Web3妮妮

Alpha Points Guide ✅

How many friends still don't know where to earn points? After reading Nini's notes, you can easily find out!

The participation entry is located on the Binance App homepage: Click the Binance Logo in the upper left corner, go to 'More Services', and find 'Alpha Points' under the 'Information' tab. Users can also add it to 'Quick Access' for easier future access.

The Alpha Points system focuses on assessing user activity levels, and the results directly affect whether users can participate in token generation events or receive airdrop benefits. The points calculation rules are based on asset data from the past 15 days, covering various assets and the purchase volume of Alpha tokens, and are updated daily. To incentivize users to hold long-term or trade actively, the system specifically states that selling Alpha tokens does not count towards points calculation.

Generally speaking, opportunity always favors the pioneers, and early participants often reap higher rewards. Now, Alpha Points have started to accumulate, directly reaching 80 points, and the rules announced in the past two days clearly indicate that the points requirements are getting higher.
#币安Alpha上新

$TRUMP
The front foot said it was hosting a dinner for TRUMP token holders, and the back foot directly surged to 16.17. The dinner was indeed held at a very "timely" moment, and after the news about the TRUMP dinner was released, a whale directly spent 5 million to purchase 407,467 TRUMP at a price of 12.27.

One can only say that this wave of TRUMP's market manipulation is truly clever. Now it has surged directly to 15, still with a business mindset; the country may not be managed well, but the business is doing quite well.

Is life finally going to take action against us little retail investors?～

Welcome everyone to leave comments in the comment section, and remember to follow Nini～#TRUMP #加密货币总市值重回3万亿

$BTC $ETH
Let's take a look at the macro market this week on Monday.

The first is tariffs; the US and Europe have settled, and the US and Japan have also shaken hands. The next focus will be on how Tokyo University, Japan, Canada, and Mexico will negotiate.

Then there's the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting on Thursday. Will Powell actually back down? He has already been pressured by Congress twice; will he say something nice this time to soothe the market?

Meanwhile, the Bank of Japan is also joining in the fun. With the US-Japan agreement in place, the interest rate path may need some minor adjustments, after all, it can't just follow the dollar all the time.

Finally, there's Friday's non-farm payroll report. With the private sector job market being so weak and the market not completely giving up on inflation, how can it not be led around by the nose by the Fed?

Back to the market, last Friday's sudden attack on Bitcoin was actually a false breakdown. There were rumors of 80,000 Bitcoins being transferred, which smashed through the consolidation range. This is a typical false breakdown washout; it's not a crash but a trap for shorts.

The upper resistance is around 121K, which is where market liquidity accumulates. Without a doubt, Bitcoin's rebound target is likely headed there; market funds will sniff out this trend itself.

As for the support at 112K, it hasn't been tested before, and it's still somewhat reliable now, but if it really drops and then touches it, that would basically signal a failure for the bulls, not just a trap for shorts but a trend reversal.

Ethereum almost touched 4K today, and after a slight pullback during the day, it's starting to stir again. Now 3800 has become new support; whether it can stabilize depends on whether this surge is strong.

To really make things happen, it needs to break through the 4112-4150 resistance zone. If it pulls back and stays above 3888, it will likely be ready to attack the next targets of 4500 or even 4880.

Follow Nini for exciting updates every day. #ETH重返3800 #币安Alpha上新

$BTC
The big coin has moved through three major phases since April 8th. The first phase was a correction to recover from the sell-off, the second phase was a pullback to accumulate, and the third phase was driven up by the sentiment around stablecoin ETFs and the explosive rise of CRCL.

The first two phases were the market's own doing, while the last phase was purely reliant on financial innovations from the US stock market. Especially the rhythm of this ETF wave has genuinely pulled the entire market out of the mud, serving as a lifeline. But the question arises, how many times can this lifeline save us? Not many; American money isn’t just thrown around, it follows trends.

Currently, the MACD hasn't fully completed the top divergence, technically there’s still a chance for a rally. However, this experience has been really tough; it’s hard to eat and sleep, and one is constantly on edge. If we aim for 130,000, it's not impossible.

However, in this end-stage market, altcoins can easily be abandoned. During the final rally of the big coin, most small coins will be neglected, which is a common pattern.

Ethereum is currently in a typical pullback structure as well. It may need to dip a bit further; don’t rush to short, if it pulls back to a high point, consider shorting a position. The current resistance is around 3672; the overall trend is still bullish.

