Talib_e_Dua

#CPI&JoblessClaimsWatch #CPI&JoblessClaimsWatch start with the easy part, labor. Seasonally adjusted initial jobless claims remain dormant with a print this morning of only 202k claims. The labor market remains historically strong. We have seen plenty of leading indicators of labor that suggest that labor should be weakening, but it isn’t. Non-manufacturing ISM’s labor subcomponent fell hard last week. Temp labor demand has been very weak. Job openings have fallen hard, though still remain higher than previous peaks, Quits have fallen precipitously. I could go on, but the fact is layoffs aren’t picking up and small businesses are telling us that they are raising wages. Yesterday, the Atlanta Fed Wage Tracker posted another reading above 5%. Labor remains secularly tight and until we see a sharp turn lower in corporate profitability and/or meaningful weakness in housing demand, that isn’t going to change.

What to make of inflation. The market bulls will argue credibly that this morning’s hotter CPI and Core CPI readings are backwards looking. Much of the reason for the higher print was from the shelter component and yet we know that the trend in rents are now falling consistently with more supply on the way. Bears will argue that the “last mile” of overcoming inflation was predictably going to be difficult as y/y comparisons get more difficult and we get well past the transitory aspects of 30% stimulus driven demand growth and pandemic supply chain issues. We can let the market decide as today’s numbers led to equity futures slightly lower (barely), the ten-year yield higher and the dollar stronger as the odds of a Fed cut in March becomes more remote.

Our longer-term view remains unchanged. While we appreciate the likely disinflationary tailwind from falling rents, our incessantly repeated thesis on wage pressures are being borne out. Higher wages mean more demand and they mean higher prices as employers pass those costs onto the consumer. We continue to see an inarguably resilient economy slowly slowing, but hardly presaging

$BTC A week of turbulence unleashed by U.S. President Donald Trump's tariffs showed little sign of easing on Friday, with markets again tumbling and foreign leaders trying to work out how to respond to a dismantling of the world trade order.
Battered financial markets were given a brief reprieve Wednesday when Trump decided to pause duties for dozens of countries for 90 days. However, his escalating trade war with the world's No.2 economy, China, has fuelled fears of recession and further retaliation.

#MarketRebound A week of turbulence unleashed by U.S. President Donald Trump's tariffs showed little sign of easing on Friday, with markets again tumbling and foreign leaders trying to work out how to respond to a dismantling of the world trade order.
Battered financial markets were given a brief reprieve Wednesday when Trump decided to pause duties for dozens of countries for 90 days. However, his escalating trade war with the world's No.2 economy, China, has fuelled fears of recession and further retaliation.

#TariffsPause A week of turbulence unleashed by U.S. President Donald Trump's tariffs showed little sign of easing on Friday, with markets again tumbling and foreign leaders trying to work out how to respond to a dismantling of the world trade order.
Battered financial markets were given a brief reprieve Wednesday when Trump decided to pause duties for dozens of countries for 90 days. However, his escalating trade war with the world's No.2 economy, China, has fuelled fears of recession and further retaliation.

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$BTC Bitcoin and crypto-related stocks fell Monday, extending last week's losses in the wake of President Donald Trump's latest tariff announcement.
The price of Bitcoin was down to around $76,000 early Monday, after dropping below the $80,000 threshold over the weekend. The cryptocurrency had traded above $100,000 as recently as February.

Shares of Strategy (MSTR), the Bitcoin buyer formerly known as MicroStrategy, plunged about 12%, while crypto exchange Coinbase (COIN) lost 9%. Bitcoin miners Riot Platforms (RIOT) and Mara Holdings (MARA) also dropped about 9%. Robinhood, the popular trading app, saw its shares tumble more than 10%.

#CryptoTariffDrop Bitcoin and crypto-related stocks fell Monday, extending last week's losses in the wake of President Donald Trump's latest tariff announcement.
The price of Bitcoin was down to around $76,000 early Monday, after dropping below the $80,000 threshold over the weekend. The cryptocurrency had traded above $100,000 as recently as February.

