甘哥看盘
Open Trade
Frequent Trader
6.5 Months
股市资深韭菜转战币圈，有自己独特的看盘方法，觉得看我的帖子有帮助的点点关注！
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#交易类型入门
Spot, margin, and contract trading each have their unique advantages and risks. Contract trading is the most controversial but also the easiest type of trading to get addicted to. In contract trading, you do not actually own the coins; instead, you bet on whether the price of the coins will go up or down through the contract market. You can go long (bullish) or go short (bearish), and you can use margin to leverage small amounts for large gains, which is my favorite type of trading. Some people demonize contracts and margin trading, but in reality, position management is key; if you can't manage your positions, you shouldn't trade contracts!
Spot, margin, and contract trading each have their unique advantages and risks. Contract trading is the most controversial but also the easiest type of trading to get addicted to. In contract trading, you do not actually own the coins; instead, you bet on whether the price of the coins will go up or down through the contract market. You can go long (bullish) or go short (bearish), and you can use margin to leverage small amounts for large gains, which is my favorite type of trading. Some people demonize contracts and margin trading, but in reality, position management is key; if you can't manage your positions, you shouldn't trade contracts!
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Programmer used 10,000 bitcoins to exchange for two pizzas, creating the first physical transaction in cryptocurrency history. This seemingly absurd transaction ignited the spark of decentralized finance. Today, the value of bitcoin has skyrocketed a million times. I went long on bitcoin at 10,280, but at such a high position, I still couldn't help but feel fear of heights. The technical indicators told me it would rise further, but I still closed my position at 10,314. Sigh, I perfectly missed the subsequent rally!
BTCUSDC
Long
Closed
PNL (USDT)
+0.34
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#以太坊安全计划
The Ethereum Foundation announced the launch of the "Trillion Dollar Security Plan" on May 14, 2025, aimed at comprehensively enhancing the security performance of the Ethereum ecosystem to support the level of global economic infrastructure. The project is led by foundation members Fredrik Svantes and Josh Stark, with the support of three experts in the blockchain security field.
The Ethereum Foundation announced the launch of the "Trillion Dollar Security Plan" on May 14, 2025, aimed at comprehensively enhancing the security performance of the Ethereum ecosystem to support the level of global economic infrastructure. The project is led by foundation members Fredrik Svantes and Josh Stark, with the support of three experts in the blockchain security field.
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#交易分享
$BTC has been trading sideways between 100000 and 106000 for eight days. Yesterday, when it dropped to the price level of 1015000, it was clearly supported by the 60-line on the 4-hour chart. Therefore, I entered a long position. Later, BTC indeed rebounded supported by the 60-line on the 4-hour chart. When it rebounded to 103211.3, I closed my long position due to resistance above. Although BTC continued to rise after I closed my position, my principle is to only make money that I understand.
$BTC has been trading sideways between 100000 and 106000 for eight days. Yesterday, when it dropped to the price level of 1015000, it was clearly supported by the 60-line on the 4-hour chart. Therefore, I entered a long position. Later, BTC indeed rebounded supported by the 60-line on the 4-hour chart. When it rebounded to 103211.3, I closed my long position due to resistance above. Although BTC continued to rise after I closed my position, my principle is to only make money that I understand.
BTCUSDC
Long
Closed
PNL (USDT)
+1.71
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#交易故事 #BTC交易 Bullish
$BTC 20 The daily golden cross of the 120-day moving average, the daily pattern remains bullish, continue to be bullish. Therefore, on May 7, I went long when BTC retraced to 96470. Today, BTC did not drop despite Powell's hawkish remarks, continuing to rise. However, after surging above 98000, it retraced, and a candlestick with a long upper shadow appeared on the hourly chart. Therefore, I closed my long position at 98120, but unexpectedly, BTC continued to rise after I closed my position, clearly exiting too early.