Big institutions won't give altcoins a chance; when the altcoin season returns, it will rely on a genuine internal explosion in the next cycle, not this pseudo-prosperity driven by foreign funds frantically trading ETFs.

Resistance levels to consider: 120300, 119400
Support levels to consider: 118400, 117300

Follow Nini for daily updates on exciting content.

#NFT板块领涨 #山寨季來了？

$BTC
Today, as soon as I opened my eyes, Ethereum crashed through an entire range, and altcoins were directly hit in two or three segments, and just after heating up for two days, the altcoin season was doused with a bucket of cold water.

This wave is clearly about deleveraging, killing off a batch of the greedy, and exchanging some chips to rebuild faith. Now, looking at the overall market, it seems to be stirring again, showing some signs of a rebound, but don't rush to climax; it probably still needs time to grind.

Looking at the outside, Tesla had a massive crash after hours. Its earnings report fell short of expectations, dropping directly by 5%. Although this has no direct relation to the crypto market, Musk has a deep connection with it, so this decline might transmit some negative sentiment.

Google, on the other hand, provided a decent earnings report, barely neutralizing things. But overall, the rhythm of this rise has changed. Bitcoin and Ethereum were bullish for two weeks, while altcoins only muddled through for a week before crashing. What does this indicate?

It indicates that this market trend was not created by the crypto market itself; it came from external funds, especially Ethereum, which was essentially driven up by spot ETFs in the primary and secondary markets, not by on-chain whales. Traditional funds are buying the story, not the price; once they start doing the math, sorry, no altcoin will escape.

Do you think the overflow of funds can provide you with some liquidity? You're thinking too much. Traditional funds haven't even left yet; do altcoins still expect rotation? Just wait for the mainstream coins to catch their breath; it's still too early for altcoin opportunities.

And now, Ethereum looks like the early year Bitcoin version, relying on external push, not on internal explosive growth. There is a bubble, but this bubble is much cleaner than the leverage and manipulation in the crypto market; at least others are buying with real money, rather than just pushing it up to cut you out.

Follow Nini for daily updates of exciting content. #山寨季來了？ #美国AI行动计划

$BTC
Trump has been causing quite a stir lately, so let's talk about him first.

He's almost encroaching on retirement funds; if 401k truly opened up for investment in crypto assets, even just a tenth would amount to $900 billion, isn't that just handing out money?

And Powell is really having a tough time now; if he doesn't lower interest rates, Trump is on social media tearing him apart every day. Even Musk has jumped in to criticize, making it tough for Powell to navigate. If he had a slightly weaker mental fortitude, he would have packed up and run away by now.

Back to the market, Bitcoin's spot premium index has started to rise, the bulls are beginning to take action, and the bears are coming in as well. Prices are falling, and premiums are rising. Many people really can't understand it; they are scared when prices go up and even more scared when they go down.

This wave of Bitcoin hit the resistance zone above 120K, and yet it closed with a long upper shadow in 4 hours, which still indicates there is supply pressure above, right?

But the support below isn’t weak either; the 117.6K level has been tested twice and has held the market steady, which is also a preparatory move for an upward trend.

Follow Nini for daily updates of exciting content. #山寨币突破 #特朗普施压鲍威尔

$BTC
The price has indeed surged here, but to be honest, do you dare to chase this trend? This 112K position looks just like last year's 72K, poised for a breakthrough, but in reality, there are a lot of gaps and declining momentum; it’s not ready to stabilize at all.

The trading volume is visibly shrinking, with only over 90 billion on July 10, which is a significant drop compared to May. This kind of rise without volume, if you want to put it nicely, is a symbolic breakthrough; if you want to put it harshly, it’s just a baiting market.

Last night's trend was clearly a follow-up; the U.S. stocks surged to new highs, and the crypto space couldn’t stay out of it, so it was passively dragged along. The problem is, after the push, who will take over?

Ethereum has risen a bit, but the price is meaningless. The altcoins are a mess, and hardly anyone cares. Do you understand? This is just a show; it’s not a real breakthrough.

Trade in bands within the range, repeatedly taking advantage of key points. Don’t rush to go all in, and don’t be lured by false breakouts.

What’s the most vicious trend? It’s when there’s a sudden plunge to 100K that scares people away, and then a sharp rebound to 112K. This trick has already played out once, and it really is effective!

The key issue right now is not whether it's rising, but whether it can truly break through ATH. If it can, then you can enter on the daily line; if not, be prepared to fill the liquidity gap created by last night's surge.