Shares of Strategy (MSTR), the Bitcoin buyer formerly known as MicroStrategy, plunged about 12%, while crypto exchange Coinbase (COIN) lost 9%. Bitcoin miners Riot Platforms (RIOT) and Mara Holdings (MARA) also dropped about 9%. Robinhood, the popular trading app, saw its shares tumble more than 10%.

#TradingPsychology Trading psychology refers to the emotions and mental states that help dictate success or failure in trading securities. Trading psychology represents various aspects of an individual’s character and behaviors that influence their trading actions and can be as important as other attributes, such as knowledge, experience, and skill in determining trading success.

Discipline and risk-taking are two of the most critical aspects of trading psychology since a trader’s implementation of these aspects is critical to the success of their trading plan. Fear and greed are commonly associated with trading psychology, while things like hope and regret also play roles in trading behavior.

#RiskRewardRatio The risk-reward ratio, also known as the risk-return ratio, is a financial metric that compares the potential risk of an investment to its expected return, expressed as a ratio of potential reward to potential loss.
Here's a more detailed explanation:
What it is:
The risk-reward ratio helps investors assess whether a potential investment is worth the risk by quantifying the relationship between potential losses and potential gains.
How it's calculated:
You calculate it by dividing the potential profit (reward) by the potential loss (risk).
Example:
If you risk $100 and potentially gain $300, the risk-reward ratio is 1:3 or 3:1

#TrumpTariffs Trump administration announced a series of tariffs it characterized as “reciprocal,” ranging from 10 percent to 50 percent and calculated for every country on Earth. The country-specific rates were made public at the press conference announcing the tariffs, as well as on White House social media.

However, despite the characterization of the tariffs as “reciprocal,” and despite the accompanying graphics referring to foreign “tariffs charged to the USA including currency manipulation and trade barriers,” the White House did not actually measure tariffs, currency manipulation, or trade barrier policies employed by other countries. Instead, it drew its estimates from something else entirely: bilateral trade deficits in goods.

Specifically, the White House documents appear to allege the “tariffs charged to the USA” are the greater of two different quantities: (a) 10 percent, and (b) the 2024 US trade deficit in goods with a given country, divided by the total quantity of US imports from that country.

$ETH Ethereum Price Forecast: ETH risks a decline to $1,000 amid selling pressure from DeFi liquidations
Cryptos | 04/08/2025 01:49:58 GMT
Ethereum price today:
Ethereum short-term holders have spearheaded the recent selling activity, realizing over $500 million in losses on Monday.
Rising DeFi liquidations could accelerate ETH's decline and potentially set off more liquidations.
ETH could decline to $1,000 if it breaches the lower boundary of a descending channel.
Ethereum (ETH) suffered a more than 27% crash within the past 48 hours, briefly dropping to a two-year low of $1,410 before recovering the $1,500 level on Monday. The decline, per Coinglass data, sparked $257.87 million in liquidations across ETH's derivatives market during the period.

On-chain data also shows most investors are capitulating, sending ETH realized losses past $500 million, according to Santiment. Most recent selling activity stems from coins purchased in the past month, highlighting short-term holders' strong reaction to downside price moves.

Furthermore, coins aged 1Y to 2Y are joining the selling but at a modest pace. An increase in selling pressure from this cohort could spark an extended decline in ETH as most buy-the-dip activity has largely flowed into addresses related to them.

$BTC The decline occurred days after U.S. President Donald Trump announced massive new import tariffs, which sparked concerns about a new trade war and a slowdown in the world economy. The crypto market initially showed some resilience last week, with traders speculating that Bitcoin might act as a “safe haven” as tech stocks slumped. But by Sunday night on Apr. 6, that narrative had flipped.

As U.S. stock futures opened in early Asia hours, markets turned red. The Nasdaq 100 contracts fell 5% and both the S&P 500 and Dow Jones futures each dropped more than 4%. Japan’s Nikkei 225 sank 6%, Australia’s ASX 200 fell 5%, and South Korea’s Kospi dropped 4.4%, as per Yahoo Finance data.