$BTC 20 The daily golden cross of the 120-day moving average, the daily pattern remains bullish, continue to be bullish. Therefore, on May 7, I went long when BTC retraced to 96470. Today, BTC did not drop despite Powell's hawkish remarks, continuing to rise. However, after surging above 98000, it retraced, and a candlestick with a long upper shadow appeared on the hourly chart. Therefore, I closed my long position at 98120, but unexpectedly, BTC continued to rise after I closed my position, clearly exiting too early.
BTCUSDC
Long
Closed
PNL (USDT)
+3.30
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#交易故事 #最近的一笔交易
On May 1st, it broke 95000, after reaching a high of 97895.68, it experienced a pullback. On May 3rd, when it pulled back to 96305, I opened a long position. Reason for going long: after a breakout, a pullback should be longed. However, unexpectedly, BTC continued to decline for the next few days, and my long position was trapped, but I held on without stopping loss. Reason for holding: daily pattern remains bullish, 20-day line golden cross 120-day line. Today, BTC finally returned above 97000, and I successfully closed the position at 97379.9, making a profit.
On May 1st, it broke 95000, after reaching a high of 97895.68, it experienced a pullback. On May 3rd, when it pulled back to 96305, I opened a long position. Reason for going long: after a breakout, a pullback should be longed. However, unexpectedly, BTC continued to decline for the next few days, and my long position was trapped, but I held on without stopping loss. Reason for holding: daily pattern remains bullish, 20-day line golden cross 120-day line. Today, BTC finally returned above 97000, and I successfully closed the position at 97379.9, making a profit.
BTCUSDC
Long
Closed
PNL (USDT)
+2.15
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#美联储FOMC会议
According to CME data, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in May is only 2.7%. Almost no one expects the Federal Reserve to cut rates this week, but the challenge lies in what Powell will say. In other words, the Federal Reserve may tell the market, 'We are considering a rate cut and will do so at the appropriate time,' but it will also say some tightening remarks. It needs to gain the market's trust without raising market expectations too high. The Federal Reserve wants the market to feel that everything is being considered and that it has the ability to prevent the economy from falling into recession.
According to CME data, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in May is only 2.7%. Almost no one expects the Federal Reserve to cut rates this week, but the challenge lies in what Powell will say. In other words, the Federal Reserve may tell the market, 'We are considering a rate cut and will do so at the appropriate time,' but it will also say some tightening remarks. It needs to gain the market's trust without raising market expectations too high. The Federal Reserve wants the market to feel that everything is being considered and that it has the ability to prevent the economy from falling into recession.
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The Future of the Stablecoin Bill in the US Senate is Uncertain
The future of the stablecoin bill in the US Senate is currently filled with uncertainty. Despite progress made by both parties, nine Democratic lawmakers who support cryptocurrencies (four of whom had previously supported the bill) have withdrawn their support, citing concerns over national security and anti-money laundering provisions. The stalled progress of the bill has led to a lack of clear regulatory guidance for stablecoin innovation, making investors hesitant to commit funds.
The future of the stablecoin bill in the US Senate is currently filled with uncertainty. Despite progress made by both parties, nine Democratic lawmakers who support cryptocurrencies (four of whom had previously supported the bill) have withdrawn their support, citing concerns over national security and anti-money laundering provisions. The stalled progress of the bill has led to a lack of clear regulatory guidance for stablecoin innovation, making investors hesitant to commit funds.
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On February 19, 2023, the world's first XRP spot ETF, the "Hashdex Nasdaq XRP Index Fund," was successfully approved for listing in Brazil and is trading on the São Paulo Stock Exchange (B3). The launch of this ETF not only provides compliant and convenient XRP investment channels for investors in Brazil and Latin America but also breaks the market gap of lacking a spot ETF for XRP, marking a significant increase in XRP's recognition in the traditional financial sector. Meanwhile, the world's largest futures exchange, the CME, announced that it will officially launch XRP futures contracts on May 19. This move is a key step for XRP toward mainstream financial markets.
