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On February 19, 2023, the world's first XRP spot ETF, the "Hashdex Nasdaq XRP Index Fund," was successfully approved for listing in Brazil and is trading on the São Paulo Stock Exchange (B3). The launch of this ETF not only provides compliant and convenient XRP investment channels for investors in Brazil and Latin America but also breaks the market gap of lacking a spot ETF for XRP, marking a significant increase in XRP's recognition in the traditional financial sector. Meanwhile, the world's largest futures exchange, the CME, announced that it will officially launch XRP futures contracts on May 19. This move is a key step for XRP toward mainstream financial markets.

#以太坊的未来
From the price of the currency, Ethereum is currently somewhat 'listless', with its market share dropping to 7.4%, and the gap with Bitcoin is widening. The scale of Ethereum's spot ETF has reached a historic low, with institutions and large holders selling off, and the number of new and active users has significantly decreased, leading to a reduction in transaction fees as well. The enthusiasm for it has clearly faded. However, with smart contracts and decentralized applications, Ethereum is still the second largest by market capitalization in the cryptocurrency space. There are still significant development opportunities ahead, and I hope the second place can rise again!

#感觉RFC要涨 If you want to do the Alpha points task, you can give it a try.

After announcing that the top 220 token holders would be invited to Trump's thank-you dinner, $TRUMP surged over 60%. Just unlocked $300 million of TRUMP, and immediately organizing a thank-you dinner, is this looking for a bag holder? After the price surge, some whales cashed out $730,000 within half an hour, and some investors who had been stuck for months finally got out. As for those chasing the price up, we can only wish them good luck.

#中美贸易关系
Since the unilateral trade disputes initiated by the United States in 2018, the trade war has erupted. Recently, reports have suggested that President Trump may offer tariff exemptions to countries that restrict trade with China, while China vows to take resolute and reciprocal countermeasures. The current Sino-U.S. game has transcended traditional trade wars and evolved into comprehensive competition over technology standards, financial order, and development models. For the global market, regionalization of supply chains, rising costs, and policy uncertainty will become the new normal.

$TRX Sideways Stability
Canary Capital has applied for a U.S. spot ETF, which will track the price of TRX tokens from Tron and include staking rewards. TRX has fluctuated between 0.20 and 0.27 since last December, remaining sideways for nearly 5 months, indicating that the Tron team has adequately prepared for the ETF application and has maintained stability, ensuring that there won't be significant loss effects at least.

#波场ETF Canary Capital has applied for a US spot ETF, which will track the price of TRX tokens from the Tron network and include staking rewards. If approved, this will be the first Tron ETF in the United States, joining a wave of altcoin ETF proposals currently under review by the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). From the recent consolidation of TRX, the Tron team has been preparing for the ETF application and has been maintaining stability.

#特朗普施压鲍威尔
According to a White House official, Trump has intensified pressure on Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, stating that "firing him is too slow" and is considering whether to remove him. The independence of the Federal Reserve is facing unprecedented challenges. In 2018, Trump threatened Powell, leading to a sharp decline in the US stock market; will history repeat itself this time? Everyone is watching.

$SOL This round of rebound performs best
Solana's recent rebound had a low of 95.26 and a high of 136.20, outperforming Bitcoin and Ethereum. This rise was driven by the recent upgrade of Coinbase and the anticipation of the spot Solana ETF set to launch in Canada on April 16. Currently, the rebound is being suppressed by the 60-day moving average, and it has been in a sideways trend for 7 days, about to break out either upwards or downwards. I personally believe that there is a higher probability of a false breakout upwards before a downward move.

#鲍威尔发言 Does Not Rescue the Market
Powell's speech early this morning was straightforward: Don't expect the Federal Reserve to rescue the market because Trump changes every day! This is Powell's most hawkish statement in recent months. After Powell's speech, the Nasdaq Composite fell sharply by 3%, and tech giants averaged a drop of 5%; ETH plummeted from 1612 to 1530, and BTC dropped from 85500 to 83250. However, Powell pointed out in his speech that cryptocurrencies are gradually becoming mainstream, and regulation on stablecoins may be relaxed, which is clearly a positive for the crypto space.

#加拿大推出SolanaETF
Canada will launch four spot Solana ETFs on April 16, becoming the first country to do so. These ETFs will be traded on the Toronto Stock Exchange and will include staking, offering the potential for higher returns. While U.S. companies are still waiting for approval, Canadian investors will soon be able to access SOL directly without holding the token. This initiative is a significant innovation in the cryptocurrency industry, not only keeping the price of SOL strong these days but also undoubtedly promoting the launch of more altcoin ETFs globally.

