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In May 2023, I entered the cryptocurrency circle with 20,000 yuan. By March 2024, the highest spot price reached 300,000 yuan. Later it fell to more than 200,000 yuan. Then I all-in GT. In August 20424, due to problems with the physical company, I was detained in a detention center for half a year. I just got out yesterday and my account has 800,000 yuan. Thanks to BTC, Sol and GT. I adjusted my mentality. The next step will be to use 10,000 yuan to turn the contract into a real position of 1 million. Brothers, stay tuned!
Good evening, brothers. I don't know if everyone was able to short last night. Here are my reasons for going short. First, looking at the 1-hour level, there is a clear trend divergence. Comparing segment C to segments A and B, the price is getting higher, while the MACD yellow and white lines are getting lower, indicating a clear divergence. Then, looking at the MACD green bars, the area is getting smaller, which is also a divergence. Additionally, the height of the green bars is getting lower, and the area of the MACD yellow and white line crossover is also getting smaller. In summary, there is a trend divergence, so the next movement will likely see a pullback at the 1-hour level returning to the central area, forming an extension at the 1-hour level, and then breaking through again. It could either fall back into the central area and continue to oscillate, or break below the central area. Then we will look at the lower level, the 5-minute level, which has already shown a clear three-sell trend, indicating that the short-term downtrend will continue. The short position can still be held while waiting for a bottom divergence to appear at the lower level before exiting.
Good evening, brothers. I don't know if everyone was able to short last night. Here are my reasons for going short. First, looking at the 1-hour level, there is a clear trend divergence. Comparing segment C to segments A and B, the price is getting higher, while the MACD yellow and white lines are getting lower, indicating a clear divergence. Then, looking at the MACD green bars, the area is getting smaller, which is also a divergence. Additionally, the height of the green bars is getting lower, and the area of the MACD yellow and white line crossover is also getting smaller. In summary, there is a trend divergence, so the next movement will likely see a pullback at the 1-hour level returning to the central area, forming an extension at the 1-hour level, and then breaking through again. It could either fall back into the central area and continue to oscillate, or break below the central area. Then we will look at the lower level, the 5-minute level, which has already shown a clear three-sell trend, indicating that the short-term downtrend will continue. The short position can still be held while waiting for a bottom divergence to appear at the lower level before exiting.
Currently, it seems that the B wave of the market at the 4-hour level has completed. The next is the C wave pullback, which corresponds to the B wave pullback at the daily level, and the amplitude should reach around 90000 or 89000.
Good afternoon, brothers. The index reached the second type of short-selling position I mentioned yesterday at the 1-hour level this morning. For those holding short positions, the first safe stop-loss position is near the previous high of 95758, and the second safe stop-loss position is 95369. As long as the previous high is not broken, short positions can continue to be held.
An hourly level forms divergence, the first type of selling point appears. For those holding short positions, place the stop loss at the previous high. If there are no positions, one can wait for a rebound that does not break the previous high to short, which is the second type of selling point, and the cost-performance ratio is still acceptable.
The market is currently undergoing a small-scale adjustment wave of abc, with wave c completed. It is expected to form a platform shape, and the profit space of the platform will not be very large. Those with short positions can take profit near 92000.
Brothers, good afternoon. Personal analysis of the market on the 4-hour level: Currently, the market has started to consolidate sideways. The next significant profit positions are as follows: First, after the sideways consolidation is completed, if there is an upward breakout that creates a trend divergence, it is a very good short position, which corresponds to the endpoint of wave 5 in wave theory. Second, if there is a breakout of the central point, followed by a pullback that does not break the central point, a long position can be taken, which corresponds to the extended wave 5-2 in wave theory. Third, if the market consolidates sideways and breaks below the central point, with a rebound that does not reach the central point, a short position can be taken, which corresponds to the ABC waves in wave theory, specifically at the endpoint of wave B. The exact entry points and details can be found at smaller time frames.
The 4-hour level has started to move in 5 waves. Currently, it appears that the 1st wave and 3rd wave have not extended, so the 5th wave may experience an extension. The potential range for the 5th wave is between the 0.382 and 1 times of the 1st and 3rd waves, which is approximately between 95800 and 102395. The exact distance it can travel will need to be observed as it progresses.
Currently, the 4th wave adjustment is too simple, and the 2nd wave adjustment is also too simple. It is also possible that the 4th wave has not finished adjusting.
龙总
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The 4-hour level has started to move in 5 waves. Currently, it appears that the 1st wave and 3rd wave have not extended, so the 5th wave may experience an extension. The potential range for the 5th wave is between the 0.382 and 1 times of the 1st and 3rd waves, which is approximately between 95800 and 102395. The exact distance it can travel will need to be observed as it progresses.
The 4-hour level has started to move in 5 waves. Currently, it appears that the 1st wave and 3rd wave have not extended, so the 5th wave may experience an extension. The potential range for the 5th wave is between the 0.382 and 1 times of the 1st and 3rd waves, which is approximately between 95800 and 102395. The exact distance it can travel will need to be observed as it progresses.
Good morning, brothers. Today's personal analysis of the market at the 4-hour level: Currently, the market has entered a C-3 buy rally according to the Chande theory, with resistance at 95937. It may enter consolidation to form a new central zone, either breaking through this central zone to continue the rally, leading to trend divergence, or consolidating and then directly breaking below the central zone, forming an upward trend combined with a downward consolidation trend. According to wave theory: Currently, the market is in the first segment of the big C wave, which is the C-1 wave, and within this smaller scale, it is currently in the C1-4 formation of the 1 wave.
We patiently wait for the large-scale 2 wave pullback without breaking the 1 wave bottom before placing long positions. This corresponds to the emergence of a new central zone in the Chande theory. If the position does not break the central zone, we may capture the last segment of this large-scale movement. Currently, the cost-effectiveness for both long and short positions at this level is not very high, so it is recommended to observe first and wait for the trend to clarify. If you really want to enter the market, pay attention to the movements at the smaller scale.
Currently, I personally believe that the large wave has not yet completed. We are currently in wave C, and it appears that we need to complete a 5-wave structure in the smaller time frame. If there is a violent washout, it may reach around 89,000; if there is a weak pullback, it can only reach around 91,000. The overall direction is currently to buy on the pullback. This personal analysis is not investment advice. For those trading, please remember to set proper stop losses. You cannot hold onto losing positions. You may win a hundred times, but losing once can wipe you out. Only by surviving can you qualify to sit at the poker table.