阿杭

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Morning thoughts verification, a good start to the new week

The Bitcoin market continues to show a lateral consolidation pattern, with a noticeable narrowing of price fluctuation range. The Ethereum market first faced resistance at the 2552 level in the early morning before quickly retreating, and subsequently staged a dramatic deep V-shaped reversal.

From a technical analysis perspective on the 4-hour level, the market is currently showing a slight downward trend, with fluctuation amplitude gradually narrowing. Although there was a rebound after testing the lower Bollinger Band, it failed to effectively break through the mid-band resistance level, indicating insufficient bullish momentum in the current market. Despite some rebound signals being released, the persistently low trading volume and the RSI indicator being in a weak zone suggest that the current rebound strength is limited, and the upper space is under significant pressure. It is recommended to seize high sell and low buy opportunities within the range while closely monitoring the breakthrough situation of key resistance levels.

Bitcoin: Sell around 105500-106000 with a short-term target of 103000.

Ethereum: Sell around 2560-2580 with a short-term target of 2480.

Only when the price breaks through and firmly establishes a key position with solid candlestick confirmation, and receives continued confirmation of the subsequent trend, is it worth entering the market in the direction of the trend.

Otherwise, one should decisively avoid false breakouts or signals lacking continuity to prevent being lured into false bullish or bearish positions.

In the current market volatility, when you can truly make a living through trading, that calm mindset is more important than any technical indicator. In June 2025, the price of Bitcoin fluctuated between $105,000 and $169,000, with market sentiment influenced by global financial dynamics and regulatory trends. Speculators chased short-term profits, while true traders remained steady like old dogs. You are no longer swayed by the dramatic fluctuations of candlestick patterns, nor do you change your plans due to temporary pullbacks or surges. You understand that whether it’s the sideways consolidation of Bitcoin or sudden trend movements, the key to profitability lies not in catching every opportunity, but in sticking to a verified trading strategy, planting seeds at a consistent pace, and waiting for the harvest. You have experienced the lows of 2023 and withstood the temptations of the bull market in 2024. Although your account curve rises slowly, it is the result of discipline and patience. In the face of the uncertainty of the Bitcoin market, you no longer fantasize about getting rich overnight; instead, you have become accustomed to solitude and pressure, realizing that trading is not a shortcut to freedom, but a rigorous path that requires daily execution. It is this ability to endure losses and the conviction in your rules that allows you to remain calm like still water amidst the tumult of the crypto world and continue moving forward.

The blood battle between bulls and bears is on the line! When BTC moves, liquidation means billions

The current trend of Bitcoin has entered a "critical watershed". Once it breaks upwards or downwards, liquidation will not be a small matter: if it breaks above $107,000: the mainstream will trigger the liquidation of $909 million in short positions, and the bears will be directly sent to the rooftop. If it falls below $103,000: it will be the bulls crying this time, with a cumulative liquidation of $1.391 billion in long positions, a river of blood.

The current BTC is like a fully drawn bowstring; once the direction is determined, the market is headed towards liquidation. Don't think about standing in the middle of the road as a philosopher; choosing a side and making proper risk control arrangements is the real skillful operation.

Bull-bear betting, who wins and who loses?

Musk has issued a coin! The Solana meme coin $ELON DOGE is officially open for pre-sale, targeting Trump directly. Musk is no longer just making statements from afar, but has personally entered the arena, deploying the meme coin $ELON DOGE on the Solana chain to cryptographically respond to his complete break with Trump. The project's official homepage bluntly states: 'Personally deployed by Elon, the efficiency department has been disbanded, and the freedom dogs are returned to the community.' Background overview of the event: • Musk angrily criticized Trump's policies as 'disgusting monsters' and hinted that he should be impeached • Trump retaliated: Musk is 'crazy' and threatened to cut off all business cooperation. Now, this verbal battle has moved onto the blockchain; $ELON DOGE is not just a meme, but a narrative war. 📈 Currently, $ELON DOGE is in the pre-sale phase: • Solana mainnet deployment is complete • No pre-mining, no VC, fully distributed to the community • Completely transparent, strong narrative, strong consensus 💬 Community opinion is unanimous: This is Musk's personal signal to issue a coin, and it is very likely to take off directly after its official launch, surpassing $TRUMP, and becoming the number one meme coin on Solana.

Blockchain News

1. Deutsche Bank and Ant International launch a tokenized cross-border payment solution, integrating AI and blockchain technology.

2. Xiexin Energy and Ant Digital Technology establish a joint venture for an energy AI platform, exploring blockchain + energy RWA assetization.

3. Pakistan utilizes 2,000 MW of surplus electricity for Bitcoin mining and AI.

4. Coinbase partners with American Express to launch a Bitcoin cashback credit card, promoting cryptocurrency consumption scenarios.

5. Bull Group and Alibaba Cloud reach a full-stack AI cooperation, with Qwen3 integrating into the smart home product line.

Stock market heavy positive news！！！！
Digital asset concept is booming🔥🔥🔥！！！
Trump Media's Bitcoin "Treasury Trading" is in effect, reflecting the trend of companies incorporating crypto assets into their reserves.
This may temporarily stimulate cryptocurrency-related US stocks, with companies involved in Bitcoin business attracting attention.
For A-shares, the digital asset and blockchain sectors may have sentiment transmission, and some concept stocks may experience fluctuations.
However, it is important to note that the cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, and there is uncertainty in regulation. Most related speculation in A-shares is driven by short-term sentiment and is difficult to sustain. Investors should be cautious and focus on digital economy chain stocks with actual business implementation and performance support, while being wary of the risks of purely conceptual speculation.

