1️⃣ Early Bull Market: Bitcoin rises, and altcoins lag behind Bitcoin. Some individual altcoins may rise a little, while others remain stagnant, and some sectors may follow the trend of hot topics.
2️⃣ Mid Bull Market: Some strong altcoins and hot sectors may complete their bull market gains ahead of time, and the old mainstream begins to move as well.
3️⃣ Late Bull Market: This is also the stage where altcoins rise the most, leading a multitude of altcoins to reach their peak, as it is a general rise in altcoins.
In short, every round of the market is led by Bitcoin, except for the late bull market which is led by altcoins.
Why do many people always prefer to trade frequently? Essentially, it is because they are poor. They fantasize about seizing every trading opportunity. This is not a decision you make, but a habit cultivated by the market.
If ten million at 30 years old is not the same as ten million at 60, the picture drawn by value investing shows that you earn ten million in two to three decades relying on compound interest, but the problem is, you are already 60 years old, what do you need ten million for? By then, it won't even be possible. Everyone has come to this market. Everyone's original intention is to make quick money.
How many people initially came to this market not dreaming of changing their destiny?
But for retail investors, value investing is too slow. It is so slow that if they really go for long-term trading with their tens of thousands or even hundreds of thousands of capital. Even if the yield is as stable as Buffett’s annualized 10-15%, it would take 5-7 years to double that, and twenty years later your five hundred thousand would turn into two to three million. However? Moreover, how many people don't even have five hundred thousand in capital? Even if they do, can you wait? How many 5-7 years do you have in your lifetime? So retail investors are not qualified to talk about win rates; they should only have odds in their eyes, and high odds must come with low win rates. To turn things around, frequent trading is essential. Just like playing Texas Hold'em. Short stack players cannot support themselves to adopt a balanced strategy like many deep stack players. To turn things around, you must broaden your range to seek a glimmer of hope. There are only two paths here: either be continuously exploited to death slowly, or increase your entry rate to gamble. But the cost of that is you must bear high losses, which requires you to have solid skills to make up for it. Retail investors trading frequently is not something to be ashamed of! Summary: I am still too inexperienced! Opportunities are right in front of me, but I always miss them. Brothers. There are too many opportunities in the primary market. You really have to come and take a gamble in the primary market. #Bitcoin #Crypto #币安Alpha上新 #科技巨头入场稳定币
The simplest way to make money in the crypto world: I made over 50 million with this silly method. Everyone can give it a try.
The smarter people are, the easier it is for them to lose money in crypto, and this is a lesson I learned with real money.
Four years ago, I was a 'technical trader' who stayed up late to monitor the market, studying various indicators like K-line, MACD, RSI, etc. The result was that I earned and lost, earned and lost, and my account balance hardly changed, even getting liquidated a few times. Until I met an experienced trader who told me: trading cryptocurrencies should be as simple as possible.
I want to share a 'silly method' with everyone — the 343 incremental position building method. At the time, I thought it was too simple; only a fool would use it! But after trying it, the results were astonishing: in two years, my initial capital of 200,000 grew to over 50 million.
Now, I am sharing this method in full with everyone.
1️⃣ The 'silly method' that traders fear the most: the 343 incremental position building method.
Core principle: Don’t guess the ups and downs, buy according to plan.
First step: 30% initial position (test buy) ① Choose mainstream coins (like BTC, ETH, SOL, BNB). ② Use 30% of total funds for the first purchase. ③ Key point: Never go all in at once!
2️⃣ Second step: 40% additional purchase (lowering cost)
① If the coin price rises: Don’t rush to chase the high; wait for a pullback to add another 40%.
② If the coin price drops: For every 10% drop, add 10% of the funds until reaching 40%.
③ Logic: Gradually adding positions during the downturn lowers the holding cost, resulting in higher profits during the rebound.
3️⃣ Third step: 30% wrap-up (add positions after confirming the trend) ① When the coin price rebounds and stabilizes at key support levels (like the 7-day moving average), invest the last 30% of funds. ② Set a trailing stop to maximize profits.
Why is this method effective? 1️⃣ No market predictions, just follow the trend. 2️⃣ Incremental position building to avoid getting trapped all at once. 3️⃣ Lower costs during downturns, greater returns during rebounds.
