreating. After losing support at 3640, its decline accelerated to a low of 3599, currently trading around 3610. A timely profit-taking strategy for Dodan early this morning gave Bitcoin a nearly 600-point gain in Bitcoin and a 64-point gain in Ethereum. However, Dodan was unable to maintain its upward trend due to a sudden short-selling attack, leading to a regretful exit.

Technical analysis shows that Bitcoin is experiencing short-term strong pressure at 115,300 on the 4-hour chart. Key support at 113,500 is a concern below; a break below could lead to a drop to 112,500. Ethereum is weakening in the short term, with 3,600 acting as a bull-bear boundary. A rebound above 3,640 is needed to alleviate downward pressure. While bears currently dominate the market, caution is advised against oversold rebounds. Strict risk management and flexible response to market fluctuations are recommended.
Bitcoin Recommendation: A light buy position can be considered if the price stabilizes between 113500-113800, with a target of 114500-115000. A short position can be considered if the price falls below 113500, with a target of 112500. Ethereum Recommendation: A long position can be considered if the price stabilizes between 3600, with a target of 3650-3680. A short position can be considered if the price rebounds to 3630-3640 and finds resistance, with a target of 3580-3550.

#币安Alpha上新 $BTC Market trends are born in divergence and die in consensus. When everyone shouts 'the bull is here', it is often a prelude to risk; when most people lament 'the bear has not stopped', perhaps opportunities have already begun to sprout in the corners. The cruelty of the crypto world lies in the fact that it never leaves room for those who hesitate; but its gentleness lies in the fact that every decline is a selection, and every rebound is a gift. There is no need to compete with the market, nor to compare with others; you only need to ask yourself: Do you understand the logic? Can you withstand the fluctuations? Are you willing to take responsibility for your choices? The morning market surged and then retreated, with Bitcoin reaching a high of 115306 before fluctuating downwards, the bears pushed it below the 114000 mark, reaching a low of 113573 before slightly rebounding to around 113900; Ethereum also surged to 3735 before retreating, losing the 3640 support and accelerating to a low of 3599, currently reported around 3610. The long positions given in the early morning were timely, capturing nearly 600 points in Bitcoin and 64 points in Ethereum. However, the long positions in the morning could not continue the upward trend due to a bear attack, regrettably leading to a stop-loss exit.
Technical analysis shows that Bitcoin's 4-hour level is under short-term strong pressure at 115300, while the key support below is 113500; if lost, it may test 112500. Ethereum is turning weak in the short term, with 3600 becoming the boundary between bulls and bears, and a rebound needs to break through 3640 to alleviate downward pressure. Currently, the market is dominated by bears, but caution is needed for a rebound from overselling; it is recommended to strictly control risk and respond flexibly to market changes.
Bitcoin suggestion: If stabilizing between 113500-113800, consider small long positions, target 114500-115000; if it falls below 113500, then switch to short with a target of 112500.
Ethereum suggestion: If stabilizing at 3600, consider long positions, target 3650-3680; if the rebound reaches 3630-3640 and faces pressure, consider shorting with a target of 3580-3550.

Why not take a moment to grab the real-time strategy #币安Alpha上新 $BTC ?

How to get to the big pancake at dawn? Come to the live room for answers.

#加密市场反弹 $ETH The cryptocurrency market's K-line chart is like life's electrocardiogram, with its exhilarating surges and its troughs. Don't blindly chase a single bullish candlestick, nor panic over a single bearish candlestick—stay clear-headed during rallies and confident during declines. A true long-termist doesn't dwell on short-term fluctuations, but rather maintains their own rhythm amidst the tides of the cycle. The market never disappoints those who are patient, just as the receding tide always leaves behind shells for those who persevere. Bitcoin (BTC) showed strong rebound momentum this morning at the 114,000 support level, reaching a high of 114,972. It then fell under pressure to a low of 114,105 before rebounding again to consolidate around 114,700. Ethereum also followed suit, rebounding from the 3481 support level, reaching a high of 3575 before retreating to a consolidation around 3540. The bullish strategy introduced this morning resulted in a precise entry, successfully capturing gains of over 800 points for Bitcoin and over 80 points for Ethereum.

Current trends indicate that after a sharp price correction, bullish momentum has gradually gained momentum. Although short-term gains have yet to fully materialize, bearish momentum, after sustained growth, has weakened and failed to establish effective resistance. Yunlu believes the market has entered a bull-dominated phase, and the temporary bearish resurgence provides an opportunity for bulls to enter the market. A bullish strategy can be maintained in the afternoon, with an eye on further momentum.

