李翟宇

$BTC in the wave theory, there is no such thing as resistance and support; any resistance and support are merely temporary pullbacks and rebounds formed by retail investors going against the trend, which will not affect the overall trend.
These trades are like occasionally adding a toothpick to a bonfire or spraying a bottle of unknown liquid, whether water or alcohol, towards the fire. In the face of the enormous bonfire, no matter how much capital is involved, it is insignificant compared to the roaring flames, let alone trying to block the spread or extinguish the fire.
I mentioned two weeks ago that Bitcoin has completed the fifth wave of the purple line. If it wants to continue rising, it must undergo a period of adjustment to the fifth wave of the purple line; as long as it doesn’t complete that, any bullish candlestick is merely a dying struggle of retail bulls. Any so-called support is just an attempt to profit from the meager gains brought by going against the trend. #波浪理论

On the 15th of this month, at the historical peak of $BTC , I expressed my personal views on Bitcoin. Due to the unprecedented price, we lacked reference information. We could not predict where the price would face obstacles. Therefore, I concluded with 'avoid trading.' At this point, any traditional trading logic would completely fail, and the barrage of news came from all directions.
By the end of the month, the market seemed to begin to clarify, and the continuous decline for half a month represented: many chips that chose to give up due to being overwhelmed around 10,000 are about to be burned out.
The fifth wave has thus ended!
Any future bullish candles will be the dying struggle of retail investors!
This adjustment regarding the purple line's fifth wave will last for a while, with the first target around 90,000, i.e., the red area.
But please remember: do not let the crowd's anger lead to turmoil. And do not let the joyous atmosphere lead to unrealistic expectations.
#波浪理论

In mid last month, how many remarks shattered the psychological defenses of how many people? And how many people have criticized the results of the wave predictions? It seems that wave theory has become the most incorrect method of technical analysis.
But the fact is that the big pancake still lacks the final wave; no matter what, it must break the previous high of 11 to complete the final wave.
On May 30, I also mentioned the same conclusion.
Currently, the market is completing the last wave of the purple line. No matter how high this wave goes, as long as there are signs of an end, it will be very dangerous. But now no one knows how high the final wave can go before it ends; the best approach is to avoid trading and avoid interference from news. Do not short, and do not go long. Those who went long previously should not take profits, and those who went short should not take losses. Quietly wait for the end of the fifth wave.
$BTC #波浪理论

$ETH It has been nearly three months since the last analysis of Ethereum, but what is coming will eventually come, and the facts still prove the effectiveness and foresight of the wave theory.
All fundamental analysis and event news that trigger market sentiment are ultimately just accelerating or slowing down the original trend. The timeliness of news and the explosiveness of public opinion all confirm the fact that "they" are short-lived.
I said in early April that the rise that began in early April this year was just an adjustment in the decline that began at the end of 24 years, and there was no upward trend wave at all. It can't exceed 4000 at most, and it will stop rising at around 3000 with a high probability. After that, a monthly decline will begin.
In terms of the super-large cycle, Ethereum has not yet walked out of the correction since the historical high at the end of 21 years, that is, the blue line adjustment of the super-large green line 5 waves. Only by breaking the purple area can the decline be truly stopped and the upward trend wave can be started, which is everyone's favorite "bull". #波浪理论

$BTC "The big pie will迎来史诗级回调. Quickly clear the warehouse. The bull market will never return..." and other words seem to be everywhere, and it seems to be constantly wearing down everyone who still has some expectations for the big pie.
The stock god quotes, which are regarded as market truths by countless traders and non-traders, seem to have fallen from grace at this moment. And the market sentiment has reached its peak again, or perhaps it has never ended.
I always maintain my unchanged viewpoint; this moment is very much like November 2021. The same pessimism, the same wave pattern. The current trend is entirely the same, lacking only the final wave.
Don't panic, don't panic!

The simple path of the second wave, while the fourth wave is relatively complex. It has indeed taken a long time to adjust the structure, let's see how much longer it will take to complete the adjustment.

