圆头猫爹

$ETH Someone asked me to talk about Ethereum. In fact, Ethereum is now quite similar to Bitcoin last October. The bottom has built up enough momentum for a stretch, and currently, it looks very stable, with no medium to long-term short signals. 4300 is definitely not the peak for this stage; after breaking through 4000, we can say there is no pressure ahead. Absolutely do not short, and the swing trades have been withdrawn. If the upward momentum is maintained, hitting 5000 is not a problem, and it might even reach 6000. Why do I say this? After Bitcoin broke 80k, it had no resistance and soared to 110k. Now it’s the same, after some sideways movement, it makes you think it’s about to drop, but then it just skyrockets, trapping you. Last year was the same, how many people got trapped when Bitcoin was over 80k, with liquidations and those forced to sell at a loss. It is generally believed that after breaking resistance and stabilizing, the original resistance level becomes a support level. Now let’s see, after breaking 4000, did it stabilize? Then a bunch of people rushed to short. Now it has shot up to 4200 and is consolidating, unable to drop. This is already giving those who are trapped a chance. Let’s not even talk about 5000; in a couple of days it might rise to 4500, and I guarantee the market will be in an uproar.

$DOGE I can responsibly say that 0.25 is absolutely achievable; it’s just a matter of whether it can hold steady. If it can’t hold, it will come down for a retracement before continuing to rise. Looking at the long term, the bullish outlook is absolutely correct. Do you think Dogecoin is some kind of worthless air coin? The market cap is right here; do you think whales will agree to let it drop to 0.1 or 0.08? Coins like Dogecoin, which aren't as strong as Ethereum, often need a positive news catalyst to take off. Currently, there seems to be a potential positive development, which is that Dogecoin supports consumption on platform X. Although it hasn't been finalized, there's about a 70-80% chance of it happening. Do you know what that means? Oh, you might think that there’s nothing to consume on platform X. However, this means that Dogecoin has practical trading functions, and liquidity will significantly increase, which means more funds will enter the market.

$DOGE Did I mention a few days ago that 0.23 has arrived? You can check my post and see for yourself what the price of doge was on the 4th. Don't say I'm just stating the obvious.
I haven't posted much these days. One reason is that I'm preparing for the third driving test, and fortunately, I passed it on the first try. The other reason is that on the 5th, I was frequently placing orders and lost a lot of trades, which affected my emotions. I decided to hold onto one doge position and then deleted the trading software, letting AI send me price alerts. Frequent trading is a major reason for losses.
Now, looking at doge, the highest point was 0.246, and it failed to break through 0.255 in one go, so there are two possibilities: ① a consolidation between 0.246-0.225 before breaking through 0.255 ② a straight drop to 0.21 on the daily chart followed by a V-shaped recovery.
Probability of ① is 80%, and probability of ② is 20%.
Those who are shorting and think it will drop to 0.18 or 0.16 can exit now.
If 0.255 stabilizes, it would be best to hold above 0.260. The next target is 0.273, and if it breaks through 0.273, reaching 0.335 within the year is inevitable. But right now, I'm worried that after hitting 0.27, the whales will take profits and exit, which could lead to a deep correction (retesting 0.173).
It’s worth mentioning that there are currently no signals for medium to long-term short positions. If you want to make money, remember to only take trend positions. Don’t always think, 'Oh, it has risen so much, it must be time to drop.' What goes up can come down, and that kind of thinking is just your own imagination, okay? The indicators provide you with hints, and at least 80% of the time, they are correct. If you rely on your own feelings to trade, 99% of the time you will be wrong, and the remaining 1% is just luck. While indicators can be manipulated, they still reflect the real market situation.