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#以太坊的未来
From the price of the currency, Ethereum is currently somewhat 'listless', with its market share dropping to 7.4%, and the gap with Bitcoin is widening. The scale of Ethereum's spot ETF has reached a historic low, with institutions and large holders selling off, and the number of new and active users has significantly decreased, leading to a reduction in transaction fees as well. The enthusiasm for it has clearly faded. However, with smart contracts and decentralized applications, Ethereum is still the second largest by market capitalization in the cryptocurrency space. There are still significant development opportunities ahead, and I hope the second place can rise again!
From the price of the currency, Ethereum is currently somewhat 'listless', with its market share dropping to 7.4%, and the gap with Bitcoin is widening. The scale of Ethereum's spot ETF has reached a historic low, with institutions and large holders selling off, and the number of new and active users has significantly decreased, leading to a reduction in transaction fees as well. The enthusiasm for it has clearly faded. However, with smart contracts and decentralized applications, Ethereum is still the second largest by market capitalization in the cryptocurrency space. There are still significant development opportunities ahead, and I hope the second place can rise again!
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After announcing that the top 220 token holders would be invited to Trump's thank-you dinner, $TRUMP surged over 60%. Just unlocked $300 million of TRUMP, and immediately organizing a thank-you dinner, is this looking for a bag holder? After the price surge, some whales cashed out $730,000 within half an hour, and some investors who had been stuck for months finally got out. As for those chasing the price up, we can only wish them good luck.
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#中美贸易关系
Since the unilateral trade disputes initiated by the United States in 2018, the trade war has erupted. Recently, reports have suggested that President Trump may offer tariff exemptions to countries that restrict trade with China, while China vows to take resolute and reciprocal countermeasures. The current Sino-U.S. game has transcended traditional trade wars and evolved into comprehensive competition over technology standards, financial order, and development models. For the global market, regionalization of supply chains, rising costs, and policy uncertainty will become the new normal.
Since the unilateral trade disputes initiated by the United States in 2018, the trade war has erupted. Recently, reports have suggested that President Trump may offer tariff exemptions to countries that restrict trade with China, while China vows to take resolute and reciprocal countermeasures. The current Sino-U.S. game has transcended traditional trade wars and evolved into comprehensive competition over technology standards, financial order, and development models. For the global market, regionalization of supply chains, rising costs, and policy uncertainty will become the new normal.
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$TRX Sideways Stability
Canary Capital has applied for a U.S. spot ETF, which will track the price of TRX tokens from Tron and include staking rewards. TRX has fluctuated between 0.20 and 0.27 since last December, remaining sideways for nearly 5 months, indicating that the Tron team has adequately prepared for the ETF application and has maintained stability, ensuring that there won't be significant loss effects at least.
Canary Capital has applied for a U.S. spot ETF, which will track the price of TRX tokens from Tron and include staking rewards. TRX has fluctuated between 0.20 and 0.27 since last December, remaining sideways for nearly 5 months, indicating that the Tron team has adequately prepared for the ETF application and has maintained stability, ensuring that there won't be significant loss effects at least.
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#波场ETF Canary Capital has applied for a US spot ETF, which will track the price of TRX tokens from the Tron network and include staking rewards. If approved, this will be the first Tron ETF in the United States, joining a wave of altcoin ETF proposals currently under review by the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). From the recent consolidation of TRX, the Tron team has been preparing for the ETF application and has been maintaining stability.
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#特朗普施压鲍威尔
According to a White House official, Trump has intensified pressure on Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, stating that "firing him is too slow" and is considering whether to remove him. The independence of the Federal Reserve is facing unprecedented challenges. In 2018, Trump threatened Powell, leading to a sharp decline in the US stock market; will history repeat itself this time? Everyone is watching.
According to a White House official, Trump has intensified pressure on Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, stating that "firing him is too slow" and is considering whether to remove him. The independence of the Federal Reserve is facing unprecedented challenges. In 2018, Trump threatened Powell, leading to a sharp decline in the US stock market; will history repeat itself this time? Everyone is watching.