Observe mainstream coins: BTC, ETH, SOL, BNB, suitable for this method. #Bitcoin #Bitcoin #usdt #看懂K线 #交易手续费揭秘 #常见交易错误
Bitcoin #BTC is rarely hot with a washout, Everyone must cherish this cheap Bitcoin, In the next three months, If you buy Bitcoin again, It might be above 160,000 USD. #usdt #Bitcoin #Crypto
Why do so many people like to trade frequently? Essentially, it's because they are poor. They fantasize about seizing every trading opportunity. This is not something you decide; it's a habit cultivated by the market.
If ten million at 30 years old and ten million at 60 years old are not the same, the picture painted by value investing shows that you have earned ten million relying on compound interest after twenty to thirty years. But the problem is, if you are already 60 years old, what do you need ten million for? By then, it won't matter anymore. Everyone has come to this market with the initial intention of making quick money.
How many people entered this market not dreaming of changing their fate?
For retail investors, value investing is too slow. So slow that if their few tens of thousands or hundreds of thousands of capital were really to engage in long-term trading, even if the return rates were as stable as Buffett's annualized 10-15%, it would still take 5-7 years to double; twenty years later, your five hundred thousand would grow to two or three million. However, how many people even have five hundred thousand in capital? Stepping back, even if they do, can you afford to wait? How many 5-7 year periods do you have in your life? Therefore, retail investors are not qualified to talk about win rates; they should only focus on odds, and high-odds opportunities are necessarily low-win-rate situations. To turn things around, frequent trading is inevitable. It’s like playing Texas Hold'em. Short stack players cannot support themselves to adopt balanced strategies like many deep stack players. To turn things around, you must broaden your range to seek a glimmer of hope. There are only two paths here. Either be continuously exploited and face chronic death, or increase your entry rate to gamble. But the cost is that you must bear high losses, which requires solid skills in recovering from losses to make up for it. Frequent trading by retail investors is not something to be ashamed of! Summary: I am still too inexperienced! Opportunities are right in front of me, but I keep missing them. Brothers, there are too many opportunities in the primary market. You really have to come to the primary market and take a gamble. #Bitcoin #Crypto #Metaplanet拟筹资增持比特币
Trading cryptocurrencies is not about D speculation, but rather the monetization of understanding
1️⃣ Small funds should learn to 'wait' rather than 'fully invest' With a principal of 200,000, capturing a 30% increase in mainstream coins 2-3 times is enough. In a bull market, the biggest fear is not missing out, but rather being fully invested and stuck. Only those who dare to hold cash are the true hunters.
2️⃣ First practice 'not losing', then learn 'earning' The most expensive phrase in the crypto world: 'I feel this time is different.' One can only earn money within their understanding. First, practice with a simulated account, stabilize your mindset, and then move to a real account. Remember: losing once in a real account might mean there won't be a next time.
3️⃣ Good news = bad news? Beware of 'information traps' On the day significant good news is announced, if the coin price has already surged, a high opening the next day is often a selling point. The market makers understand better how to cut losses with good news than you do.
4️⃣ One thing to do before a holiday Statistically, over the past 5 years, the probability of a decline in the week before a holiday is over 70%. Either reduce your holdings or go into cash for the holiday; don’t go against the trend.
5️⃣ The core of mid-to-long term strategy: always leave some bullets Don’t exhaust your chips all at once. Sell in batches when prices rise, buy in batches when prices fall; cash flow is your moat.
6️⃣ For short-term trading, just look at two words: momentum A sudden increase in trading volume + breaking through resistance levels means to follow up immediately; if it’s in a sideways trend with decreasing volume, it’s better to miss out than to make a wrong move.
7️⃣ Is a sharp drop actually an opportunity? A slow decline indicates no one is picking up the shares, and it may continue to fall; however, a sharp drop with increased volume is often the last hit, and a rebound is right around the corner.
8️⃣ 90% of people fail at this point 'Just wait a bit longer and I’ll break even' is the biggest illusion. Cut losses quickly and let profits run slowly; losing 50% of your capital means you need to gain 100% to break even—are you sure you can do that?
9️⃣ Short-term trading tool: 15-minute KDJ Buy on a golden cross, sell on a death cross, and filter out false signals with trading volume. Suitable for those who don’t have time to watch the market closely.
