赵公子论势

6.9 Midnight Market Analysis:

Bitcoin increased from around 105300 in the afternoon to 108000 in the evening, currently oscillating around 107600.

Ethereum increased from around 2478 in the afternoon to 2548 in the evening, currently oscillating around 2530.

From the current four-hour structure, Bitcoin's increase is gradually showing a decline, with attention on the upper range of 108500-108800 and the lower range of around 105600. The second line to watch is around 103800. From the one-hour structure, Bitcoin's one-hour increase has touched the upper boundary and is under pressure, with attention on the lower range of around 106100 and the second line at around 104600.

Midnight Trading Suggestions:

Bitcoin rebound near 108300-108800, looking towards 106800-106300.

Ethereum rebound near 2555-2575, looking towards 2505-2485.

Evening arrangements follow the trend, and the pancake is expected to rise to around 108000.

US stock market opens, Dow Jones rises 0.02%, S&P 500 index rises 0.12%, Nasdaq rises 0.22%. Tesla (TSLA.O) opens down 3%, as the company has had its ratings downgraded by multiple investment banks, with a cumulative decline of nearly 15% last week; the first stablecoin stock Circle (CRCL.K) continues last week's upward trend, rising over 22%; VinFast (VFS.O) rises nearly 10%, as the company plans to at least double its global vehicle deliveries this year.

From giant whales to ants, how did the legendary on-chain trader James Wynn fall? The facts tell us:

No one expected that within just two weeks, the once legendary trader and crypto whale James Wynn, who had opened positions worth over $1 billion, would fall into a situation of total loss, only able to open ant-sized positions of a few hundred dollars. Previously, he had written a long confession, painfully detailing how he went from 'making $100 million' to losing everything, using himself as a cautionary tale to reveal the horror of 'greed' to the market.

In this article, Odaily Planet Daily will delve into James Wynn's recent operations and statements to explore his story and investigate the suspicion behind whether 'James Wynn is a white glove for the Hyperliquid platform.'

Incalculable greed brought about the downfall of James's 'on-chain life.'
On the early morning of June 6, James Wynn's long positions were once again liquidated, resulting in a loss of 155.38 bitcoins, valued at approximately $16.14 million at the time. On-chain data shows that this liquidation occurred during a sharp drop in the BTC-USDT contract price, with a liquidation price of about $103,981. This round of liquidations may be related to extreme short-term market volatility.

Conclusion: A thought can lead to heaven or hell; remember to recover your capital when profiting, and avoid high-frequency trading.
Looking back at James Wynn's tumultuous month, from being unnoticed, to calling out the Meme coin moonpig with a market cap exceeding 100 million, to significant long position profits, and then chasing highs and lows, ending up with nothing, it truly can be regarded as a 'crypto drama.' As for the future, it seems very difficult for him to make a comeback.

In the midst of James's thoughts of heaven and hell, Bitcoin first broke new highs, then recently fell to around $100,000.

Perhaps James Wynn is using his personal experience to tell us an unbreakable truth about the crypto market: remember to recover your capital when profiting, and avoid high-frequency trading.

6.9 Monday Evening Market Analysis：

Bitcoin fell to around 105200 after dropping to around 105900 during the day, then rebounded to around 107400 and oscillated.

Ethereum dropped to around 2478 after falling to around 2510 during the day, then rebounded to around 2540 and oscillated.

From the daily K-line structure, Bitcoin's head has seen a reduction in volume and is gradually breaking through the upper track, forming an upward crossover. The upper level to watch is around 108500. From the current four-hour structure, Bitcoin's head has increased in volume and is approaching the upper track under pressure, while the lower level to watch is around 105200, with a secondary level at around 103500. From the hourly structure, Bitcoin's head has broken through the upper track with increased volume.

Evening operation suggestions：

Bitcoin's head can look towards around 108000-108500,

Conversely, one can set a limit to look towards around 105800-105500,

Ethereum's head can look towards around 2550-2585,

Conversely, one can set a limit to look towards around 2505-2485.

One can first look at the head and then the track, and it is recommended to strictly manage risks and defend, profiting within the range oscillation to secure gains.

6.9 Monday Heat Clearing Analysis:

The daytime market on Monday overall experienced slight fluctuations within a range. The major cryptocurrency dropped from around 106500 in the early morning to 105200 before oscillating.

The upper clearing dense area for the major cryptocurrency is around 106300-107300. Strong clearing is near 108500, while the dense area below is around 105000-104000. Strong clearing is near 103000.

Ethereum dropped from around 2548 in the early morning to oscillate around 2478.