$DOGE

The 1-hour line continues to rise along the upper Bollinger Band, with the upper and lower bands diverging increasingly. The RSI index has reached 60, and the MACD formed a golden cross well above the zero line, driving the underwater golden cross on the 4-hour chart. The trend seems poised to break above the zero line soon, indicating strong upward momentum in the short term. At the same time, we can see the KDJ golden cross forming on the daily line, and the MACD DIF line has not been able to break below the zero line, suggesting that bearish momentum is gradually weakening. If the DIF does not break below the zero line in the next few days and reverses from there, an upward trend can be established with 80% certainty. You can just open the Bollinger Bands and look at the 15-minute and 1-hour Bollinger Bands; without the presence of strong institutions, this shape, with both upper and lower bands presenting an upward elliptical shape, generally indicates an upward movement + consolidation + upward movement. Coming out from the 15-minute, we can look at the 1-hour, which also needs to come out.
But why do I say the maximum is only 80% instead of 100%? Because the Bollinger Bands on the 4-hour and daily lines are basically parallel, indicating that the medium to long-term trend has not yet developed and is still in a phase of potential change. A few days ago, I looked at my prediction for opening positions, with prices around 0.195-0.197. I suggested a stop-loss at break-even, or half at 0.2. If you’re holding for the long term, keeping the liquidation price below 0.13 should be fine when viewed on a monthly basis.

$DOGE Some people don't believe... then you can short it at the current price, anyway, it's quite cost-effective.

$MAGIC Until I saw the transaction amount and transaction volume, I realized I had messed up 😫😫😫😫😫

$MAGIC as soon as it's empty, the stock rises, the player is too strong 😭

$DOGE must reverse within three to four days, target 0.22-0.23

$DOGE no need to look at it xd the line drawn randomly in the last article directly broke, still let's look back at the bottom 0.173, if it breaks then it's gg.
I took a look at the major holders, there are a few who have been buying in these days, the daily RSI9 has officially brushed against the oversold area, meanwhile the daily KDJ death cross is narrowing, this situation really easily leads to a downward spike that ends the KDJ death cross, after that a rebound market can follow.

Also, thanks to Master Ma's vine, I can't sleep due to insomnia, originally thinking about checking how the dog data was doing, suddenly saw a spike upwards and then a drop, a standard imitation cutting leeks market, directly chasing the short will lead to a buffet meal.

$VINE raised to explode and then rapidly fell, I saw this scene when I was with Trump, but here the market value is smaller and easier to manipulate, just cut it if you have to, otherwise you'll be trapped on the mountain top for a lifetime.

$DOGE is not very good at drawing lines, is there anyone who understands to see if the triangle area I drew is reasonable?😩

Don't believe in fake things

$MAGIC Zhuang is too strong, let's dance with the bull.

doge

$DOGE one step away.

$DOGE Brothers, you have to know one thing, you can't just shout how many days it has been falling when it's falling, you have to know how it came back up.

$DOGE The non-farm data came out and tricked the market, resulting in a super low opening for the US stock market, sigh

Right brother, you discovered the band pattern 😁

Many people refuse to believe, stubbornly convinced that now is the time to backtrack and pick you up, buddy. If you want to bottom out, others want to short your house. It's impossible to always open positions at the bottom while being heavily exposed.
You just look at what others say, and you enter the market on the left, fantasizing about how much you can gain from this wave. If you succeed once, that's just good luck. Many people say, 'Well, you're already in contracts, isn't that just gambling?' I think we can't generalize this. I believe that positions starting at 10x-20x are considered reasonable investments; it's just a choice from low risk to high risk, similar to buying funds or other financial products. But anything above 20x is a risk you can't bear. In the end, it comes down to one thing: T+0, combined with high leverage, allows a few to succeed with small investments, which is why many people dream of getting rich quickly.
Not wanting to face liquidation, not wanting to lose money, and not wanting to always be on the road to breaking even, there are only two paths: one is to give up contracts and turn to spot trading; the other is to strictly implement profit-taking and stop-loss strategies. $BTC $ETH $DOGE

The large pancake of $BTC has broken through the lower Bollinger Band (116202.8), RSI9 is at 37, indicating selling pressure, but it hasn't reached the oversold zone. Compared to the last test at 114, the volume has decreased, and the trend has weakened significantly. It can be considered that a downtrend has emerged. However, since RSI24 remains above 50 in the long term, this decline can only be said to be relatively certain in the short term. Those looking to trade should pay attention to timing.