Bitcoin followed, crashing alongside the stock markets. According to Coinglass data, nearly $778 million in long crypto positions have been liquidated in the past 24 hours, marking the largest wipeout in nearly six weeks. Other major crypto assets also suffered, with Solana Solana
sol 7.06% Solana plunging to as low as $107 and Ethereun Ethereum eth 2.44% Ethereum falling to $1,538, its lowest since October 2023.

#BTCBelow80K The decline occurred days after U.S. President Donald Trump announced massive new import tariffs, which sparked concerns about a new trade war and a slowdown in the world economy. The crypto market initially showed some resilience last week, with traders speculating that Bitcoin might act as a “safe haven” as tech stocks slumped. But by Sunday night on Apr. 6, that narrative had flipped.

As U.S. stock futures opened in early Asia hours, markets turned red. The Nasdaq 100 contracts fell 5% and both the S&P 500 and Dow Jones futures each dropped more than 4%. Japan’s Nikkei 225 sank 6%, Australia’s ASX 200 fell 5%, and South Korea’s Kospi dropped 4.4%, as per Yahoo Finance data.

Bitcoin followed, crashing alongside the stock markets. According to Coinglass data, nearly $778 million in long crypto positions have been liquidated in the past 24 hours, marking the largest wipeout in nearly six weeks. Other major crypto assets also suffered, with Solana Solana
sol
7.06%
Solana plunging to as low as $107 and Ethereun Ethereum
eth
2.44%
Ethereum falling to $1,538, its lowest since October 2023.

#StopLossStrategies Protecting profits and limiting losses are everyday concerns for investors. While the market offers the potential for significant gains, it also carries inherent risks that can fast erode your returns. Hence, there is a need for many traders to combine trailing stops and stop losses. This pairing offers an accessible way to protect your investments against sudden market downturns while allowing them room to grow into larger profits for you.

$BTC Bitcoin (BTC) dominance is a metric used to measure the relative market share or dominance of Bitcoin in the overall cryptocurrency market. It represents the percentage of Bitcoin's total market capitalization compared to the total market capitalization of all cryptocurrencies combined. Since Bitcoin was the first asset, it has remained the largest by market cap, which is why its dominance in the market is a number that many people follow. We describe the assets tracked in this chart as cryptoassets because it includes tokens and stablecoins, not just cryptocurrencies.

#BTCvsMarkets Bitcoin (BTC) dominance is a metric used to measure the relative market share or dominance of Bitcoin in the overall cryptocurrency market. It represents the percentage of Bitcoin's total market capitalization compared to the total market capitalization of all cryptocurrencies combined. Since Bitcoin was the first asset, it has remained the largest by market cap, which is why its dominance in the market is a number that many people follow. We describe the assets tracked in this chart as cryptoassets because it includes tokens and stablecoins, not just cryptocurrencies.

#DiversifyYourAssets Are you a bullish crypto investor whose entire portfolio consists of just one or a few coins? If so, you might seriously consider adding a little diversification into your crypto mix.

If you’re not entirely familiar with the concept of diversification, it’s the old wisdom of “not putting all your eggs in one basket.” Diversification means spreading your risk around, so that if some crypto assets fall in value, others may either decline to a lesser degree, maintain their value, or possibly even rise in value.

$BNB Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said Friday that he expects President Donald Trump’s tariffs to raise inflation and lower growth, and indicated that the central bank won’t move on interest rates until it gets a clearer picture on the ultimate impacts.

In a speech delivered before business journalists in Arlington, Virginia, Powell said the Fed faces a “highly uncertain outlook” because of the new reciprocal levies the president announced Wednesday.

#PowellRemarks Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said Friday that he expects President Donald Trump’s tariffs to raise inflation and lower growth, and indicated that the central bank won’t move on interest rates until it gets a clearer picture on the ultimate impacts.

In a speech delivered before business journalists in Arlington, Virginia, Powell said the Fed faces a “highly uncertain outlook” because of the new reciprocal levies the president announced Wednesday.