金戈论

Institution: Powell's continued ambiguous stance today is appropriate

Peter Boockvar, Chief Investment Officer of One Point BFG Wealth Partners, stated that Federal Reserve Chairman Powell faces a challenging task, as there are some cracks in the labor market, while prices remain far above the sustainable target of 2% he has set, and the financial environment is exceptionally loose. With considerable time left before the September meeting, Powell's continued ambiguous stance is beneficial for him $BTC $ETH #币安Alpha上新

To forge iron, one must be strong oneself. If you've taken many detours, then take a closer look;

Big pancake 650 in the gap, 6519u, stable income! $BTC $ETH #币安Alpha上新

The ambush at 1:30 PM is a trap, 3809 in, 3757 out, 52 points between the traps, bagged 6303 oil!

Still shining! $BTC $ETH #币安Alpha上新

Entering near BNB810, currently reached the first target of 790, with a range of more than 20 points! $BTC $ETH #币安Alpha上新

Seek stability in detail, seek victory in stability!
Morning pancake analysis breaks out of the 1000-point range $BTC $ETH #币安Alpha上新

Public! Transparent! Accurate!

Auntie’s morning analysis hits precisely, members who followed are reaping the rewards!

Recently, the updates have just been slow, it’s not that the ability is lacking, okay everyone! Trust me! $BTC $ETH #币安Alpha上新

Pay attention to the 816 position for BNB today. If it cannot hold above this level on the 4-hour chart, it indicates that the smaller level rebound lacks strength;

It is recommended to enter around 810, targeting 790 below, with a long-term view of 710! $BTC $ETH #币安Alpha上新 $BNB

August Transformation Plan Launch!!
Limited spots, only 8 people, 1V1!!!
If you want to learn strategies, gain profits, and have strict stop-loss and high execution ability, come!
Arrangement:
2000-5000U: Mainly short-term, goal to double in 7 days!
5000U~15000U: Swing + short-term, goal to double in 10 days!
15000U+: Long-term + swing + short-term, goal to double in 20 days!
$BTC $ETH #币安Alpha上新

Auntie experienced significant ups and downs yesterday and is currently in a phase of market consolidation. The current trading volume is far below the estimated amount, so 3712 is unlikely to be the first support level.

It is recommended to enter around 3830, with targets at 3740/3600! $BTC $ETH #币安Alpha上新

The downward trend of the pancake has not shown a significant rebound, watch the pancake!

Yesterday maintained the end of the month adjustment status, currently the four-hour pattern is fluctuating downwards, with obvious pressure at high positions; the hourly line continues to show a weakening bearish trend, with short-term demand for continued decline;
From the market perspective, after the short-term rise and fluctuations of the pancake, it has fallen back with consecutive negative candles, forming a short-term downward channel, with high and low points gradually decreasing, showing weakness. The hourly MACD continues to be below the zero axis, the bearish strength is weakening but has not turned strong, and the pressure above remains obvious, with the trend leaning bearish, looking for a pullback action during the day.

Around 118300 for the pancake, looking towards 117000-116300$BTC $ETH #币安Alpha上新

Big pancake daily chart, the price comparison continues to maintain a narrow fluctuation, market momentum is insufficient, need to pay attention to whether it can stabilize around 118200 and subsequent momentum changes. At the same time, the market may have a tentative rebound, but the rebound momentum is insufficient, need to be wary of whether it will fall below 116300$BTC $ETH .

Big pancake suggests selling near 118300, looking down at 117500/116300/114600!!!#币安Alpha上新

The Asia-Pacific stock markets experienced varying degrees of decline today, with A-shares hovering between ups and downs, and the atmosphere is exceptionally cautious.

1. Today's decline is not a sign of panic, but rather a rational warning from the most astute individuals who sense the risk of an overheated market—not panic, but a rational alert. However, for the Chinese market, the vast majority believe it has not yet overheated, as neither media headlines nor street conversations have formed a nationwide discussion trend.