During this time, I have been saying that Bitcoin is still in an upward trend wave, specifically the small fifth wave of the purple line (3-5-1). After nearly two months of increase, a correction is due. And indeed, this is the case: if the decline that started on May 22 reaches around 90,000, then this decline has a high probability of being the fourth wave adjustment in the purple line, namely 3-5-1-4. Once the fourth wave of the purple line ends, it will be followed by the last wave, breaking through the peak of the third wave—111980. Then a larger correction of the green line second wave will begin, namely 3-5-2. Overall, Bitcoin is still viewed positively.

$BTC Currently, I still do not recommend shorting this large pie; it is still in the 3-5 wave, and there are no signs of an end.
$THETA has indeed discovered this imitation; according to the current trend, the second wave platform adjustment has basically been completed. The third wave is about to start. Short-term take profit in the red area, around 1.5; medium-term take profit at the upper edge of the platform; long-term take profit at the end of the first wave. #波浪理论

In the practical application of wave theory, it is generally not possible to directly use candlestick charts at the weekly or monthly level, attempting to predict the future solely based on the existing few candlesticks. It cannot be said that it is impossible, but the difficulty is very high.
On one hand, it is difficult for us to distinguish whether the few existing candlesticks are trend waves or non-trend waves.
On the other hand, waves are divided into visible waves and non-visible waves. The waves formed by the candlesticks we can see are not all of them.
A large portion of the waves (the waves before the issuance of the coin) are unobservable. Waves can not only predict the future but can also backtest the past. The past of anything does not only start from its birth; the 'cause' existed before the thing was born.
$OP This coin is not bad, and the fundamentals are also okay. The three-wave adjustment that started on March 7, 2024, has lasted for a year and a half and is basically announced as over. The worst result is just a downward c-wave followed by a small extension, but it will not disrupt the completion of the adjustment wave. The first take-profit point is 2.2, which is the red area, estimated to last for half a year. #波浪理论

$BTC still maintains the original judgment unchanged, and even if there is a pullback, it will be a small pullback, so now is not the time to short, nor will it be the time for the bulls to exit. It will definitely create a historical new high! #波浪理论

$MOODENG contract position 24h hit 10% 4h level stepped on an ob, 1h level stepped on the vegas, and a large bullish candle came out, breaking through, and in the 30-minute level found that the previous descending channel's poc was actually at the lower end, indicating that the trading volume is at the bottom, indicating that this is a position building behavior. Now looking at it, from the low to the current high point, the poc is at the 0.618 position, resonance bullish. Consider placing an order at 0.22095.

$BTC Bitcoin will definitely pull back for a while, because the first wave of the green line has basically ended, and the second wave of pullback is about to start. But this pullback will definitely not be a big pullback; according to the current trend, the big pullback will take quite a long time.
This time, the pullback will most likely reach around 8.6, which is the red area. If there are signs of the end of the second wave when it reaches the red area, you may consider intervening. #波浪理论

In half a month, it has risen by about 40%, with only 27% remaining to the maximum target. In summary, the wave pattern of SUI remains unchanged, currently progressing through waves 3-5 as indicated by the blue line, which is entirely in line with expectations. The current decline is still just a correction; if it can be caught during this pullback, then the short-term take profit is at least 4.3, and the long-term target remains at 5.5.

In the month of 607657052783, I mentioned that its trend was quite good and did not completely follow Bitcoin. As I analyzed earlier, the Y wave slightly broke the endpoint of the W wave, forming an expanding platform adjustment. After it ended, it immediately surged, initiating the 3-3 wave of the green line.
Since the accumulation period for the first and second waves of the green line from June 2022 to July 2024 exceeded two years, the peak of 141 reached at the end of 2024 will definitely not be a major top. The future will see a significant increase.