110.5K is the short-term defense line; if it breaks, continue to look at the 109.7, 109.2K, or even 107K areas. Remember, although Bitcoin hasn’t surged wildly, it also has no reason to drop. The supply side is terrible; no one wants to sell, and even if no one buys, the price can’t crash down.
Resistance levels to reference: 113000, 112000
Support levels to reference: 110500, 109000

Follow Nini for daily updates of wonderful content. #BTC再创新高 #美联储6月会议纪要

$BTC
Last night, as soon as the Federal Reserve's minutes were released, the market went into a frenzy. The Nasdaq and S&P both hit new highs, and the crypto market rode the wave upward as well. Bitcoin surged to 112K in one go, looking incredibly strong.

First, regarding the minutes, a few people supported an immediate interest rate cut. These few are likely the ones who previously tried to curry favor with Trump, like Waller. They support the cut not because the economy can't withstand it, but because they want to offer a token of loyalty to Trump.

Basically, it's about securing their own positions, but most of the committee members aren't particularly hawkish. To put it bluntly, they talk tough but are soft inside, and it’s highly likely that there will be at least one rate cut this year, which is essentially like releasing an invisible dot plot in advance, right? Naturally, the market took this as good news.

Additionally, some committee members clearly stated that Trump's tariffs are not reliable and will bring uncertainty and risk. However, on the flip side, his constant talk about TACO and his rhetoric seem to have alleviated the risk of tariffs being implemented.

Follow Ni Ni for daily updates of exciting content. #美联储6月会议纪要 #BTC再创新高

$BTC
It's only Tuesday today, and I'm already starting to feel like this week's market is about to get interesting. It’s expected that we will return to the trends of tariffs and monetary policy this week.

As expected, the news from Trump didn’t disappoint; he directly informed 14 countries including Japan, South Korea, and South Africa that tariffs would be imposed. Then he turned around and issued an executive order, stating that the reciprocal tariffs would be postponed until August 1st.

Did everyone understand? The timing of August 1st has significance. Because Japan may raise interest rates on July 31st, if these two events happen simultaneously, the market could react sharply, and Bitcoin might not hold up either.

However, from a structural standpoint, Bitcoin's bullish pattern is still intact and hasn't broken down. There may be some short-term fluctuations, but the pullbacks are basically opportunities, not traps. To put it simply, the entire third quarter is a period of competition; whether it's difficult or not, you'll have to figure it out for yourself. Just remember, if you don't think critically, you may easily fall into the market's traps.

Follow Nini for daily updates of exciting content. #美国加征关税 #突破交易策略

$BTC
In this environment, good news comes one after another, and even 'fake good news' is enough to pull up a big bullish candle. Bessent just mentioned establishing a tariff partnership, and the market immediately became euphoric. Even before the U.S. stock market opened, Bitcoin had already surged on its own; how can you establish a medium-term short position with such sentiment?

Moreover, the market is currently driven not by logic but by emotion. Bitcoin has transitioned from a confrontation to a tariff reconciliation; this plot twist is faster than palace intrigue, leaving no room for you to catch your breath. The existing stock in the exchanges is the only stabilizer in this play.

Bitcoin is currently at 110.6K, clearly being preyed upon to absorb liquidity, luring in longs and then killing shorts before it could possibly continue to rise. Above, there is the temptation of a potential new high at 110.2K, and below there are liquidity pockets at 105K and 98K.

But to be honest, to push it down, we have to wait until the main force has had enough at the top, then a pullback might be possible. Currently, the area from 108.8K to 110K has no strong resistance; it looks like it can be chased, but entering could easily lead to being stuck at a high position. If you want to chase it, you need to wait for a breakthrough at 110.2K followed by a pullback confirmation; otherwise, it’s better to wait for it to fill the gap around 108.4K before considering entry.

To conclude, the market has not yet completed its move; unless the bad news can break through 100K and descend below 96K, it doesn’t count as structural damage. There was no major adjustment in July, and if Japan really raises interest rates in August, that could be when the real killing weapon appears.

Resistance levels: 110200, 109600
Support levels: 109000, 108500

Follow Nini for daily updates of exciting content. #现货与合约策略 #比特币巨鲸动向

$BTC
This week's focus is clear: the suspension period for U.S. tariffs ends on Tuesday, and the Federal Reserve meeting minutes are on Wednesday.

These two events, one related to foreign trade and the other to liquidity, are both very likely to trigger sudden market fluctuations, and the directions may very well be opposing.