The upper clearing dense area for Ethereum is around 2515-2560, with strong clearing above 2585. The lower clearing area is around 2475-2455, with strong clearing below 2430.

From the clearing hotspots and map, I personally believe:
There is still selling pressure above, and there is some short-term buying volume.

For the major cryptocurrency, short-term buying can target around 104500-104000.

Conversely, for the major cryptocurrency, a short position can be placed around 103800-103300, with an upper target around 106000-106500.

For Ethereum, a short position can target around 2470-2450.

For Ethereum, a long position can be placed around 2450-2430, with an upper target around 2500-2535.

Strict trading plan, strict control of stops. Real-time market, treated rigorously; personal suggestions are for reference only. Profit and loss are self-responsible; Mr. Zhao will unlock the code to wealth for you!

Explosive Inventory:

In the last 24 hours, the entire network has experienced an explosive inventory of 104 million, with a relatively balanced situation. The weekend market is under pressure, and there was a decline in the early morning.

Short-term Band Range

If the market goes up, Bitcoin is expected to be above 106500-107300, and Ethereum is expected to be above 2555-2585.

If the market goes down, Bitcoin is expected to be below 104500-104000, and Ethereum below 2475-2435.

The market mainly oscillates within a wide range, it is recommended to sell high and buy low, with strict risk control in trading.

Federal Reserve's Harker: Amid uncertainty, there remains a possibility of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve later this year.

Federal Reserve's Musalem: The possibility of a sustained inflation outbreak due to the trade war is 50%. Tariffs may drive up inflation within one or two quarters.

According to CME's 'FedWatch': The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in June is 99.9%, and the probability of a 25 basis point cut is 0.1%. The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in July is 83.4%, and the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point cut is 16.5%.

Stock Market: The three major U.S. stock indexes opened high and rose, with the Dow Jones closing up 1.05%, the S&P 500 index closing up 1.03% (breaking the 6000-point mark for the first time since February 21), and the Nasdaq closing up 1.2%. The A-shares continued to show a fluctuating and divergent pattern, with the Shanghai index closing up 0.04%, the Shenzhen Component index closing down 0.19%, and the ChiNext index closing down 0.45%.

A new week, a new beginning, new hopes. The excitement of the week starts from this moment of effort, making every day full of hope and motivation.

The overall market during the weekend maintained a fluctuating range, gradually moving upward, with moving averages also gradually increasing. There is still pressure around 106600 above, and the overall oscillation range during the weekend is around 1038-1055-106500. The weekend also rose as expected to around 106500 before retreating under pressure, while it rose as expected to around 2548 before falling back to stop the flow.

New challenges, new beginnings, every day is a new start, don't let yesterday's regrets affect today's excitement. Every day that does not dance is a betrayal of life.

6.9 Monday Morning Market Analysis:

Bitcoin rose to around 103800 over the weekend, then to around 105800 before retreating to 104900 and bouncing back to around 106500. It is currently retreating to around 105500 and fluctuating.

Ethereum rose to around 2455 over the weekend, then to around 2544 before retreating to around 2488 and bouncing back to around 2548. It is currently retreating to around 2500 and fluctuating.

From the current daily candle structure, Bitcoin's volume is decreasing and forming a doji. The upper resistance is still around 106600, while the lower support is around 102000. From the four-hour structure, Bitcoin's volume is gradually decreasing, with lower support at 104500 and upper resistance around 107300. From the one-hour structure, Bitcoin's short positions are gradually forming a downward crossover, with lower support around 105000.

Morning trading advice:

Bitcoin's rebound is in the range of 106000-106500, looking towards 104500-104000 is sufficient,

Ethereum's rebound is in the range of 2530-2555, looking towards 2475-2455 is sufficient.

#加密市场回调

Doughhead rises as scheduled to fulfill

🔥This Week's Market Review: Although it has become history, is it also a new beginning?🔥🔥🔥

The US dollar index experienced overall fluctuations this week, continuing to be affected by Trump's tariff policies and the progress of negotiations. On Wednesday, as weak US economic data raised expectations for interest rate cuts, the dollar index fell below the 99 mark, returning to a six-week low. On Thursday, the first call between China and the US boosted market sentiment, leading to a rebound in the dollar index. After the non-farm payroll data on Friday, the dollar index returned above that mark, closing the week at 99.22, down 0.23%.

Spot gold overall rose this week, primarily boosted by the weakening dollar and increased trade and geopolitical risks. The most exciting market action occurred on Thursday when gold prices experienced a roller coaster, briefly hitting the 3400 USD/ounce mark before sharply declining and giving back all intraday gains. On Friday, the downward trend continued, closing the week at 3311.68 USD/ounce, up 0.67%.

