李翟宇

$BTC "The big pie will迎来史诗级回调. Quickly clear the warehouse. The bull market will never return..." and other words seem to be everywhere, and it seems to be constantly wearing down everyone who still has some expectations for the big pie.
The stock god quotes, which are regarded as market truths by countless traders and non-traders, seem to have fallen from grace at this moment. And the market sentiment has reached its peak again, or perhaps it has never ended.
I always maintain my unchanged viewpoint; this moment is very much like November 2021. The same pessimism, the same wave pattern. The current trend is entirely the same, lacking only the final wave.
Don't panic, don't panic!

The simple path of the second wave, while the fourth wave is relatively complex. It has indeed taken a long time to adjust the structure, let's see how much longer it will take to complete the adjustment.

During this time, I have been saying that Bitcoin is still in an upward trend wave, specifically the small fifth wave of the purple line (3-5-1). After nearly two months of increase, a correction is due. And indeed, this is the case: if the decline that started on May 22 reaches around 90,000, then this decline has a high probability of being the fourth wave adjustment in the purple line, namely 3-5-1-4. Once the fourth wave of the purple line ends, it will be followed by the last wave, breaking through the peak of the third wave—111980. Then a larger correction of the green line second wave will begin, namely 3-5-2. Overall, Bitcoin is still viewed positively.

$BTC Currently, I still do not recommend shorting this large pie; it is still in the 3-5 wave, and there are no signs of an end.
$THETA has indeed discovered this imitation; according to the current trend, the second wave platform adjustment has basically been completed. The third wave is about to start. Short-term take profit in the red area, around 1.5; medium-term take profit at the upper edge of the platform; long-term take profit at the end of the first wave. #波浪理论

In the practical application of wave theory, it is generally not possible to directly use candlestick charts at the weekly or monthly level, attempting to predict the future solely based on the existing few candlesticks. It cannot be said that it is impossible, but the difficulty is very high.
On one hand, it is difficult for us to distinguish whether the few existing candlesticks are trend waves or non-trend waves.
On the other hand, waves are divided into visible waves and non-visible waves. The waves formed by the candlesticks we can see are not all of them.
A large portion of the waves (the waves before the issuance of the coin) are unobservable. Waves can not only predict the future but can also backtest the past. The past of anything does not only start from its birth; the 'cause' existed before the thing was born.
$OP This coin is not bad, and the fundamentals are also okay. The three-wave adjustment that started on March 7, 2024, has lasted for a year and a half and is basically announced as over. The worst result is just a downward c-wave followed by a small extension, but it will not disrupt the completion of the adjustment wave. The first take-profit point is 2.2, which is the red area, estimated to last for half a year. #波浪理论

$BTC still maintains the original judgment unchanged, and even if there is a pullback, it will be a small pullback, so now is not the time to short, nor will it be the time for the bulls to exit. It will definitely create a historical new high! #波浪理论

$MOODENG contract position 24h hit 10% 4h level stepped on an ob, 1h level stepped on the vegas, and a large bullish candle came out, breaking through, and in the 30-minute level found that the previous descending channel's poc was actually at the lower end, indicating that the trading volume is at the bottom, indicating that this is a position building behavior. Now looking at it, from the low to the current high point, the poc is at the 0.618 position, resonance bullish. Consider placing an order at 0.22095.

$BTC Bitcoin will definitely pull back for a while, because the first wave of the green line has basically ended, and the second wave of pullback is about to start. But this pullback will definitely not be a big pullback; according to the current trend, the big pullback will take quite a long time.
This time, the pullback will most likely reach around 8.6, which is the red area. If there are signs of the end of the second wave when it reaches the red area, you may consider intervening. #波浪理论

In half a month, it has risen by about 40%, with only 27% remaining to the maximum target. In summary, the wave pattern of SUI remains unchanged, currently progressing through waves 3-5 as indicated by the blue line, which is entirely in line with expectations. The current decline is still just a correction; if it can be caught during this pullback, then the short-term take profit is at least 4.3, and the long-term target remains at 5.5.

In the month of 607657052783, I mentioned that its trend was quite good and did not completely follow Bitcoin. As I analyzed earlier, the Y wave slightly broke the endpoint of the W wave, forming an expanding platform adjustment. After it ended, it immediately surged, initiating the 3-3 wave of the green line.
Since the accumulation period for the first and second waves of the green line from June 2022 to July 2024 exceeded two years, the peak of 141 reached at the end of 2024 will definitely not be a major top. The future will see a significant increase.

$XLM is also doing well, and it is developed based on Ripple blockchain technology. The key point of the wave pattern is still the historical peak on May 1, 2021, which is the top of the fifth wave, not the top of the first wave.
Currently, a new cycle wave (green line) has been reopened. The fourth wave of the green line has retraced to the 78.6% position of the first wave, and it is highly likely that it has completed. In the future, at least the fifth wave will occur, and the fifth wave must break the previous high, which is the red area. #波浪理论

$BTC Most technical analysts currently judge that the big cake is at the end of the fifth wave and the future is precarious. Judging from the trend of the past two months, this judgment seems to be valid.
But around May 1st, the wave pattern of the big cake changed. The future must be extended. In general, it is still in the super big three waves, and the worst is 3-5 waves. In the future, it will at least break through 109588 first, and then go to the super big four waves to pull back. It has not yet reached the top of the fifth wave. In the next one to two years, the upward trend of the big cake will continue.
The decline after January 20th is the 3-4th wave, which ended on April 9th. And the decline from May 2nd to today will only be a correction, which is expected to last for half a month, and the target price is near the upper edge of the black trend line.
#波浪理论