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$SOL This round of rebound performs best
Solana's recent rebound had a low of 95.26 and a high of 136.20, outperforming Bitcoin and Ethereum. This rise was driven by the recent upgrade of Coinbase and the anticipation of the spot Solana ETF set to launch in Canada on April 16. Currently, the rebound is being suppressed by the 60-day moving average, and it has been in a sideways trend for 7 days, about to break out either upwards or downwards. I personally believe that there is a higher probability of a false breakout upwards before a downward move.
Solana's recent rebound had a low of 95.26 and a high of 136.20, outperforming Bitcoin and Ethereum. This rise was driven by the recent upgrade of Coinbase and the anticipation of the spot Solana ETF set to launch in Canada on April 16. Currently, the rebound is being suppressed by the 60-day moving average, and it has been in a sideways trend for 7 days, about to break out either upwards or downwards. I personally believe that there is a higher probability of a false breakout upwards before a downward move.
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#鲍威尔发言 Does Not Rescue the Market
Powell's speech early this morning was straightforward: Don't expect the Federal Reserve to rescue the market because Trump changes every day! This is Powell's most hawkish statement in recent months. After Powell's speech, the Nasdaq Composite fell sharply by 3%, and tech giants averaged a drop of 5%; ETH plummeted from 1612 to 1530, and BTC dropped from 85500 to 83250. However, Powell pointed out in his speech that cryptocurrencies are gradually becoming mainstream, and regulation on stablecoins may be relaxed, which is clearly a positive for the crypto space.
Powell's speech early this morning was straightforward: Don't expect the Federal Reserve to rescue the market because Trump changes every day! This is Powell's most hawkish statement in recent months. After Powell's speech, the Nasdaq Composite fell sharply by 3%, and tech giants averaged a drop of 5%; ETH plummeted from 1612 to 1530, and BTC dropped from 85500 to 83250. However, Powell pointed out in his speech that cryptocurrencies are gradually becoming mainstream, and regulation on stablecoins may be relaxed, which is clearly a positive for the crypto space.
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#加拿大推出SolanaETF
Canada will launch four spot Solana ETFs on April 16, becoming the first country to do so. These ETFs will be traded on the Toronto Stock Exchange and will include staking, offering the potential for higher returns. While U.S. companies are still waiting for approval, Canadian investors will soon be able to access SOL directly without holding the token. This initiative is a significant innovation in the cryptocurrency industry, not only keeping the price of SOL strong these days but also undoubtedly promoting the launch of more altcoin ETFs globally.
Canada will launch four spot Solana ETFs on April 16, becoming the first country to do so. These ETFs will be traded on the Toronto Stock Exchange and will include staking, offering the potential for higher returns. While U.S. companies are still waiting for approval, Canadian investors will soon be able to access SOL directly without holding the token. This initiative is a significant innovation in the cryptocurrency industry, not only keeping the price of SOL strong these days but also undoubtedly promoting the launch of more altcoin ETFs globally.
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$BTC False Breakout
BTC rebounded to a maximum of 86496.42 yesterday, seemingly breaking through the 60-day line, but it was a spike, which is clearly a false breakout. I have been emphasizing that there are significant uncertainties in the tariff negotiations, and a black swan event could arise at any time in the tariff talks. We need to closely monitor whether BTC can break through the 60-day line, as well as strong resistance levels at 87000 and 89000. I tend to believe that BTC will drop further. Does anyone not believe this?
BTC rebounded to a maximum of 86496.42 yesterday, seemingly breaking through the 60-day line, but it was a spike, which is clearly a false breakout. I have been emphasizing that there are significant uncertainties in the tariff negotiations, and a black swan event could arise at any time in the tariff talks. We need to closely monitor whether BTC can break through the 60-day line, as well as strong resistance levels at 87000 and 89000. I tend to believe that BTC will drop further. Does anyone not believe this?
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