In addition, the precious metals market recently experienced a collective rise, with silver, platinum, and palladium prices all performing strongly. Silver rose to a 13-year high on Thursday, breaking the 36 USD per ounce mark for the first time since February 2012, and platinum also reached its highest level since 2022.

In terms of non-US currencies, as the dollar weakened, the euro, pound, Australian dollar, and Canadian dollar all recorded declines against the US dollar this week. The dollar against the yen closed up for the second consecutive week, but this week marked its least volatile week in nearly ten weeks. The recent rise in Japan's long-term government bond yields highlights the need for the Bank of Japan to cautiously tighten its policies.

On Wednesday, reports indicated that Saudi Arabia intends to push OPEC+ to continue significantly increasing production, leading to a sharp drop in oil prices during the session. On Friday in the US market, both oil prices suddenly surged, with WTI crude oil rising over 2.00% intraday.

The US stock market closed at its highest level since February this week, with the Dow Jones rising 1.17%, the S&P 500 index rising 1.5%, and for the first time since February 21, it stood above the 6000-point mark, while the Nasdaq rose 2.18%.

In terms of individual stocks, Tesla (TSLA.O) fell 14.26% on Thursday, losing a trillion dollars in market value overnight. Since hitting a high of 367.71 USD on May 29, its stock price has fallen over 20%, with a slight rebound on Friday, closing below 300 USD. "The first stock of stablecoins" Circle went public on the NYSE, with "Cathie Wood" buying nearly 4.5 million shares. On its first day of trading, the stock price increased by more than 2 times at one point, rising for two consecutive days, with a market value of 23.968 billion USD.

#财经解读

Ethereum holders surpass 148 million, with staking and ETF inflows fueling long-term optimism.

Ethereum recently reached a significant adoption milestone, with the number of holders exceeding 148.38 million, the highest among all crypto assets. This growth reflects Ethereum's strong position in the digital asset space and sustained user interest. Meanwhile, Ethereum's monthly staking inflows have hit a record high, indicating that long-term holders are confident in its future performance. Staking not only reduces circulating supply but also enhances network security and stability, helping to alleviate selling pressure in the short term and drive prices upward. The Ethereum ETF listed in the U.S. has also seen net inflows for 16 consecutive days, with institutional investors optimistic about Ethereum's long-term prospects. Although the price of Ethereum has fluctuated in the short term and market sentiment remains cautious, analysts believe that Ethereum is holding strong at the $2300 support level, and if the trend continues, prices could rebound to $3000. Overall, the growth in the number of Ethereum holders, increased staking inflows, and ETF capital inflows collectively create a bullish long-term outlook. Despite short-term risks still present, Ethereum is expected to become the most promising long-term crypto asset.

Based on the current media reports, Apple will unveil a major overhaul of the IOS system, AirPods real-time translation feature, and new dedicated gaming applications next week. However, Apple may not release new hardware products at WWDC this year.

Overview of important overseas economic events next week (Beijing time):

Monday (June 9): Japan's April trade balance, U.S. May New York Fed 1-year inflation expectations, U.S. April wholesale sales monthly rate

Tuesday (June 10): Apple Inc. will hold the Worldwide Developers Conference (WWDC) at Apple Park, UK May unemployment data, U.S. May NFIB small business optimism index

Wednesday (June 11): U.S. May CPI data, EIA releases monthly short-term energy outlook report, U.S. 3-year Treasury auction as of June 10

Thursday (June 12): U.S. May PPI, UK April industrial output monthly rate, U.S. 10-year Treasury auction as of June 11

Friday (June 13): Eurozone April adjusted trade balance, U.S. June one-year inflation expectations preliminary value, U.S. June University of Michigan consumer confidence index preliminary value, U.S. 30-year Treasury auction as of June 12

🔥🔥🔥Global Highlights Next Week: The U.S. May CPI is Coming, Apple's WWDC Conference is in the Spotlight.

June 8th News: This week, the three major U.S. stock indices all recorded gains, with the S&P 500 index rising a total of 1.5%, the Nasdaq up 2.18%, and the Dow Jones up 1.17%.

The recent rebound in U.S. stocks has pushed major indices close to historical highs, with the S&P 500 index returning above 6000 points on Friday for the first time since late February, just 2.3% away from the historical highest closing level set in February.

Next week’s upcoming economic data and the progress of trade and fiscal policies will test whether the stock market can move higher in the short term.

“I still believe the overall market tone is cautious,” said Jim Baird, Chief Investment Officer at Plante Moran Financial Advisors. “Although we have rebounded from the lows, I think the market is still waiting for clearer signals.”