$XLM is also doing well, and it is developed based on Ripple blockchain technology. The key point of the wave pattern is still the historical peak on May 1, 2021, which is the top of the fifth wave, not the top of the first wave.
Currently, a new cycle wave (green line) has been reopened. The fourth wave of the green line has retraced to the 78.6% position of the first wave, and it is highly likely that it has completed. In the future, at least the fifth wave will occur, and the fifth wave must break the previous high, which is the red area. #波浪理论

$BTC Most technical analysts currently judge that the big cake is at the end of the fifth wave and the future is precarious. Judging from the trend of the past two months, this judgment seems to be valid.
But around May 1st, the wave pattern of the big cake changed. The future must be extended. In general, it is still in the super big three waves, and the worst is 3-5 waves. In the future, it will at least break through 109588 first, and then go to the super big four waves to pull back. It has not yet reached the top of the fifth wave. In the next one to two years, the upward trend of the big cake will continue.
The decline after January 20th is the 3-4th wave, which ended on April 9th. And the decline from May 2nd to today will only be a correction, which is expected to last for half a month, and the target price is near the upper edge of the black trend line.
#波浪理论

The function of $DOT is to realize a cross-chain platform for multi-chain interoperability, solving the problem of blockchain network isolation. It supports the collaborative work of different blockchains through a "relay chain + parallel chain" architecture. It features high scalability, a dynamic governance mechanism, and more. The market cap share is also decent, and from a fundamental perspective, it looks quite good.
From the perspective of wave theory, it is quite similar to Ripple.
The starting point of a wave must not be the starting point of a particular token or stock trend; it must be determined based on various rules and characteristics. Just as the high point in November 2021 was the end of the fifth wave, and certainly not the end of wave C, nor could it possibly be the end of wave two. The trend after 2022 is all an ABC adjustment to the previous blue line's five waves, and it has basically completed its adjustment. Moreover, the trading volume has begun to rise slowly, and it is highly probable that it will not return to this level in the future. Even if it slightly breaks the previous low, it will not disrupt the start of the next cycle; it will only be delayed slightly. #波浪理论

$XRP People who have just learned about waves, do they think that as long as there are two high points, they are waves 1, 2, and 3 in the five-wave structure. Just like the current Ripple, it is perfect. As long as this adjustment is over, the fifth wave will come. And now it has been adjusted back to the 0.618 position of the third wave, and then the final rising wave will start.
But how can waves be so simple? If it is so simple, wouldn’t everyone get rich easily?
Based on the current market conditions, it can be determined that the three waves formed by the high point in April 21 and the high point in January 25 belong to the same wave.
And the current three waves will not be ABC structure. Because if it is ABC structure, it will connect to the five-wave structure in the future and break the lowest point of 0.1016. It does not conform to the wave theory.
So the only possibility is that the current three waves are waves 3, 4, and 5 in the five waves. In the future, it will connect to the same level adjustment of the five waves of the green line. Then the next cycle wave will start. #波浪理论

I mentioned it once at the beginning of March, and I mentioned it again at the beginning of April. $SUI moves beautifully, very elegantly. Otherwise, I wouldn't have repeated it twice. It truly is one of the few currencies that has a nice wave pattern and is not a garbage coin.
Currently, the original judgment remains unchanged, and it is in the 3-5-1 wave, with the medium to long-term target still at 5.4, and the short-term target has already been achieved.
The 3-5-1 wave is about to end, and the price is about to undergo a brief pullback. After the pullback ends, the 3-5-3 wave will begin, which will be a significant upward movement. #波浪理论

The old coins in the cryptocurrency circle have been basically analyzed by me, and they are currently moving as I expected. I'm considering whether to analyze the big A.
For a period of time before, major platforms were filled with extremely pessimistic sentiments, believing that the future of big A is like an abyss. In short, the publishers of these opinions are insidious. They only stir up the emotions of retail investors to achieve their own goals. Currently, big A is moving differently from U.S. stocks, cryptocurrencies, gold, and others. It is about to take off.
You can take a look at the market trends from July 1994; isn't it exactly the same as the movement of big A?
Currently, the Shanghai Composite Index, overall, has not yet started the fifth wave; it has been in a fourth wave adjustment, which is just a triangle and has been very prolonged. As of today, the fourth wave is about to end. The first short-term target is set at 3680 (yellow area), while the ultra-long-term target is set at 6000. #大A #波浪理论