2. The foreign exchange market has provided some signals: the US dollar index surged by 1% overnight (equivalent to a 2%-3% increase in the stock market, which is not a small signal), and today it has not retraced any of the gains, indicating that the risks have just begun to ferment. The rise of the dollar is largely driven by the plummet of the euro, which has fallen due to market distrust in the US-Europe trade agreement—one needs to pay attention to the possibility of changes in the US-Europe trade agreement. The initial 15% tax rate on Europe was somewhat reassuring, but it quickly became less optimistic. The leaders of France and Germany lament that this outcome will drag down economic growth, which has lowered the stock markets and bond yields across the entire European continent, while also impacting the euro.

In addition, the market had previously largely factored in the trade agreement, and now with the news coming out, there has been a 'sell the fact' operation.

3. Investors are also paying attention to the China-US economic and trade talks, which were held for more than five hours in Stockholm on Monday. The final news may come out before 5:00 AM Beijing time on Wednesday, with a potential period of high market volatility expected between 7:00-8:00 AM tomorrow.

The current market feels a bit like the last few hours before an exam: seemingly quiet, but even when hearing a joke, one cannot laugh. $BTC $ETH #币安Alpha上新

The clear approach was given on the morning of the 28th, with a gap of over 1000 points. The market has been very obscure recently, and the ideas presented are all well thought out!

I have long said that we need to keep up with the team, we all have a common goal! $BTC $ETH #币安Alpha上新

In the wind and rain, I am waiting for you
$BTC $ETH #币安Alpha上新

Old Yu started following me from the 17th, it's been about a week. He went from an initial 12,000 U to nearly 50,000 U now!

Recently, he also took some out to travel. He lost quite a bit before finding me, but now he's almost recovered it all.
One must marvel at how life is more about choices than effort!!! $BTC $ETH #币安Alpha上新

MACD red柱动能衰减，显露出哆头后继乏力，
虽短暂突破MA144/MA169均线，但均线粘合
区支撑薄弱，反弹更像“冲刺尾声”
个人观点，仅供参考：
大饼119500-119800区间箜，目标118000，
116300
姨太3840-3870区间箜，目标3750，3630$BTC $ETH #币安Alpha上新

The midday analysis is correct, the second pie has moved out of a 60-point range, market fluctuations are a manifestation of market emotions, we need to learn to gauge market sentiment! $ETH $BTC #币安Alpha上新

Next week, the financial market's "Super Week" is coming! Federal Reserve + Non-farm Payrolls + Tariff Deadline all collide on $BTC $ETH

This week, US stocks just hit a historic high, and next week will face the test of "hell mode"! Federal Reserve decision, non-farm employment report, China-US trade negotiations, tariff deadline... A series of major events are crammed together, and global markets are likely to take a roller coaster ride～

Three major “nuclear-level” events set the market trend

1. Federal Reserve Decision: Interest Rate Cut Expectations Rise Again

Next Thursday (July 31), the Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision. Although the market expects no rate cut this week (the probability of a rate cut is only 3%), Trump's personal visit to the Federal Reserve to urge a rate cut (the first time in 20 years) has led the market to bet crazily on “future massive liquidity”:

Currently, the futures market expects that the Federal Reserve may cut rates consecutively starting in September, with a total rate cut of 76 basis points next year;

Powell's press conference will be key! If he sends signals of “economic pressure” and “controllable inflation,” the stock market and gold may celebrate together.

2. China-US Trade Negotiations: The Game Before the Tariff Deadline

This weekend (July 27 - 30), China and the US will negotiate in Sweden, aiming directly at the August 1 tariff deadline:

If an agreement is reached: No new tariffs, US tech stocks and Chinese concept stocks may surge;

If negotiations break down: A 30% tariff increase on the EU and China by the US may be implemented, which would harm global trade stocks and commodities. This is the third round of negotiations in the past month, and the previous two rounds did not reach an agreement; whether this time can “break the deadlock” depends on the details!

3. US Non-farm Report: Employment Data Sets the Rate Cut Pace

Next Friday (August 1), the July non-farm employment report will serve as the “compass” for the Federal Reserve's rate cut:

If new jobs exceed 200,000 and wage growth exceeds 4%: It indicates a strong economy, and the rate cut may be delayed, leading to a rise in the US dollar;

If employment is below 150,000 and the unemployment rate rises: Pressure for a rate cut will increase sharply, and gold and US stocks may rise in advance. #币安Alpha上新