Some uncertainty comes from how the U.S. economy will respond to the changing trade situation. The U.S. May Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, scheduled for release next Wednesday, may provide clues for assessing the impact of tariffs, especially against the backdrop of investors remaining vigilant about a rebound in inflation.

The May CPI report will be one of the last key pieces of data before the Federal Reserve’s June interest rate meeting. The market generally expects the Fed to keep interest rates unchanged at this meeting, but traders have begun betting on two 25 basis point rate cuts in the second half of the year.

So far this year, the S&P 500 index has risen by 2%. Since the U.S. stock market hit a low point on April 8 due to tariff concerns, the index has rebounded by over 20%.

Investors are also closely monitoring the “Big and Beautiful” bill pushed by Trump, which is currently under review in the Senate.

Wall Street is assessing how much stimulus this legislation will provide to economic growth, but at the same time, there are concerns that the bill will further widen the U.S. fiscal deficit. In recent weeks, U.S. fiscal sustainability has become one of the core focal points of the market.

The U.S. Treasury will hold a bond auction next week, with $58 billion in 3-year bonds to be auctioned on Tuesday; $39 billion in 10-year bonds on Wednesday; and $22 billion in 30-year bonds on Thursday.

Another major highlight next week is Apple's annual developer conference (WWDC 2025), which will kick off next Monday at 1 PM Eastern Time.

XRP price is expected to突破 5 USD in 2025, UnilabsAI fund becomes a new investment hotspot

Three main reasons for XRP price potentially breaking 5 USD in 2025: Global recognition increase (such as Ripple obtaining approval for RLUSD stablecoin in Dubai), Nasdaq-listed company VivoPower planning to invest 100 million USD to purchase XRP, and Webus International proposing a new 300 million USD plan based on XRP. In addition, the article introduces Unilabs Finance, an AI-managed multi-fund model, managing assets of 30 million USD, focusing on AI, Bitcoin, real-world assets, and cryptocurrency mining. Unilabs uses advanced AI tools like EASS and Memecoin Identification Tool to help investors discover early potential coins, attracting many XRP holders to switch. Unilabs' token UNIL is currently in the early presale stage, with a low price, offering staking rewards and dividends, and has significant growth potential. The article summarizes that XRP has solid fundamentals and application scenarios, with a reasonable price target, but smart investors will also pay attention to Unilabs to diversify risks, as the latter may become a dark horse in 2025. This article contains information related to CoinWorld. $XRP

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6.8 Weekend Heat Liquidation Market Analysis:

The pleasant weekend is gradually coming to an end. Over the weekend, Bitcoin rose from 103800 to 105800, maintaining a small range of consolidation and fluctuation.

The upper liquidation dense zone is around 106000-107000. Strong liquidation is near 108000, while the lower dense zone is around 104800-103000.

Ethereum rose from around 2455 to around 2545 over the weekend, maintaining fluctuations above 2500.

The upper liquidation dense zone is around 2525-2565, with strong liquidation near 2590-2625. The lower liquidation zone is around 2500-2465, with strong liquidation near 2450-2400.

From the liquidation hotspots and map, I personally believe:
There is still selling pressure above, and there is some short-term volatility in the market.

For short-term Bitcoin positions, look towards 106500-107000.

Conversely, for Bitcoin, set up short positions around 106500-107000 and look down towards 104500-104000.

For short-term Ethereum positions, look towards 2530-2565.

For Ethereum, set up short positions around 2535-2565 and look down towards 2500-2465.

Strict trading plans, strict risk control. Real-time market data should be treated rigorously; personal suggestions are for reference only, and risks and profits are your own responsibility. Zhao Gongzi will decode the wealth password for you!

Ethereum (ETH) has been in a consolidation range since May 10, lacking upward breakout momentum. Influenced by external volatility triggered by the dispute between Trump and Musk, ETH once dropped to a low of $2300. Crypto analysts point out that Ethereum's MVRV Z-Score is currently at 1.21, continuously losing momentum and failing to rebound to the critical level of 1.90, indicating weakening buyer interest and increasing selling pressure. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has dropped from 61 to 46, further demonstrating weak buying activity. The buy-sell ratio of Ethereum has declined for two consecutive days, with sellers in control and market sentiment weak. If MVRV fails to rebound to 1.90, a broad rebound or altcoin season may be difficult to achieve. If MVRV stays above 1.03, ETH could retest $2700, but a full breakout requires MVRV to rise above 1.90. Historical data shows that bull market peaks typically range between 2.9 and 3.4, and currently, ETH is still undervalued.