🔟 Ultimate advice: less is more Mastering 3-5 ways to make money is enough. There are thousands of technical indicators, but often only one or two can lead to stable profits.
Why can some people turn 200,000 into 1,000,000 in just three months? The key is not in the technique but in the secret of position management.
In the crypto world, the most ruthless factor is not the market, but every opportunity you missed. #usdt #Crypto #比特币 #美国加征关税 #Circle扩大IPO规模
In this lifetime, a person only needs to do three major things. The first thing is to study how to make money; money can solve 90% of problems in life, and the remaining 10% can be alleviated with money. The second thing is to study human nature; as long as you see through human nature, you can stand undefeated in the trading system. The third thing is to take care of your body; do not exchange health for external possessions. People in the crypto circle are extraordinary. #币圈 #币安钱包TGE $BTC #美国初请失业金人数
Reminder to new friends on Binance: Be cautious of altcoins, don't wait until they go to zero. Exchanges will delist dozens of altcoins every year, and once delisted, they are basically sentenced to death. This year, there are new plays with altcoins, led by Trump, and there may be many celebrity altcoins. Many of the previous altcoins may have really become coins among altcoins, originally just second-tier exchanges, making it difficult to achieve 10x or 100x returns. In the secondary market of exchanges, there is just one play with altcoins, using Trump Coin for grid trading, and the profits from grid trading are used to stock up, because Trump Coin is safe, at least no exchange dares to easily delist Trump Coin. If Trump Coin falls, which altcoin on the exchange won't fall? $TRUMP
I know a wealthy man who is financially free. He has absolute wealth, but he always stays at home reading books, never travels, and rarely attends parties or enjoys food.
I asked him why he did this, and he explained:
"In the real world, there are not many opportunities to meet smart people. Most people are ordinary people and have no unique insights. But books are different. They are full of sparks of wisdom. Today I can communicate with Confucius, Mencius, Li Bai, and Su Dongpo, and tomorrow I can understand the thoughts of Roosevelt, Churchill, Socrates, and Plato, and I can also study the achievements of Newton and Maxwell, as well as the philosophy of Erich Descartes.
Which stage is the market in the cryptocurrency market in? What do you think?
1️⃣If we distinguish between bull and bear markets, we should now be in the middle of the fourth cryptocurrency bull market. A 4-year cycle, a 3-year bear market, and a 1-year bull market. In a 1-year bull market, the first 8 months are basically a slow wash-out decline, the next 2 months are a surge, and the last 2 months are a peak.
2️⃣Strictly speaking, the bull market started in December 23. So now the bull market is interrupted. There are about 6 months left in the bull market. The real outbreak period has not yet come. The outbreak period should be like this in October. It will end around May 2025.
3️⃣Of course, this is not true. This is just my opinion based on history. It cannot be counted. I don’t know if it is right or not. But the law of the past cycle is like this. The cryptocurrency market will not rise or fall all the time. This market is developing very quickly.
4️⃣It must rise rapidly to finally catch up with the market value of gold. So it is a 4-year cycle and the real outbreak is completed in 3-4 months, that is to say, you wait for 4 years just to wait for those 3-4 months. If you miss 3-4 months, your profit will be gone and you may even lose money.
5️⃣ The currency circle must also have the potential to fall sharply to eliminate scams, junk projects and speculators. The most important thing about the currency circle is efficiency. It was born to change the efficiency of finance, so it must eliminate junk projects. When the bear market starts, except for BTC ETH, you can't hold it, and you shouldn't keep the others. There may be only two targets that really cross the cycle, one is BTC and the other is ETH. The others may just be runners.
6️⃣ Wait patiently for the arrival of the violent bull market. Now just do nothing. It's the best. If you have configured it with me on August 5, you must have confidence in your position. Fine-tuning is okay, but try not to move the large position. Please wait patiently for the arrival of the bull market! #Ethereum#CoinCircleTrend#Bitcoin#特朗普拜登 #美国CPI数据即将公布
Friends can test the safe shorting method on the right side, the winning rate is close to 90%! ! Step 1: First, BTC rises to a high point! ! Step 2: Patiently wait for the altcoin you want to short to rise to a high point (very important, it is best not to short if there is no high point, which means that there are too few retail investors and the market is highly controlled!!! Step 3: BTC began to fall. At this time, you can build a cottage of the cottage. If the BTC stops and rebounds, you can choose the fourth step: BTC continues to fall to determine that it is in a downward trend. If you are a few times, you can master the skills. In the long run, 80%of the cottage is declining. Do n’t be greedy. Do n’t have a lot of positions. Remember to stop profit! Calm and rational, deal with market changes with stable strategies!