$BTC False Breakout
BTC rebounded to a maximum of 86496.42 yesterday, seemingly breaking through the 60-day line, but it was a spike, which is clearly a false breakout. I have been emphasizing that there are significant uncertainties in the tariff negotiations, and a black swan event could arise at any time in the tariff talks. We need to closely monitor whether BTC can break through the 60-day line, as well as strong resistance levels at 87000 and 89000. I tend to believe that BTC will drop further. Does anyone not believe this?

#比特币与美国关税政策
The Trump administration has indicated that the U.S. may use tariff revenues to purchase Bitcoin—this is a bold signal suggesting that digital assets could play a larger role in national strategy. While details remain limited, this move raises significant questions about the future of cryptocurrency in government policy. Trump's maneuver seems to want to dress Bitcoin in the 'national reserve' robe, which has kept Bitcoin strong these days. However, Trump can turn his back faster than he can flip a page, and until BTC breaks through strong resistance levels such as the 60-day line, 87000, and 89000, I still expect a pullback.

$BTC has still not broken through the 60-day moving average.
Yesterday, BTC was suppressed by the 60-day moving average, rebounding to 86100 before falling back. Today, it received support from the 5-day moving average and continued to rebound, reaching a high of 85799.99, still not breaking through the 60-day moving average. Yesterday, we analyzed the economic recession combined with a series of black swan events. The uncertainty in tariff negotiations is significant, and a black swan event could occur at any time during the negotiations. Therefore, it is crucial to closely monitor whether BTC can break through the 60-day moving average, 87000, 89000, and other strong resistance levels. I tend to believe that BTC will fall back further, so everyone should be aware of the risks.

$BTC 60 Daily Line Suppression
Under the pressure of the 60-day line, BTC rebounded to 86100 before falling back. Economic recession + a series of black swan impacts, the trend in the cryptocurrency market on Monday is not optimistic. The US stock market may open higher, but the uncertainties in tariff negotiations are significant. Trump's negotiation tactic of 'a slap followed by a candy' is puzzling, and a black swan event could emerge at any time during tariff negotiations. Currently, the 60-day line is the nearest resistance level, with 87000 and 89000 above also being strong resistance levels. It's not easy for BTC to rise.

$BTC Observing the breakout situation at 87000
BTC dipped twice to around 74000, forming a double bottom followed by a violent surge due to news, but encountered resistance and fell back at 83588. It retraced to 78464.36 and began to rise again with the help of news, showing a situation where the bottom is gradually rising. Currently, the situation is favorable for the bulls, but the formation of the bottom is not so easy. For BTC to rise, we still need to pay attention to the breakout situation at key resistance levels like 85000, 87000, and 89000. If it can't break through, it may still pull back, and could even break below 74000.

#止损策略 Protect the Principal
Setting a stop-loss is a trader's preferred strategy for survival in the trading market. A stop-loss is a predetermined loss limit that uses trading discipline to manage human nature, preventing the temptation to turn short-term losses into long-term losses, or even liquidation. A stop-loss strategy makes the cost of each mistake manageable, thus allowing you to protect your principal while waiting for the next opportunity. Protecting the principal is the first issue to consider in trading, followed by profit.

$BTC has not yet broken through the key resistance level
Yesterday, Bitcoin surged violently due to news, reaching a high of 83588, but has not yet broken through the key resistance level. Previously, BTC had two spikes to around 74000, which has created conditions for a double bottom. Coupled with the news, a spectacular surge occurred, but since there has been no breakthrough of the key resistance level, it has started to retreat. The last time Trump made a call, there was a violent rise and fall, and the possibility of this happening again is quite high, as there isn’t any substantial good news. "A flurry of operations as fierce as a tiger, up and down all depends on Trump." For BTC to rise, we need to pay attention to the breakthrough of key resistance levels such as 85000, 87000, and 89000.

#保护你的资产
With the development of the cryptocurrency industry, asset security has become an issue that cannot be ignored. Although blockchain technology provides inherent security features such as decentralization and encryption, vulnerabilities still exist, and exchanges and wallets are particularly susceptible to attacks. Several high-profile hacker attacks, phishing attacks, and internal threats have resulted in the loss of billions in assets. To protect assets, users should choose reliable platforms for trading, such as Binance, implement measures like two-factor authentication to enhance security, and cultivate good habits such as not clicking on unknown links and not being swayed by scammers, thus more effectively protecting their digital assets.

$BTC Observe whether the double bottom is established
I have mentioned before that Bitcoin is currently in a long-term consolidation between 89000 and 74000, and it is not advisable to place orders casually in the middle position. If there is a chance to spike down to around 74000, it would be reasonable to take a small long position the first time. The lowest BTC hit the day before yesterday was 74508, and those who went long have already made a profit. Today, BTC has once again approached around 74000, and everyone can observe whether the double bottom is established. If it breaks below 74508, it is recommended to exit and wait for a better opportunity.