Bitcoin price recommendation: Targets around 114,000, with potential targets at 115,500-116,000.
Ether price recommendation: Targets around 3520, with potential targets at 3580-3600.

#以太坊ETF连续12周净流入 $ETH The cryptocurrency market's K-line chart is like life's electrocardiogram, with its exhilarating surges and its troughs. Don't blindly chase a single bullish candlestick, nor panic over a single bearish candlestick—stay clear-headed during rallies and confident during declines. A true long-termist doesn't dwell on short-term fluctuations, but rather maintains their own rhythm amidst the cyclical tides. The market never disappoints those who are patient, just as the receding tide always leaves behind shells for those who persevere. Bitcoin (BTC) showed strong rebound momentum this morning at the 114,000 support level, reaching a high of 114,972. It then fell under pressure to a low of 114,105 before rebounding again to consolidate around 114,700. Ethereum also followed suit, rebounding from the 3481 support level, reaching a high of 3575 before retreating to a consolidation around 3540. The bullish strategy introduced this morning resulted in a precise entry, successfully capturing gains of over 800 points for Bitcoin and over 80 points for Ethereum.

Current trends indicate that after a sharp price correction, bullish momentum has gradually gained momentum. Although short-term gains have yet to fully materialize, bearish momentum, after sustained growth, has weakened and failed to establish effective resistance. Yunlu believes the market has entered a bull-dominated phase, and the temporary bearish resurgence provides an opportunity for bulls to enter the market. A bullish strategy can be maintained in the afternoon, with an eye on further momentum.

Bitcoin price recommendation: Targets around 114,000, with potential targets at 115,500-116,000.
Ether price recommendation: Targets around 3520, with potential targets at 3580-3600.

#Solana期货交易量创新高 In the cryptocurrency market, the candlestick chart resembles the electrocardiogram of life, with peaks of ecstatic highs and valleys of sharp declines. Don’t blindly chase highs due to a large bullish candle, and don’t panic and take reckless paths because of a large bearish candle—stay a bit more clear-headed during rises and a bit more resolute during falls. True long-termists don’t get anxious over short-term fluctuations; instead, they maintain their rhythm amidst the waves of cycles. The market never disappoints those who are patient, just like the tide recedes, it always leaves shells for those who persevere. This morning, Bitcoin showed strong rebound momentum at the 114000 support level, reaching a high of 114972, then retracing to a low of 114105, before rebounding again to around 114700 for consolidation; Ethereum moved in sync, rebounding at the 3481 support level, peaking at 3575, and then retreating to around 3540 for consolidation. The bullish strategy provided this morning allowed for precise entry, successfully capturing over 800 points for Bitcoin and over 80 points for Ethereum.

From the current trend, after a deep price correction, the bullish strength has gradually intensified. Although the short-term effects have not fully manifested, the bearish momentum has shifted to a weak state after continuous release in the early stage, failing to form effective resistance. In Yunlu's view, the current market has entered a bullish-dominated phase, and the temporary bearish counterattack actually provides an opportunity for bulls to enter. This afternoon, the bullish mindset can still be extended, focusing on the further release of counterattack momentum.

Bitcoin suggestion: Buy around 114000, target 115500-116000
Ethereum suggestion: Buy around 3520, target 3580-3600

#美国初请失业金人数 $ETH On Saturday, the price of the coin reached a peak of 115495 before falling back to a range of 112676-114040, and then quickly dropped to a low of 111852 this morning before rebounding to around 113728. Ethereum synchronized on Saturday near the 3640 line, rebounding again to the 3530 high after a low of 3429, oscillating. This morning, the price fell to a low of 3354 before rebounding to around 3460.
Currently, the coin price continues to operate near the lower Bollinger Band, the channel opening expands, and the middle band is pressed down to 114800, highlighting the overall weak market pattern. Recently, the K-line has shown continuous long bearish candles breaking key support on high volume, with bearish momentum significantly prevailing, while the short bullish candles appearing during the rebound lack volume, reflecting the weak strength of the bulls' counterattack, making it difficult to reverse the short-term downward trend. In operation, two key positions must be closely monitored: above 114800, resistance at the 3530 middle band; if a long upper shadow or bearish engulfing pattern appears upon rebounding to this level, a short position can be entered; below 111852, the previous low support at 3350; once a breakout on high volume occurs, it will open up a downward space to 110500 and 3250. Currently, it is crucial to avoid blindly bottom-fishing; the strategy should focus on shorting when facing resistance during rebounds; only when the coin price strongly recovers to 114800 with a corresponding high-volume bullish candle can a light long position be attempted.
Bitcoin recommendation: Short near 114000-114200, target 111800-111500
Ethereum recommendation: Short near 3480-3500, target 3350-3320