Note⚠️《98% of altcoins can never return to their highs》Do you believe it?
1️⃣In the crypto market, after the trend turns from rising to falling, it often takes longer and deeper than expected to recover.
2️⃣It is a common mistake to buy the bottom too early when the market turns from rising to falling. When market sentiment is low, people leave the market and question the future of cryptocurrencies, it is often the best time to buy in the next cycle.
3️⃣It is expected that only a few currencies may hit new highs in the fourth quarter of 2024 or the first quarter of 2025, and most altcoins will find it difficult to return to their historical highs.
4️⃣Bitcoin is transitioning to a super-cyclical asset, retaining the characteristics of the previous cycle, while becoming more and more like a mature macro asset.
5️⃣Key points⚠️Therefore, when falling, you should focus on mainstream coins: $BTC, $ETH, $BNB, $SOL, $TON. The altcoins can be used as secondary warehouses. Recently, you can pay attention to: $bome, $pepe, floki.$people, ido, $ens.#Bitcoin#Bitcoin market#BTC#比特币行情走势分析 #币安7周年 #美国6月非农数据高于预期 #德国政府转移比特币 #
I just had a chat with a big cryptocurrency trader. He said that he entered the cryptocurrency circle with 400,000 yuan, and his losses once left him with only 80,000 yuan. Now his assets are tens of millions. What helped him change his fate was to persist in learning and improve his cognition. He also summarized 5 experiences, which are full of gold content. I hope that friends who read them will be inspired! ! ! ! 1. Don’t rush to stop loss in the early morning market. It is usually an overreaction to the negative news the night before. You can wait for the market to repair and reverse. Don’t blindly chase the rise at the end of the day. Some main players like to test the market and lure more. The next day, they open low to suppress and absorb funds. 2. Make good use of the practical technology of trading volume. The volume can show the future market trend. The continuous rise in shrinking volume shows that the main force has strong control over the market. The decline in shrinking volume indicates that the panic market has not come out and the freezing point has not been reached, so it will continue to fall. 3. Learn to see the top structure of the sector. Usually, the sector market is formed by five waves. The first wave hits the follow-up market, the second wave washes the market and adjusts. The third wave is the main rising wave, the fourth wave is complex and divergent, and the fifth wave lifts and pulls the shipment. In this process, the third wave has the largest increase, the first wave is second, and the fifth wave is the lowest. But the market is ever-changing, and there may be many cases that do not have the fifth wave. You can't memorize it by rote. After discovering that the leader of the sector is stagnant, the previous strength will no longer be continued during the rebound market. It is likely to reach the top.
4. Every time the top of the big cake is accelerated, you will see a certain sector copycat surge, which will trigger a reversal of the big cake. Just look at whether the performance of the major leaders has stopped falling and risen, and the index will also rise later.
5. It is easy to get started with concentration, especially for new friends who have just entered the market. Studying a way of playing and mastering the skills will gain more than learning eighteen martial arts at the same time. Greed will lose, and it is easy to be taught a lesson by the market if you are not good at learning. Don't switch modes at will, calm down and learn, you will gradually get better, and after achieving stable profits, you can learn more skills to integrate them. Therefore, as an investor, while pursuing high returns, you must carefully assess risks and invest rationally Follow me on the homepage, and I will share bull market layout strategies for free every day! #美国6月非农数据高于预期 #德国政府转移比特币 #Mt.Gox将启动偿还计划 #美联储何时降息?