Recently, some people were waiting to see if 80,000 bitcoins would cause a market crash. What happened? Nothing at all; those who shorted are probably stuck where they are now. We can now look at the inventory of bitcoins on the exchange; it's quite clear.

In fact, since November last year, whether bitcoins rise or fall, the amount of bitcoins on exchanges has been continuously decreasing, reaching the lowest point in nearly five years. What does this indicate?

Simply put, it means that someone has been quietly buying, taking their profits, and nobody wants to run away. Under this consensus, unless there is a catastrophic systemic risk in the bitcoin space, there really isn't anything that can cut the bitcoins in half.

Follow Nini for exciting daily updates. #长期持有策略 #美国加征关税

$BTC

Today, before the non-farm payroll data comes out, it is necessary to look at a set of data: spot inflow of 175 million, and contracts directly injected with 1.1 billion, with a contract/spot ratio close to 10:1. Still not understanding? It's not that institutions are entering to hoard goods, but rather the main force is using contracts to pump the market and clear the shorts' liquidity.

Yesterday's sharp rise and last week's horizontal consolidation complemented each other perfectly. First, it smashed through 105K to clear the longs, then flipped and exploded to liquidate the shorts, cutting both ways, retail against retail. Now, don't be fooled by the price still being high; in fact, the main force is waiting for the next wave of liquidity.

Many people see the surge and get overly excited, thinking there is some super positive news, but there really isn't. Currently, if it can't stabilize above 110.2K in the next couple of days, it's highly likely to turn around and adjust, so tonight's non-farm data is crucial.

Follow Nini for daily updates of exciting content. #美国加征关税 #美国初请失业金人数

$BTC
Today, let's talk about MicroStrategy. It has already skyrocketed, not only surpassing the high point of 112K on May 23, but also directly exceeding the second high point of 110.6K on June 9. At this rate, it seems to be heading for a new high.

Now, regarding the key points, during this drop from 112K, the open interest has been decreasing synchronously. I haven't seen bears frantically adding positions and pushing open interest up to crash the market, nor does it resemble a false breakout typical of a top divergence. So whether this is a washout or a real drop, the current short-term market structure is not clear.

The reason it’s stuck at 110.3K is that there are a bunch of contract shorts in both coin-based and USDT-based positions ahead, along with large spot orders on Coinbase blocking the way. The bulls haven’t been able to bite, and for the past couple of days, it's been stuck in a sideways move.

But the key point is that the structure hasn't broken! The bulls are not dead! Even if you are a bear, don’t impulsively short; you need to operate based on 110.3K. Once it truly breaks through, you need to reverse and go all in, or you’ll be left waiting to be squeezed. The market may seem calm right now, but in reality, it has a hint of a charge coming.

Follow Nini for daily updates on exciting content. #美股代币化 #加密市场回调

$BTC

With the ceasefire between Israel and Palestine, the Federal Reserve has once again hinted at a rate cut, causing the market to fluctuate wildly. Sure enough, the Nasdaq soared to a new high, stable as ever.

What we should focus on now is not whether it's rising, but how much higher it can go. Those who have experienced the big market in 2017 understand this well; it's the same familiar formula.

So now, core assets should surge first, and then we set a ceiling. We just need to wait for the funds to overflow to lift these peripheral assets.

Now, back to the charts, the big market has still been in the range of 107K-108K from yesterday to now, with neither bulls nor bears giving way. However, smaller scales are beginning to show lower highs and lower lows, which means there might be a short-term pullback, not an immediate surge, as the true liquidation target for bulls lies below.

To conclude, the overall direction remains bullish. There will just be a short-term pullback; if it drops, it will go down for a haircut. The first liquidation target: 105.5K, the second target: 103K.

Follow Nini for daily updates of exciting content. #美国5月核心PCE物价指数 #下一任美联储主席人选

$BTC

Today, let's interpret Powell's speech. In summary: If it weren't for Trump imposing tariffs, the Federal Reserve would have cut rates a long time ago. The reason they aren't cutting now is due to the immense uncertainty; cautious in July, open in September. To sum it up simply, I want to cut, but someone has to take the blame.

The market is playing dead, and the situation with gold is even more absurd; even with gas canisters flying, there’s no rise, indicating that funds do not trust this wave of risk at all. It seems no one is willing to take on the risk because the money has already fled to the stock market and cryptocurrency.

