#美联储FOMC会议
According to CME data, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in May is only 2.7%. Almost no one expects the Federal Reserve to cut rates this week, but the challenge lies in what Powell will say. In other words, the Federal Reserve may tell the market, 'We are considering a rate cut and will do so at the appropriate time,' but it will also say some tightening remarks. It needs to gain the market's trust without raising market expectations too high. The Federal Reserve wants the market to feel that everything is being considered and that it has the ability to prevent the economy from falling into recession.