Why didn't you make money in the cryptocurrency circle? See how many of these you have encountered 1️⃣ No layout when the market fell; 2️⃣ Even if you have a layout, you don't hold it, and you get off the bus as soon as the dealer washes it; 3️⃣ The chips are too scattered; 4️⃣ Frequently get on and off the bus, constantly changing positions, chasing ups and downs, and finally missed the bull market; 5️⃣ Chasing up in the bull market, and holding a large position with a full position, a big correction will cause you to cut your losses and leave the market; 6️⃣ I don't know when the bull market is coming, I dare not hold a heavy position, and I don't know when the bull market is gone, I still hold a heavy position or continue to increase my position. #Non-agricultural employment data will be released soon#Theannual rate of increase in the US core PCE price index in May hit a new low since March 2021#ASItoken merger plan#memesector focus on hot spots
BTC is coming, very big! ! In 20 years, Bitcoin went from 3800 to 65000, and then adjusted back to 28000, which is also near the golden section of 0.618 From 23 to 24, Bitcoin went from 15500 to 74000. Now it has started to adjust back on a weekly basis, and is expected to be around 38000, which is also the golden section of 0.618. Next, the second bull market will start quickly, and it will be around 98000 History will not repeat itself, but it will be surprisingly similar! !
As an investor, while pursuing high returns, be sure to carefully assess risks and invest rationally. Follow me on the homepage, and I will share the bull market layout strategy for free every day!
The stupidest leeks in the cryptocurrency circle: When playing NFT, some idiots talk about art, pictures, and aesthetics. When playing step, some idiots talk about fitness and social interaction. When playing the metaverse, some idiots talk about virtual social interaction and the future. You are obviously just a gambler, but you insist on flattering yourself. After losing all your money, you don’t even talk about art and aesthetics. There will be more and more such idiots in the next six months. It’s a good thing to have more idiots!!! Otherwise, whose money will you make.
Let me tell you some tips on investing. ⚠️⚠️Today is the first day of July. I have been asking you to build positions in batches for the past ten days or so. This is so comfortable. July is a season of harvest. This first day starts off particularly well!
1️⃣In the investment journey, just like in other aspects of life, you need to show enough courage in the bull market and maintain sufficient patience in the bear market. Success is not achieved overnight, but requires a deep understanding of the market and a mature mentality.
2️⃣The bull market is a time for investors to show their courage. They need to dare to seize opportunities, invest boldly, and realize asset appreciation. However, the bear market tests investors' patience and requires us to remain calm and wait for the right time, rather than blindly following the trend or panic selling.
3️⃣True investment wisdom often goes beyond the scope of technical charts. It comes from our life experience and the ability to maintain a calm mind in market fluctuations. Investors should learn to find wisdom beyond the charts and improve their investment capabilities through continuous learning and practice.
4️⃣Setting realistic and feasible goals is the key to investment success. Don't expect to get rich overnight, but start with small goals, such as earning 1 million or 5 million first. This is similar to the process of pursuing love, which requires step-by-step, gradually building trust and understanding, and then moving towards a deeper relationship.
5️⃣ In investment, it is crucial to avoid a mentality of quick success and instant benefits. Just as in interpersonal relationships, making excessive demands directly often destroys relationships, investment also requires time and patience to cultivate. Investors should learn to move forward steadily in the market and gradually achieve financial goals.
6️⃣ Whether it is love or investment, you need to have the right mentality and strategy. Through continuous learning and practice, we can succeed in all aspects of life. Let us be patient and wise on the road of investment and gradually realize our dreams. #非农就业数据即将公布 #币安合约锦标赛 #ASI代币合并计划 #美国5月核心PCE物价指数年率增幅创2021年3月以来新低 #Mt.Gox将启动偿还计划
Brothers, don't lose heart! The trend of this circle still exists, we must seize it! We must learn to lay out.
When the environment is not good, we need to improve our cognitive level and use wisdom and courage to discover hidden treasures. The financial market is always turbulent and unpredictable. When you feel that the future is bleak, it may be the darkness before dawn. When most people lose their way and choose to give up, it is the best time for you to face the difficulties and stand out!
In the previous bull market, as long as you know how to buy and hold, it will be fine. However, in this round of bull market, funds switch faster, and you need to know how to sell altcoins to ensure that you can put your money in the bag. Selling makes money forever, don't pursue the pattern too much, so as not to spit back all the profits in the bear market.
After this wave of reshuffle is completed, the rise of altcoins will appear again, but it will not be as comprehensive as in the past. Good targets may have dozens of times of room for growth, while bad targets are likely to not outperform the market. The importance of choosing a good target has increased. If you choose the wrong one, you must dare to change your position and not be dragged down by sunk costs. #美国5月核心PCE物价指数年率增幅创2021年3月以来新低 #MiCA #Mt.Gox将启动偿还计划 #VanEck提交首个SolanaETF