This round of market is indeed different from before. After breaking through 100,000 dollars in December last year, it has experienced fluctuations and consolidation for almost 6 months, and today it is still hovering around 105,000.
I hope that the ideal June will shine brightly, followed by a correction, and a new high at the end of the third quarter or the beginning of the fourth quarter seems to be a bit off.

Indeed, every Bitcoin bull market seems to be the same, yet different.

This round of breaking through 100,000 dollars is too early;
This round of market consolidation has lasted too long;
This round has seen little breakthrough for mainstream and altcoins;
This round of bull market is seemingly not so thrilling, exclusive to Bitcoin;
The market trigger point has yet to appear;
This round of retail market is also quite sluggish, with a crowd daily shouting 'empty, empty, empty' in the square, and there isn't much exciting substance, except for some institutions occasionally buying news;

But these 'differences' are really not the focus.
The focus is that Bitcoin is being accepted by more and more institutions and even countries.
Even if this process is not surging, it is too mild.

To be honest, I still hold great expectations for the second half of the year.
Perhaps the main characters in the market will shift from retail to institutions and countries, the methods and cycles will adjust a bit, but the outcome will remain unchanged.
You must believe that nothing can stop the penetration of Bitcoin, because this is an irreversible thing.
It's not that Bitcoin needs XXX, but rather, XXX needs Bitcoin.

Finally, let’s encourage each other: In the world of Bitcoin, if you can't understand it in the short term, extend the time to adapt, and the results will naturally become clear.

What's going on?! The U.S. job market has suddenly collapsed. The latest unemployment figures have reached the highest level since the pandemic. Has the great recession quietly arrived?
First of all, U.S. employment data has begun to plummet sharply. According to the latest data this week, the number of unemployment claims in the U.S. has exceeded expectations and risen to 248,000, the highest since the pandemic in 2021. What's more concerning is that it has been rising for four consecutive weeks, forming an upward trend. This is no joke.

And the culprit, as everyone probably knows, is the subsequent impact of Trump's tariffs, which is starting to reflect on the economic level. In the coming months, unemployment and inflation will only continue to rise, while the Federal Reserve is unable to cut interest rates and can only maintain ultra-high rates to suppress the economy. This is really not a good sign, and many retail investors are unaware of this data.
Moreover, considering that Bitcoin has already risen 60% from 70,000, there is huge potential for a pullback. A drop from 110,000 to 100,000 is just a minor correction, and we are still far from the bottom. Such a sharp short-term drop will likely lead to some small rebounds, which is actually an opportunity to escape and set up short positions.

This week's partial stone plate records
Dreams do not run away; they are just waiting for a more努力的你去追逐

There are a few things in life that must never be lost: the power of self-discipline, a calm mind, hope, and confidence.

The direction of thought is correct; shouldn't we let him hold on a little longer?

Early morning thought verification, the current mindset is on a winning streak, let's quickly keep up with Teacher Ah Hang's pace!

Morning thought verification, a shot is like a needle inserted down, has anyone followed up?

Morning Thoughts on June 13
Last night, Bitcoin initially rebounded to around 108300 before declining all the way down, reaching a low of around 105600. From a technical structure analysis on the four-hour chart, the Bollinger Bands are opening up, and Bitcoin has broken below the lower Bollinger Band. The MACD momentum is increasing, indicating that there is still room for further decline. From the one-hour chart, Bitcoin has returned to above the lower Bollinger Band, and the momentum is decreasing, so a rebound can be expected in the morning.

Trading Suggestions
Long Bitcoin around 106500 to 106800, with a target of 105500 to 104800.
Long Ethereum around 2670 to 2700, with a target of 2620 to 2580.

Analysis of Thoughts at Dawn in A Hang

On Thursday, the Bitcoin market showed a fluctuating downward trend during the day, with the price dropping from a high of 109,164 in the morning to a low of 106,539 in the evening, after which it stopped and then experienced a slight rebound, rising to a high of 107,769. The Ethereum market also continued to decline throughout the day until it rebounded after reaching a low of 2,714 in the evening, with the price peaking at 2,775 before stopping.

Based on the current market situation, the four-hour level indicates that after a round of adjustment, the market is currently in a stopping position, with the lower Bollinger Band providing strong support, and the bears have not broken through the lower band. The KDJ and RSI indicators show upward turning actions with the expectation of a golden cross. From the one-hour level, the market alternates between large bearish and bullish candles, with prices warming above the lower Bollinger Band, the KDJ indicator forms a golden cross at this level, and the MACD histogram also rises above the zero axis. Therefore, for our midnight operations, we can proceed with a low long strategy.

Buy Bitcoin near 107,000 with a target around 109,000.

Buy Ethereum near 2,720 with a target around 2,780.

Did you know? Nearly 1 billion people worldwide hold cryptocurrency assets, among which 170,000 have a net worth of over one million dollars, and 325 have become billionaires.
Their wealth is reshaping the world order, yet some still discuss: "Is cryptocurrency a Ponzi scheme?" All of this perfectly confirms that saying: "People can never earn beyond their understanding."