Currently, it’s the futures market driving the rally, not the spot market selling off. The divergence between futures and spot is not a sign of a peak but rather a trap set by the manipulators to induce shorts. How many false breakouts leading to real liquidations have we seen in the past two months? This wave is aimed at the short liquidity at 108K and 110K.

If the price holds above the middle line, and does not break, the next stop is likely to be the liquidation at 108K, followed by a false pullback to attract new short positions before continuing up to clear 110K.

The only purpose of playing this way is to clean out the shorts before potentially entering a true oscillation and downtrend.

Follow Nini for daily updates on exciting content.

$BTC
At the Federal Reserve, officials are taking turns speaking out in favor of interest rate cuts. Trump is even harsher, directly warning the Fed to be sensible. However, the rate cuts from July to September are basically a certainty.

Speaking of Bitcoin, the key point now is 107K. The liquidity for shorts is almost being suffocated. If the sentiment is better tonight, there’s a high probability of a liquidation wave. After the liquidation, what’s next? Two possibilities:

First, a spike breaking above 107K, then reversing and dropping sharply. This wave might dive directly down, with a target around 102K, tricking the longs, while the main force sells off.

Second, not dropping, but instead oscillating upwards, aiming for high short positions around 112K~113K, the main force wants to push it to the limit, squeezing the shorts all the way.

Follow Nini for daily updates of exciting content. #鲍威尔半年度货币政策证词 #币安HODLer空投SAHARA

$BTC
Look at this situation, it seems like it's going to get big. I estimate it will continue to plunge. What does everyone think? #特朗普施压鲍威尔 #以色列伊朗冲突

$BTC $ETH
The big pie is still treading water in place. Recent geopolitical conflicts have practically no impact on the US stock market, but the crypto circle is in a frenzy.

It's now June to August, and it’s almost the same every year: volatility + confusion + fake moves all clustered together.

The market doesn’t seem to be in much better shape either. The big pie is still hovering above 100K. At times like this, once the news takes a breather, whether it’s a cooling of conflicts or the Fed mumbling about some easing, there’s a high probability of a fake rebound, luring you in first and then stepping on you.

Spot trading is real chip trading, while contracts are leveraged bubbles. This indicates that the next move is likely to be a fake breakout controlled by contracts, followed by a harvesting phase.

In conclusion, most retail investors above 100K won’t even play in spot trading, and institutions are unwilling to take over because they want cheap chips, not six-figure high-position leeks. Right now, it’s just a performance, but who are they performing for? They’re performing for us leeks.

Follow Nini for daily updates of exciting content. #加密概念美股 #以色列伊朗冲突

$BTC
The current price of the pancake has dropped, forming a triangular convergence pattern. Before a clear direction is established, it will continue to oscillate sideways.

During yesterday's decline, the 104 K line received support. The prerequisite for a rebound is to stay above the 105 K threshold.

When the price approaches the first resistance range of 104.8–105 K, do not rush to confirm a breakout; first observe whether there is sufficient trading volume and stabilization;

Due to the recent sideways oscillation in the market, even if it stands above 105 K, it is often difficult to sustain an upward trend unless there is a significant bullish candle that effectively breaks through; otherwise, the oscillation range thinking will remain.

Intraday, 104 K can be regarded as a key support level. If this position is lost again, it could trigger short-term selling pressure; if it breaks below 104 K, the space below could open up to 103.4 K, and the original support level will also convert to a resistance level.

Resistance levels: 105800, 105100
Support levels: 104100, 103400

Follow Nini for daily updates of exciting content. #美联储FOMC会议 #btc

📊 Altcoins: Is the rebound an illusion? Let's break it down:

✅ 4 Major Criteria to Determine a True Rebound:
1. Sector rotation starts, leading coins break through key levels first;
2. Volume increases, both price and volume rising indicate real buying interest;
3. Net buying of stablecoins continues to recover, on-chain data shows improvement;
4. Macro factors align, US Treasury yields decline, and policies do not hit the brakes.

❎ Current Situation:
* Most altcoins are rebounding with reduced volume, no clear signs of incoming funds;
* The Fed's stance is hawkish, and the short-term rate cut window is still unclear;
* The SEC has repeatedly delayed ETF approvals, positive impacts have yet to materialize;
* Popular coins like ZRO and ZK face high unlocking risk!

📌 Conclusion: The current situation leans towards a “rebound” rather than a “reversal,” and cash should remain on the sidelines, waiting for signs of mainstream stabilization + macro alignment to signal the next investment opportunity.

Follow Nini for daily updates of exciting content.
#我的交易风格 #币安HODLer空投SPK