The function of $DOT is to realize a cross-chain platform for multi-chain interoperability, solving the problem of blockchain network isolation. It supports the collaborative work of different blockchains through a "relay chain + parallel chain" architecture. It features high scalability, a dynamic governance mechanism, and more. The market cap share is also decent, and from a fundamental perspective, it looks quite good.
From the perspective of wave theory, it is quite similar to Ripple.
The starting point of a wave must not be the starting point of a particular token or stock trend; it must be determined based on various rules and characteristics. Just as the high point in November 2021 was the end of the fifth wave, and certainly not the end of wave C, nor could it possibly be the end of wave two. The trend after 2022 is all an ABC adjustment to the previous blue line's five waves, and it has basically completed its adjustment. Moreover, the trading volume has begun to rise slowly, and it is highly probable that it will not return to this level in the future. Even if it slightly breaks the previous low, it will not disrupt the start of the next cycle; it will only be delayed slightly. #波浪理论

$XRP People who have just learned about waves, do they think that as long as there are two high points, they are waves 1, 2, and 3 in the five-wave structure. Just like the current Ripple, it is perfect. As long as this adjustment is over, the fifth wave will come. And now it has been adjusted back to the 0.618 position of the third wave, and then the final rising wave will start.
But how can waves be so simple? If it is so simple, wouldn’t everyone get rich easily?
Based on the current market conditions, it can be determined that the three waves formed by the high point in April 21 and the high point in January 25 belong to the same wave.
And the current three waves will not be ABC structure. Because if it is ABC structure, it will connect to the five-wave structure in the future and break the lowest point of 0.1016. It does not conform to the wave theory.
So the only possibility is that the current three waves are waves 3, 4, and 5 in the five waves. In the future, it will connect to the same level adjustment of the five waves of the green line. Then the next cycle wave will start. #波浪理论

I mentioned it once at the beginning of March, and I mentioned it again at the beginning of April. $SUI moves beautifully, very elegantly. Otherwise, I wouldn't have repeated it twice. It truly is one of the few currencies that has a nice wave pattern and is not a garbage coin.
Currently, the original judgment remains unchanged, and it is in the 3-5-1 wave, with the medium to long-term target still at 5.4, and the short-term target has already been achieved.
The 3-5-1 wave is about to end, and the price is about to undergo a brief pullback. After the pullback ends, the 3-5-3 wave will begin, which will be a significant upward movement. #波浪理论

The old coins in the cryptocurrency circle have been basically analyzed by me, and they are currently moving as I expected. I'm considering whether to analyze the big A.
For a period of time before, major platforms were filled with extremely pessimistic sentiments, believing that the future of big A is like an abyss. In short, the publishers of these opinions are insidious. They only stir up the emotions of retail investors to achieve their own goals. Currently, big A is moving differently from U.S. stocks, cryptocurrencies, gold, and others. It is about to take off.
You can take a look at the market trends from July 1994; isn't it exactly the same as the movement of big A?
Currently, the Shanghai Composite Index, overall, has not yet started the fifth wave; it has been in a fourth wave adjustment, which is just a triangle and has been very prolonged. As of today, the fourth wave is about to end. The first short-term target is set at 3680 (yellow area), while the ultra-long-term target is set at 6000. #大A #波浪理论

$SOL In mid-March, I drew two lines and proposed that the trend line below would stop falling in the future. The price also reached the first target price in mid-April and rebounded as expected.
The five waves of the orange line were completed in January this year. At present, it is still adjusting to the same level of the orange line, and it has not yet been completed. At present, it is only a rebound to the first adjustment;
In the future, it is likely to follow a pattern similar to the red curve. And after encountering resistance near the 200 price level, it will continue to break the previous low to complete the final adjustment of the five waves of the orange line. #波浪理论

Although the first wave of BTC's pullback has ended, from the perspective of wave theory, BNB's pullback is still lacking a bit. Currently, BNB is undergoing a blue line adjustment wave, which is at least a double adjustment wave. In the future, it must break 500 to hope to end the double adjustment; even a small difference is unacceptable. As long as it does not break 500, it will always be in a blue line adjustment.
This means that although the current market is rising, it won't rise much before it drops again.

$ETH The green line wave 5 completed at the end of 2021, followed by a large-scale and complex blue line adjustment. Currently, the bottom of the first wave within wave y has appeared, indicating that the first wave, i.e., the small wave 5 of the green line, has ended;
However, the adjustment of wave y has not ended, and the second wave (orange line wave 3) has now begun. There will be some upward movement in the future, but it will not exceed 4000, likely around 3000 (red area). After that, the final wave will begin and must break 885 (purple area). Following this, there will be a significant increase. #波浪理论

$BTC After more than a month, the price hit each predicted turning point in turn; and on April 7, it came to the final predicted point - the purple area, and got support.
Today, April 11, the price has stabilized, and it will break the upper edge of the triangle in the future.
So far, all predictions for the first adjustment of the black line five waves are likely to end here. It is very likely that the b wave will be directly opened in the future. The worst case is that after a short extension (slightly breaking the purple area), the market will be shaken up. #波浪理论